Mathematical Football Prediction: A Bettor’s Honest Guide

I’ve been betting on football for over a decade, and the single biggest shift in how I pick matches happened the day I stopped trusting my gut and started running the numbers. Mathematical football prediction isn’t magic. It’s just discipline plus data: expected goals, recent form, schedule congestion, lineup news. When you stack those properly, you spot value the casual bettor misses.

This guide is built around what actually works for me on a Saturday afternoon across the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A and Bundesliga. No fluff, no 100%-guaranteed nonsense.

World Cup 2026 — Match Predictions

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Odds are indicative and may change. Tap any odd to bet on Betwinner. 18+ · please gamble responsibly.

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Deportivo Madryn – Godoy CruzPrimera Nacional · Argentina · 22/07 00:00 · ☀ 1°148%X2+1.558%GG+2.5
Club Nacional – Tigre 0–3CONMEBOL Sudamericana · World · 22/07 00:00 · ☁ 12°1✗ 37%X2+1.5✓ 74%GG✗ 54%+2.5
Atletico-MG – Bahia 1–1Serie A · Brazil · 22/07 00:30 · ☀ 19°1✗ 40%X2+1.5✓ 81%GG✓ 61%+2.5✗ 59%
Avai – America Mineiro 2–1Serie B · Brazil · 22/07 00:301✓ 48%X2+1.5✓ 66%GG+2.5
Novorizontino – Criciuma 0–1Serie B · Brazil · 22/07 00:30 · ☀ 23°1✗ 41%X2+1.5✗ 70%GG+2.5
Universidad Catolica – Barcelona SC 2–1Liga Pro · Ecuador · 22/07 02:00 · ⛅ 13°1✓ 52%X2+1.5✓ 69%GG+2.5
UCV – Santos 1–4CONMEBOL Sudamericana · World · 22/07 02:30 · ☁ 21°1✗ 39%X2+1.5✓ 65%GG+2.5
Vila Nova – Fortaleza EC 2–1Serie B · Brazil · 22/07 02:351✓ 54%X2+1.5✓ 66%GG+2.5
Cruz Azul – Puebla 2–1Liga MX · Mexico · 22/07 03:001✓ 54%X2+1.5✓ 89%GG✓ 69%+2.5✓ 72%
Vissel Kobe – Imabari 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 04:001✓ 39%X2+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Toluca – U.N.A.M. – Pumas 1–2Liga MX · Mexico · 22/07 05:05 · ☀ 13°1✗ 65%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 64%+2.5✓ 71%
AVS – Paredes 2–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 11:301✗ 42%X2+1.5✓ 69%GG+2.5
Chaves – Amarante 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 11:301✓ 64%X2+1.5✓ 77%GG+2.5✓ 53%
Nottingham Forest – Blackburn 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 12:00 · ☀ 31°1✓ 40%X2+1.5✓ 85%GG✗ 67%+2.5✓ 66%
Tondela – Academica 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 12:001✓ 68%X2+1.5✓ 61%GG+2.5
Nacional – Leganes 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 12:001✗ 43%X2+1.5✗ 89%GG✗ 71%+2.5✗ 72%
Bucheon FC 1995 – FC Anyang 2–3K League 1 · South-Korea · 22/07 12:301X2✓ 45%+1.5✓ 63%GG+2.5
Gwangju FC – Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1K League 1 · South-Korea · 22/07 12:301X2✗ 50%+1.5✓ 71%GG+2.5
FC Seoul – Pohang Steelers 3–1K League 1 · South-Korea · 22/07 12:301✓ 42%X2+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Santa Clara – Moreirense 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 12:301✓ 56%X2+1.5✓ 92%GG✓ 74%+2.5✓ 78%
Bourg-en-bresse 01 – Dijon 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:001✗ 36%X2+1.5✓ 68%GG+2.5
Feignies-Aulnoye – Seraing United 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:001✓ 77%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✗ 60%+2.5✗ 77%
Laval – Avranches 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:001✓ 70%X2+1.5✓ 95%GG✓ 76%+2.5✓ 86%
Dunkerque – Samsunspor 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:001✓ 39%X2+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Famalicao – Arouca 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:001✗ 50%X2+1.5✗ 69%GG+2.5
Lusitânia Lourosa – VizelaFriendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:00157%X2+1.583%GG60%+2.562%
KSZO 1929 – Bochnia 7–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:001✓ 61%X2+1.5✓ 82%GG✓ 55%+2.5✓ 60%
Alverca – Estoril 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:001X2✗ 43%+1.5✓ 89%GG✗ 71%+2.5✗ 72%
Clermont Foot – Fleury 91Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:00171%X2+1.577%GG+2.553%
Wisla Plock – Pelikan ŁowiczFriendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:00150%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Garbarnia Kraków – NaprzódFriendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:00149%X2+1.584%GG63%+2.563%
Unia Swarzędz – Pogoń Mogilno 4–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:001✓ 64%X2+1.5✓ 95%GG✓ 78%+2.5✓ 85%
KVC Westerlo – Al-Fayha 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:001✗ 77%X2+1.5✗ 97%GG✗ 77%+2.5✗ 90%
Willem II – Jong AZFriendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:001X241%+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Maritimo – Camacha 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:001X2✗ 43%+1.5✓ 77%GG✗ 56%+2.5✗ 53%
Beltinci – Sharjah FC 0–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:001✗ 56%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✗ 67%+2.5✓ 71%
Bukovyna – Ruh Lviv 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:001✓ 58%X2+1.5✓ 85%GG✓ 62%+2.5✓ 65%
TSC Backa Topola – Al-Faisaly FCFriendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:001X243%+1.580%GG60%+2.558%
Guimaraes – União de LeiriaFriendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 14:00166%X2+1.572%GG+2.5
Chicken Inn – TelOne 1–0Premier Soccer League · Zimbabwe · 22/07 15:001✓ 38%X2+1.5✗ 57%GG+2.5
Platinum – Dynamos 0–1Premier Soccer League · Zimbabwe · 22/07 15:001X2✓ 40%+1.5✗ 61%GG+2.5
Scotland Mabvuku – Bulawayo Chiefs 2–1Premier Soccer League · Zimbabwe · 22/07 15:001✓ 60%X2+1.5✓ 65%GG+2.5
Simba Bhora – MWOS 2–2Premier Soccer League · Zimbabwe · 22/07 15:001✗ 43%X2+1.5✓ 51%GG+2.5
Kariba – Highlanders 1–0Premier Soccer League · Zimbabwe · 22/07 15:001X✗ 41%2+1.5GG+2.5
Bologna – 1. FC Heidenheim 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 16:001X2✗ 92%+1.5✓ 98%GG✓ 61%+2.5✗ 92%
Amiens – Reims 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 16:001✗ 38%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 68%+2.5✗ 68%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv – FC Schalke 04Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 16:001X241%+1.587%GG69%+2.569%
Kokand-1912 – Olmaliq 1–4Super League · Uzbekistan · 22/07 17:00 · ⛅ 23°1✗ 37%X2+1.5✓ 69%GG+2.5
Lokomotiv – Andijan 3–3Super League · Uzbekistan · 22/07 17:00 · ☀ 28°1✗ 36%X2+1.5✓ 62%GG+2.5
Mash'al – Nasaf 1–1Super League · Uzbekistan · 22/07 17:00 · ⛅ 22°1X2✗ 54%+1.5✓ 63%GG+2.5
Tottenham – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 17:001X2✗ 47%+1.5✗ 85%GG✗ 65%+2.5✗ 65%
Palermo – Paradiso 7–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 17:001X2✗ 46%+1.5✓ 78%GG✗ 56%+2.5✓ 54%
JK Tabasalu – Tamper 0–2Cup · Estonia · 22/07 17:00 · ☁ 17°1✗ 91%X2+1.5✓ 99%GG✗ 69%+2.5✗ 95%
Mes Rafsanjan – Sanat NaftPersian Gulf Pro League · Iran · 22/07 17:00 · ⛅ 26°1X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Jablonec II – Příbram II 5–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 17:001X2✗ 43%+1.5✓ 89%GG✓ 71%+2.5✓ 72%
União Lamas – Os MarialvasFriendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 17:00145%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Jaro 2 – GBK 1–1Kakkonen – Lohko C · Finland · 22/07 17:30 · ☁ 14°1✗ 54%X2+1.5✓ 95%GG✓ 81%+2.5✗ 85%
Guingamp – Concarneau 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 17:301X2✓ 59%+1.5✗ 91%GG✗ 71%+2.5✗ 76%
Metz – Sochaux 4–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 17:301✓ 46%X2+1.5✓ 87%GG✓ 69%+2.5✓ 70%
Werder Bremen – Fagiano Okayama 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 17:301✓ 77%X2+1.5✓ 82%GG+2.5✗ 61%
Nantes – La Roche VF 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 17:301✗ 49%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✓ 74%+2.5✗ 76%
Hellas Verona – Virtus Verona 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 17:301✓ 92%X2+1.5✓ 98%GG✓ 64%+2.5✓ 93%
Vysoké Mýto – Pardubice II 2–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 17:301✗ 55%X2+1.5✓ 83%GG✓ 60%+2.5✓ 62%
Lecce – FC Politehnica Timisoara 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 17:301X2✓ 51%+1.5✗ 74%GG✗ 51%+2.5
PKKU – VJS 1–3Ykkönen · Finland · 22/07 18:00 · ☁ 16°1✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 80%GG✓ 60%+2.5✓ 58%
Liège – St. Truiden 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 18:001✗ 44%X2+1.5✗ 93%GG✗ 77%+2.5✗ 80%
Rodez – Nimes 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 18:001✓ 82%X2+1.5✓ 98%GG✓ 78%+2.5✓ 93%
Trans Narva – Flora II 0–0Cup · Estonia · 22/07 18:00 · ☁ 14°1✗ 91%X2+1.5✗ 99%GG✗ 69%+2.5✗ 95%
Phoenix – Hell Hunt 2–0Cup · Estonia · 22/07 18:00 · ☁ 14°1✓ 62%X2+1.5✓ 93%GG✗ 74%+2.5✗ 80%
Stade Brestois 29 – Al Wakrah 0–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 18:001✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✗ 65%+2.5✗ 64%
MSV Duisburg – Beerschot VA 2–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 18:001X2✓ 43%+1.5✓ 80%GG✓ 60%+2.5✓ 58%
Montpellier – Cannes 3–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 18:001✗ 80%X2+1.5✓ 97%GG✓ 76%+2.5✓ 91%
VfL Halle – Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 18:001X2✗ 60%+1.5✓ 93%GG✓ 76%+2.5✓ 81%
SSV Jeddeloh – SV Rodinghausen 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 18:001X2✗ 43%+1.5✓ 93%GG✗ 78%+2.5✗ 80%
Läänemaa Haapsalu – Elva 0–6Cup · Estonia · 22/07 18:00 · ⛅ 16°1X2✓ 62%+1.5✓ 92%GG✗ 71%+2.5✓ 78%
Le Mans – Versailles 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 18:001X2✗ 54%+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 62%+2.5✓ 63%
Sokol Zápy – Turnov 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 18:001✓ 57%X2+1.5✓ 99%GG✗ 91%+2.5✗ 95%
Neftchi Baku – Dinamo Minsk 2–4UEFA Europa Conference League · World · 22/07 18:00 · ⛅ 26°1X2✓ 52%+1.5✓ 73%GG+2.5
Kolín – Povltava FA 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 18:001✗ 43%X2+1.5✓ 94%GG✓ 80%+2.5✗ 83%
Puszcza Niepołomice – JarosławFriendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 18:001X245%+1.590%GG73%+2.574%
RAAL La Louvière – Kifisia 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 18:001X2✗ 38%+1.5✓ 81%GG✓ 61%+2.5✗ 59%
AZ Alkmaar – Genk 4–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 18:301X2✗ 46%+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 68%+2.5✓ 68%
Brønshøj – Avarta 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 18:301✓ 37%X2+1.5✗ 82%GG✗ 62%+2.5✗ 60%
Wiener Viktoria – Wienerberg 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 18:301✗ 59%X2+1.5✓ 90%GG✓ 70%+2.5✗ 75%
Bodo/Glimt – Ham-Kam 3–0Eliteserien · Norway · 22/07 19:001✓ 72%X2+1.5✓ 85%GG✗ 53%+2.5✓ 65%
Lillestrom – Viking 1–2Eliteserien · Norway · 22/07 19:001✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 76%GG✓ 55%+2.5✓ 52%
FV Ravensburg – FC 08 Homburg 2–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:001X2✓ 51%+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 66%+2.5✓ 67%
Fiorentina – Gubbio 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:001✓ 92%X2+1.5✗ 98%GG✗ 64%+2.5✗ 93%
Wolfenbuttel – Schöningen 2–6Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:001X2✓ 51%+1.5✓ 98%GG✓ 88%+2.5✓ 92%
Heist – Patro Eisden 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:001✗ 36%X2+1.5✗ 75%GG✗ 55%+2.5✗ 51%
Valencia – Eldense 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:001X2✗ 48%+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 67%+2.5✓ 68%
Glostrup – Vanløse 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:001X2✓ 48%+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 67%+2.5✓ 68%
F91 Dudelange – Mamer 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:001✓ 93%X2+1.5✓ 98%GG✗ 63%+2.5✗ 94%
NK Osijek – HNK Cibalia 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:001X2✗ 69%+1.5✓ 93%GG✗ 72%+2.5✓ 81%
Cadiz – Leicester 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:001X2✓ 70%+1.5✗ 80%GG+2.5✗ 58%
Lüneburger SK Hansa – Hamburger SV II 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:001✓ 71%X2+1.5✓ 98%GG✓ 85%+2.5✓ 93%
FSV Mainz 05 II – Kreuzlingen 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:001✓ 84%X2+1.5✓ 92%GG✓ 55%+2.5✓ 79%
Orlando Pirates – Las Palmas 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:001✗ 39%X2+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Santa Clara – Felgueiras 1932 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:001✗ 51%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 69%+2.5✗ 71%
Excelsior Virton – US Hostert 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:001X2✗ 48%+1.5✗ 89%GG✗ 71%+2.5✗ 73%
Algeria W – Zambia W 1–0Friendlies Women · World · 22/07 19:001✓ 62%X2+1.5✗ 79%GG✗ 51%+2.5✗ 55%
Omonia Nicosia – Kairat Almaty 1–0UEFA Champions League · World · 22/07 19:00 · ☀ 31°1X2✗ 52%+1.5✗ 73%GG+2.5
Bohemians – Ballkani 2–1UEFA Europa Conference League · World · 22/07 19:00 · ⛅ 19°1✓ 38%X2+1.5✓ 79%GG✓ 59%+2.5✓ 55%
Hilden – Unterrath 5–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:301X2✗ 60%+1.5✓ 93%GG✗ 74%+2.5✓ 80%
Sestao River – Athletic Club 0–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:301X2✓ 82%+1.5✓ 98%GG✗ 75%+2.5✗ 92%
Progres Niederkorn – APM Metz 2–5Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:301X2✓ 71%+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 57%+2.5✓ 68%
Atlas Delmenhorst – Bersenbrück 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:301✓ 71%X2+1.5✓ 95%GG✓ 75%+2.5✓ 85%
AS Jeunesse Esch – Koeppchen 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:301✓ 43%X2+1.5✗ 93%GG✗ 78%+2.5✗ 80%
Levski Sofia – Universitatea Craiova 1–0UEFA Champions League · World · 22/07 19:30 · ⛅ 17°1✓ 44%X2+1.5✗ 95%GG✗ 82%+2.5✗ 85%
Echallens – Bavois 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 19:301X2✗ 41%+1.5✗ 76%GG✗ 55%+2.5✗ 52%
Nova Iguaçu – América RJ 1–1Copa Rio · Brazil · 22/07 19:451X2✗ 71%+1.5✓ 77%GG+2.5✗ 53%
CFRJ / Maricá – Pérolas Negras 3–0Copa Rio · Brazil · 22/07 19:451X2✗ 81%+1.5✓ 91%GG✗ 55%+2.5✓ 76%
Bangu – Olaria 1–1Copa Rio · Brazil · 22/07 19:451X2✗ 49%+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 66%+2.5✗ 67%
Madureira – Bonsucesso 1–1Copa Rio · Brazil · 22/07 19:451X2✗ 45%+1.5✓ 85%GG✓ 65%+2.5✗ 65%
Başakşehir – Inter Turku 1–1UEFA Europa Conference League · World · 22/07 19:45 · ☁ 24°1✗ 36%X2+1.5✓ 68%GG+2.5
Joinville U20 – Criciuma U20 1–3Catarinense U20 · Brazil · 22/07 20:001X2✓ 59%+1.5✓ 68%GG+2.5
Nação U20 – Avaí U20 1–2Catarinense U20 · Brazil · 22/07 20:001X2✓ 47%+1.5✓ 89%GG✓ 71%+2.5✓ 72%
Figueirense U20 – Carlos Renaux U20Catarinense U20 · Brazil · 22/07 20:00155%X2+1.569%GG+2.5
Blumenau – Nação 0–2Catarinense – 2 · Brazil · 22/07 20:001✗ 56%X2+1.5✓ 76%GG✗ 51%+2.5✗ 52%
Fluminense-SC – Tubarao 2–0Catarinense – 2 · Brazil · 22/07 20:001X2✗ 39%+1.5✓ 58%GG+2.5
Juventus SC – Metropolitano 0–2Catarinense – 2 · Brazil · 22/07 20:001✗ 39%X2+1.5✓ 80%GG✗ 60%+2.5✗ 58%
Guarani de Palhoça – Jaraguá 7–0Catarinense – 2 · Brazil · 22/07 20:001✓ 81%X2+1.5✓ 87%GG+2.5✓ 69%
America MG U17 – Botafogo U17 0–0Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 22/07 20:001✗ 76%X2+1.5✗ 86%GG✗ 51%+2.5✗ 67%
Bahia U17 – Palmeiras U17 1–1Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 22/07 20:001X2✗ 40%+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 71%+2.5✗ 71%
Fluminense U17 – Atletico GO U17 2–0Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 22/07 20:001✓ 74%X2+1.5✓ 90%GG✗ 61%+2.5✗ 75%
Sao Paulo U17 – Atlético Mineiro U17 0–0Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 22/07 20:001✗ 37%X2+1.5✗ 84%GG✗ 65%+2.5✗ 64%
Audax São Mateus – CTE Colatina 2–0Capixaba B · Brazil · 22/07 20:001✓ 58%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 63%+2.5✗ 67%
Estrela do Norte – Pinheiros 5–0Capixaba B · Brazil · 22/07 20:00 · ⛅ 26°1✓ 43%X2+1.5✓ 75%GG✗ 54%+2.5✓ 51%
AFC Wimbledon – Norwich 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 20:001X2✗ 43%+1.5✗ 89%GG✗ 71%+2.5✗ 72%
Eendracht Termien – KRC Genk II 2–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 20:001X2✓ 86%+1.5✓ 98%GG✓ 73%+2.5✓ 92%
Olot – Girona 1–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 20:001X2✓ 50%+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 67%+2.5✓ 68%
KAC Kenitra – AS Mansouria 2–0Botola 2 · Morocco · 22/07 20:001✓ 43%X2+1.5✓ 70%GG+2.5
Union Sportive Boujaad – Rapide Oued ZEM 4–1Botola 2 · Morocco · 22/07 20:001✓ 38%X2+1.5✓ 59%GG+2.5
Recreativo Huelva – Real Betis 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 20:301X2✓ 52%+1.5✗ 87%GG✗ 68%+2.5✗ 70%
Maidenhead – Wolves 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 20:301X2✓ 60%+1.5✗ 87%GG✗ 64%+2.5✗ 69%
Southend – Northampton 1–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 20:301✗ 52%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 63%+2.5✓ 64%
Burton Albion – Birmingham 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 20:301X2✓ 78%+1.5✗ 90%GG✗ 58%+2.5✗ 75%
Queen of the South – Aberdeen 1–4League Cup · Scotland · 22/07 20:451X2✓ 65%+1.5✓ 76%GG+2.5✓ 52%
Stevenage – West Ham 0–5Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 20:451✗ 36%X2+1.5✓ 68%GG+2.5
Eastleigh – Valenciennes 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 20:451X2✓ 70%+1.5✓ 80%GG+2.5✓ 58%
Rangers – Saint Etienne 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 20:451✓ 36%X2+1.5✓ 68%GG+2.5
Macara – Deportivo Cuenca 3–0Liga Pro · Ecuador · 22/07 21:00 · 🌦 19°1✓ 38%X2+1.5✓ 57%GG+2.5
Flamengo RJ U17 – Santos U17 4–2Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 22/07 21:001✓ 45%X2+1.5✓ 79%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 55%
Tenerife – Getafe 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 22/07 21:001✗ 61%X2+1.5✓ 85%GG✓ 61%+2.5✓ 66%
Boavista SC – CEAC / Araruama 4–0Copa Rio · Brazil · 22/07 21:001X✗ 38%2+1.5GG+2.5
Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Celje 3–3UEFA Champions League · World · 22/07 21:001✗ 84%X2+1.5✓ 95%GG✓ 63%+2.5✓ 86%
Santos U20 – Vasco da Gama U20 2–0Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 22/07 21:001✓ 39%X2+1.5✓ 76%GG✗ 56%+2.5✗ 52%
Timon MA – Araioses 1–1Maranhense – 2 · Brazil · 22/07 21:001✗ 54%X2+1.5✓ 55%GG+2.5
Central Córdoba SdE Res. – Platense Res. 0–0Reserve League · Argentina · 22/07 22:001✗ 38%X2+1.5✗ 70%GG+2.5
U. de Deportes W – Carlos Mannucci WLiga Women · Peru · 22/07 22:15197%X2+1.596%GG+2.588%
San Antonio – Cumbayá 0–0Liga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 22/07 22:301✗ 44%X2+1.5✗ 67%GG+2.5
Independiente del Valle – Tecnico Universitario 3–0Liga Pro · Ecuador · 22/07 23:301✓ 55%X2+1.5✓ 73%GG+2.5
Independiente Medellin – Vasco DA Gama 2–2CONMEBOL Sudamericana · World · 23/07 00:001✗ 40%X2+1.5✓ 71%GG✓ 51%+2.5
River Plate Res. – Barracas Central Res. 4–0Reserve League · Argentina · 23/07 00:001✓ 54%X2+1.5✓ 72%GG+2.5
Lago Verde – Pinheiro 2–2Maranhense – 2 · Brazil · 23/07 00:001✗ 68%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 67%
Coritiba – Palmeiras 1–3Serie A · Brazil · 23/07 00:30 · ☁ 13°1X2✓ 41%+1.5✓ 68%GG+2.5
Carolina Core – Inter Miami II 4–0MLS Next Pro · USA · 23/07 00:301✓ 57%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 65%+2.5✓ 68%
Ceara – CRB 0–1Serie B · Brazil · 23/07 00:30 · ☀ 26°1✗ 44%X2+1.5✗ 76%GG✗ 55%+2.5✗ 52%
Operario-PR – Ponte Preta 3–2Serie B · Brazil · 23/07 00:30 · ☁ 14°1✓ 60%X2+1.5✓ 73%GG+2.5
Sampaio Corrêa RJ – Resende 2–0Copa Rio · Brazil · 23/07 00:301X2✗ 62%+1.5✓ 82%GG✗ 56%+2.5✗ 61%
Lexington – Oakland Roots 2–0USL Championship · USA · 23/07 01:001✓ 40%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 68%+2.5✗ 68%
Portland Hearts of Pine – Union Omaha 1–2USL League One · USA · 23/07 01:001✗ 51%X2+1.5✓ 74%GG✓ 51%+2.5
Westchester SC – NY Cosmos 3–0USL League One · USA · 23/07 01:00 · ☁ 30°1✓ 73%X2+1.5✓ 89%GG✗ 59%+2.5✓ 72%
Hercílio Luz – Caravaggio 0–0Catarinense – 2 · Brazil · 23/07 01:001✗ 45%X2+1.5✗ 87%GG✗ 68%+2.5✗ 69%
Inter Miami – Chicago Fire 3–2Major League Soccer · USA · 23/07 01:301X2✗ 40%+1.5✓ 90%GG✓ 74%+2.5✓ 75%
FC Cincinnati – Vancouver Whitecaps 4–3Major League Soccer · USA · 23/07 01:301✓ 39%X2+1.5✓ 92%GG✓ 77%+2.5✓ 79%
Columbus Crew – New York City FC 1–2Major League Soccer · USA · 23/07 01:301✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 62%GG+2.5
Philadelphia Union – New York Red Bulls 3–1Major League Soccer · USA · 23/07 01:30 · ☁ 24°1✓ 39%X2+1.5✓ 74%GG✓ 54%+2.5
New England Revolution – Toronto FC 0–0Major League Soccer · USA · 23/07 01:30 · ⛅ 22°1✗ 62%X2+1.5✗ 77%GG+2.5✗ 53%
Goias – Sport Recife 1–1Serie B · Brazil · 23/07 01:30 · ⛅ 25°1X2✗ 41%+1.5✓ 57%GG+2.5
Manta FC – LDU de Quito 1–1Liga Pro · Ecuador · 23/07 02:001X2✗ 43%+1.5GG+2.5
Portuguesa RJ – Americano Campos 1–0Copa Rio · Brazil · 23/07 02:001X2✗ 36%+1.5✗ 55%GG+2.5
Charlotte – Atlanta United FC 2–2Major League Soccer · USA · 23/07 02:151✗ 60%X2+1.5✓ 69%GG+2.5
Austin – Seattle Sounders 3–1Major League Soccer · USA · 23/07 02:301X✗ 37%2+1.5✓ 52%GG+2.5
Sporting Kansas City – Minnesota United FC 2–1Major League Soccer · USA · 23/07 02:301X2✗ 39%+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 68%+2.5✓ 67%
Houston Dynamo – DC United 1–1Major League Soccer · USA · 23/07 02:301✗ 34%X2+1.5✓ 65%GG+2.5
Internacional – Cruzeiro 1–2Serie A · Brazil · 23/07 02:30 · 🌦 15°1✗ 50%X2+1.5✓ 73%GG✓ 50%+2.5
Sao Paulo – Atletico Paranaense 1–2Serie A · Brazil · 23/07 02:30 · ⛅ 18°1✗ 55%X2+1.5✓ 71%GG+2.5
Nautico Recife – Londrina 2–1Serie B · Brazil · 23/07 02:30 · 🌧 23°1✓ 40%X2+1.5✓ 66%GG+2.5
Lanus – Cienciano 2–0CONMEBOL Sudamericana · World · 23/07 02:301✓ 57%X2+1.5✓ 71%GG+2.5
Sporting Cristal – RB Bragantino 0–0CONMEBOL Sudamericana · World · 23/07 02:30 · ⛅ 20°1X2✗ 54%+1.5✗ 78%GG✗ 54%+2.5✗ 54%
Nashville SC – CF Montreal 1–0Major League Soccer · USA · 23/07 02:301✓ 71%X2+1.5✗ 93%GG✗ 69%+2.5✗ 80%
Chapecoense-sc – Flamengo 0–4Serie A · Brazil · 23/07 02:301X2✓ 54%+1.5✓ 82%GG✗ 60%+2.5✓ 61%
Colorado Springs – Miami FC 2–0USL Championship · USA · 23/07 03:00 · ☁ 20°1✓ 49%X2+1.5✓ 76%GG✗ 54%+2.5✗ 52%
Calgary Wild W – Ottawa Rapid WNorthern Super League · Canada · 23/07 03:001X266%+1.586%GG59%+2.567%
Spokane Velocity – Charlotte Independence 3–0USL League One · USA · 23/07 03:001X2✗ 38%+1.5✓ 85%GG✗ 66%+2.5✓ 65%
Vancouver Whitecaps II – Austin II 0–4MLS Next Pro · USA · 23/07 03:001X2✓ 57%+1.5✓ 79%GG✗ 54%+2.5✓ 55%
Colorado Rapids – San Diego 1–0Major League Soccer · USA · 23/07 03:301✓ 57%X2+1.5✗ 87%GG✗ 66%+2.5✗ 70%
Los Angeles FC – Real Salt Lake 3–1Major League Soccer · USA · 23/07 04:301✓ 52%X2+1.5✓ 80%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 58%
Los Angeles Galaxy – St. Louis City 1–3Major League Soccer · USA · 23/07 04:30 · ☀ 27°1✗ 46%X2+1.5✓ 70%GG+2.5
San Jose Earthquakes – Orlando City SC 0–4Major League Soccer · USA · 23/07 04:301✗ 78%X2+1.5✓ 92%GG✗ 60%+2.5✓ 78%
Portland Timbers – FC Dallas 2–2Major League Soccer · USA · 23/07 04:301X2✗ 43%+1.5✓ 87%GG✓ 69%+2.5✓ 69%
FC Liefering – Eintracht BraunschweigFriendlies Clubs · World · 23/07 10:30143%X2+1.590%GG73%+2.574%
Tensung – ParoPremier League · Bhutan · 23/07 11:001X286%+1.582%GG+2.561%
Mohammedan – WariCalcutta Premier Division · India · 23/07 11:30169%X2+1.586%GG58%+2.568%
Police – Calcutta PoliceCalcutta Premier Division · India · 23/07 11:30158%X2+1.581%GG56%+2.559%
United – MeasurersCalcutta Premier Division · India · 23/07 11:301X254%+1.584%GG62%+2.563%
Akademiya Ontustik – Astana II1. Division · Kazakhstan · 23/07 14:00140%X2+1.575%GG55%+2.551%
Jaiyq – Khan Tengri1. Division · Kazakhstan · 23/07 15:00146%X2+1.582%GG61%+2.560%
Kaspij Aktau 2 – Ekibastuz1. Division · Kazakhstan · 23/07 15:00142%X2+1.573%GG52%+2.5
Al Diriyah – FA 2000Friendlies Clubs · World · 23/07 15:00182%X2+1.589%GG50%+2.572%
Agama – HardrockPremier Soccer League · Zimbabwe · 23/07 15:001X241%+1.5GG+2.5
CAPS United – HuntersPremier Soccer League · Zimbabwe · 23/07 15:00156%X2+1.566%GG+2.5
Triangle United – Ngezi PlatinumPremier Soccer League · Zimbabwe · 23/07 15:001X240%+1.551%GG+2.5
Gazalkent – MetalourgPro League A · Uzbekistan · 23/07 16:301X250%+1.569%GG+2.5
Malisheva – HibernianUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 16:30 · ⛅ 22°179%X2+1.593%GG62%+2.580%
Toktogul – AlayPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 23/07 16:301X250%+1.571%GG+2.5
New England II – New York City IIMLS Next Pro · USA · 23/07 17:00 · ☀ 25°1X242%+1.581%GG61%+2.559%
Navbahor – QizilqumSuper League · Uzbekistan · 23/07 17:00 · ⛅ 24°141%X2+1.562%GG+2.5
Surkhon – Dinamo SamarqandSuper League · Uzbekistan · 23/07 17:00 · ☀ 32°142%X2+1.579%GG59%+2.557%
Sampdoria – CagliariFriendlies Clubs · World · 23/07 17:00149%X2+1.579%GG58%+2.557%
Viimsi – Nomme Utd U19Cup · Estonia · 23/07 17:00 · ☁ 16°1X276%+1.596%GG74%+2.588%
FK Liepaja – Austria ViennaUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 17:00145%X2+1.561%GG+2.5
Alashkert – CFR 1907 ClujUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 17:00 · ⛅ 28°139%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Zorya Luhansk – GöztepeFriendlies Clubs · World · 23/07 17:001X254%+1.570%GG+2.5
Venezia – Vis PesaroFriendlies Clubs · World · 23/07 17:30162%X2+1.593%GG74%+2.580%
TP-47 – JS HerculesKakkonen – Lohko C · Finland · 23/07 17:30 · ☀ 16°155%X2+1.593%GG76%+2.581%
Tallinna Kalev II – Rakvere FC FreedomCup · Estonia · 23/07 18:00 · ☁ 17°146%X2+1.595%GG81%+2.584%
Tartu Kalev – Kuusalu KalevCup · Estonia · 23/07 18:00 · ☁ 17°153%X2+1.595%GG82%+2.586%
Bergisch Gladbach – 1. FC KölnFriendlies Clubs · World · 23/07 18:00148%X2+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Poseidon – Team HelmCup · Estonia · 23/07 18:001X289%+1.599%GG76%+2.596%
HNK Gorica – Shakhtar DonetskFriendlies Clubs · World · 23/07 18:001X259%+1.570%GG+2.5
Debreceni VSC – Pyunik YerevanUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 18:00 · ⛅ 22°1X252%+1.587%GG68%+2.570%
Dila – Apollon LimassolUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 18:00 · 🌧 21°163%X2+1.584%GG58%+2.564%
Paide – ZiraUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 18:00 · ☁ 16°149%X2+1.591%GG74%+2.576%
Qarabag – CSKA SofiaUEFA Europa League · World · 23/07 18:00 · ☀ 26°145%X2+1.588%GG70%+2.571%
Estrela – NacionalFriendlies Clubs · World · 23/07 18:30137%X2+1.563%GG+2.5
Dunajska Streda – VeležUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 18:301X239%+1.562%GG+2.5
Rīgas FS – VestriUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 18:30 · 🌦 17°159%X2+1.572%GG+2.5
Francs Borains – TubizeFriendlies Clubs · World · 23/07 18:30156%X2+1.593%GG76%+2.580%
Bayern Alzenau – Wormatia WormsFriendlies Clubs · World · 23/07 19:00144%X2+1.595%GG83%+2.586%
Bate Borisov – FC SionUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 19:00145%X2+1.561%GG+2.5
Dinamo Tbilisi – FK Zalgiris VilniusUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 19:00 · ☁ 25°1X259%+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
FC Santa Coloma – Rapid ViennaUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 19:00 · ☀ 28°160%X2+1.586%GG63%+2.567%
Dynamo Kyiv – PAOKUEFA Europa League · World · 23/07 19:00 · ☁ 16°1X239%+1.565%GG+2.5
Sheriff Tiraspol – Maccabi Tel AvivUEFA Europa League · World · 23/07 19:00 · ⛅ 19°1X239%+1.565%GG+2.5
FC Vaduz – Atlètic Club d'EscaldesUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 19:30 · ⛅ 19°1X246%+1.578%GG56%+2.554%
Barra Mansa – BúziosCarioca C · Brazil · 23/07 19:451X257%+1.575%GG+2.551%
Campos AA – Cardoso MoreiraCarioca C · Brazil · 23/07 19:451X243%+1.575%GG54%+2.551%
Chapecoense U20 – Barra SC U20Catarinense U20 · Brazil · 23/07 20:001X242%+1.588%GG71%+2.571%
GEL – DozeCapixaba B · Brazil · 23/07 20:001X240%+1.566%GG+2.5
Estudiantes La Plata Res – Quilmes 2Reserve League · Argentina · 23/07 20:00142%X2+1.552%GG+2.5
Independiente Riva. Res. – Independiente Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 23/07 20:001X237%+1.578%GG58%+2.554%
Lanús Res. – Huracán Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 23/07 20:00142%X2+1.582%GG63%+2.561%
Newell's Old Boys Res. – Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2Reserve League · Argentina · 23/07 20:00171%X2+1.575%GG+2.551%
Racing Club Res. – Gimnasia Mendoza 2Reserve League · Argentina · 23/07 20:00145%X2+1.563%GG+2.5
San Martín San Juan Res. – Atl. Rafaela 2Reserve League · Argentina · 23/07 20:001X238%+1.582%GG63%+2.561%
Aluminij – Dinamo TiranaUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 20:00 · ⛅ 18°1X267%+1.590%GG65%+2.574%
Twente – Ferencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League · World · 23/07 20:00 · ⛅ 17°1X246%+1.578%GG56%+2.554%
Bravo – ShkendijaUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 20:45 · ☁ 17°1X270%+1.594%GG73%+2.584%
NSI Runavik – KoperUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 20:45139%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Shelbourne – Kalju NommeUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 20:45 · ☁ 19°138%X2+1.585%GG66%+2.565%
Cordoba – SevillaFriendlies Clubs · World · 23/07 21:00139%X2+1.552%GG+2.5
FK Partizan – UNA StrassenUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 21:00 · ☁ 24°1X241%+1.582%GG62%+2.560%
RB Bragantino U20 – Palmeiras U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 23/07 21:001X258%+1.594%GG77%+2.583%
Stjarnan – IlvesUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 23/07 21:00148%X2+1.580%GG59%+2.558%
HNK Hajduk Split – PafosUEFA Europa League · World · 23/07 21:00 · ⛅ 25°152%X2+1.577%GG54%+2.553%
Leiknir R. – Throttur Reykjavik1. Deild · Iceland · 23/07 21:151X246%+1.582%GG61%+2.560%
Ind. Juniors – CuniburoLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 23/07 22:30146%X2+1.554%GG+2.5
Leones del Norte – Guayaquil City FCLiga Pro · Ecuador · 23/07 23:30147%X2+1.562%GG+2.5
Orense SC – AucasLiga Pro · Ecuador · 23/07 23:301X235%+1.563%GG+2.5
Bolívar – GremioCONMEBOL Sudamericana · World · 24/07 00:00 · ☁ 10°1X241%+1.559%GG+2.5
Botafogo – VitoriaSerie A · Brazil · 24/07 00:30 · ⛅ 21°160%X2+1.586%GG63%+2.567%
Corinthians – RemoSerie A · Brazil · 24/07 00:30 · ☁ 15°147%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Belgrano Cordoba – Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 24/07 00:30 · ⛅ 10°144%X2+1.562%GG+2.5
Sarmiento Junin – Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 24/07 00:30 · ☁ 12°141%X2+1.562%GG+2.5
Athletic Club – São BernardoSerie B · Brazil · 24/07 00:30 · ☁ 24°1X243%+1.563%GG+2.5
Montreal Roses W – AFC Toronto WNorthern Super League · Canada · 24/07 01:001X238%+1.585%GG66%+2.565%
Cuiaba – Atletico GoianienseSerie B · Brazil · 24/07 01:30 · ☀ 27°141%X2+1.557%GG+2.5
Emelec – Mushuc Runa SCLiga Pro · Ecuador · 24/07 02:00149%X2+1.574%GG52%+2.5
Deportivo Cali W – América de Cali WLiga Femenina · Colombia · 24/07 02:00143%X2+1.563%GG+2.5
Botafogo SP – JuventudeSerie B · Brazil · 24/07 02:30 · ☁ 22°144%X2+1.562%GG+2.5
Boca Juniors – O'HigginsCONMEBOL Sudamericana · World · 24/07 02:30 · ☁ 13°145%X2+1.580%GG59%+2.558%
Santa Fe – Caracas FCCONMEBOL Sudamericana · World · 24/07 02:301X239%+1.583%GG64%+2.562%
Defensa Y Justicia – AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 24/07 02:45 · ☁ 13°147%X2+1.565%GG+2.5
Yenisey II – Torpedo VladimirSecond League – Group 2 · Russia · 24/07 07:001X238%+1.577%GG57%+2.553%
Manly Utd U20 – Sydney Olympic U20Npl Nsw U20 · Australia · 24/07 09:30162%X2+1.584%GG58%+2.563%
Preston – Cambridge UnitedFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 11:00 · ⛅ 34°154%X2+1.593%GG76%+2.580%
Cambuur – UtrechtFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 11:00152%X2+1.580%GG58%+2.558%
RTC – Bhutan U19Premier League · Bhutan · 24/07 11:001X240%+1.587%GG70%+2.570%
Manly United – Sydney OlympicNew South Wales NPL · Australia · 24/07 11:30152%X2+1.573%GG+2.5
Heidelberg United – Sunshine GeorgiesVictoria NPL · Australia · 24/07 11:30 · ⛅ 11°138%X2+1.579%GG59%+2.555%
Green Gully – Dandenong CityVictoria NPL · Australia · 24/07 11:301X243%+1.575%GG54%+2.551%
St. Albans Saints – Hume CityVictoria NPL · Australia · 24/07 11:301X256%+1.582%GG59%+2.561%
Keilor Park – Bayside ArgonautsVictoria Premier League 2 · Australia · 24/07 11:30139%X2+1.582%GG62%+2.560%
Nunawading – MalvernVictoria Premier League 2 · Australia · 24/07 11:301X251%+1.574%GG51%+2.5
Coal India – RainbowCalcutta Premier Division · India · 24/07 11:30156%X2+1.582%GG59%+2.561%
NA Suruchi Sangha – AryanCalcutta Premier Division · India · 24/07 11:301X41%2+1.5GG+2.5
Eastern Lions – Box HillVictoria Premier League 2 · Australia · 24/07 11:451X242%+1.573%GG52%+2.5
Almaz Antey U19 – Lokomotiv Moskva U19Youth Championship · Russia · 24/07 12:001X251%+1.588%GG69%+2.571%
Adelaide Olympic – South Adelaide PanthersSouth Australia State League 1 · Australia · 24/07 12:00178%X2+1.589%GG54%+2.572%
Gyeongju W – Changnyeong WWK-League · South-Korea · 24/07 12:001X236%+1.568%GG+2.5
Hwacheon KSPO W – Boeun Sangmu WWK-League · South-Korea · 24/07 12:00139%X2+1.565%GG+2.5
Seoul W – Gumi Sportstoto WWK-League · South-Korea · 24/07 12:001X239%+1.574%GG54%+2.5
Suwon FMC W – Incheon Red Angels WWK-League · South-Korea · 24/07 12:00144%X2+1.572%GG51%+2.5
Penafiel – LeganesFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 12:001X243%+1.575%GG54%+2.551%
Oakleigh Cannons – South MelbourneVictoria NPL · Australia · 24/07 12:15138%X2+1.585%GG66%+2.565%
Eastern United – Salisbury UnitedSouth Australia State League 1 · Australia · 24/07 12:15156%X2+1.574%GG+2.5
Gimhae City – CheongjuK League 2 · South-Korea · 24/07 12:301X260%+1.581%GG55%+2.559%
Seoul E-Land FC – Cheonan CityK League 2 · South-Korea · 24/07 12:30143%X2+1.583%GG63%+2.562%
Preston Lions – Bentleigh GreensVictoria NPL · Australia · 24/07 12:30 · ☁ 11°158%X2+1.565%GG+2.5
Brunswick City – Western United IIVictoria NPL 2 · Australia · 24/07 12:30150%X2+1.594%GG79%+2.582%
Eltham Redbacks FC – Melbourne SrbijaVictoria NPL 2 · Australia · 24/07 12:30156%X2+1.586%GG64%+2.567%
Essendon Royals SC – Kingston CityVictoria Premier League 2 · Australia · 24/07 12:30166%X2+1.592%GG71%+2.579%
Club Brugge II – OH LeuvenFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 13:00142%X2+1.584%GG64%+2.563%
Cheng Fung – Universidade de MacauPrimeira Divisão · Macao · 24/07 13:00163%X2+1.598%GG86%+2.592%
Swansea – UdineseFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 13:001X248%+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Akademiya Konoplev U20 – Rostov U19Youth Championship · Russia · 24/07 14:00154%X2+1.590%GG72%+2.575%
Nizhny Novgorod U19 – Spartak Moskva U19Youth Championship · Russia · 24/07 14:001X251%+1.586%GG66%+2.567%
Yelimay Semey 2 – Taraz1. Division · Kazakhstan · 24/07 14:001X244%+1.581%GG61%+2.559%
Fleetwood Town – CarlisleFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 14:001X244%+1.593%GG77%+2.580%
Lommel United – ADO Den HaagFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 14:001X254%+1.593%GG76%+2.580%
Obolon'-Brovar – KudrivkaFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 14:00158%X2+1.578%GG52%+2.554%
Sardarapat – ShirakFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 14:001X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Kasımpaşa – Gençlerbirliği S.K.Friendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 14:00137%X2+1.569%GG+2.5
Groningen – FC VolendamFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 14:001X249%+1.591%GG74%+2.576%
VfL Wolfsburg – LyonFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 14:00146%X2+1.595%GG81%+2.584%
Al-Ahli Jeddah – GuimaraesFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 14:001X281%+1.591%GG57%+2.577%
Wörgl – MayrhofenFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 14:001X286%+1.595%GG62%+2.586%
Aktobe Jas – Sport Academy Kairat1. Division · Kazakhstan · 24/07 15:001X252%+1.593%GG77%+2.581%
Shakhter Karagandy – Arys1. Division · Kazakhstan · 24/07 15:00 · ☀ 19°174%X2+1.586%GG53%+2.567%
São Bento U20 – Jabaquara U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 24/07 15:00141%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Racing – Reyady AbaseyaPremier League · Lebanon · 24/07 15:001X264%+1.580%GG52%+2.558%
Gorilla of the Universe – ArtilheirosPrimeira Divisão · Macao · 24/07 15:00164%X2+1.599%GG92%+2.597%
Aral – ShortanPro League A · Uzbekistan · 24/07 15:30146%X2+1.574%GG53%+2.5
Timor-Leste – VietnamASEAN Championship · World · 24/07 15:30163%X2+1.584%GG58%+2.564%
Bars – AsiagoalPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 24/07 15:30175%X2+1.592%GG63%+2.578%
Chertanovo U20 – Zenit U19Youth Championship · Russia · 24/07 16:001X249%+1.589%GG71%+2.572%
CSKA Moskva U19 – Ural U20Youth Championship · Russia · 24/07 16:00157%X2+1.580%GG56%+2.558%
Fakel U19 – Rubin Kazan U20Youth Championship · Russia · 24/07 16:00143%X2+1.590%GG73%+2.574%
BuxDu – Pakhtakor IIPro League A · Uzbekistan · 24/07 16:00140%X2+1.584%GG64%+2.563%
Izberbash – LuganskSecond League – Group 1 · Russia · 24/07 16:00151%X2+1.576%GG53%+2.552%
SC Freiburg – DerbyFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 16:001X241%+1.582%GG62%+2.560%
Tauras – Kauno Žalgiris II1 Lyga · Lithuania · 24/07 16:00169%X2+1.575%GG+2.551%
Amiens – BoulogneFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 16:00136%X2+1.580%GG60%+2.558%
Den Bosch – Lusail CityFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 16:00189%X2+1.597%GG64%+2.590%
Bournemouth – FC St. PauliFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 16:001X267%+1.592%GG70%+2.578%
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk – Dinamo Minsk II1. Division · Belarus · 24/07 16:30 · 🌧 17°141%X2+1.586%GG67%+2.567%
OshMU Aldier – NeftchiPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 24/07 16:30144%X2+1.587%GG69%+2.570%
Muras United – Bishkek CityPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 24/07 16:30151%X2+1.582%GG61%+2.561%
Olimpik-Mobiuz – QiziriqPro League A · Uzbekistan · 24/07 17:00148%X2+1.580%GG59%+2.558%
Turan Turkistan – Tobol 21. Division · Kazakhstan · 24/07 17:00 · ☀ 30°179%X2+1.581%GG+2.559%
Austria Vienna (Am) – Ried IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 17:00155%X2+1.595%GG81%+2.586%
Margveti 2006 – SaburtaloDavid Kipiani Cup · Georgia · 24/07 17:00169%X2+1.590%GG65%+2.575%
Sparta Praha II – Sokol HostouňFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 17:00142%X2+1.581%GG61%+2.559%
Novaci – Kozuv GevgelijaFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 17:00170%X2+1.583%GG52%+2.562%
Tigres UANL U21 – Atl. San Luis U21Liga MX U21 · Mexico · 24/07 17:00143%X2+1.592%GG77%+2.579%
Belasica – BelasitsaFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 17:001X260%+1.567%GG+2.5
Osipovichy – BATE II1. Division · Belarus · 24/07 17:30 · ⛅ 19°1X251%+1.588%GG69%+2.571%
HJS Akatemia – EBKKakkonen – Lohko B · Finland · 24/07 17:30151%X2+1.582%GG61%+2.561%
Uta Arad – OţelulLiga I · Romania · 24/07 17:30 · ☁ 24°1X273%+1.592%GG66%+2.579%
Baník Souš – PísekFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 17:30164%X2+1.595%GG77%+2.584%
FF Jaro – SJKVeikkausliiga · Finland · 24/07 18:00 · ⛅ 16°145%X2+1.577%GG56%+2.553%
FC jazz – TPVYkkönen · Finland · 24/07 18:001X241%+1.580%GG60%+2.558%
Tampere United – Inter Turku IIYkkönen · Finland · 24/07 18:00 · ⛅ 19°164%X2+1.591%GG69%+2.576%
Dinamo Moskva U19 – Dynamo Makhachkala U19Youth Championship · Russia · 24/07 18:00161%X2+1.585%GG61%+2.566%
Rodina Moscow U19 – Krasnodar U19Youth Championship · Russia · 24/07 18:00 · ☁ 19°1X243%+1.594%GG80%+2.583%
NJS – ÅIFKKakkonen – Lohko B · Finland · 24/07 18:001X277%+1.586%GG51%+2.568%
P-Iirot – Ilves IIKakkonen – Lohko B · Finland · 24/07 18:00 · ⛅ 19°145%X2+1.592%GG76%+2.578%
PEPO – PuiU HelsinkiKakkonen – Lohko A · Finland · 24/07 18:00 · ☁ 18°170%X2+1.585%GG54%+2.565%
PPJ – Union PlaaniKakkonen – Lohko A · Finland · 24/07 18:00165%X2+1.586%GG61%+2.568%
Rosenborg – Manchester UnitedFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 18:00 · ⛅ 15°143%X2+1.563%GG+2.5
Šiauliai – Hegelmann LitauenA Lyga · Lithuania · 24/07 18:00139%X2+1.580%GG60%+2.558%
Feignies-Aulnoye – Francs BorainsFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 18:001X242%+1.592%GG76%+2.578%
Le Havre – RED Star FC 93Friendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 18:001X254%+1.576%GG52%+2.552%
Stal Brzeg – Polonia NysaFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 18:00162%X2+1.579%GG51%+2.555%
Gleisdorf 09 – Sturm Graz IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 18:301X245%+1.591%GG74%+2.576%
Wiedenbrück – KaunitzFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 18:30151%X2+1.572%GG+2.5
Hankofen-Hailing – IsmaningOberliga – Bayern Süd · Germany · 24/07 18:301X250%+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Landshut – ErlbachOberliga – Bayern Süd · Germany · 24/07 18:301X243%+1.589%GG71%+2.572%
IF Karlstad – Örebro SyrianskaFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 18:301X242%+1.567%GG+2.5
Vasteras SK FK – Orgryte ISAllsvenskan · Sweden · 24/07 19:00165%X2+1.590%GG66%+2.574%
Gloggnitz – Rapid Wien IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:001X254%+1.597%GG85%+2.589%
Reutlingen – FC 08 HomburgFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:001X255%+1.594%GG78%+2.583%
Heracles – ExcelsiorFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:001X241%+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Mülheim-Kärlich – Eintracht TrierFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:001X271%+1.584%GG52%+2.563%
Gebenbach – Ingolstadt IIOberliga – Bayern Nord · Germany · 24/07 19:00147%X2+1.598%GG88%+2.592%
Kornburg – AmmerthalOberliga – Bayern Nord · Germany · 24/07 19:00142%X2+1.584%GG64%+2.563%
Weiden – ChamOberliga – Bayern Nord · Germany · 24/07 19:001X279%+1.595%GG69%+2.585%
Heimstetten – Sportfreunde SchwaigOberliga – Bayern Süd · Germany · 24/07 19:001X244%+1.589%GG72%+2.573%
1880 Wasserburg – GundelfingenOberliga – Bayern Süd · Germany · 24/07 19:00148%X2+1.579%GG57%+2.555%
Antwerp – Olympiakos PiraeusFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:001X236%+1.562%GG+2.5
Atert Bissen – LiègeFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:001X278%+1.586%GG+2.568%
Orlando Pirates – NEOMFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:001X238%+1.581%GG61%+2.559%
Weiz – Korotan PrevaljeFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:00145%X2+1.587%GG68%+2.569%
SV Frauental – LebringFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:00143%X2+1.585%GG66%+2.565%
Benfica – CF Os BelenensesFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:00154%X2+1.576%GG52%+2.552%
Emmen – TwenteFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:001X264%+1.584%GG57%+2.563%
Nordhorn – VfL OsnabrückFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:00138%X2+1.577%GG57%+2.553%
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen – FC BocholtFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:001X267%+1.590%GG65%+2.574%
York – Al-EttifaqFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:001X263%+1.595%GG79%+2.585%
Nancy – HaguenauFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:30171%X2+1.593%GG69%+2.580%
Osasuna – Racing SantanderFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 19:30136%X2+1.568%GG+2.5
Völsungur – Grindavik1. Deild · Iceland · 24/07 20:00 · ☁ 8°1X248%+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Yate Town – Bristol RoversFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 20:001X248%+1.583%GG62%+2.562%
Aguai U20 – Bandeirante U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 24/07 20:00154%X2+1.561%GG+2.5
Água Santa U20 – Ituano U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 24/07 20:00151%X2+1.585%GG64%+2.565%
Gremio Prudente U20 – XV de Jaú U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 24/07 20:00137%X2+1.584%GG65%+2.564%
Guarani U20 – Tanabi SP U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 24/07 20:00172%X2+1.578%GG+2.554%
Ibrachina U20 – Velo Clube U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 24/07 20:00183%X2+1.588%GG+2.571%
Mauá U20 – Flamengo SP U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 24/07 20:00163%X2+1.578%GG+2.554%
SC Paulinense SP U20 – São Caetano U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 24/07 20:00151%X2+1.574%GG51%+2.5
Ponte Preta U20 – União Suzano U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 24/07 20:00162%X2+1.582%GG56%+2.561%
Portuguesa Santista U20 – Juventus U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 24/07 20:00138%X2+1.586%GG68%+2.568%
Sfera U20 – Osasco Audax U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 24/07 20:00170%X2+1.583%GG52%+2.562%
União São João U20 – EC São Bernardo U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 24/07 20:00144%X2+1.562%GG+2.5
Minas – Estudiantil CNISegunda División · Peru · 24/07 20:00148%X2+1.555%GG+2.5
Galatasaray – MonzaFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 20:00 · ⛅ 19°165%X2+1.599%GG90%+2.596%
Eintracht Braunschweig – SouthamptonFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 20:001X248%+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Atlante U21 – Club America U21Liga MX U21 · Mexico · 24/07 20:001X254%+1.584%GG62%+2.563%
Oxford Sunnyside – Dungannon SwiftsFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 20:151X287%+1.596%GG62%+2.588%
Arda Kardzhali – Slavia SofiaFirst League · Bulgaria · 24/07 20:15139%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Carrick Rangers – Ballymena UnitedFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 20:30151%X2+1.593%GG78%+2.581%
Guiseley AFC – Blackburn Rovers U21Friendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 20:30146%X2+1.572%GG51%+2.5
Arges Pitesti – Petrolul PloiestiLiga I · Romania · 24/07 20:30 · ☁ 16°1X237%+1.579%GG59%+2.557%
Colchester – West Ham United U21Friendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 20:301X259%+1.591%GG71%+2.576%
Raith Rovers – Heart Of MidlothianFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 20:30159%X2+1.586%GG64%+2.568%
Cobh Ramblers – Bray WanderersFirst Division · Ireland · 24/07 20:45 · ☁ 19°145%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Kerry – Finn HarpsFirst Division · Ireland · 24/07 20:45 · ☁ 17°154%X2+1.568%GG+2.5
Treaty United – Athlone TownFirst Division · Ireland · 24/07 20:45147%X2+1.562%GG+2.5
UCD – Cork CityFirst Division · Ireland · 24/07 20:451X236%+1.562%GG+2.5
Derry City W – Larne WPremiership Women · Northern-Ireland · 24/07 20:45 · 🌦 16°164%X2+1.595%GG77%+2.584%
Glentoran BU W – Linfield WPremiership Women · Northern-Ireland · 24/07 20:451X247%+1.599%GG93%+2.596%
Enfield Town – WorthingFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 20:451X277%+1.591%GG60%+2.576%
Hyde United – ChesterFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 20:451X266%+1.580%GG51%+2.558%
Limavady United – LinfieldFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 20:45152%X2+1.577%GG54%+2.553%
Southport – United of ManchesterFriendlies Clubs · World · 24/07 20:451X258%+1.587%GG65%+2.569%
St Patrick's Athl. – DundalkPremier Division · Ireland · 24/07 21:00162%X2+1.580%GG53%+2.558%
El Nacional – Gualaceo SCLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 24/07 21:00 · ⛅ 18°1X39%2+1.5GG+2.5
Lisburn Ladies W – Cliftonville WPremiership Women · Northern-Ireland · 24/07 21:001X291%+1.598%GG63%+2.592%
Crusaders W – Lisburn Ladies WPremiership Women · Northern-Ireland · 24/07 21:001X250%+1.598%GG90%+2.594%
FBC Melgar W – Sporting Cristal WLiga Women · Peru · 24/07 21:00 · ☀ 21°145%X2+1.577%GG56%+2.553%
Ballard – Ventura County FusionUSL League Two · USA · 24/07 21:00147%X2+1.592%GG77%+2.579%
Njardvik – HK Kopavogur1. Deild · Iceland · 24/07 21:15 · ☀ 13°159%X2+1.588%GG67%+2.571%
Fjolnir – Haukar2. Deild · Iceland · 24/07 21:15143%X2+1.591%GG75%+2.576%
Gimnasia M. – Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 24/07 21:45 · ⛅ 12°154%X2+1.555%GG+2.5
Vikingur Reykjavik – KeflavikÚrvalsdeild · Iceland · 24/07 22:00172%X2+1.591%GG65%+2.577%
Hvíti riddarinn – Kári2. Deild · Iceland · 24/07 22:001X245%+1.593%GG78%+2.580%
Alianza Atletico – Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División · Peru · 24/07 22:00151%X2+1.568%GG+2.5
Comerciantes – Alianza UniversidadSegunda División · Peru · 24/07 22:15 · 🌦 26°140%X2+1.561%GG+2.5
Independiente Medellín W – Atlético Nacional WLiga Femenina · Colombia · 24/07 22:30155%X2+1.573%GG+2.5
Quindio – PopayanPrimera B · Colombia · 24/07 23:05 · 🌦 20°146%X2+1.566%GG+2.5
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors – Atletico FCLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 24/07 23:30145%X2+1.561%GG+2.5

*Odds correct as of date published, prices subject to change, check 1XBET for actual odds.

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mathematical football prediction

What Mathematical Football Prediction Actually Means

People hear “mathematical model” and picture a black box that spits out winners. The reality is more boring. A decent model takes every match a team has played, weighs the quality of their opponents, adjusts for home advantage, and then estimates a probability for each scoreline. Poisson distributions, Elo-style ratings, and xG (expected goals) are the three building blocks most public models use.

The model doesn’t care about your favourite club. That’s its main advantage. The variables that matter most in my own workflow:

  • Expected goals for and against, ideally over the last 8 to 12 matches
  • Goalkeeper status (a backup keeper can swing the line by 0.3 goals)
  • Travel and rest days, especially in midweek European fixtures
  • Referee tendencies for cards and penalty calls
  • Weather, but only for under/over markets in winter rounds

None of these guarantee a win. They shift probabilities, and probabilities are all you have when you’re betting.

Spotting Must-Win Teams Today

What makes a team a “must-win”?

A must-win isn’t just the favourite. It’s a team where the situation, the form and the opponent line up. Think Bayern at home against a newly promoted side in October. Or Real Madrid hosting a mid-table La Liga club the weekend before a Champions League knockout, where the bookies still price them at short odds and the model agrees.

The four things I check before calling a side a genuine must-win:

  • Form: at least 4 wins in their last 6, ideally with clean sheets
  • Opposition trouble: missing a key defender, on a bad run, or just travelled across Europe
  • Home record: many teams are completely different sides at home, and the gap is bigger than people think
  • Motivation: title race, top-four push, or a derby that the squad won’t take lightly

How to use must-win picks without blowing your bankroll

The mistake I made for years was stacking five “must-wins” into an accumulator. One late equaliser kills the slip every single time. What works better:

Singles on the highest-confidence pick of the day. Boring, but the maths is on your side. Two-fold accas when two picks each clear 70% in the model, which gives roughly 50% combined and decent returns at the typical 1.40-1.60 acca price. Asian handicap -1 if the favourite is too short for a straight win but the model expects a comfortable scoreline. I almost never touch 4+ accumulators on must-wins. The variance eats you alive.

Daily picks, not daily nonsense

Every day at Forwins we publish the matches our model rates highest, with the probability for each market shown next to the tip. If the number is below 70% on a 1X2 pick, we don’t post it. If you only see two or three matches on a quiet Tuesday, that’s the point.

⚠️ Bet responsibly. Stake what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, stop.

Over 2.5 Predictions: What Most People Get Wrong

Over 2.5 means three or more goals in the match. Simple market, simple rule. The bit people miss is that “both teams score a lot” doesn’t automatically mean over 2.5 hits. You need pace and chance creation, not just two leaky defences.

A useful rule of thumb: if the combined xG for the fixture sits above 2.8 and neither side has parked the bus in their last five league games, over 2.5 is usually live. Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart games in 2024-25 are the textbook example. Two attacking sides, both pressing high, with combined goal totals north of 3 in most weeks.

Where it goes wrong:

  • Big derbies. Tactically tight, lots of yellow cards, fewer chances than the season average suggests
  • Wet pitches and December rounds in Northern Europe
  • Sides that have just played a Europa or Champions League midweek game and rotated

The Draw: Underrated and Often Mispriced

Most casual bettors never touch the X. That’s exactly why there’s value in it. Draws are statistically the rarest of the three 1X2 outcomes in most leagues (around 24-28% in the top five European leagues), but when the model and the situation point to one, the typical 3.20-3.60 price is generous.

Where draws cluster:

  • Teams within 2-3 points of each other in the table
  • Matches between defensive sides with low xG totals (think Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad)
  • End-of-season fixtures where both teams are already safe

Serie A produces more draws than any other top league, year after year. Italian football is built around defensive shape, and that shows in the scorelines. If you want to specialise in draws, start there.

Weekend Picks: Where the Real Volume Is

Saturdays and Sundays carry the bulk of the betting calendar. Premier League and La Liga slates on the same day, plus Serie A and Bundesliga, plus the smaller leagues. There’s too much football to bet on every match, and trying is the fastest way to lose a bankroll.

My weekend filter is simple. I rank every match by model confidence, throw out anything below 70%, and look for two or three plays where the bookie line and my model disagree by more than 5 percentage points. Those are the value bets. A “lock” at 1.20 with a true 90% chance is fine, but you make real money when the line is wrong, not when it’s right.

Can You Really Get 90% Accurate Predictions?

The honest version is less exciting: it holds up on safe markets across a short run of bets, and falls apart the moment you want better odds.

Over 1.5 goals in Bundesliga matches hits around 88% historically. Double chance on a heavy home favourite against a bottom-table side hits 90%+. But those are 1.10-1.25 odds. To grow a bankroll meaningfully on those, you’d need huge stakes, and a single 10% loss wipes out many wins.

Anyone selling you “90% accurate predictions” at decent odds is either cherry-picking past results or selling you a dream. The honest target for a profitable bettor is 55-58% on near-evens lines. That’s the level where compounding actually works.

Football Prediction for Tomorrow: Plan, Don’t React

The biggest edge you can get isn’t a better model. It’s earlier lines. Bookmaker odds the day before a match are softer than the same lines an hour before kick-off, because the market hasn’t adjusted to the late money yet. If your model fancies the away team and the price is 2.80 today, it’s likely closer to 2.50 by Saturday morning.

That’s why we publish next-day previews every evening at Forwins. Read them, check the team news the morning of the match, and place early when the value is still there.

BTTS Tips: When Both Teams Actually Score

BTTS is a strange market. It looks like a coin flip, but the long-term hit rate across the top leagues sits around 52-54%. The model edge is small, which means the bookmaker margin matters more here than on most markets. Always shop the line.

BTTS tends to hit in matches where:

  • Both teams have scored in 4+ of their last 6 matches
  • Neither side has a stand-out goalkeeper
  • The favourite likes to attack rather than sit on a 1-0

Bundesliga is the BTTS league. La Liga and Ligue 1 are the worst for it, because the bottom-half teams often struggle to score at all.

Predictions for Nigerian Bettors

Nigeria has one of the most active football betting communities in Africa, and the markets popular with Nigerian bettors aren’t always the ones I’d default to. Multi-bets on weekend EPL games are everywhere. So is interest in the NPFL, where pricing is wider because fewer models cover the league.

If you bet from Nigeria, the same rules apply: stick to leagues you can actually follow, avoid huge accumulators no matter how tempting the payout looks, and shop for the best line. We cover the main European leagues plus selected NPFL fixtures.

The Short Version

A model gives you probabilities. You compare them to the bookie’s price. When your number is meaningfully higher, you bet. When it isn’t, you skip. That’s the entire job.

Everything else, including how many picks we post each day, which leagues we cover, and which markets we trust, follows from that idea. We publish daily previews for the top leagues, plus weekend round-ups every Friday. Take what’s useful, ignore what isn’t.

FAQ: Football Predictions & Betting

What are mathematical football predictions?

Mathematical football predictions are forecasts built from statistical models rather than gut feeling. They combine recent form, expected goals, head-to-head data, lineup news, and home advantage to produce a probability for each outcome. Think of it as a forecast rather than a guarantee. It gives you the likelihood of each result and a sense of how far to trust that number.

How do you predict draws in football?

Look for matches between teams of similar quality (within a few points in the table), low combined xG, and defensive styles. Serie A produces the most draws of any top European league. Atletico-style sides that prioritise structure over attacking risk are also reliable draw candidates, especially when they meet each other.

What does Over 2.5 mean in football betting?

Over 2.5 means betting that the match will end with three or more goals. Final scores of 2-1, 3-0, 3-2, 4-1 all win. A 2-0, 1-1 or 0-0 loses. It’s one of the most popular goal markets because the line cuts cleanly through the most common scorelines.

How do I find value bets?

A value bet is one where your estimated probability is higher than what the bookmaker’s odds imply. If you think a team has a 60% chance to win and the price is 1.90 (implied probability 52.6%), that’s value. Finding these consistently requires a method for estimating probability that isn’t just based on which team you like.

Are weekend predictions different from weekday ones?

The method is the same, but weekends have far more matches, so the filter has to be tighter. With 20+ games across the top leagues on a Saturday, you can afford to skip 90% of them and only bet the ones where the model edge is clear. Weekday matches often have softer lines because the market is thinner.

Can football predictions really be 90% accurate?

Only on safe markets like Over 1.5 in attacking leagues or double chance on heavy favourites, where odds are too short to grow a bankroll meaningfully. On more useful markets like 1X2 picks at 1.80-2.20, a sustainable hit rate sits in the 55-60% range. Anyone claiming 90% accuracy at decent odds is cherry-picking results.

Are your football predictions free?

Yes. All daily picks, weekend previews, and analysis on Forwins.com are free. We publish full reasoning alongside each tip so you can judge whether the logic holds, rather than just copying the bet blindly.

Do you cover Nigerian football?

We cover selected NPFL fixtures and any international matches involving Nigerian teams. The bulk of our daily output is the top European leagues, since that’s where the lines are sharpest and our data is most reliable.

What’s the best market for beginners?

Double chance (1X or X2) is the gentlest starting point. You’re covering two outcomes out of three, so the hit rate is naturally high, and it forces you to think about which outcome you’re ruling out rather than which one you’re picking. Once you’re comfortable, move to 1X2 and over/under markets.