Mathematical Football Prediction: A Bettor’s Honest Guide
I’ve been betting on football for over a decade, and the single biggest shift in how I pick matches happened the day I stopped trusting my gut and started running the numbers. Mathematical football prediction isn’t magic. It’s just discipline plus data: expected goals, recent form, schedule congestion, lineup news. When you stack those properly, you spot value the casual bettor misses.
This guide is built around what actually works for me on a Saturday afternoon across the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A and Bundesliga. No fluff, no 100%-guaranteed nonsense.
World Cup 2026 — Match Predictions
| Match | 1 | X | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil – Japan 2–1World Cup · Round of 32 · 29/06 17:00 | 1✓ 47% @1.78 | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 58% @1.36 | GG | +2.5 |
| Germany – Paraguay 1–1World Cup · Round of 32 · 29/06 20:30 · ☀ 27° | 1✗ 60% @1.40 | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 74% @1.25 | GG | +2.5 |
| Netherlands – MoroccoWorld Cup · Round of 32 · 30/06 01:00 · ☀ 30° | 153% @2.25 | X | 2 | +1.564% @1.40 | GG | +2.5 |
| Ivory Coast – NorwayWorld Cup · Round of 32 · 30/06 17:00 · ☀ 35° | 1 | X | 271% @2.10 | +1.563% @1.29 | GG | +2.5 |
| France – SwedenWorld Cup · Round of 32 · 30/06 21:00 | 181% @1.30 | X | 2 | +1.589% @1.26 | GG52% @2.00 | +2.573% @1.60 |
| Mexico – EcuadorWorld Cup · Round of 32 · 01/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 243% @4.05 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| England – Congo DRWorld Cup · Round of 32 · 01/07 16:00 · ⛈ 37° | 184% @1.32 | X | 2 | +1.561% @1.31 | GG | +2.5 |
| Belgium – SenegalWorld Cup · Round of 32 · 01/07 20:00 · ☁ 18° | 143% @2.27 | X | 2 | +1.587% @1.42 | GG68% @1.91 | +2.568% @2.31 |
| Match | 1 | X | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Core – Huntsville City 1–0MLS Next Pro · USA · 29/06 00:00 | 1✓ 49% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 92% | GG✗ 75% | +2.5✗ 78% |
| FC Cincinnati II – Inter Miami II 1–0MLS Next Pro · USA · 29/06 00:00 | 1✓ 58% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 87% | GG✗ 65% | +2.5✗ 69% |
| Bangers – Bigfoot 2–0USL League Two · USA · 29/06 00:00 | 1✓ 82% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 89% | GG✗ 50% | +2.5✗ 73% |
| Albion Colorado – Colorado Storm 0–1USL League Two · USA · 29/06 00:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 54% | +1.5✗ 87% | GG✗ 67% | +2.5✗ 69% |
| Blackwatch Rush – Boston Bolts 1–0USL League Two · USA · 29/06 00:00 | 1✓ 48% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 90% | GG✗ 73% | +2.5✗ 75% |
| Weston – Lakeland United 2–3USL League Two · USA · 29/06 00:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 48% | +1.5✓ 77% | GG✓ 55% | +2.5✓ 53% |
| Northern Virginia FC W – Patuxent W 10–0USL W League · USA · 29/06 00:00 | 1✓ 79% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✗ 62% | +2.5✓ 80% |
| RKC Third Coast W – Minnesota Aurora W 0–3USL W League · USA · 29/06 00:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 43% | +1.5✓ 66% | GG | +2.5 |
| Miami AC W – Brooke House W 0–3USL W League · USA · 29/06 00:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 81% | +1.5✓ 83% | GG | +2.5✓ 62% |
| Asheville City W – Birmingham Legion W 2–1USL W League · USA · 29/06 00:30 | 1✓ 67% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 75% | GG | +2.5✓ 51% |
| New York RB II – Philadelphia Union II 5–0MLS Next Pro · USA · 29/06 01:00 | 1✓ 52% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 85% | GG✗ 65% | +2.5✓ 66% |
| Orlando City II – Columbus Crew II 2–2MLS Next Pro · USA · 29/06 01:00 | 1✗ 50% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✓ 78% | +2.5✓ 81% |
| St. Louis City II – Austin II 0–2MLS Next Pro · USA · 29/06 01:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 43% | +1.5✓ 83% | GG✗ 63% | +2.5✗ 62% |
| Cavalry FC – Supra du QuebecCanadian Premier League · Canada · 29/06 01:00 | 162% | X | 2 | +1.586% | GG61% | +2.567% |
| Tacoma Stars – West Seattle Junction 1–2USL League Two · USA · 29/06 01:00 | 1✗ 63% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 91% | GG✓ 70% | +2.5✓ 77% |
| West Chester United – Lehigh Valley United 2–3USL League Two · USA · 29/06 01:00 | 1✗ 41% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 86% | GG✓ 67% | +2.5✓ 67% |
| Lancaster Inferno W – Eagle FC W 0–3USL W League · USA · 29/06 01:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 65% | +1.5✓ 90% | GG✗ 68% | +2.5✓ 75% |
| Cusco – Cienciano 1–2Copa De La Liga · Peru · 29/06 01:00 · ☀ 10° | 1 | X | 2✓ 59% | +1.5✓ 80% | GG✓ 55% | +2.5✓ 58% |
| Southern Soccer Academy – Dothan United 3–1USL League Two · USA · 29/06 01:30 | 1✓ 63% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 89% | GG✓ 67% | +2.5✓ 73% |
| Ituano – Maranhão 0–0Serie C · Brazil · 29/06 01:30 · ☁ 18° | 1✗ 64% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 54% | GG | +2.5 |
| Ypiranga-RS – Confiança 1–1Serie C · Brazil · 29/06 01:30 · 🌧 15° | 1✗ 52% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 62% | GG | +2.5 |
| Minnesota United II – Tacoma Defiance 2–2MLS Next Pro · USA · 29/06 02:00 · ☁ 23° | 1✗ 52% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 83% | GG✓ 61% | +2.5✓ 62% |
| Miami AC – Brevard 3–2USL League Two · USA · 29/06 02:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 47% | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✓ 78% | +2.5✓ 80% |
| Lonestar San Antonio W – AHFC Royals W 0–4USL W League · USA · 29/06 02:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 41% | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✗ 70% | +2.5✓ 71% |
| D. Puerto Montt – Concepción 2–0Copa Chile · Chile · 29/06 02:00 · ☁ 8° | 1 | X✗ 34% | 2 | +1.5✓ 59% | GG | +2.5 |
| Albion Colorado W – Colorado Storm W 0–1USL W League · USA · 29/06 03:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 82% | +1.5✗ 93% | GG✗ 61% | +2.5✗ 81% |
| OC Sporting W – Capo WUSL W League · USA · 29/06 03:00 | 1 | X | 282% | +1.598% | GG79% | +2.594% |
| Los Angeles FC II – Houston Dynamo FC II 3–1MLS Next Pro · USA · 29/06 04:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 38% | +1.5✓ 81% | GG✓ 61% | +2.5✓ 59% |
| Academica – Marin 3–2USL League Two · USA · 29/06 04:00 | 1✓ 41% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 96% | GG✓ 85% | +2.5✓ 88% |
| Tsirang – Paro 0–2Premier League · Bhutan · 29/06 12:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 71% | +1.5✓ 95% | GG✗ 75% | +2.5✗ 85% |
| Akhmat – Borac Banja Luka 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 29/06 14:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 87% | +1.5✓ 98% | GG✓ 70% | +2.5✓ 92% |
| CSKA 1948 – FK Partizan 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 29/06 14:00 | 1✓ 55% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 79% | GG✗ 55% | +2.5✓ 55% |
| Arges Pitesti – Vllaznia Shkodër 5–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 29/06 14:00 | 1✓ 59% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 91% | GG✓ 71% | +2.5✓ 76% |
| Nizhny Novgorod – Tekstilshchik 6–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 29/06 14:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 39% | +1.5✓ 52% | GG | +2.5 |
| Al Hikma – Tadamon Sour 4–1Premier League · Lebanon · 29/06 14:30 | 1✓ 44% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 72% | GG✓ 51% | +2.5 |
| Nyasa Big Bullets – Masters FC 1–0Super League · Malawi · 29/06 14:30 | 1✓ 57% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 55% | GG | +2.5 |
| Al Nejmeh – Racing 5–0Premier League · Lebanon · 29/06 15:00 | 1✓ 83% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 68% | GG | +2.5 |
| Odense – Kolding IF 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 29/06 15:00 | 1✓ 69% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 92% | GG✓ 69% | +2.5✓ 78% |
| Auda – Riga 0–2Virsliga · Latvia · 29/06 17:00 · ⛅ 27° | 1 | X | 2✓ 50% | +1.5✓ 89% | GG✗ 71% | +2.5✗ 73% |
| FS Jelgava – Grobiņa 2–0Virsliga · Latvia · 29/06 17:00 · ☀ 30° | 1✓ 37% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 74% | GG✗ 54% | +2.5 |
| Universitatea Craiova – Polessya 4–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 29/06 17:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 51% | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✓ 61% | +2.5✓ 61% |
| VJS – TPV 2–1Ykkönen · Finland · 29/06 17:30 | 1✓ 61% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✓ 55% | +2.5✓ 60% |
| Šiauliai – TransINVEST Vilnius 1–3A Lyga · Lithuania · 29/06 17:30 | 1 | X | 2✓ 56% | +1.5✓ 84% | GG✓ 61% | +2.5✓ 63% |
| FK Crvena Zvezda – Slovan Bratislava 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 29/06 17:30 | 1✗ 62% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✓ 56% | +2.5✗ 61% |
| Panevėžys – Suduva Marijampole 1–2A Lyga · Lithuania · 29/06 17:45 | 1✗ 35% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 66% | GG | +2.5 |
| Al Arabi – Al Fahaheel 3–0Premier League · Kuwait · 29/06 18:05 · ☀ 39° | 1✓ 59% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 80% | GG✗ 55% | +2.5✓ 58% |
| Brazil – Japan 2–1World Cup · World · 29/06 19:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 42% | +1.5✓ 84% | GG✓ 64% | +2.5✓ 63% |
| Gol Gohar – Chadormalu SC 0–0Persian Gulf Pro League · Iran · 29/06 19:00 | 1✗ 42% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 67% | GG | +2.5 |
| HB Torshavn – Skála 4–1Meistaradeildin · Faroe-Islands · 29/06 19:30 · ⛅ 12° | 1✓ 37% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 63% | GG | +2.5 |
| Vikingur Gota – NSI Runavik 3–3Meistaradeildin · Faroe-Islands · 29/06 19:30 · ☀ 19° | 1✗ 40% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✓ 63% | +2.5✓ 61% |
| B68 – AB 0–1Meistaradeildin · Faroe-Islands · 29/06 19:30 · ⛅ 11° | 1✗ 42% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 82% | GG✗ 63% | +2.5✗ 61% |
| Al Qadsia – Al Kuwait 0–0Premier League · Kuwait · 29/06 19:45 · ☀ 38° | 1✗ 40% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 84% | GG✗ 64% | +2.5✗ 63% |
| Fénix – General Lamadrid 3–1Primera C · Argentina · 29/06 20:00 | 1 | X✗ 37% | 2 | +1.5✓ 51% | GG | +2.5 |
| Juventud de Bernal – Deportivo Metalurgico 1–5Torneo Promocional Amateur · Argentina · 29/06 20:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 70% | +1.5✓ 63% | GG | +2.5 |
| FBC Melgar – UCV Moquegua 0–0Copa De La Liga · Peru · 29/06 20:00 · ☀ 24° | 1 | X | 2✗ 58% | +1.5✗ 96% | GG✗ 82% | +2.5✗ 88% |
| Al Mabarrah – Al Ansar 0–7Premier League · Lebanon · 29/06 20:30 | 1 | X | 2✓ 61% | +1.5✓ 68% | GG | +2.5 |
| Resistencia – EncarnaciónDivision Intermedia · Paraguay · 29/06 20:30 | 134% | X | 2 | +1.567% | GG | +2.5 |
| Kazma – Al Salmiyah 3–0Premier League · Kuwait · 29/06 20:45 | 1 | X | 2✗ 37% | +1.5✓ 67% | GG | +2.5 |
| H&W Welders – Larne 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 29/06 20:45 | 1✗ 35% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 71% | GG✓ 51% | +2.5 |
| IA Akranes – Fram Reykjavik 0–2Úrvalsdeild · Iceland · 29/06 21:15 · ☁ 10° | 1 | X | 2✓ 44% | +1.5✓ 85% | GG✗ 66% | +2.5✗ 66% |
| Afturelding – Ægir 8–11. Deild · Iceland · 29/06 21:15 · 🌦 9° | 1✓ 54% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 90% | GG✓ 72% | +2.5✓ 75% |
| Deportivo Garcilaso – Deportivo Binacional 4–1Copa De La Liga · Peru · 29/06 22:15 · ☀ 15° | 1✓ 36% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 80% | GG✓ 60% | +2.5✓ 58% |
| Germany – Paraguay 1–1World Cup · World · 29/06 22:30 · ☀ 27° | 1✗ 80% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✓ 61% | +2.5✗ 80% |
| Independiente F.b.c. – Benjamín AcevalDivision Intermedia · Paraguay · 29/06 23:00 | 1 | X | 244% | +1.576% | GG55% | +2.552% |
| Democrata GV – Ivinhema 1–1Serie D · Brazil · 30/06 00:00 · ☀ 22° | 1✗ 65% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 69% | GG | +2.5 |
| Union Espanola – Colo Colo 0–3Copa Chile · Chile · 30/06 01:30 | 1 | X | 2✓ 69% | +1.5✓ 86% | GG✗ 58% | +2.5✓ 68% |
| Hill Country Lobos – Lonestar 3–5USL League Two · USA · 30/06 02:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 46% | +1.5✓ 87% | GG✓ 69% | +2.5✓ 70% |
| Unión Villa Krause – Real Colorado FoxesUSL League Two · USA · 30/06 03:00 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG79% | +2.581% |
| Netherlands – Morocco 1–1World Cup · World · 30/06 03:00 · ☀ 30° | 1✗ 54% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 84% | GG✓ 62% | +2.5✗ 63% |
| Ulaanbaatar – Central StallionsPremier League · Mongolia · 30/06 10:00 | 153% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG74% | +2.578% |
| SD Raiders U20 – Sydney FC U20Npl Nsw U20 · Australia · 30/06 10:00 | 1 | X | 240% | +1.582% | GG63% | +2.561% |
| SD Raiders – Sydney FC U23New South Wales NPL · Australia · 30/06 12:00 | 1 | X | 239% | +1.580% | GG60% | +2.558% |
| Deren – KhangaridPremier League · Mongolia · 30/06 13:00 | 143% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG81% | +2.584% |
| CSKA Moscow – Shinnik YaroslavlFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 14:00 | 1 | X | 240% | +1.592% | GG76% | +2.578% |
| Kazincbarcikai – Zemplín MichalovceFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 14:00 | 166% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG53% | +2.560% |
| Waalwijk – Rot-weiss OberhausenFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 14:00 | 164% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG70% | +2.578% |
| Zorya Luhansk – ShkendijaFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 14:00 | 141% | X | 2 | +1.572% | GG51% | +2.5 |
| Brinje-Grosuplje – HNK RijekaFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 14:00 | 1 | X | 254% | +1.581% | GG58% | +2.559% |
| FC Sochi – Ska-khabarovskFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 14:00 | 1 | X | 239% | +1.589% | GG72% | +2.572% |
| Olimpia Grudziądz – Petrolul PloiestiFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 14:00 | 1 | X | 256% | +1.590% | GG70% | +2.574% |
| Azam – Dodoma JijiLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 30/06 15:00 · ☀ 26° | 163% | X | 2 | +1.562% | GG | +2.5 |
| Coastal Union – Pamba JijiLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 30/06 15:00 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.559% | GG | +2.5 |
| Fountain Gate – Singida Black StarsLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 30/06 15:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.568% | GG | +2.5 |
| JKT Tanzania – Young AfricansLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 30/06 15:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.554% | GG | +2.5 |
| Mashujaa – Tanzania PrisonsLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 30/06 15:00 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.551% | GG | +2.5 |
| Mbeya City – Tabora UnitedLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 30/06 15:00 · ☀ 19° | 1 | X | 234% | +1.561% | GG | +2.5 |
| Namungo – Mtibwa SugarLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 30/06 15:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.554% | GG | +2.5 |
| Simba – KMCLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 30/06 15:00 · ☀ 26° | 174% | X | 2 | +1.573% | GG | +2.5 |
| Dikaki – PélicanChampionnat D1 · Gabon · 30/06 15:00 | 1 | X | 255% | +1.582% | GG59% | +2.560% |
| Oyem AC – LozoChampionnat D1 · Gabon · 30/06 15:00 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.568% | GG | +2.5 |
| FC Aarau – St. Gallen IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 16:00 | 180% | X | 2 | +1.597% | GG76% | +2.591% |
| Bitam – BouenguidiChampionnat D1 · Gabon · 30/06 16:30 · ⛅ 27° | 1 | X | 237% | +1.578% | GG58% | +2.554% |
| FC 105 – US OyemChampionnat D1 · Gabon · 30/06 16:30 | 138% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG57% | +2.553% |
| Cercle Mbéri – Ogooue FCChampionnat D1 · Gabon · 30/06 16:30 | 142% | X | 2 | +1.558% | GG | +2.5 |
| Rīgas FS – BFC DaugavpilsVirsliga · Latvia · 30/06 17:00 · ☀ 24° | 170% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG60% | +2.571% |
| VPS – Inter TurkuSuomen Cup · Finland · 30/06 17:00 · ☀ 20° | 178% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG64% | +2.581% |
| Al Ahli Tripoli – Al-AkhdarPremier League · Libya · 30/06 17:00 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.574% | GG51% | +2.5 |
| Nyiregyhaza – Zbrojovka BrnoFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 17:00 | 1 | X | 268% | +1.589% | GG64% | +2.573% |
| Táborsko – SKU AmstettenFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 17:00 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG69% | +2.571% |
| Virtus – Vardar SkopjeFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 17:00 | 150% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG56% | +2.555% |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 – Sweden U19 WUEFA U19 Championship – Women · World · 30/06 17:00 · ☀ 32° | 1 | X | 268% | +1.594% | GG73% | +2.582% |
| Mangasport – Vautour ClubChampionnat D1 · Gabon · 30/06 17:00 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.578% | GG55% | +2.554% |
| Stade Migoveen – Stade MandjiChampionnat D1 · Gabon · 30/06 17:00 | 1 | X | 240% | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| FC Voluntari – Tiszakecske FCFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 17:00 | 163% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG58% | +2.564% |
| SJK-juniorit – VaajakoskiKakkonen – Lohko C · Finland · 30/06 17:30 · ☀ 21° | 139% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG69% | +2.569% |
| Železničar Pančevo – Wolfsberger ACFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 17:30 | 1 | X | 252% | +1.577% | GG54% | +2.553% |
| Magdeburg II – SchöningenFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 17:30 | 165% | X | 2 | +1.598% | GG87% | +2.593% |
| FK Liepaja – Ogre UnitedVirsliga · Latvia · 30/06 18:00 | 170% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG54% | +2.564% |
| Nõmme United II – Flora IIEsiliiga A · Estonia · 30/06 18:00 · ⛅ 23° | 1 | X | 257% | +1.588% | GG68% | +2.571% |
| Sturm Graz – LNZ CherkasyFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 18:00 | 141% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG65% | +2.564% |
| Altona 93 – FC St. PauliFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 18:00 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG68% | +2.569% |
| Levski Sofia – Radnik SurdulicaFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 18:30 | 138% | X | 2 | +1.575% | GG55% | +2.551% |
| Luhe-Wildenau – VilzingFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 19:00 | 1 | X | 273% | +1.587% | GG57% | +2.570% |
| Ivory Coast – NorwayWorld Cup · World · 30/06 19:00 · ☀ 35° | 1 | X | 266% | +1.585% | GG57% | +2.565% |
| Campos AA – Uni SouzaCarioca C · Brazil · 30/06 19:45 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.580% | GG57% | +2.558% |
| Claypole – CanuelasPrimera C · Argentina · 30/06 20:00 | 1 | X | 238% | +1.568% | GG | +2.5 |
| Botafogo U17 – Atlético Mineiro U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 30/06 20:00 | 1 | X | 268% | +1.591% | GG67% | +2.576% |
| Cruzeiro U17 – Sao Paulo U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 30/06 20:00 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| Flamengo RJ U17 – Juventude U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 30/06 20:00 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Fortaleza U17 – Bahia U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 30/06 20:00 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.586% | GG64% | +2.568% |
| Gremio U17 – Atletico GO U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 30/06 20:00 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| Internacional U17 – Fluminense U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 30/06 20:00 | 1 | X | 273% | +1.589% | GG59% | +2.572% |
| Palmeiras U17 – Athletico PR U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 30/06 20:00 | 182% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG50% | +2.572% |
| Santos U17 – Corinthians U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 30/06 20:00 | 1 | X | 240% | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| Vitoria U17 – Vasco U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 30/06 20:00 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.575% | GG55% | +2.551% |
| Cove Rangers – Inverurie Loco WorksFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 20:00 | 145% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Poland U19 W – Germany U19 WUEFA U19 Championship – Women · World · 30/06 20:00 · ☁ 23° | 1 | X | 268% | +1.594% | GG73% | +2.582% |
| Kelty Hearts – PartickFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 20:00 | 1 | X | 260% | +1.581% | GG55% | +2.559% |
| Alloa Athletic – LivingstonFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 20:30 | 168% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG78% | +2.587% |
| Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 20:30 | 1 | X | 287% | +1.596% | GG62% | +2.588% |
| Ayr Utd – DumbartonFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 20:30 | 163% | X | 2 | +1.598% | GG86% | +2.592% |
| Raith Rovers – Edinburgh CityFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 20:30 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG84% | +2.588% |
| Caerau (Ely) – Cardiff CorinthiansFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 20:45 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG58% | +2.557% |
| Forfar Athletic – ST JohnstoneFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 20:45 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.567% | GG | +2.5 |
| Nairn County – Elgin CityFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 20:45 | 1 | X | 259% | +1.580% | GG55% | +2.558% |
| Clyde – Queen's ParkFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 20:45 | 1 | X | 259% | +1.586% | GG64% | +2.568% |
| Gretna 2008 – Annan AthleticFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 20:45 | 1 | X | 284% | +1.594% | GG59% | +2.582% |
| Dunipace – ArbroathFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 20:45 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG75% | +2.581% |
| Linlithgow Rose – Hamilton AcademicalFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 20:45 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.597% | GG87% | +2.591% |
| Shamrock Rovers – HibernianFriendlies Clubs · World · 30/06 21:00 | 173% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG66% | +2.579% |
| France – SwedenWorld Cup · World · 30/06 23:00 | 182% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG50% | +2.572% |
| Inter Gainesville – Brooke HouseUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 00:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG54% | +2.553% |
| A. Italiano – PalestinoCopa Chile · Chile · 01/07 00:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.568% | GG | +2.5 |
| Caxias – AnápolisSerie C · Brazil · 01/07 00:30 · 🌦 11° | 168% | X | 2 | +1.561% | GG | +2.5 |
| Botafogo SP – CRBSerie B · Brazil · 01/07 01:00 · ☁ 20° | 146% | X | 2 | +1.583% | GG63% | +2.562% |
| Boston Bolts – Western Mass PioneersUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 248% | +1.588% | GG70% | +2.571% |
| Charlotte Eagles – HickoryUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 260% | +1.581% | GG55% | +2.559% |
| Erie Sports Center – Akron CityUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 261% | +1.590% | GG69% | +2.575% |
| Kalamazoo FC – Oakland CountyUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.587% | GG69% | +2.569% |
| Midwest United – Flint City BucksUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.580% | GG60% | +2.558% |
| Patuxent – Hill CityUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 273% | +1.598% | GG82% | +2.592% |
| Reading United – Eagle FCUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 01:00 | 167% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG61% | +2.570% |
| Virginia Marauders – Annapolis BluesUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 01:30 | 1 | X | 268% | +1.583% | GG53% | +2.562% |
| Botafogo PB – BrusqueSerie C · Brazil · 01/07 01:30 · 🌦 25° | 139% | X | 2 | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Volta Redonda – AmazonasSerie C · Brazil · 01/07 01:30 · ☀ 18° | 148% | X | 2 | +1.561% | GG | +2.5 |
| Sunflower State – Des Moines MenaceUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 244% | +1.584% | GG65% | +2.564% |
| Memphis 901 – Mississippi BrillaUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 02:00 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.583% | GG64% | +2.562% |
| U. Catolica – Everton de VinaCopa Chile · Chile · 01/07 02:30 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.595% | GG81% | +2.586% |
| Snohomish United – Tacoma StarsUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 03:00 | 170% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG60% | +2.571% |
| Colorado Storm – Colorado ISAUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 03:00 | 176% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG69% | +2.583% |
| Mexico – EcuadorWorld Cup · World · 01/07 03:00 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| Bangers – Oly TownUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 04:00 | 177% | X | 2 | +1.581% | GG | +2.559% |
| Ventura County Fusion – TucsonUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 04:00 | 163% | X | 2 | +1.565% | GG | +2.5 |
| MTK Budapest – VasasFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 10:00 | 158% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG65% | +2.569% |
| Odra Opole – PardubiceFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 10:00 | 1 | X44% | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| Stal Mielec – Podhale Nowy TargFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 10:00 | 158% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG75% | +2.580% |
| Khovd Western – Ulaangom CityPremier League · Mongolia · 01/07 10:00 | 180% | X | 2 | +1.598% | GG80% | +2.593% |
| Erzgebirge Aue – Vysočina JihlavaFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 10:00 | 137% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG62% | +2.560% |
| Baník Ostrava – HanáckáFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 11:00 | 138% | X | 2 | +1.568% | GG | +2.5 |
| Monaro Panthers – Queanbeyan CityCapital Territory NPL · Australia · 01/07 11:30 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG76% | +2.579% |
| Hamilton Olympic – Charlestown City BluesNorthern NSW NPL · Australia · 01/07 12:00 | 138% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG71% | +2.571% |
| Seoul W – Suwon FMC WWK-League · South-Korea · 01/07 12:00 | 1 | X | 262% | +1.586% | GG61% | +2.567% |
| Changnyeong W – Boeun Sangmu WWK-League · South-Korea · 01/07 12:00 | 1 | X | 265% | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Krylya Sovetov II – Chelyabinsk IISecond League – Group 4 · Russia · 01/07 12:00 | 161% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG | +2.552% |
| Chornomorets – Kryvbas KRFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 12:00 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG61% | +2.561% |
| Qarabag – Metalist 1925 KharkivFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 13:00 | 183% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG | +2.563% |
| Khovd – KhoromkhonPremier League · Mongolia · 01/07 13:00 | 161% | X | 2 | +1.599% | GG94% | +2.598% |
| Dinamo Barnaul – Orenburg IISecond League – Group 4 · Russia · 01/07 13:30 | 145% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| KDV – Akron IISecond League – Group 4 · Russia · 01/07 14:00 | 165% | X | 2 | +1.585% | GG59% | +2.566% |
| Bhutan U19 – RTCPremier League · Bhutan · 01/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 237% | +1.576% | GG56% | +2.552% |
| GKS Katowice – Piast GliwiceFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 171% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG | +2.553% |
| GKS Katowice – Miedz LegnicaFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 169% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG70% | +2.580% |
| Botev Vratsa – Spartak PlevenFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 160% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Krylia Sovetov – FK Sokol SaratovFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 269% | +1.588% | GG62% | +2.571% |
| ŁKS Łódź – Stal MielecFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 190% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG | +2.581% |
| Wisla Krakow – Puszcza NiepołomiceFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG68% | +2.570% |
| Austria Lustenau – BSC Young BoysFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 163% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG67% | +2.573% |
| Chrobry Głogów – Lechia Zielona GóraFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 135% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG51% | +2.5 |
| Dunav Ruse – DobrudzhaFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 257% | +1.573% | GG | +2.5 |
| Glentoran – KilmarnockFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 236% | +1.572% | GG52% | +2.5 |
| KAMAZ – FK NeftekhimikFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.562% | GG | +2.5 |
| Rilski Sportist – Arda KardzhaliFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 142% | X | 2 | +1.578% | GG57% | +2.554% |
| Rudes – CukarickiFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG59% | +2.557% |
| Septemvri Sofia – VihrenFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG69% | +2.570% |
| Veres Rivne – BukovynaFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 258% | +1.578% | GG52% | +2.554% |
| FC Winterthur – FC ST. GallenFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 259% | +1.591% | GG71% | +2.576% |
| Zaglebie Lubin – PodbrezováFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG75% | +2.577% |
| Ajka – Zalaegerszegi TEFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.570% | GG | +2.5 |
| Cherno More Varna – Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.552% | GG | +2.5 |
| Austria U19 W – Switzerland U19 WUEFA U19 Championship – Women · World · 01/07 14:00 · ☁ 29° | 156% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG74% | +2.578% |
| CSKA 1948 – MariborFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.585% | GG64% | +2.566% |
| IMT Novi Beograd – Mladost LucaniFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 264% | +1.575% | GG | +2.551% |
| Lokomotiv Sofia – FC BotosaniFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 274% | +1.593% | GG67% | +2.580% |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – Vllaznia ShkodërFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 172% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG59% | +2.571% |
| Radnicki 1923 – OFK BeogradFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 164% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG | +2.553% |
| Slavia Sofia – Hebar 1918Friendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 240% | +1.577% | GG57% | +2.553% |
| Oleksandria – SK PoltavaFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 241% | +1.576% | GG55% | +2.552% |
| Radomiak Radom – Hapoel Beer ShevaFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 14:00 | 179% | X | 2 | +1.586% | GG | +2.567% |
| Zenit Penza – Salyut-BelgorodSecond League – Group 3 · Russia · 01/07 15:00 · ☀ 29° | 1 | X | 240% | +1.573% | GG53% | +2.5 |
| Rubin Kazan 2 – NostaSecond League – Group 4 · Russia · 01/07 15:00 · ⛅ 24° | 160% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG59% | +2.563% |
| Al Ittihad – JaishPremier League · Syria · 01/07 15:00 · ☀ 34° | 169% | X | 2 | +1.575% | GG | +2.551% |
| Al Karama – Omaya SCPremier League · Syria · 01/07 15:00 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG53% | +2.553% |
| Shorta – HorriyaPremier League · Syria · 01/07 15:00 | 135% | X | 2 | +1.563% | GG | +2.5 |
| Al Shouleh – Al WahdaPremier League · Syria · 01/07 15:00 | 1 | X | 260% | +1.555% | GG | +2.5 |
| Al Taliya – HottinPremier League · Syria · 01/07 15:00 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.567% | GG | +2.5 |
| Damascus Al-Ahli – FoutouaPremier League · Syria · 01/07 15:00 | 148% | X | 2 | +1.568% | GG | +2.5 |
| Khan Shaykhun SC – WathbaPremier League · Syria · 01/07 15:00 | 1 | X | 251% | +1.561% | GG | +2.5 |
| Tishreen – JabalaPremier League · Syria · 01/07 15:00 | 168% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG | +2.552% |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi – Ahrobiznes VolochyskFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 15:00 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| Izhevsk – Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodSecond League – Group 4 · Russia · 01/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 245% | +1.580% | GG59% | +2.558% |
| Lokomotíva Košice – HumennéFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 240% | +1.586% | GG68% | +2.568% |
| Zenit – Dinamo MakhachkalaFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 16:00 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.578% | GG57% | +2.554% |
| Tukums – Super NovaVirsliga · Latvia · 01/07 17:00 · ☁ 18° | 146% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG55% | +2.552% |
| Houston FC – Brazos ValleyUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 17:00 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG79% | +2.583% |
| FA Šiauliai II – Tauras1 Lyga · Lithuania · 01/07 17:00 | 1 | X | 236% | +1.572% | GG52% | +2.5 |
| Khimik Dzerzhinsk – Ural IISecond League – Group 4 · Russia · 01/07 17:00 · ⛅ 23° | 157% | X | 2 | +1.585% | GG63% | +2.566% |
| Plzen – Spartak TrnavaFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 17:00 | 169% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG62% | +2.571% |
| Sigma Olomouc – SkalicaFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 17:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.580% | GG58% | +2.558% |
| Slavia Praha – VlašimFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 17:00 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG74% | +2.576% |
| Spain U19 W – Iceland U19 WUEFA U19 Championship – Women · World · 01/07 17:00 · ⛅ 26° | 158% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG72% | +2.577% |
| Tiszakecske FC – Zbrojovka BrnoFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 17:00 | 1 | X | 257% | +1.593% | GG76% | +2.581% |
| Qarabag – Ferencvarosi TCFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 17:30 | 186% | X | 2 | +1.586% | GG | +2.568% |
| Botev Plovdiv – Chernomorets 1919 BurgasFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 17:30 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.563% | GG | +2.5 |
| Atmosfera – Be1 NFA1 Lyga · Lithuania · 01/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Weiz – TSV HartbergFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 242% | +1.589% | GG72% | +2.573% |
| Neuchatel Xamax FC – FC SionFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 249% | +1.598% | GG91% | +2.594% |
| HJK Helsinki – IlvesSuomen Cup · Finland · 01/07 18:00 | 176% | X | 2 | +1.5100% | GG91% | +2.598% |
| Macva – Novi PazarFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 18:00 | 1 | X42% | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| Poprad – Liptovský MikulášFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 261% | +1.592% | GG72% | +2.578% |
| FC Juarez – CA La PazFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 18:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG54% | +2.553% |
| Schwabmünchen – SSV Ulm 1846Friendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 267% | +1.594% | GG74% | +2.583% |
| Neustrelitz – RSV EintrachtFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 250% | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Omonia Nicosia – Dinamo BucurestiFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 239% | +1.578% | GG58% | +2.554% |
| England – Congo DRWorld Cup · World · 01/07 18:00 · ⛈ 37° | 154% | X | 2 | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| Celje – HNK Hajduk SplitFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 18:15 | 1 | X | 264% | +1.570% | GG | +2.5 |
| Austria Salzburg – WSG WattensFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 273% | +1.598% | GG82% | +2.592% |
| Cham – GrasshoppersFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 262% | +1.592% | GG71% | +2.578% |
| BSG Chemie Leipzig – EichstättFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 255% | +1.595% | GG80% | +2.584% |
| Wolfenbuttel – Borussia HildesheimFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 18:30 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.597% | GG87% | +2.591% |
| Eskilsminne – KristianstadEttan – Södra · Sweden · 01/07 19:00 · ☀ 20° | 143% | X | 2 | +1.580% | GG60% | +2.558% |
| Forge – Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League · Canada · 01/07 19:00 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.551% | GG | +2.5 |
| Denmark U19 – Spain U19UEFA U19 Championship · World · 01/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 280% | +1.599% | GG89% | +2.598% |
| Großschwarzenlohe – Greuther Fürth IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.593% | GG79% | +2.581% |
| Paderborn II – WiedenbrückFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 19:00 | 170% | X | 2 | +1.563% | GG | +2.5 |
| Luckenwalde – VfL HalleFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 19:00 | 183% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG53% | +2.577% |
| Wacker Burghausen – Schalding-HeiningFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 19:00 | 169% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG72% | +2.581% |
| Étoile Carouge – Grand-SaconnexFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 19:00 | 167% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG74% | +2.583% |
| Tasmania Berlin – Tennis BorussiaFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 246% | +1.592% | GG76% | +2.578% |
| Augsburg II – KotternFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 19:00 | 167% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG74% | +2.583% |
| Husqvarna – LidköpingDivision 2 – Norra Götaland · Sweden · 01/07 19:30 · ☀ 20° | 167% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG61% | +2.570% |
| Slavia Mozyr – ML VitebskPremier League · Belarus · 01/07 19:30 · ☀ 26° | 1 | X | 258% | +1.576% | GG50% | +2.552% |
| Bonsucesso – América RJCarioca A2 · Brazil · 01/07 19:45 | 136% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG57% | +2.553% |
| América Mineiro U20 – RB Bragantino U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 01/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 246% | +1.578% | GG56% | +2.554% |
| Athletico PR U20 – Vitória U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 01/07 20:00 | 160% | X | 2 | +1.585% | GG61% | +2.565% |
| Bahia U20 – Cruzeiro U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 01/07 20:00 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.581% | GG61% | +2.559% |
| Botafogo U20 – Fluminense U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 01/07 20:00 | 150% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Criciuma U20 – Grêmio U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 01/07 20:00 | 141% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG77% | +2.579% |
| Flamengo U20 – Avaí U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 01/07 20:00 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG67% | +2.569% |
| Fortaleza U20 – Vasco da Gama U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 01/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 241% | +1.559% | GG | +2.5 |
| Juventude U20 – Corinthians U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 01/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 252% | +1.583% | GG61% | +2.562% |
| Palmeiras U20 – Cuiabá U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 01/07 20:00 | 166% | X | 2 | +1.585% | GG57% | +2.565% |
| Santos U20 – São Paulo U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 01/07 20:00 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.583% | GG63% | +2.562% |
| Cuniburo – Gualaceo SCLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 01/07 20:00 · ☁ 19° | 162% | X | 2 | +1.563% | GG | +2.5 |
| Blumenau – Juventus SCCatarinense – 2 · Brazil · 01/07 20:00 | 164% | X | 2 | +1.559% | GG | +2.5 |
| Jaraguá – TubaraoCatarinense – 2 · Brazil · 01/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 273% | +1.572% | GG | +2.5 |
| RB Bragantino U17 – America MG U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 01/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 259% | +1.580% | GG55% | +2.558% |
| Coimbra – Villa NovaMineiro – 2 · Brazil · 01/07 20:00 | 157% | X | 2 | +1.555% | GG | +2.5 |
| Ipatinga – AymorésMineiro – 2 · Brazil · 01/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 255% | +1.554% | GG | +2.5 |
| Sao Luis – Americano BacabalMaranhense – 2 · Brazil · 01/07 20:30 | 156% | X | 2 | +1.574% | GG | +2.5 |
| Tupan – AraiosesMaranhense – 2 · Brazil · 01/07 20:30 | 141% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG55% | +2.552% |
| Montrose – Civil Service StrollersFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 20:30 | 176% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG62% | +2.577% |
| Wales U19 – Germany U19UEFA U19 Championship · World · 01/07 21:00 · ☁ 16° | 1 | X | 280% | +1.599% | GG88% | +2.597% |
| Haukar – Kári2. Deild · Iceland · 01/07 21:15 | 153% | X | 2 | +1.595% | GG81% | +2.585% |
| HFX Wanderers FC – Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League · Canada · 01/07 22:00 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.585% | GG64% | +2.566% |
| Project 51O – San Francisco CityUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 22:00 | 1 | X | 260% | +1.587% | GG64% | +2.569% |
| Correcaminos Uat – NecaxaFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 22:00 | 1 | X | 246% | +1.578% | GG56% | +2.554% |
| Aragua FC – Yaracuyanos FCCopa Venezuela · Venezuela · 01/07 22:00 | 1 | X | 264% | +1.589% | GG65% | +2.572% |
| Bolívar – Monagas SCCopa Venezuela · Venezuela · 01/07 22:00 | 1 | X | 264% | +1.589% | GG65% | +2.572% |
| Caracas FC – Fundación Lara DeportivaCopa Venezuela · Venezuela · 01/07 22:00 | 168% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG60% | +2.569% |
| Atletico el Vigia FC – Club Atletico BarinasCopa Venezuela · Venezuela · 01/07 22:00 | 1 | X | 279% | +1.595% | GG69% | +2.585% |
| Marítimo – Atletico Avila FCCopa Venezuela · Venezuela · 01/07 22:00 | 160% | X | 2 | +1.585% | GG61% | +2.565% |
| Mineros de Guyana – Dinamo de Puerto La CruzCopa Venezuela · Venezuela · 01/07 22:00 | 168% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG60% | +2.569% |
| Petare FC – Academia AnzoáteguiCopa Venezuela · Venezuela · 01/07 22:00 | 1 | X | 258% | +1.585% | GG62% | +2.565% |
| Rayo Zuliano – Urena SCCopa Venezuela · Venezuela · 01/07 22:00 | 142% | X | 2 | +1.573% | GG52% | +2.5 |
| Trujillanos FC – Deportivo LaraCopa Venezuela · Venezuela · 01/07 22:00 | 134% | X | 2 | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Zamora FC – Real FronteraCopa Venezuela · Venezuela · 01/07 22:00 | 182% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG63% | +2.583% |
| Belgium – SenegalWorld Cup · World · 01/07 22:00 · ☁ 18° | 154% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG52% | +2.552% |
| Atlas – Atletico San LuisFriendlies Clubs · World · 01/07 22:00 | 1 | X | 244% | +1.574% | GG53% | +2.5 |
| Asheville City – SC United BantamsUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 22:20 | 145% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG56% | +2.553% |
| New England FC – Vermont GreenUSL League Two · USA · 01/07 23:00 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.589% | GG71% | +2.572% |
| Charlotte Independence – Corpus ChristiUSL League One · USA · 01/07 23:30 | 172% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG52% | +2.564% |
*Odds correct as of date published, prices subject to change, check 1XBET for actual odds.
What Mathematical Football Prediction Actually Means
People hear “mathematical model” and picture a black box that spits out winners. The reality is more boring. A decent model takes every match a team has played, weighs the quality of their opponents, adjusts for home advantage, and then estimates a probability for each scoreline. Poisson distributions, Elo-style ratings, and xG (expected goals) are the three building blocks most public models use.
The model doesn’t care about your favourite club. That’s its main advantage. The variables that matter most in my own workflow:
- Expected goals for and against, ideally over the last 8 to 12 matches
- Goalkeeper status (a backup keeper can swing the line by 0.3 goals)
- Travel and rest days, especially in midweek European fixtures
- Referee tendencies for cards and penalty calls
- Weather, but only for under/over markets in winter rounds
None of these guarantee a win. They shift probabilities, and probabilities are all you have when you’re betting.
Spotting Must-Win Teams Today
What makes a team a “must-win”?
A must-win isn’t just the favourite. It’s a team where the situation, the form and the opponent line up. Think Bayern at home against a newly promoted side in October. Or Real Madrid hosting a mid-table La Liga club the weekend before a Champions League knockout, where the bookies still price them at short odds and the model agrees.
The four things I check before calling a side a genuine must-win:
- Form: at least 4 wins in their last 6, ideally with clean sheets
- Opposition trouble: missing a key defender, on a bad run, or just travelled across Europe
- Home record: many teams are completely different sides at home, and the gap is bigger than people think
- Motivation: title race, top-four push, or a derby that the squad won’t take lightly
How to use must-win picks without blowing your bankroll
The mistake I made for years was stacking five “must-wins” into an accumulator. One late equaliser kills the slip every single time. What works better:
Singles on the highest-confidence pick of the day. Boring, but the maths is on your side. Two-fold accas when two picks each clear 70% in the model, which gives roughly 50% combined and decent returns at the typical 1.40-1.60 acca price. Asian handicap -1 if the favourite is too short for a straight win but the model expects a comfortable scoreline. I almost never touch 4+ accumulators on must-wins. The variance eats you alive.
Daily picks, not daily nonsense
Every day at Forwins we publish the matches our model rates highest, with the probability for each market shown next to the tip. If the number is below 70% on a 1X2 pick, we don’t post it. If you only see two or three matches on a quiet Tuesday, that’s the point.
⚠️ Bet responsibly. Stake what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, stop.
Over 2.5 Predictions: What Most People Get Wrong
Over 2.5 means three or more goals in the match. Simple market, simple rule. The bit people miss is that “both teams score a lot” doesn’t automatically mean over 2.5 hits. You need pace and chance creation, not just two leaky defences.
A useful rule of thumb: if the combined xG for the fixture sits above 2.8 and neither side has parked the bus in their last five league games, over 2.5 is usually live. Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart games in 2024-25 are the textbook example. Two attacking sides, both pressing high, with combined goal totals north of 3 in most weeks.
Where it goes wrong:
- Big derbies. Tactically tight, lots of yellow cards, fewer chances than the season average suggests
- Wet pitches and December rounds in Northern Europe
- Sides that have just played a Europa or Champions League midweek game and rotated
The Draw: Underrated and Often Mispriced
Most casual bettors never touch the X. That’s exactly why there’s value in it. Draws are statistically the rarest of the three 1X2 outcomes in most leagues (around 24-28% in the top five European leagues), but when the model and the situation point to one, the typical 3.20-3.60 price is generous.
Where draws cluster:
- Teams within 2-3 points of each other in the table
- Matches between defensive sides with low xG totals (think Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad)
- End-of-season fixtures where both teams are already safe
Serie A produces more draws than any other top league, year after year. Italian football is built around defensive shape, and that shows in the scorelines. If you want to specialise in draws, start there.
Weekend Picks: Where the Real Volume Is
Saturdays and Sundays carry the bulk of the betting calendar. Premier League and La Liga slates on the same day, plus Serie A and Bundesliga, plus the smaller leagues. There’s too much football to bet on every match, and trying is the fastest way to lose a bankroll.
My weekend filter is simple. I rank every match by model confidence, throw out anything below 70%, and look for two or three plays where the bookie line and my model disagree by more than 5 percentage points. Those are the value bets. A “lock” at 1.20 with a true 90% chance is fine, but you make real money when the line is wrong, not when it’s right.
Can You Really Get 90% Accurate Predictions?
The honest version is less exciting: it holds up on safe markets across a short run of bets, and falls apart the moment you want better odds.
Over 1.5 goals in Bundesliga matches hits around 88% historically. Double chance on a heavy home favourite against a bottom-table side hits 90%+. But those are 1.10-1.25 odds. To grow a bankroll meaningfully on those, you’d need huge stakes, and a single 10% loss wipes out many wins.
Anyone selling you “90% accurate predictions” at decent odds is either cherry-picking past results or selling you a dream. The honest target for a profitable bettor is 55-58% on near-evens lines. That’s the level where compounding actually works.
Football Prediction for Tomorrow: Plan, Don’t React
The biggest edge you can get isn’t a better model. It’s earlier lines. Bookmaker odds the day before a match are softer than the same lines an hour before kick-off, because the market hasn’t adjusted to the late money yet. If your model fancies the away team and the price is 2.80 today, it’s likely closer to 2.50 by Saturday morning.
That’s why we publish next-day previews every evening at Forwins. Read them, check the team news the morning of the match, and place early when the value is still there.
BTTS Tips: When Both Teams Actually Score
BTTS is a strange market. It looks like a coin flip, but the long-term hit rate across the top leagues sits around 52-54%. The model edge is small, which means the bookmaker margin matters more here than on most markets. Always shop the line.
BTTS tends to hit in matches where:
- Both teams have scored in 4+ of their last 6 matches
- Neither side has a stand-out goalkeeper
- The favourite likes to attack rather than sit on a 1-0
Bundesliga is the BTTS league. La Liga and Ligue 1 are the worst for it, because the bottom-half teams often struggle to score at all.
Predictions for Nigerian Bettors
Nigeria has one of the most active football betting communities in Africa, and the markets popular with Nigerian bettors aren’t always the ones I’d default to. Multi-bets on weekend EPL games are everywhere. So is interest in the NPFL, where pricing is wider because fewer models cover the league.
If you bet from Nigeria, the same rules apply: stick to leagues you can actually follow, avoid huge accumulators no matter how tempting the payout looks, and shop for the best line. We cover the main European leagues plus selected NPFL fixtures.
The Short Version
A model gives you probabilities. You compare them to the bookie’s price. When your number is meaningfully higher, you bet. When it isn’t, you skip. That’s the entire job.
Everything else, including how many picks we post each day, which leagues we cover, and which markets we trust, follows from that idea. We publish daily previews for the top leagues, plus weekend round-ups every Friday. Take what’s useful, ignore what isn’t.
FAQ: Football Predictions & Betting
What are mathematical football predictions?
Mathematical football predictions are forecasts built from statistical models rather than gut feeling. They combine recent form, expected goals, head-to-head data, lineup news, and home advantage to produce a probability for each outcome. Think of it as a forecast rather than a guarantee. It gives you the likelihood of each result and a sense of how far to trust that number.
How do you predict draws in football?
Look for matches between teams of similar quality (within a few points in the table), low combined xG, and defensive styles. Serie A produces the most draws of any top European league. Atletico-style sides that prioritise structure over attacking risk are also reliable draw candidates, especially when they meet each other.
What does Over 2.5 mean in football betting?
Over 2.5 means betting that the match will end with three or more goals. Final scores of 2-1, 3-0, 3-2, 4-1 all win. A 2-0, 1-1 or 0-0 loses. It’s one of the most popular goal markets because the line cuts cleanly through the most common scorelines.
How do I find value bets?
A value bet is one where your estimated probability is higher than what the bookmaker’s odds imply. If you think a team has a 60% chance to win and the price is 1.90 (implied probability 52.6%), that’s value. Finding these consistently requires a method for estimating probability that isn’t just based on which team you like.
Are weekend predictions different from weekday ones?
The method is the same, but weekends have far more matches, so the filter has to be tighter. With 20+ games across the top leagues on a Saturday, you can afford to skip 90% of them and only bet the ones where the model edge is clear. Weekday matches often have softer lines because the market is thinner.
Can football predictions really be 90% accurate?
Only on safe markets like Over 1.5 in attacking leagues or double chance on heavy favourites, where odds are too short to grow a bankroll meaningfully. On more useful markets like 1X2 picks at 1.80-2.20, a sustainable hit rate sits in the 55-60% range. Anyone claiming 90% accuracy at decent odds is cherry-picking results.
Are your football predictions free?
Yes. All daily picks, weekend previews, and analysis on Forwins.com are free. We publish full reasoning alongside each tip so you can judge whether the logic holds, rather than just copying the bet blindly.
Do you cover Nigerian football?
We cover selected NPFL fixtures and any international matches involving Nigerian teams. The bulk of our daily output is the top European leagues, since that’s where the lines are sharpest and our data is most reliable.
What’s the best market for beginners?
Double chance (1X or X2) is the gentlest starting point. You’re covering two outcomes out of three, so the hit rate is naturally high, and it forces you to think about which outcome you’re ruling out rather than which one you’re picking. Once you’re comfortable, move to 1X2 and over/under markets.
