Mathematical Football Prediction: A Bettor’s Honest Guide
I’ve been betting on football for over a decade, and the single biggest shift in how I pick matches happened the day I stopped trusting my gut and started running the numbers. Mathematical football prediction isn’t magic. It’s just discipline plus data: expected goals, recent form, schedule congestion, lineup news. When you stack those properly, you spot value the casual bettor misses.
This guide is built around what actually works for me on a Saturday afternoon across the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A and Bundesliga. No fluff, no 100%-guaranteed nonsense.
World Cup 2026 — Match Predictions
| Match | 1 | X | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA – Belgium 1–4World Cup · Round of 16 · 07/07 00:00 · ☀ 25° | 1 | X | 2✓ 54% @2.75 | +1.5✓ 89% @1.26 | GG✓ 70% @1.57 | +2.5✓ 73% @1.77 |
| Argentina – Egypt 3–2World Cup · Round of 16 · 07/07 16:00 · ☀ 32° | 1✓ 89% @1.44 | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 70% @1.34 | GG | +2.5 |
| Switzerland – Colombia 0–0World Cup · Round of 16 · 07/07 20:00 · ☀ 24° | 1 | X | 2✗ 55% @2.37 | +1.5✗ 61% @1.47 | GG | +2.5 |
| France – MoroccoWorld Cup · Quarter-finals · 09/07 20:00 · ☁ 29° | 173% @1.65 | X | 2 | +1.555% @1.34 | GG | +2.5 |
| Match | 1 | X | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo SP – Avai 3–1Serie B · Brazil · 07/07 00:00 · ☀ 23° | 1✓ 47% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 73% | GG✓ 51% | +2.5 |
| Vila Nova – São Bernardo 2–1Serie B · Brazil · 07/07 00:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 37% | +1.5✓ 79% | GG✓ 59% | +2.5✓ 57% |
| Lorain County Leviathan – Erie Sports Center 5–0USL League Two · USA · 07/07 00:00 | 1✓ 76% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✗ 67% | +2.5✓ 81% |
| Brusque – Figueirense 3–1Serie C · Brazil · 07/07 00:00 · 🌦 16° | 1✓ 47% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 59% | GG | +2.5 |
| Benjamín Aceval – Deportivo Capiata 1–1Division Intermedia · Paraguay · 07/07 00:00 | 1✗ 49% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 54% | GG | +2.5 |
| Kings Hammer Columbus – Dayton Dutch Lions 2–1USL League Two · USA · 07/07 01:00 | 1✓ 65% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 81% | GG✓ 52% | +2.5✓ 59% |
| Black Rock – Seacoast United Phantoms 3–3USL League Two · USA · 07/07 01:00 | 1✗ 38% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✓ 71% | +2.5✓ 71% |
| Colo Colo – Recoleta 2–2Copa Chile · Chile · 07/07 01:30 | 1✗ 43% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 89% | GG✓ 71% | +2.5✓ 72% |
| Concepción – Deportes Temuco 2–0Copa Chile · Chile · 07/07 01:30 | 1✓ 59% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 86% | GG✗ 64% | +2.5✗ 68% |
| Orense SC – Tecnico Universitario 1–2Liga Pro · Ecuador · 07/07 02:00 | 1✗ 40% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 63% | GG | +2.5 |
| Amazonas – AO Itabaiana 0–2Serie C · Brazil · 07/07 02:00 · ☀ 27° | 1✗ 49% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 59% | GG | +2.5 |
| USA – Belgium 1–4World Cup · World · 07/07 02:00 · ☀ 25° | 1 | X | 2✓ 55% | +1.5✓ 94% | GG✓ 78% | +2.5✓ 83% |
| Lonestar – Hill Country Lobos 4–4USL League Two · USA · 07/07 02:30 | 1✗ 53% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✓ 69% | +2.5✓ 71% |
| Stars FC – Tucson 0–1USL League Two · USA · 07/07 04:30 | 1✗ 56% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 82% | GG✗ 59% | +2.5✗ 61% |
| Bourneview Mill – Portadown 2–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 10:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 52% | +1.5✓ 87% | GG✓ 68% | +2.5✓ 70% |
| Podbeskidzie – Baník Ostrava II 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 11:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 54% | +1.5✓ 91% | GG✓ 73% | +2.5✓ 77% |
| Karviná – Zemplín Michalovce 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 11:00 | 1✓ 72% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✓ 59% | +2.5✓ 71% |
| Hvidovre – Fremad Amager 3–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 11:00 | 1✓ 34% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 65% | GG | +2.5 |
| Hwacheon KSPO W – Suwon FMC W 1–2WK-League · South-Korea · 07/07 12:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 50% | +1.5✓ 79% | GG✓ 56% | +2.5✓ 55% |
| Drukpa – Thimphu 1–2Premier League · Bhutan · 07/07 14:00 | 1✗ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 72% | GG✓ 52% | +2.5 |
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – AS Trencin 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 40% | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✓ 63% | +2.5✗ 61% |
| CFR 1907 Cluj – FC Noah 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1✗ 37% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 76% | GG✓ 56% | +2.5✗ 52% |
| Fakel – FC Rostov 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1✓ 73% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 96% | GG✓ 77% | +2.5✓ 88% |
| Hannover 96 – Phönix Lübeck 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 46% | +1.5✓ 90% | GG✓ 73% | +2.5✓ 75% |
| SV Horn – Floridsdorfer AC 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 52% | +1.5✗ 84% | GG✗ 63% | +2.5✗ 64% |
| Septemvri Sofia – Hebar 1918Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 256% | +1.582% | GG59% | +2.561% |
| FC Viktoria Köln – TSV Steinbach 5–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1✓ 71% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 94% | GG✗ 72% | +2.5✓ 83% |
| Yantra 2019 – Spartak Pleven 0–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1✗ 59% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 66% | GG | +2.5 |
| Buxton – SC Braga 1–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1✗ 42% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 73% | GG✓ 52% | +2.5 |
| Dynamo – FC Orenburg 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 47% | +1.5✓ 75% | GG✓ 53% | +2.5✓ 51% |
| Brinje-Grosuplje – Uta AradFriendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 268% | +1.589% | GG63% | +2.572% |
| Legia Warszawa – Hapoel Beer Sheva 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1✓ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 89% | GG✓ 72% | +2.5✓ 72% |
| Radnicki 1923 – Buducnost Podgorica 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1✓ 57% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 69% | GG | +2.5 |
| Železničar Pančevo – CSKA 1948 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1✗ 47% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 69% | GG | +2.5 |
| Arda Kardzhali – Beitar Jerusalem 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1✗ 56% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 82% | GG✗ 59% | +2.5✗ 61% |
| Dinamo Makhachkala – Gimnasia L.P. 1–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1✗ 63% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 67% | GG | +2.5 |
| Obolon'-Brovar – Lokomotiv Kyiv 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 14:00 | 1✗ 44% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 74% | GG✗ 53% | +2.5 |
| VVV Venlo – Bochum II 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 49% | +1.5✓ 98% | GG✓ 90% | +2.5✓ 94% |
| Spain U19 W – Sweden U19 W 3–0UEFA U19 Championship – Women · World · 07/07 16:00 · ☀ 31° | 1✓ 48% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 86% | GG✗ 67% | +2.5✓ 68% |
| Kara-Balta – Talant 0–0Premier League · Kyrgyzstan · 07/07 16:30 | 1 | X | 2✗ 56% | +1.5✗ 70% | GG | +2.5 |
| Neftchi – OshMU Aldier 0–2Premier League · Kyrgyzstan · 07/07 16:30 | 1 | X | 2✓ 40% | +1.5✓ 63% | GG | +2.5 |
| Prostějov – Frýdek-MístekFriendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 17:00 | 193% | X | 2 | +1.598% | GG63% | +2.594% |
| JBK – Kraft 4–2Kakkonen – Lohko C · Finland · 07/07 17:30 · ⛅ 13° | 1 | X | 2✗ 41% | +1.5✓ 94% | GG✓ 80% | +2.5✓ 83% |
| Plzen – FC Copenhagen 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 18:00 | 1✗ 65% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✓ 73% | +2.5✗ 81% |
| Grazer AK – First Vienna 2–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 18:00 | 1✗ 38% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✓ 63% | +2.5✓ 61% |
| Memmingen – FC Lugano 0–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 18:00 | 1✗ 65% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 95% | GG✗ 78% | +2.5✓ 86% |
| Považská Bystrica – PopradFriendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 18:00 | 157% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG71% | +2.575% |
| Roskilde – AB Copenhagen 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 18:00 | 1✗ 52% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 86% | GG✓ 66% | +2.5✗ 68% |
| Spišská Nová Ves – Liptovský Mikuláš 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 46% | +1.5✓ 92% | GG✓ 76% | +2.5✓ 78% |
| Garrel – VfB Oldenburg 0–7Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 62% | +1.5✓ 92% | GG✗ 71% | +2.5✓ 78% |
| Novi Pazar – ZemunFriendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 18:00 | 138% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG59% | +2.555% |
| PAOK – AEK Larnaca 3–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 18:00 | 1✓ 64% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 89% | GG✓ 65% | +2.5✓ 72% |
| Argentina – Egypt 3–2World Cup · World · 07/07 18:00 · ☀ 32° | 1✓ 51% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 81% | GG✓ 59% | +2.5✓ 59% |
| Gundelfingen – Augsburg II 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 2✗ 87% | +1.5✓ 99% | GG✓ 79% | +2.5✗ 96% |
| Dietkirchen – FSV Frankfurt 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 2✓ 58% | +1.5✓ 85% | GG✗ 62% | +2.5✓ 65% |
| Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz – Dornbirn 4–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 2✗ 58% | +1.5✓ 98% | GG✗ 89% | +2.5✓ 94% |
| Shelbourne – Celtic 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 19:00 | 1✗ 63% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 84% | GG✓ 58% | +2.5✗ 64% |
| Weiche Flensburg – Rotenhof 6–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 19:00 | 1✓ 63% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 84% | GG✓ 58% | +2.5✓ 64% |
| VOC – Sparta Rotterdam 0–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 19:30 | 1 | X | 2✓ 66% | +1.5✓ 95% | GG✗ 78% | +2.5✓ 86% |
| Gemert – Helmond Sport 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 19:30 | 1✗ 66% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✓ 53% | +2.5✗ 60% |
| Uni Souza – Barra Mansa 0–0Carioca C · Brazil · 07/07 19:45 | 1✗ 40% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 61% | GG | +2.5 |
| Athletico PR U17 – Botafogo U17 4–2Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 07/07 20:00 | 1✓ 67% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 79% | GG | +2.5✓ 57% |
| Corinthians U17 – Palmeiras U17 3–1Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 07/07 20:00 | 1✓ 55% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 96% | GG✓ 84% | +2.5✓ 89% |
| Cruzeiro U17 – Internacional U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 07/07 20:00 | 169% | X | 2 | +1.586% | GG58% | +2.568% |
| Fortaleza U17 – Atlético Mineiro U17 1–1Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 07/07 20:00 | 1✗ 56% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 90% | GG✓ 70% | +2.5✗ 74% |
| Juventude U17 – Santos U17 0–0Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 07/07 20:00 | 1✗ 43% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 80% | GG✗ 60% | +2.5✗ 58% |
| Vasco U17 – Fluminense U17 1–1Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 07/07 20:00 | 1✗ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 78% | GG✓ 58% | +2.5✗ 54% |
| Gremio Prudente U20 – Água Santa U20 1–3Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 07/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 47% | +1.5✓ 84% | GG✓ 63% | +2.5✓ 63% |
| Cove Rangers – Inverness CT 1–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 50% | +1.5✓ 85% | GG✓ 65% | +2.5✓ 66% |
| Germany U19 W – Austria U19 W 1–0UEFA U19 Championship – Women · World · 07/07 20:00 · ⛅ 19° | 1✓ 68% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 74% | GG | +2.5 |
| Airdrie United – Falkirk 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 20:30 | 1✗ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 67% | GG | +2.5 |
| Colwyn Bay – Rhyl 3–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 20:30 | 1✓ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 91% | GG✓ 75% | +2.5✓ 76% |
| Lossiemouth – Nairn CountyFriendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 20:30 | 178% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG56% | +2.574% |
| Darvel – Ayr UtdFriendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 20:30 | 1 | X | 263% | +1.578% | GG | +2.554% |
| Limavady United – Coleraine FC 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 20:30 | 1✗ 69% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 86% | GG✗ 58% | +2.5✗ 68% |
| Aveley – Folkestone Invicta 3–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 2✗ 66% | +1.5✓ 95% | GG✓ 78% | +2.5✓ 86% |
| Dartford – Ebbsfleet United 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 20:45 | 1✓ 45% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 71% | GG | +2.5 |
| East Kilbride – Celtic IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 20:45 | 180% | X | 2 | +1.595% | GG66% | +2.584% |
| Forfar Athletic – Peterhead 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 2✓ 77% | +1.5✓ 85% | GG | +2.5✓ 66% |
| Ashford Town (Middlesex) – Farnborough 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 2✓ 58% | +1.5✗ 85% | GG✗ 62% | +2.5✗ 65% |
| Barry Town – Goytre AFC 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 20:45 | 1✓ 52% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 77% | GG✓ 54% | +2.5✓ 53% |
| Vale of Leithen – Gala Fairydean Rovers 0–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 2✓ 43% | +1.5✓ 80% | GG✗ 60% | +2.5✓ 58% |
| Bedford Town – Aldershot Town 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 2✗ 41% | +1.5✗ 82% | GG✗ 62% | +2.5✗ 60% |
| Turriff United – Aberdeen U21 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 21:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 64% | +1.5✓ 95% | GG✓ 78% | +2.5✗ 85% |
| Atletico San Luis – Sporting San Jose 4–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 07/07 22:00 | 1✓ 75% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✗ 56% | +2.5✓ 71% |
| Switzerland – Colombia 0–0World Cup · World · 07/07 22:00 · ☀ 24° | 1✗ 38% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 88% | GG✗ 71% | +2.5✗ 71% |
| West Virginia Alliance – Louisville City II 3–1USL League Two · USA · 08/07 00:00 | 1✓ 50% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 80% | GG✓ 58% | +2.5✓ 58% |
| Atlético Tembetary – Independiente F.b.c. 2–2Division Intermedia · Paraguay · 08/07 00:00 | 1✗ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 83% | GG✓ 64% | +2.5✓ 62% |
| Athletic Club – Operario-PR 0–1Serie B · Brazil · 08/07 01:00 · ⛅ 25° | 1✗ 37% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 61% | GG | +2.5 |
| SF Glens – Almaden 0–2USL League Two · USA · 08/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 40% | +1.5✓ 66% | GG | +2.5 |
| AC Connecticut – Western Mass Pioneers 0–2USL League Two · USA · 08/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 56% | +1.5✓ 90% | GG✗ 70% | +2.5✗ 74% |
| Akron City – Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2 4–0USL League Two · USA · 08/07 01:00 | 1✓ 42% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 87% | GG✗ 70% | +2.5✓ 70% |
| New England FC – Boston City 4–2USL League Two · USA · 08/07 01:00 | 1✓ 72% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 95% | GG✓ 75% | +2.5✓ 86% |
| Union Macomb – AFC Ann Arbor 2–2USL League Two · USA · 08/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 46% | +1.5✓ 97% | GG✓ 86% | +2.5✓ 90% |
| Vermont Green – Connecticut Rush 6–2USL League Two · USA · 08/07 01:00 | 1✓ 79% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 95% | GG✓ 68% | +2.5✓ 84% |
| Hudson Valley Hammers – FC Motown II 0–5USL League Two · USA · 08/07 01:45 | 1 | X | 2✓ 50% | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✗ 70% | +2.5✓ 71% |
| Aucas – Guayaquil City FC 1–0Liga Pro · Ecuador · 08/07 02:00 · ⛅ 13° | 1✓ 47% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 69% | GG | +2.5 |
| Springfield – Des Moines Menace 2–4USL League Two · USA · 08/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 52% | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✓ 59% | +2.5✓ 60% |
| Sunflower State – Peoria 1–3USL League Two · USA · 08/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 64% | +1.5✓ 90% | GG✓ 67% | +2.5✓ 75% |
| Texoma – Denton Diablos 3–2USL League Two · USA · 08/07 02:00 | 1✓ 46% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 87% | GG✓ 69% | +2.5✓ 70% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II – Ventura County 3–2MLS Next Pro · USA · 08/07 03:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 42% | +1.5✓ 84% | GG✓ 64% | +2.5✓ 63% |
| Real Colorado Foxes – Albion Colorado 2–3USL League Two · USA · 08/07 03:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 64% | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✓ 73% | +2.5✓ 80% |
| Colorado Storm – Unión Villa KrauseUSL League Two · USA · 08/07 03:30 | 165% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG55% | +2.561% |
| The Town – Sporting KC II 6–1MLS Next Pro · USA · 08/07 04:00 | 1✓ 68% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 92% | GG✓ 68% | +2.5✓ 78% |
| Tacoma Stars – Midlakes United 2–1USL League Two · USA · 08/07 04:00 | 1✓ 63% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 86% | GG✓ 62% | +2.5✓ 68% |
| Xi'an Ronghai – Dalian KeweiLeague Two · China · 08/07 10:00 · ⛅ 34° | 139% | X | 2 | +1.562% | GG | +2.5 |
| Teplice – TáborskoFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 11:00 | 138% | X | 2 | +1.573% | GG53% | +2.5 |
| Zaglebie Lubin – Baník OstravaFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 11:00 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG69% | +2.569% |
| Servette FC – Stade Lausanne-OuchyFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 11:00 | 148% | X | 2 | +1.586% | GG67% | +2.568% |
| Zlin – Hapoel Tel AvivFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 11:00 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.573% | GG53% | +2.5 |
| Budapest Honved – SoroksarFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 11:00 | 1 | X | 263% | +1.593% | GG73% | +2.580% |
| Schalke 04 II – Preußen Münster IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 11:00 | 161% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG83% | +2.589% |
| Paro – TensungPremier League · Bhutan · 08/07 12:00 | 179% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG61% | +2.578% |
| Aalborg – Randers FCFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 12:00 | 145% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG70% | +2.571% |
| Aarhus Fremad – SilkeborgFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 12:00 | 1 | X | 248% | +1.597% | GG87% | +2.591% |
| Langfang Glory City – Jiangxi LianshengLeague Two · China · 08/07 13:30 · ☁ 28° | 1 | X35% | 2 | +1.558% | GG | +2.5 |
| FC Basel 1893 – Yverdon SportFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 258% | +1.598% | GG89% | +2.594% |
| Nyiregyhaza – Cigand SEFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 263% | +1.579% | GG52% | +2.557% |
| Piast Gliwice – Miedz LegnicaFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 164% | X | 2 | +1.572% | GG | +2.5 |
| Górnik Łęczna – Hetman ZamoscFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG59% | +2.560% |
| Zulte Waregem – Raków CzęstochowaFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG71% | +2.572% |
| Celje – MTK BudapestFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 249% | +1.579% | GG58% | +2.557% |
| Cherno More Varna – DobrudzhaFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X41% | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| Chojniczanka Chojnice – Polonia ŚrodaFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 143% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG71% | +2.572% |
| Genk – SK BeverenFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 264% | +1.599% | GG92% | +2.597% |
| Hannover 96 II – BSG Chemie LeipzigFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 171% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG77% | +2.588% |
| FK Jablonec – PafosFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG68% | +2.569% |
| Pogon Szczecin – Chrobry GłogówFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 163% | X | 2 | +1.595% | GG79% | +2.585% |
| Rilski Sportist – Lokomotiv PlovdivFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 250% | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| Slovácko – Zorya LuhanskFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 242% | +1.588% | GG71% | +2.571% |
| Sturm Graz – KalsdorfFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 145% | X | 2 | +1.595% | GG83% | +2.586% |
| Tychy 71 – Sparta KatowiceFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 263% | +1.593% | GG73% | +2.580% |
| Vasas – Kisvarda FCFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 175% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG | +2.563% |
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz – Lechia Zielona GóraFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 160% | X | 2 | +1.567% | GG | +2.5 |
| Kolding IF – Vendsyssel FFFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 142% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG64% | +2.563% |
| NEC Nijmegen – MSV DuisburgFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.572% | GG51% | +2.5 |
| Spartak Varna – NesebarFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 145% | X | 2 | +1.561% | GG | +2.5 |
| Oleksandria – InhuletsFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 158% | X | 2 | +1.586% | GG63% | +2.567% |
| Świt Skolwin – Kluczevia StargardFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.583% | GG63% | +2.562% |
| SV Babelsberg 03 – Hamburger SV IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:30 | 161% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG83% | +2.589% |
| FC Gutersloh – Arminia BielefeldFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 15:00 | 1 | X | 276% | +1.5100% | GG91% | +2.598% |
| Anjos do Céu U20 – Alianca U20Cearense U20 · Brazil · 08/07 15:00 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.583% | GG59% | +2.562% |
| Tanzania Prisons – Mbeya CityLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 08/07 15:00 · 🌦 18° | 134% | X | 2 | +1.567% | GG | +2.5 |
| Denmark U19 – Italy U19UEFA U19 Championship · World · 08/07 15:00 · ☀ 26° | 1 | X | 236% | +1.562% | GG | +2.5 |
| Ilbirs – OzgonPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 08/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 246% | +1.576% | GG55% | +2.552% |
| Alay – ToktogulPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 08/07 16:00 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Asiagoal – BarsPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 08/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 239% | +1.574% | GG54% | +2.5 |
| Asia Talas – Abdish-Ata 4–0Premier League · Kyrgyzstan · 08/07 16:00 | 1✓ 43% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 89% | GG✗ 71% | +2.5✓ 72% |
| Bishkek City – Muras UnitedPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 08/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 254% | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| Farul Constanta – Cherno More VarnaFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 272% | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Alga – Dordoi BishkekPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 08/07 16:30 | 150% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG55% | +2.553% |
| Maccabi Haifa – PaksFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:00 | 1 | X | 275% | +1.593% | GG67% | +2.581% |
| Opava – Unie HlubinaFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:00 | 145% | X | 2 | +1.586% | GG67% | +2.567% |
| Komárno – Lokomotíva ZvolenFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:00 | 157% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG74% | +2.578% |
| Lipany – HumennéFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:00 | 1 | X | 271% | +1.594% | GG72% | +2.583% |
| TSV Hartberg – Zbrojovka BrnoFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:00 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG67% | +2.569% |
| Žilina II – TřinecFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:00 | 141% | X | 2 | +1.572% | GG51% | +2.5 |
| Jaro 2 – SJK-junioritKakkonen – Lohko C · Finland · 08/07 17:30 · ⛅ 13° | 161% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG69% | +2.575% |
| FSV Zwickau – Greuther Fürth IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:30 | 168% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG73% | +2.582% |
| Rapid – FK KošiceFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:30 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG71% | +2.571% |
| NK Slaven Belupo – CsikszeredaFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:30 | 148% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG64% | +2.564% |
| Słowianin – Karkonosze Jelenia GóraFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:30 | 1 | X | 245% | +1.588% | GG70% | +2.571% |
| Spain U19 – Croatia U19UEFA U19 Championship · World · 08/07 17:30 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.595% | GG81% | +2.584% |
| Austria Vienna – Dunajska StredaFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.567% | GG | +2.5 |
| Karlsruhe II – FC 08 HomburgFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 257% | +1.590% | GG71% | +2.575% |
| Raków Częstochowa – Olympiakos PiraeusFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 157% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG54% | +2.555% |
| Eintracht Braunschw. II – SchöningenFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG77% | +2.580% |
| Germania Ober-Roden – Kickers OffenbachFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 249% | +1.586% | GG66% | +2.567% |
| Eltersdorf – SpVgg Greuther FürthFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 262% | +1.582% | GG56% | +2.561% |
| Siedenbollentin – Greifswalder FCFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 258% | +1.594% | GG77% | +2.583% |
| Zenit – NeftchiFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 164% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG54% | +2.560% |
| FC Lok Stendal – BFC DynamoFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.582% | GG62% | +2.561% |
| Anker Wismar – Hansa RostockFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 285% | +1.595% | GG62% | +2.585% |
| Aubel – Standard LiegeFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 275% | +1.593% | GG67% | +2.581% |
| Erzgebirge Aue – VfL HalleFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:30 | 187% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG62% | +2.588% |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – CFR PforzheimFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:30 | 166% | X | 2 | +1.597% | GG84% | +2.591% |
| Altglienicke – Union KlosterfeldeFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:30 | 161% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG81% | +2.588% |
| Lichtenberg – Hertha BSCFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 291% | +1.599% | GG71% | +2.595% |
| Luckenwalde – Optik RathenowFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:30 | 187% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG51% | +2.580% |
| Kornburg – 1. FC NürnbergFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 264% | +1.595% | GG78% | +2.585% |
| NAC Breda – FC EindhovenFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 136% | X | 2 | +1.568% | GG | +2.5 |
| GO Ahead Eagles – Almere City FCFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG71% | +2.576% |
| ASC Dortmund – Borussia Dortmund IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG79% | +2.581% |
| Bersenbrück – HSC HannoverFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 258% | +1.596% | GG82% | +2.588% |
| Heracles – GroningenFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 168% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG65% | +2.575% |
| Tasmania Berlin – Reinickendorfer FuchseFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 245% | +1.573% | GG52% | +2.5 |
| Wiedenbrück – HiltrupFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 241% | +1.562% | GG | +2.5 |
| Admira Wacker – FenerbahçeFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:30 · ⛅ 22° | 1 | X | 239% | +1.574% | GG54% | +2.5 |
| SC St. Tönis – Fortuna DüsseldorfFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:30 | 1 | X | 276% | +1.590% | GG58% | +2.574% |
| Spartak Moscow – RubinFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:30 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG55% | +2.552% |
| America MG U17 – Atletico GO U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 168% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG70% | +2.579% |
| Bahia U17 – Gremio U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.565% | GG | +2.5 |
| Flamengo RJ U17 – Vitoria U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.578% | GG58% | +2.554% |
| Sao Paulo U17 – RB Bragantino U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 256% | +1.582% | GG59% | +2.561% |
| Ezeiza – Control OrientadoTorneo Promocional Amateur · Argentina · 08/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 252% | +1.567% | GG | +2.5 |
| Athletico PR U20 – RB Bragantino U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 238% | +1.585% | GG66% | +2.565% |
| Corinthians U20 – Palmeiras U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 263% | +1.584% | GG58% | +2.564% |
| Cruzeiro U20 – Vasco da Gama U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG58% | +2.557% |
| Santos U20 – Botafogo U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 238% | +1.579% | GG59% | +2.555% |
| Ukraine U19 – Germany U19UEFA U19 Championship · World · 08/07 20:00 · ☀ 22° | 139% | X | 2 | +1.578% | GG58% | +2.554% |
| Montrose – Inverurie Loco WorksFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 20:30 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG69% | +2.572% |
| Newport City – Newport CountyFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 20:30 | 1 | X | 249% | +1.586% | GG66% | +2.567% |
| Brechin – DundeeFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 20:45 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG52% | +2.552% |
| Saint-Laurent – ForgeCanadian Championship · Canada · 08/07 21:00 | 1 | X | 266% | +1.590% | GG66% | +2.575% |
| Lausanne – FlamengoFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 21:30 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG67% | +2.571% |
| Tormenta – Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One · USA · 08/07 22:00 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG61% | +2.560% |
| Austin – Sporting JAXFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 22:00 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.561% | GG | +2.5 |
| Delaware FC – Eagle FCUSL League Two · USA · 08/07 23:00 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG69% | +2.573% |
| Cleveland Force – Steel CityUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 00:00 | 1 | X | 275% | +1.593% | GG65% | +2.580% |
| North Carolina II – Charlotte EaglesUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 00:00 | 1 | X | 242% | +1.571% | GG50% | +2.5 |
| Real Oruro – Universitario de VintoPrimera División · Bolivia · 09/07 00:00 · ☀ 8° | 1 | X | 242% | +1.584% | GG64% | +2.563% |
| Bethesda SC – Virginia MaraudersUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 00:30 | 170% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG66% | +2.576% |
| Santo Domingo – Independiente del ValleCopa Ecuador · Ecuador · 09/07 00:30 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG58% | +2.557% |
| Treze U20 – Cruzeiro Itaporanga U20Paraibano U20 · Brazil · 09/07 00:30 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG65% | +2.564% |
| Hartford Athletic – Orange County SCUSL Championship · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Greenville Triumph – Sarasota ParadiseUSL League One · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.581% | GG59% | +2.559% |
| NY Cosmos – NaplesUSL League One · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG62% | +2.560% |
| Ponte Preta – CriciumaSerie B · Brazil · 09/07 01:00 · ☀ 14° | 1 | X | 248% | +1.561% | GG | +2.5 |
| Toledo Villa – Northern IndianaUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 242% | +1.585% | GG67% | +2.566% |
| Kalamazoo FC – Lansing CityUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.586% | GG66% | +2.568% |
| Black Rock – Boston BoltsUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 156% | X | 2 | +1.578% | GG53% | +2.554% |
| The Villages – Inter GainesvilleUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 169% | X | 2 | +1.586% | GG58% | +2.568% |
| Cedar Stars Rush – IronboundUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG62% | +2.560% |
| Inter Miami II – WestonUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 157% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG54% | +2.555% |
| Lakeland United – FC Miami CityUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG74% | +2.576% |
| Ocean City Nor'easters – Lehigh Valley UnitedUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 164% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG70% | +2.578% |
| Patuxent – ChristosUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 261% | +1.596% | GG82% | +2.588% |
| Real Central New Jersey – West Chester UnitedUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG73% | +2.576% |
| Reading United – Lone Star IIUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 173% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG66% | +2.579% |
| North Carolina Fusion – Tobacco RoadUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 255% | +1.593% | GG75% | +2.580% |
| SC United Bantams – Charlotte Independence 2USL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 256% | +1.582% | GG59% | +2.561% |
| Wake – Port CityUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 253% | +1.590% | GG72% | +2.575% |
| Union La Calera – Coquimbo UnidoCopa De La Liga · Chile · 09/07 01:00 · ☁ 13° | 1 | X | 236% | +1.555% | GG | +2.5 |
| Evergreen – LionsbridgeUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:30 | 1 | X | 257% | +1.590% | GG71% | +2.575% |
| Apotheos – Dothan UnitedUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:30 | 1 | X | 264% | +1.577% | GG | +2.553% |
| Manhattan – New Jersey CopaUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:30 | 156% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG82% | +2.587% |
| Morris Elite – Westchester FlamesUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:30 | 164% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG69% | +2.576% |
| Southern Soccer Academy – East AtlantaUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:30 | 173% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG59% | +2.572% |
| Virginia Beach City – Annapolis BluesUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:30 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG74% | +2.575% |
| Davis Legacy – San Francisco CityUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 261% | +1.594% | GG77% | +2.583% |
| Project 51O – MarinUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 161% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG72% | +2.578% |
| Rochester – St. CroixUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 244% | +1.588% | GG71% | +2.571% |
| Houston FC – Houston SurUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 158% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG74% | +2.579% |
| Jackson Boom – HattiesburgUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 261% | +1.588% | GG66% | +2.571% |
| Mississippi Brilla – Louisiana KreweUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 241% | +1.593% | GG78% | +2.580% |
| Montgomery United – Columbus UnitedUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 157% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG58% | +2.560% |
| River Light – Rockford RaptorsUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG76% | +2.579% |
| RKC – Chicago Dutch LionsUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 245% | +1.586% | GG67% | +2.567% |
| Little Rock Rangers – Memphis 901USL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 161% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG55% | +2.560% |
| El Nacional – CumbayáLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 09/07 02:00 · ☀ 13° | 1 | X | 237% | +1.554% | GG | +2.5 |
| San Antonio FC 2 – Brazos ValleyUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:30 | 162% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG77% | +2.584% |
| West Texas – Lubbock MatadorsUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:30 | 145% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG56% | +2.553% |
| City SC – AMSGUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 03:00 | 150% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG71% | +2.573% |
| Laredo Heat – GFIUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 03:00 | 143% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG75% | +2.576% |
| Ind. Juniors – LDU de QuitoCopa Ecuador · Ecuador · 09/07 03:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG54% | +2.553% |
| Academica – Sportivo San JuanUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 04:00 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG77% | +2.581% |
| Bigfoot – BallardUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 04:00 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG69% | +2.569% |
| Ventura County Fusion – Stars FCUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 04:00 | 172% | X | 2 | +1.580% | GG | +2.558% |
| Vancouver FC – CF MontrealCanadian Championship · Canada · 09/07 04:00 | 1 | X | 265% | +1.596% | GG79% | +2.587% |
| Sacramento Republic – Rhode IslandUSL Championship · USA · 09/07 04:30 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG63% | +2.561% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps – Cavalry FCCanadian Championship · Canada · 09/07 04:30 | 1 | X | 258% | +1.585% | GG62% | +2.565% |
| SpVgg Unterhaching – SSV Jahn RegensburgFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 11:00 | 1 | X | 253% | +1.591% | GG73% | +2.576% |
| Karlsruher SC – SGV FreibergFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 11:00 | 1 | X | 245% | +1.592% | GG77% | +2.579% |
| Akademiya Ontustik – Arys1. Division · Kazakhstan · 09/07 14:00 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.581% | GG59% | +2.559% |
| Transport United – Bhutan U19Premier League · Bhutan · 09/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 248% | +1.586% | GG67% | +2.568% |
| Rennes – CaenFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 289% | +1.599% | GG76% | +2.596% |
| Spartak Trnava – Zlaté MoravceFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 14:00 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.597% | GG86% | +2.590% |
| Debreceni VSC – Železničar PančevoFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 240% | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 – Lask LinzFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 14:30 | 1 | X | 254% | +1.590% | GG71% | +2.574% |
| Aktobe Jas – Khan Tengri1. Division · Kazakhstan · 09/07 15:00 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG67% | +2.570% |
| Jaiyq – Tobol 21. Division · Kazakhstan · 09/07 15:00 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.583% | GG59% | +2.562% |
| SV Wehen – FC 08 HomburgFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 15:00 | 1 | X | 248% | +1.586% | GG67% | +2.568% |
| Cracovia Krakow – PardubiceFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 15:00 | 134% | X | 2 | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Izhevsk – Dinamo BarnaulSecond League – Group 4 · Russia · 09/07 15:30 | 158% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG58% | +2.561% |
| CFR 1907 Cluj – KarpatyFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.580% | GG60% | +2.558% |
| Rapid – Slovan LiberecFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 17:30 | 135% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG51% | +2.5 |
| Polessya – JagielloniaFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 17:30 | 175% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG56% | +2.571% |
| Red Bull Salzburg – Metalist 1925 KharkivFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 17:30 | 1 | X | 254% | +1.581% | GG58% | +2.559% |
| Maardu – Flora IIEsiliiga A · Estonia · 09/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 251% | +1.587% | GG67% | +2.569% |
| Musa – GrIFKKakkonen – Lohko B · Finland · 09/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 257% | +1.583% | GG60% | +2.562% |
| Korona Kielce – Omonia NicosiaFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 18:00 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.581% | GG58% | +2.559% |
| Chemnitzer FC – Union BerlinFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 269% | +1.599% | GG88% | +2.595% |
| Benrath – Fortuna DüsseldorfFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 276% | +1.590% | GG58% | +2.574% |
| América-SP U20 – Jabaquara U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 09/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 241% | +1.565% | GG | +2.5 |
| H&W Welders – DergviewFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.577% | GG56% | +2.553% |
| Atletico Grau – Carlos A. MannucciCopa De La Liga · Peru · 09/07 22:00 · ☀ 28° | 140% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG84% | +2.588% |
| France – MoroccoWorld Cup · World · 09/07 22:00 · ☁ 29° | 152% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG54% | +2.553% |
| Deportivo Cuenca Juniors – LDU PortoviejoLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 09/07 22:30 | 157% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
*Odds correct as of date published, prices subject to change, check 1XBET for actual odds.
What Mathematical Football Prediction Actually Means
People hear “mathematical model” and picture a black box that spits out winners. The reality is more boring. A decent model takes every match a team has played, weighs the quality of their opponents, adjusts for home advantage, and then estimates a probability for each scoreline. Poisson distributions, Elo-style ratings, and xG (expected goals) are the three building blocks most public models use.
The model doesn’t care about your favourite club. That’s its main advantage. The variables that matter most in my own workflow:
- Expected goals for and against, ideally over the last 8 to 12 matches
- Goalkeeper status (a backup keeper can swing the line by 0.3 goals)
- Travel and rest days, especially in midweek European fixtures
- Referee tendencies for cards and penalty calls
- Weather, but only for under/over markets in winter rounds
None of these guarantee a win. They shift probabilities, and probabilities are all you have when you’re betting.
Spotting Must-Win Teams Today
What makes a team a “must-win”?
A must-win isn’t just the favourite. It’s a team where the situation, the form and the opponent line up. Think Bayern at home against a newly promoted side in October. Or Real Madrid hosting a mid-table La Liga club the weekend before a Champions League knockout, where the bookies still price them at short odds and the model agrees.
The four things I check before calling a side a genuine must-win:
- Form: at least 4 wins in their last 6, ideally with clean sheets
- Opposition trouble: missing a key defender, on a bad run, or just travelled across Europe
- Home record: many teams are completely different sides at home, and the gap is bigger than people think
- Motivation: title race, top-four push, or a derby that the squad won’t take lightly
How to use must-win picks without blowing your bankroll
The mistake I made for years was stacking five “must-wins” into an accumulator. One late equaliser kills the slip every single time. What works better:
Singles on the highest-confidence pick of the day. Boring, but the maths is on your side. Two-fold accas when two picks each clear 70% in the model, which gives roughly 50% combined and decent returns at the typical 1.40-1.60 acca price. Asian handicap -1 if the favourite is too short for a straight win but the model expects a comfortable scoreline. I almost never touch 4+ accumulators on must-wins. The variance eats you alive.
Daily picks, not daily nonsense
Every day at Forwins we publish the matches our model rates highest, with the probability for each market shown next to the tip. If the number is below 70% on a 1X2 pick, we don’t post it. If you only see two or three matches on a quiet Tuesday, that’s the point.
⚠️ Bet responsibly. Stake what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, stop.
Over 2.5 Predictions: What Most People Get Wrong
Over 2.5 means three or more goals in the match. Simple market, simple rule. The bit people miss is that “both teams score a lot” doesn’t automatically mean over 2.5 hits. You need pace and chance creation, not just two leaky defences.
A useful rule of thumb: if the combined xG for the fixture sits above 2.8 and neither side has parked the bus in their last five league games, over 2.5 is usually live. Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart games in 2024-25 are the textbook example. Two attacking sides, both pressing high, with combined goal totals north of 3 in most weeks.
Where it goes wrong:
- Big derbies. Tactically tight, lots of yellow cards, fewer chances than the season average suggests
- Wet pitches and December rounds in Northern Europe
- Sides that have just played a Europa or Champions League midweek game and rotated
The Draw: Underrated and Often Mispriced
Most casual bettors never touch the X. That’s exactly why there’s value in it. Draws are statistically the rarest of the three 1X2 outcomes in most leagues (around 24-28% in the top five European leagues), but when the model and the situation point to one, the typical 3.20-3.60 price is generous.
Where draws cluster:
- Teams within 2-3 points of each other in the table
- Matches between defensive sides with low xG totals (think Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad)
- End-of-season fixtures where both teams are already safe
Serie A produces more draws than any other top league, year after year. Italian football is built around defensive shape, and that shows in the scorelines. If you want to specialise in draws, start there.
Weekend Picks: Where the Real Volume Is
Saturdays and Sundays carry the bulk of the betting calendar. Premier League and La Liga slates on the same day, plus Serie A and Bundesliga, plus the smaller leagues. There’s too much football to bet on every match, and trying is the fastest way to lose a bankroll.
My weekend filter is simple. I rank every match by model confidence, throw out anything below 70%, and look for two or three plays where the bookie line and my model disagree by more than 5 percentage points. Those are the value bets. A “lock” at 1.20 with a true 90% chance is fine, but you make real money when the line is wrong, not when it’s right.
Can You Really Get 90% Accurate Predictions?
The honest version is less exciting: it holds up on safe markets across a short run of bets, and falls apart the moment you want better odds.
Over 1.5 goals in Bundesliga matches hits around 88% historically. Double chance on a heavy home favourite against a bottom-table side hits 90%+. But those are 1.10-1.25 odds. To grow a bankroll meaningfully on those, you’d need huge stakes, and a single 10% loss wipes out many wins.
Anyone selling you “90% accurate predictions” at decent odds is either cherry-picking past results or selling you a dream. The honest target for a profitable bettor is 55-58% on near-evens lines. That’s the level where compounding actually works.
Football Prediction for Tomorrow: Plan, Don’t React
The biggest edge you can get isn’t a better model. It’s earlier lines. Bookmaker odds the day before a match are softer than the same lines an hour before kick-off, because the market hasn’t adjusted to the late money yet. If your model fancies the away team and the price is 2.80 today, it’s likely closer to 2.50 by Saturday morning.
That’s why we publish next-day previews every evening at Forwins. Read them, check the team news the morning of the match, and place early when the value is still there.
BTTS Tips: When Both Teams Actually Score
BTTS is a strange market. It looks like a coin flip, but the long-term hit rate across the top leagues sits around 52-54%. The model edge is small, which means the bookmaker margin matters more here than on most markets. Always shop the line.
BTTS tends to hit in matches where:
- Both teams have scored in 4+ of their last 6 matches
- Neither side has a stand-out goalkeeper
- The favourite likes to attack rather than sit on a 1-0
Bundesliga is the BTTS league. La Liga and Ligue 1 are the worst for it, because the bottom-half teams often struggle to score at all.
Predictions for Nigerian Bettors
Nigeria has one of the most active football betting communities in Africa, and the markets popular with Nigerian bettors aren’t always the ones I’d default to. Multi-bets on weekend EPL games are everywhere. So is interest in the NPFL, where pricing is wider because fewer models cover the league.
If you bet from Nigeria, the same rules apply: stick to leagues you can actually follow, avoid huge accumulators no matter how tempting the payout looks, and shop for the best line. We cover the main European leagues plus selected NPFL fixtures.
The Short Version
A model gives you probabilities. You compare them to the bookie’s price. When your number is meaningfully higher, you bet. When it isn’t, you skip. That’s the entire job.
Everything else, including how many picks we post each day, which leagues we cover, and which markets we trust, follows from that idea. We publish daily previews for the top leagues, plus weekend round-ups every Friday. Take what’s useful, ignore what isn’t.
FAQ: Football Predictions & Betting
What are mathematical football predictions?
Mathematical football predictions are forecasts built from statistical models rather than gut feeling. They combine recent form, expected goals, head-to-head data, lineup news, and home advantage to produce a probability for each outcome. Think of it as a forecast rather than a guarantee. It gives you the likelihood of each result and a sense of how far to trust that number.
How do you predict draws in football?
Look for matches between teams of similar quality (within a few points in the table), low combined xG, and defensive styles. Serie A produces the most draws of any top European league. Atletico-style sides that prioritise structure over attacking risk are also reliable draw candidates, especially when they meet each other.
What does Over 2.5 mean in football betting?
Over 2.5 means betting that the match will end with three or more goals. Final scores of 2-1, 3-0, 3-2, 4-1 all win. A 2-0, 1-1 or 0-0 loses. It’s one of the most popular goal markets because the line cuts cleanly through the most common scorelines.
How do I find value bets?
A value bet is one where your estimated probability is higher than what the bookmaker’s odds imply. If you think a team has a 60% chance to win and the price is 1.90 (implied probability 52.6%), that’s value. Finding these consistently requires a method for estimating probability that isn’t just based on which team you like.
Are weekend predictions different from weekday ones?
The method is the same, but weekends have far more matches, so the filter has to be tighter. With 20+ games across the top leagues on a Saturday, you can afford to skip 90% of them and only bet the ones where the model edge is clear. Weekday matches often have softer lines because the market is thinner.
Can football predictions really be 90% accurate?
Only on safe markets like Over 1.5 in attacking leagues or double chance on heavy favourites, where odds are too short to grow a bankroll meaningfully. On more useful markets like 1X2 picks at 1.80-2.20, a sustainable hit rate sits in the 55-60% range. Anyone claiming 90% accuracy at decent odds is cherry-picking results.
Are your football predictions free?
Yes. All daily picks, weekend previews, and analysis on Forwins.com are free. We publish full reasoning alongside each tip so you can judge whether the logic holds, rather than just copying the bet blindly.
Do you cover Nigerian football?
We cover selected NPFL fixtures and any international matches involving Nigerian teams. The bulk of our daily output is the top European leagues, since that’s where the lines are sharpest and our data is most reliable.
What’s the best market for beginners?
Double chance (1X or X2) is the gentlest starting point. You’re covering two outcomes out of three, so the hit rate is naturally high, and it forces you to think about which outcome you’re ruling out rather than which one you’re picking. Once you’re comfortable, move to 1X2 and over/under markets.
