Mathematical Football Prediction: A Bettor’s Honest Guide

I’ve been betting on football for over a decade, and the single biggest shift in how I pick matches happened the day I stopped trusting my gut and started running the numbers. Mathematical football prediction isn’t magic. It’s just discipline plus data: expected goals, recent form, schedule congestion, lineup news. When you stack those properly, you spot value the casual bettor misses.

This guide is built around what actually works for me on a Saturday afternoon across the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A and Bundesliga. No fluff, no 100%-guaranteed nonsense.

World Cup 2026 — Match Predictions

↻ Reset
1X2
+1.5
GG
+2.5
Match1X2+1.5GG+2.5
England – ArgentinaWorld Cup · Semi-finals · 15/07 19:00 · ⛅ 29°1X250% @3.13+1.556% @1.44GG+2.5
Odds are indicative and may change. Tap any odd to bet on Betwinner. 18+ · please gamble responsibly.

↻ Reset
1X2
+1.5
GG
+2.5
Match1X2+1.5GG+2.5
Brown DE Adrogue – Deportivo Laferrere 0–1Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 15/07 00:00 · ☁ 12°1X2✓ 44%+1.5✗ 72%GG✗ 51%+2.5
Comunicaciones – Villa Dalmine 0–0Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 15/07 00:00 · ☁ 13°1X2✗ 41%+1.5✗ 65%GG+2.5
Deportivo Merlo – Real Pilar 3–2Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 15/07 00:00 · ☁ 13°1X2✗ 36%+1.5✓ 68%GG+2.5
Ituzaingó – San Martín Burzaco 1–2Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 15/07 00:001X2✓ 46%+1.5✓ 51%GG+2.5
Real Oruro – Always Ready 0–6Primera División · Bolivia · 15/07 00:00 · ☀ 11°1✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 67%+2.5✓ 67%
Asheville City – Virginia Beach City 1–0USL League Two · USA · 15/07 01:001✓ 36%X2+1.5✗ 70%GG+2.5
Lehigh Valley United – Appalachian 0–1USL League Two · USA · 15/07 01:001X2✓ 40%+1.5✗ 81%GG✗ 61%+2.5✗ 59%
Manta FC – Delfin SC 0–1Liga Pro · Ecuador · 15/07 02:001X✗ 40%2+1.5GG+2.5
Blooming – Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1–1Primera División · Bolivia · 15/07 02:30 · ⛅ 21°1✗ 76%X2+1.5✓ 78%GG+2.5✗ 54%
New England FC – Ironbound 0–3USL League Two · USA · 15/07 02:301X2✓ 39%+1.5✓ 90%GG✗ 73%+2.5✓ 74%
Cerezo Osaka – Tochigi City 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 09:001X2✗ 43%+1.5✗ 77%GG✗ 56%+2.5✗ 53%
Kashima – Vegalta Sendai 5–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 09:001X2✗ 69%+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 58%+2.5✓ 68%
Yokohama F. Marinos – Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 10:001✗ 45%X2+1.5✓ 71%GG+2.5
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz – Austria Lustenau 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 10:301✗ 60%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 59%+2.5✗ 63%
OH Leuven – Lommel United 5–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 11:001✓ 77%X2+1.5✓ 98%GG✓ 83%+2.5✓ 94%
Freiburg II – Bochum II 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 11:001✗ 69%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 58%+2.5✓ 68%
Chaves – Fafe 4–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 11:301X2✗ 57%+1.5✓ 85%GG✓ 63%+2.5✓ 66%
Tensung – Thimphu City 0–4Premier League · Bhutan · 15/07 12:001X2✓ 78%+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Ansan Greeners – Jinju Citizen 0–2FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✓ 46%+1.5✓ 78%GG✗ 56%+2.5✗ 54%
Changwon City – Gimhae City 1–5FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001✗ 60%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 63%+2.5✓ 67%
Daegu FC – Siheung Citizen 0–1FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001✗ 36%X2+1.5✗ 68%GG+2.5
Hwaseong – Yangpyeong 4–3FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✗ 75%+1.5✓ 93%GG✓ 67%+2.5✓ 81%
Paju Citizen – Gangneung City 3–2FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✗ 41%+1.5✓ 82%GG✓ 62%+2.5✓ 60%
Seongnam FC – Pocheon 2–1FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✗ 41%+1.5✓ 82%GG✓ 62%+2.5✓ 60%
Suwon City FC – Pyeongchang United 3–2FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✗ 46%+1.5✓ 78%GG✓ 56%+2.5✓ 54%
Ulsan Citizen – Seoul E-Land FC 4–2FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001✓ 52%X2+1.5✓ 77%GG✓ 54%+2.5✓ 53%
Yongin City – Dangjin Citizen 0–2FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✓ 41%+1.5✓ 82%GG✗ 62%+2.5✗ 60%
Busan Transportation – Suwon Bluewings 2–1FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001✓ 52%X2+1.5✓ 77%GG✓ 54%+2.5✓ 53%
Cheongju – Gyeongju HNP 4–0FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✗ 52%+1.5✓ 87%GG✗ 68%+2.5✓ 70%
Namyangju – Gimpo Citizen 1–2FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001✗ 63%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 64%
Torreense – Academica 5–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 12:001✓ 42%X2+1.5✓ 73%GG✗ 52%+2.5
Busan I Park – Geoje Citizen 4–0FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✗ 62%+1.5✓ 92%GG✗ 71%+2.5✓ 78%
Cheonan City – Mokpo City 2–1FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:301X2✗ 47%+1.5✓ 90%GG✓ 72%+2.5✓ 74%
Gyeongnam FC – Yeoju Sejong 0–1FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:301X2✓ 58%+1.5✗ 85%GG✗ 62%+2.5✗ 65%
Almere City FC – FC Volendam 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 13:001✓ 51%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 69%+2.5✓ 71%
FC Rostov – Fakel 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 13:001✓ 46%X2+1.5✓ 54%GG+2.5
Paderborn II – Verl 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 13:001X2✓ 61%+1.5✗ 92%GG✗ 72%+2.5✗ 78%
Aarhus – AC Horsens 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 56%X2+1.5✓ 90%GG✗ 70%+2.5✗ 74%
FC Fredericia – Mafra 3–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001X2✗ 43%+1.5✓ 89%GG✓ 71%+2.5✓ 72%
Holstein Kiel – Al-Ahli Jeddah 4–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 36%X2+1.5✓ 77%GG✓ 57%+2.5✓ 53%
Puszcza Niepołomice – Podhale Nowy TargFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:00149%X2+1.584%GG63%+2.563%
Rilski Sportist – MarekFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001X246%+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
SV Zeilsheim – Bayern Alzenau 3–6Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001X2✓ 52%+1.5✓ 73%GG+2.5
Dynamo – Krylia SovetovFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:00139%X2+1.589%GG72%+2.572%
Kisvarda FC – Bukovyna 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✗ 76%X2+1.5✗ 86%GG✗ 51%+2.5✗ 67%
Wisłoka Dębica – Widzew II 2–5Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✗ 69%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 68%
KRC Genk II – RWDM 6–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 63%X2+1.5✓ 89%GG✓ 67%+2.5✓ 73%
Famalicao – Lusitânia Lourosa 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 76%X2+1.5✗ 94%GG✗ 67%+2.5✗ 82%
Fleury 91 – Boulogne 0–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001X2✓ 78%+1.5✓ 91%GG✗ 58%+2.5✗ 76%
Obolon'-Brovar – Chernihiv 3–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 42%X2+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Podlasie Biała Podlaska – Polonia Warszawa U19 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 79%X2+1.5✓ 93%GG✓ 62%+2.5✓ 80%
Clermont Foot – Bourges Foot 18 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001X2✗ 39%+1.5✗ 65%GG+2.5
Czarni Połaniec – Jarosław 1–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✗ 56%X2+1.5✓ 63%GG+2.5
Estrela – Naval 1893 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 39%X2+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Malženice – Zbrojovka BrnoFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:00154%X2+1.595%GG81%+2.585%
Pelikan Łowicz – Swit 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 52%X2+1.5✓ 75%GG✓ 52%+2.5✓ 51%
Polonia Słubice – FC Frankfurt 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 63%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 64%
Portimonense – Rio Ave 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001X2✓ 70%+1.5✓ 80%GG+2.5✓ 58%
Zagłębie Lubin II – Odra Bytom Odrzański 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✗ 45%X2+1.5✗ 86%GG✗ 67%+2.5✗ 67%
Lechia Zielona Góra – Carina Gubin 1–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✗ 72%X2+1.5✓ 93%GG✓ 68%+2.5✓ 80%
Beroe – Maritsa Milevo 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✗ 77%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 51%+2.5✓ 68%
Broń Radom – Ceramika Opoczno 2–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001X2✓ 40%+1.5✓ 79%GG✓ 59%+2.5✓ 57%
Kudrivka – Kolos Kovalivka II 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 55%X2+1.5✓ 77%GG✗ 53%+2.5✗ 53%
Sanjoanense – Felgueiras 1932 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✗ 60%X2+1.5✓ 85%GG✗ 61%+2.5✓ 65%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti – Tunari 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 48%X2+1.5✓ 87%GG✗ 69%+2.5✓ 70%
Unia Swarzędz – Lipno Stęszew 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 50%X2+1.5✓ 79%GG✗ 56%+2.5✓ 55%
RAAL La Louvière – Excelsior Virton 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 15:001✓ 53%X2+1.5✓ 95%GG✓ 82%+2.5✓ 86%
Red Bull Salzburg – Gamba Osaka 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 15:001✗ 55%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✗ 73%+2.5✓ 76%
Vasco U17 – Corinthians U17 0–3Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 15/07 16:001✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 76%GG✗ 55%+2.5✓ 52%
Reims – Francs Borains 4–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 16:001X2✗ 62%+1.5✓ 94%GG✓ 76%+2.5✓ 83%
Odra Opole – Maccabi Netanya 2–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 16:001✗ 39%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✓ 75%+2.5✓ 76%
Warta Sieradz – Polonia Środa 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 16:001✓ 54%X2+1.5✓ 89%GG✓ 69%+2.5✓ 72%
Caen – Gobelins 3–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 16:001X2✓ 49%+1.5✓ 94%GG✓ 79%+2.5✓ 83%
Hansa Rostock – Greifswalder FC 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 16:301X2✗ 54%+1.5✓ 95%GG✗ 81%+2.5✓ 85%
Malisheva – Vllaznia Shkodër 5–0UEFA Europa Conference League · World · 15/07 16:301X2✗ 59%+1.5✓ 80%GG✗ 55%+2.5✓ 58%
Ordabasy – Altay 3–1Cup · Kazakhstan · 15/07 17:001X2✗ 38%+1.5✓ 73%GG✓ 53%+2.5
SSV Jahn Regensburg – Vilzing 2–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:001X2✓ 79%+1.5✓ 97%GG✓ 76%+2.5✓ 91%
FK Jablonec – Metalist 1925 KharkivFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:00158%X2+1.590%GG70%+2.574%
Polonia Warszawa – Zlin 0–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:001X2✓ 56%+1.5✓ 88%GG✗ 67%+2.5✗ 71%
Sturm Graz – Pogon Szczecin 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:001✓ 56%X2+1.5✗ 89%GG✗ 69%+2.5✗ 72%
Ajax – VfL Bochum 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:001X2✗ 44%+1.5✓ 90%GG✓ 73%+2.5✗ 75%
Eintracht Frankfurt II – Waldhof Mannheim 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:001✓ 59%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 64%+2.5✗ 68%
Spišská Nová Ves – Ružomberok II 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:001X2✗ 41%+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 65%+2.5✓ 64%
Energie Cottbus – Mlada Boleslav 2–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:001✗ 49%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 69%+2.5✓ 71%
JIPPO – MP 3–1Ykkösliiga · Finland · 15/07 17:301✓ 43%X2+1.5GG+2.5
GBK – Kraft 6–2Kakkonen – Lohko C · Finland · 15/07 17:301✓ 48%X2+1.5✓ 94%GG✓ 80%+2.5✓ 83%
Zorya Luhansk – Konyaspor 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:301✗ 39%X2+1.5✓ 69%GG+2.5
Dijon – UNFP 5–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:001✓ 39%X2+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Nordlingen – 1. FC Heidenheim 0–9Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:001X2✓ 59%+1.5✓ 80%GG✗ 55%+2.5✓ 58%
Eintracht Trier – Fortuna Köln 1–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:001✗ 63%X2+1.5✓ 93%GG✓ 73%+2.5✓ 80%
Galanta – PiešťanyFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:00182%X2+1.598%GG78%+2.593%
Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen – VfR Aalen 0–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:001X2✓ 46%+1.5✓ 78%GG✗ 56%+2.5✗ 54%
Hradec Králové II – Jablonec II 2–5Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:001✗ 44%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✓ 75%+2.5✓ 77%
Rapid Vienna – Panathinaikos 4–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:001X2✗ 60%+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 63%+2.5✓ 67%
England U20 W – Colombia U20 WFriendlies Women · World · 15/07 18:00154%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
Bahrain U20 – Palestine U20 3–2Friendlies · World · 15/07 18:151X2✗ 46%+1.5GG+2.5
Chemnitzer FC – SpVgg Unterhaching 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:301✓ 63%X2+1.5✓ 87%GG✗ 64%+2.5✓ 70%
Lyon – Servette FC 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:301✓ 70%X2+1.5✓ 97%GG✓ 80%+2.5✓ 89%
SAK Klagenfurt – Austria KlagenfurtFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:30147%X2+1.598%GG91%+2.594%
Patro Eisden – St. Truiden 0–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:301X2✓ 69%+1.5✓ 89%GG✗ 62%+2.5✓ 72%
Red Bull Salzburg – Başakşehir 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:301✗ 55%X2+1.5✓ 80%GG✓ 57%+2.5✓ 58%
Optik Rathenow – BSC Süd 05 1–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:301X2✓ 82%+1.5✓ 96%GG✓ 70%+2.5✓ 88%
Brønshøj – FremFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:30151%X2+1.588%GG69%+2.571%
Krieschow – Altglienicke 0–6Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:301✗ 60%X2+1.5✓ 87%GG✗ 64%+2.5✓ 69%
Libertad – Tecnico Universitario 1–0Liga Pro · Ecuador · 15/07 19:001X2✗ 35%+1.5✗ 63%GG+2.5
Hoek – NAC Breda 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001✗ 48%X2+1.5✓ 79%GG✓ 57%+2.5✓ 55%
Heist – KV Mechelen 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001X2✓ 46%+1.5✗ 78%GG✗ 56%+2.5✗ 54%
Tasmania Berlin – Hertha Zehlendorf 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001✓ 54%X2+1.5✓ 95%GG✗ 81%+2.5✗ 85%
Wiedenbrück – Theesen 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001✓ 39%X2+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Borussia M'gladbach II – TuS Koblenz 3–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001✗ 60%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 59%+2.5✓ 63%
Einheit Rudolstadt – Arnstadt 4–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001✓ 41%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 65%+2.5✓ 64%
SC St. Tönis – Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001X2✓ 63%+1.5✓ 98%GG✓ 86%+2.5✓ 92%
AS Eupen – La Calamine 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001✓ 43%X2+1.5✓ 70%GG+2.5
Vitesse – AEK Athens FC 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001✗ 45%X2+1.5✗ 61%GG+2.5
Universitatea Craiova – ML Vitebsk 1–0UEFA Champions League · World · 15/07 19:30 · ⛅ 27°1✓ 87%X2+1.5✗ 96%GG✗ 62%+2.5✗ 88%
América RJ – Nova Iguaçu 0–1Copa Rio · Brazil · 15/07 19:451✗ 60%X2+1.5✗ 86%GG✗ 63%+2.5✗ 67%
Pérolas Negras – CFRJ / Maricá 0–0Copa Rio · Brazil · 15/07 19:451✗ 79%X2+1.5✗ 93%GG✗ 62%+2.5✗ 80%
Olaria – Bangu 2–0Copa Rio · Brazil · 15/07 19:451✓ 69%X2+1.5✓ 90%GG✗ 65%+2.5✗ 75%
Americano Campos – Portuguesa RJ 1–1Copa Rio · Brazil · 15/07 19:451✗ 52%X2+1.5✓ 77%GG✓ 54%+2.5✗ 53%
Bonsucesso – Madureira 2–2Copa Rio · Brazil · 15/07 19:451✗ 63%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 64%
Blumenau – Metropolitano 4–1Catarinense – 2 · Brazil · 15/07 20:001✓ 35%X2+1.5✓ 71%GG✓ 51%+2.5
Fluminense-SC – Guarani de Palhoça 1–1Catarinense – 2 · Brazil · 15/07 20:001✗ 49%X2+1.5✓ 74%GG✓ 52%+2.5
Jaraguá – Nação 0–2Catarinense – 2 · Brazil · 15/07 20:001X2✓ 58%+1.5✓ 84%GG✗ 60%+2.5✗ 63%
Aldershot Town – Portsmouth 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 20:001✓ 40%X2+1.5✓ 73%GG✗ 53%+2.5
Bangor – ArdsFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 20:00152%X2+1.577%GG54%+2.553%
Skegness Town – Scunthorpe 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 20:001X2✓ 86%+1.5✗ 97%GG✗ 69%+2.5✗ 90%
Atert Bissen – KI Klaksvik 1–2UEFA Champions League · World · 15/07 20:15 · ☀ 24°1X2✓ 59%+1.5✓ 80%GG✓ 55%+2.5✓ 58%
Dečić – FK Liepaja 1–2UEFA Europa Conference League · World · 15/07 20:30 · ☀ 28°1✗ 46%X2+1.5✓ 70%GG+2.5
Sao Luis – Pinheiro 0–1Maranhense – 2 · Brazil · 15/07 20:301✗ 44%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Ards Rangers – Ballymacash Rangers 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 20:301✗ 49%X2+1.5✓ 78%GG✓ 56%+2.5✗ 54%
Solihull Moors – Birmingham 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 20:451X2✓ 59%+1.5✓ 80%GG✗ 55%+2.5✓ 58%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Petrocub 6–1UEFA Champions League · World · 15/07 21:001X✗ 34%2+1.5✓ 59%GG+2.5
Sutjeska – Kairat Almaty 0–2UEFA Champions League · World · 15/07 21:001X2✓ 59%+1.5✓ 80%GG✗ 55%+2.5✗ 58%
Araioses – Cordino 2–0Maranhense – 2 · Brazil · 15/07 21:001✓ 63%X2+1.5✓ 52%GG+2.5
Timon MA – Tupan 5–1Maranhense – 2 · Brazil · 15/07 21:001✓ 44%X2+1.5✓ 62%GG+2.5
England – Argentina 1–2World Cup · World · 15/07 21:00 · ⛅ 29°1X2✓ 48%+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 67%+2.5✓ 68%
CEAC / Araruama – Boavista SC 0–1Copa Rio · Brazil · 15/07 21:001✗ 39%X2+1.5✗ 67%GG+2.5
Cuniburo – El Nacional 2–1Liga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 15/07 21:30 · 🌦 19°1✓ 69%X2+1.5✓ 77%GG+2.5✓ 53%
Austin – CharlotteFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 22:00142%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Lago Verde – ExpressinhoMaranhense – 2 · Brazil · 15/07 22:00170%X2+1.576%GG+2.552%
Leones del Norte – Deportivo Cuenca 1–1Liga Pro · Ecuador · 16/07 00:001✗ 42%X2+1.5✓ 55%GG+2.5
Universidad Catolica – LDU de Quito 1–0Liga Pro · Ecuador · 16/07 00:00 · ⛅ 15°1✓ 46%X2+1.5✗ 76%GG✗ 55%+2.5✗ 52%
Real Potosí – San Antonio Bulo Bulo 5–0Primera División · Bolivia · 16/07 00:001✓ 61%X2+1.5✓ 78%GG✗ 51%+2.5✓ 54%
Caravaggio – Tubarao 2–1Catarinense – 2 · Brazil · 16/07 00:001✓ 50%X2+1.5✓ 80%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 58%
One Knoxville – Fort Wayne 2–1USL League One · USA · 16/07 00:301✓ 38%X2+1.5✓ 68%GG+2.5
Hercílio Luz – Juventus SC 1–0Catarinense – 2 · Brazil · 16/07 00:301✓ 73%X2+1.5✗ 75%GG+2.5✗ 51%
Resende – Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0–1Copa Rio · Brazil · 16/07 00:301✗ 92%X2+1.5✗ 98%GG✗ 64%+2.5✗ 93%
Lexington – New Mexico United 1–4USL Championship · USA · 16/07 01:001✗ 49%X2+1.5✓ 62%GG+2.5
Miami FC – Indy Eleven 2–0USL Championship · USA · 16/07 01:001✓ 40%X2+1.5✓ 79%GG✗ 59%+2.5✗ 57%
Chattanooga Red Wolves – Alta 1–0USL League One · USA · 16/07 01:001✓ 57%X2+1.5✗ 75%GG+2.5✗ 51%
Orlando Pride W – Boston Legacy W 0–1NWSL Women · USA · 16/07 01:001✗ 57%X2+1.5✗ 73%GG+2.5
New England II – Columbus Crew II 2–2MLS Next Pro · USA · 16/07 01:00 · ☀ 21°1✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 65%+2.5✓ 64%
Sporting JAX – Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2–1USL Championship · USA · 16/07 01:301X2✗ 55%+1.5✓ 89%GG✓ 70%+2.5✓ 73%
Forward Madison – Richmond Kickers 4–0USL League One · USA · 16/07 02:00 · ☀ 30°1✓ 75%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 53%+2.5✓ 68%
NJ/NY Gotham FC W – Washington Spirit W 1–0NWSL Women · USA · 16/07 02:001X2✗ 37%+1.5✗ 58%GG+2.5
RB Bragantino U20 – Athletico PR U20 3–1Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 16/07 02:001X2✗ 41%+1.5✓ 94%GG✓ 80%+2.5✓ 83%
Barcelona SC – Guayaquil City FCLiga Pro · Ecuador · 16/07 02:30154%X2+1.563%GG+2.5
Houston Dynamo – America de CaliFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 02:30145%X2+1.569%GG+2.5
Kawasaki Frontale – Vanraure HachinoheFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 03:30184%X2+1.595%GG63%+2.586%
Real Salt Lake – BurnleyFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 04:00147%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Malaysia W – SingaporeAsean Championship Women · World · 16/07 10:45139%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Indonesia W – Cambodia WAsean Championship Women · World · 16/07 10:451X251%+1.588%GG69%+2.571%
Fulham United – Cumberland UnitedSouth Australia State League 1 · Australia · 16/07 11:45150%X2+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Raków Częstochowa – GKS KatowiceFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 12:00160%X2+1.592%GG73%+2.579%
Arys – Turan Turkistan1. Division · Kazakhstan · 16/07 14:001X260%+1.581%GG55%+2.559%
Ekibastuz – Shakhter Karagandy1. Division · Kazakhstan · 16/07 14:001X258%+1.579%GG54%+2.557%
Taraz – Aktobe Jas1. Division · Kazakhstan · 16/07 14:00 · ☀ 36°171%X2+1.592%GG66%+2.578%
Thimphu – ParoPremier League · Bhutan · 16/07 14:001X283%+1.579%GG+2.555%
FC Copenhagen – ViborgFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 14:00162%X2+1.593%GG74%+2.580%
LNZ Cherkasy – GöztepeFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 14:001X254%+1.566%GG+2.5
Puskas Academy – BaşakşehirFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 14:00139%X2+1.569%GG+2.5
Dinamo Makhachkala – Dinamo St. PetersburgFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 14:00154%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
HNK Gorica – Epitsentr DunayivtsiFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 14:001X236%+1.572%GG52%+2.5
Atl. Rafaela 2 – Independiente Riva. Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 16/07 15:001X239%+1.572%GG52%+2.5
Godoy Cruz Res. – Argentinos Juniors Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 16/07 15:00134%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Huracán Res. – Newell's Old Boys Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 16/07 15:00145%X2+1.563%GG+2.5
Independiente Res. – Deportivo Riestra Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 16/07 15:00158%X2+1.576%GG50%+2.552%
Platense Res. – San Martín San Juan Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 16/07 15:00178%X2+1.588%GG54%+2.571%
Tigre Res. – Instituto Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 16/07 15:001X236%+1.568%GG+2.5
Tanzania Prisons – Polisi TanzaniaLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 16/07 15:00 · ☁ 17°1X280%+1.582%GG+2.560%
Khan Tengri – Yelimay Semey 21. Division · Kazakhstan · 16/07 16:00154%X2+1.576%GG52%+2.552%
Nürnberg II – Austria LustenauFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 16:00146%X2+1.582%GG61%+2.560%
Al Ahed – Al NejmehPremier League · Lebanon · 16/07 16:30 · ⛅ 27°1X241%+1.574%GG53%+2.5
Bunyodkor – NasafSuper League · Uzbekistan · 16/07 17:001X240%+1.573%GG53%+2.5
Neftchi – BuxoroSuper League · Uzbekistan · 16/07 17:00 · ☀ 31°162%X2+1.577%GG+2.553%
Sogdiana – XorazmSuper League · Uzbekistan · 16/07 17:00 · ☀ 31°1X241%+1.580%GG60%+2.558%
FC Astana – Dinamo TiranaUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 17:00 · ☀ 23°1X239%+1.565%GG+2.5
Inter Turku – FK SarajevoUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 17:00 · ☀ 24°1X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Yelimay Semey – AlashkertUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 17:00 · 🌦 25°1X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv – Hradec KrálovéFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 17:301X256%+1.585%GG63%+2.565%
NK Slaven Belupo – PaksFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 17:301X263%+1.596%GG82%+2.588%
Viimsi – ElvaEsiliiga A · Estonia · 16/07 18:00 · ☀ 20°141%X2+1.584%GG65%+2.564%
HIFK Helsinki – PPJKakkonen – Lohko A · Finland · 16/07 18:00148%X2+1.591%GG75%+2.577%
Paide – Hegelmann LitauenUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 18:00 · ☀ 21°1X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Pyunik Yerevan – MarsaxlokkUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 18:00 · ⛅ 24°173%X2+1.592%GG66%+2.579%
St Joseph S Fc – BohemiansUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 18:001X249%+1.586%GG66%+2.567%
Torpedo Kutaisi – ZiraUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 18:00 · ⛅ 22°1X268%+1.594%GG73%+2.582%
Jagiellonia – Sparta PrahaFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 18:00169%X2+1.584%GG54%+2.563%
Be'sat Kermanshah – Pars Jonoubi JAMAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:151X236%+1.555%GG+2.5
Damash Gilanian – Fard AlborzAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:151X254%+1.5GG+2.5
Mes Soongoun – Shahrdari NoshahrAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:15143%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Mes Kerman – Navad UrmiaAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:15145%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Naft Gachsaran – Mes Shahr-e BabakAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:151X248%+1.555%GG+2.5
Nassaji Mazandaran – Ario EslamshahrAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:15154%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Niroye Zamini – Sanat NaftAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:151X40%2+1.5GG+2.5
Saipa – Naft Bandar AbbasAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:151X43%2+1.5GG+2.5
Shenavarsazi Qeshm – HavadarAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:151X39%2+1.5GG+2.5
Slovan Bratislava – PafosFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 18:15171%X2+1.582%GG+2.561%
SC Wiener Neustadt – QPRFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 18:301X250%+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
FC Levadia Tallinn – Caernarfon TownUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 18:30 · ☀ 23°191%X2+1.599%GG69%+2.595%
Rīgas FS – GlentoranUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 18:30 · ☁ 25°159%X2+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Apollon Limassol – AEK LarnacaFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 18:30149%X2+1.582%GG61%+2.561%
Valerenga – AalesundEliteserien · Norway · 16/07 19:00145%X2+1.575%GG54%+2.551%
Bate Borisov – AF ElbasaniUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 19:00 · ⛅ 26°1X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Dinamo Tbilisi – US Mondorf-les-bainsUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 19:00 · ☀ 22°159%X2+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
FC Santa Coloma – PenybontUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 19:00 · ☀ 26°1X239%+1.565%GG+2.5
Milsami Orhei – VeležUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 19:00 · ☀ 25°1X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Vikingur Gota – StjarnanUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 19:00 · ⛅ 25°1X277%+1.591%GG60%+2.576%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius – PetrovacUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 19:00 · ☀ 25°177%X2+1.591%GG60%+2.576%
Hamrun Spartans – NSI RunavikUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 19:30 · ☀ 30°1X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Derry City – CSKA SofiaUEFA Europa League · World · 16/07 19:30 · ☀ 22°1X258%+1.596%GG82%+2.588%
São Gonçalo EC RJ – Volta RedondaCopa Rio · Brazil · 16/07 19:45153%X2+1.589%GG70%+2.573%
Juventus U20 – Sertãozinho U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 16/07 20:00167%X2+1.578%GG+2.554%
Shkendija – EuropaUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 20:00 · ⛅ 26°191%X2+1.599%GG69%+2.595%
Sileks – Dinamo MinskUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 20:00 · ⛅ 26°1X239%+1.565%GG+2.5
Ferencvarosi TC – VojvodinaUEFA Europa League · World · 16/07 20:15 · ☀ 28°159%X2+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Žilina – HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa League · World · 16/07 20:301X249%+1.586%GG66%+2.567%
Al Ansar – Jwaaya FCPremier League · Lebanon · 16/07 20:30 · ⛅ 26°145%X2+1.577%GG56%+2.553%
Mornar – Atlètic Club d'EscaldesUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 20:45 · ⛅ 27°1X259%+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Linfield – Kalju NommeUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 20:45 · ☁ 23°146%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
Atletico FC – San AntonioLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 16/07 21:00149%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Virtus – DilaUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 21:00 · ☀ 26°1X277%+1.591%GG60%+2.576%
Palmeiras U20 – Corinthians U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 16/07 21:00140%X2+1.588%GG71%+2.571%
Afturelding – Leiknir R.1. Deild · Iceland · 16/07 21:15 · 🌦 10°157%X2+1.592%GG73%+2.578%
Vestri – QarabagUEFA Europa League · World · 16/07 22:001X268%+1.594%GG73%+2.582%
Fort Lauderdale United – Southern Soccer AcademyUSL League Two · USA · 16/07 22:001X249%+1.584%GG63%+2.563%
Minneapolis City – West Virginia AllianceUSL League Two · USA · 16/07 22:00173%X2+1.590%GG63%+2.575%
Cumbayá – 9 de OctubreLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 16/07 22:30 · ⛅ 18°1X38%2+1.5GG+2.5
Aucas – Independiente del ValleLiga Pro · Ecuador · 16/07 23:30 · 🌦 16°1X244%+1.578%GG57%+2.554%
Little Rock Rangers – GFIUSL League Two · USA · 17/07 00:00143%X2+1.587%GG69%+2.569%
Botafogo – SantosSerie A · Brazil · 17/07 00:30 · ☀ 20°149%X2+1.588%GG69%+2.571%
Vitoria – Vasco DA GamaSerie A · Brazil · 17/07 00:30 · 🌦 23°161%X2+1.576%GG+2.552%
Forge – Pacific FCCanadian Premier League · Canada · 17/07 01:00164%X2+1.575%GG+2.551%
CRB – Nautico RecifeSerie B · Brazil · 17/07 01:00140%X2+1.585%GG67%+2.566%
Ottawa Rapid W – Halifax Tides WNorthern Super League · Canada · 17/07 01:00145%X2+1.575%GG54%+2.551%
Corinthians – MaringáFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 01:00139%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
CF Montreal – Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · USA · 17/07 01:30156%X2+1.581%GG57%+2.559%
Orense SC – EmelecLiga Pro · Ecuador · 17/07 02:00144%X2+1.559%GG+2.5
Santo Domingo – Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 17/07 02:00156%X2+1.563%GG+2.5
Chicago Fire – Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer · USA · 17/07 02:30137%X2+1.584%GG65%+2.564%
St. Louis City – Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer · USA · 17/07 02:30169%X2+1.585%GG56%+2.566%
Dothan United – The VillagesUSL League Two · USA · 17/07 02:30150%X2+1.573%GG50%+2.5
Peoria – SuenoUSL League Two · USA · 17/07 02:301X240%+1.587%GG70%+2.570%
Sarmiento Junin – Boca JuniorsCopa Argentina · Argentina · 17/07 02:451X245%+1.579%GG58%+2.555%
Laredo Heat – TexomaUSL League Two · USA · 17/07 03:15146%X2+1.582%GG61%+2.560%
Seattle Sounders – Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer · USA · 17/07 04:30158%X2+1.582%GG58%+2.561%
Sydney FC U20 – Manly Utd U20Npl Nsw U20 · Australia · 17/07 09:30139%X2+1.592%GG77%+2.579%
Ural U20 – Dinamo Moskva U19Youth Championship · Russia · 17/07 10:00144%X2+1.585%GG66%+2.566%
FC Bacau – Gloria BistriţaFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 10:001X255%+1.589%GG70%+2.573%
Leganes – AlbaceteFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 10:001X243%+1.577%GG56%+2.553%
Aragvi Dusheti – FC UrartuFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 10:00141%X2+1.589%GG72%+2.572%
Zbrojovka Brno – HanáckáFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 10:15157%X2+1.586%GG65%+2.568%
Almaz Antey U19 – Dynamo Makhachkala U19Youth Championship · Russia · 17/07 11:00152%X2+1.593%GG76%+2.580%
Sydney FC U23 – Manly UnitedNew South Wales NPL · Australia · 17/07 11:30146%X2+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Green Gully – Dandenong ThunderVictoria NPL · Australia · 17/07 11:30140%X2+1.585%GG66%+2.565%
Bentleigh Greens – Dandenong CityVictoria NPL · Australia · 17/07 11:301X240%+1.582%GG63%+2.561%
Campbelltown City – Adelaide CometsSouth Australia NPL · Australia · 17/07 11:30157%X2+1.580%GG56%+2.558%
Box Hill – Altona CityVictoria Premier League 2 · Australia · 17/07 11:30138%X2+1.575%GG55%+2.551%
Eastern Lions – Bayside ArgonautsVictoria Premier League 2 · Australia · 17/07 11:451X246%+1.584%GG65%+2.564%
Hurstville FC – Dulwich HillNew South Wales NPL 2 · Australia · 17/07 12:00143%X2+1.575%GG54%+2.551%
Prospect United – Macarthur RamsNew South Wales NPL 2 · Australia · 17/07 12:001X243%+1.557%GG+2.5
Suwon FMC W – Hwacheon KSPO WWK-League · South-Korea · 17/07 12:00137%X2+1.571%GG51%+2.5
Wisla Plock – ŁKS ŁódźFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 12:00140%X2+1.561%GG+2.5
FC Nordsjaelland – Sparta PrahaFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 12:001X243%+1.580%GG60%+2.558%
Sonderjyske – Kolding IFFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 12:001X251%+1.596%GG83%+2.587%
Jong AZ – Jong AjaxFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 12:00163%X2+1.584%GG58%+2.564%
Viborg – Aarhus FremadFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 12:00163%X2+1.584%GG58%+2.564%
Northcote City – Manningham United BluesVictoria NPL 2 · Australia · 17/07 12:30157%X2+1.582%GG58%+2.560%
Melbourne Knights – Brunswick CityVictoria NPL 2 · Australia · 17/07 12:30163%X2+1.584%GG58%+2.564%
West Torrens Birkalla – Para Hills KnightsSouth Australia NPL · Australia · 17/07 12:30188%X2+1.593%GG+2.580%
Springvale – NunawadingVictoria Premier League 2 · Australia · 17/07 12:30158%X2+1.579%GG54%+2.557%
Whittlesea United – Essendon Royals SCVictoria Premier League 2 · Australia · 17/07 12:30141%X2+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Roda – Beerschot VAFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 12:301X255%+1.598%GG87%+2.592%
Qingdao Youth Island – Chengdu Better CitySuper League · China · 17/07 13:001X237%+1.574%GG54%+2.5
Bayswater City – SorrentoWestern Australia NPL · Australia · 17/07 13:00157%X2+1.584%GG61%+2.564%
Perth – Western KnightsWestern Australia NPL · Australia · 17/07 13:00149%X2+1.584%GG63%+2.563%
Changchun Yatai – Wuxi WugouLeague One · China · 17/07 13:001X242%+1.581%GG61%+2.559%
Suzhou Dongwu – Shenzhen JuniorsLeague One · China · 17/07 13:001X259%+1.586%GG64%+2.568%
Vejle – HB KogeFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 13:001X239%+1.583%GG64%+2.562%
Aalborg – SilkeborgFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 13:00142%X2+1.589%GG72%+2.573%
Dongguan United – Nantong ZhiyunLeague One · China · 17/07 13:301X251%+1.563%GG+2.5
Hebei Kungfu – Yanbian LongdingLeague One · China · 17/07 13:301X250%+1.567%GG+2.5
Feyenoord – CharleroiFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 13:30167%X2+1.594%GG74%+2.583%
Beijing Guoan – Shenyang UrbanSuper League · China · 17/07 13:35151%X2+1.582%GG61%+2.561%
Henan Jianye – Qingdao JonoonSuper League · China · 17/07 13:35144%X2+1.579%GG59%+2.557%
Akademiya Konoplev U20 – Rodina Moscow U19Youth Championship · Russia · 17/07 14:00141%X2+1.572%GG51%+2.5
Rubin Kazan U20 – Nizhny Novgorod U19Youth Championship · Russia · 17/07 14:001X242%+1.586%GG68%+2.568%
Spartak Moskva U19 – Lokomotiv Moskva U19Youth Championship · Russia · 17/07 14:001X246%+1.593%GG77%+2.580%
Yunnan Yukun – SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League · China · 17/07 14:00147%X2+1.582%GG62%+2.561%
Sport Academy Kairat – Kaspij Aktau 21. Division · Kazakhstan · 17/07 14:00179%X2+1.588%GG52%+2.571%
Korona Kielce – NiecieczaFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:001X250%+1.580%GG58%+2.558%
Piast Gliwice – Polonia BytomFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:00146%X2+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
De Graafschap – TelstarFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:00135%X2+1.571%GG51%+2.5
Odra Opole – Ironi Kiryat ShmonaFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:001X234%+1.561%GG+2.5
Prostějov – Floridsdorfer ACFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:00157%X2+1.577%GG52%+2.553%
Motor Lublin – Hapoel KatamonFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:00166%X2+1.593%GG73%+2.581%
St. Pauli II – Altona 93Friendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:001X243%+1.595%GG81%+2.584%
Zalaegerszegi TE – Epitsentr DunayivtsiFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:001X249%+1.588%GG69%+2.571%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – Wigry SuwałkiFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:001X240%+1.585%GG66%+2.565%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz – Tatran PrešovFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:00183%X2+1.587%GG+2.570%
Sportist Svoge – Maccabi Petah TikvaFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:00143%X2+1.591%GG75%+2.576%
Świt Skolwin – Stargard SzczecińskiFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:001X249%+1.591%GG74%+2.576%
Alverca – CF Os BelenensesFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:00136%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
Kolos Kovalivka – KudrivkaFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:00160%X2+1.582%GG57%+2.561%
Levante – Sheffield UtdFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:00135%X2+1.571%GG51%+2.5
Star Starachowice – Moravia MorawicaFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:00185%X2+1.597%GG72%+2.591%
Třinec – Sigma Olomouc IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:00162%X2+1.586%GG61%+2.567%
Spaeri – FC UrartuFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:00147%X2+1.592%GG75%+2.578%
Unia Swarzędz – Sokół KleczewFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:001X261%+1.592%GG72%+2.578%
Maritimo – LeixoesFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 14:00145%X2+1.561%GG+2.5
Tobol 2 – Akademiya Ontustik1. Division · Kazakhstan · 17/07 15:001X243%+1.592%GG77%+2.579%
FC Nordsjaelland – JagielloniaFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 15:001X236%+1.570%GG+2.5
SKN ST. Polten – Slovan LiberecFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 15:001X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Sigma Olomouc – Al SaddFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 15:00155%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Boston City U20 – América Mineiro U20Mineiro U20 · Brazil · 17/07 15:001X241%+1.583%GG63%+2.562%
Itabirito U20 – Social U20Mineiro U20 · Brazil · 17/07 15:00155%X2+1.583%GG60%+2.562%
FSV Mainz 05 – 1. FC KaiserslauternFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 15:30168%X2+1.5100%GG95%+2.599%
Fakel U19 – Zenit U19Youth Championship · Russia · 17/07 16:001X261%+1.588%GG66%+2.571%
Rostov U19 – Chertanovo U20Youth Championship · Russia · 17/07 16:00157%X2+1.583%GG60%+2.562%
Astana II – Jaiyq1. Division · Kazakhstan · 17/07 16:00145%X2+1.582%GG62%+2.561%
Zaglebie Lubin – Bohemians 1905Friendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 16:00140%X2+1.589%GG72%+2.573%
Le Havre – AmiensFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 16:00159%X2+1.593%GG75%+2.581%
FC Midtjylland – OdenseFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 16:00164%X2+1.585%GG58%+2.565%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – KarpatyFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 16:00144%X2+1.559%GG+2.5
ASA Targu Mures – MetaloglobusFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 16:00141%X2+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Sparta Praha II – FSV ZwickauFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 16:30143%X2+1.593%GG79%+2.581%
Radcliffe – ShrewsburyFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 16:30137%X2+1.554%GG+2.5
SSV Jeddeloh – Preußen MünsterFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 16:301X249%+1.596%GG84%+2.588%
Mash'al – Kokand-1912Super League · Uzbekistan · 17/07 17:00134%X2+1.565%GG+2.5
Navbahor – OlmaliqSuper League · Uzbekistan · 17/07 17:00143%X2+1.568%GG+2.5
Pakhtakor – LokomotivSuper League · Uzbekistan · 17/07 17:00149%X2+1.585%GG65%+2.565%
CSKA Moskva W – Rostov WSupreme Division Women · Russia · 17/07 17:00182%X2+1.573%GG+2.5
Lincoln – Leyton OrientFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 17:001X269%+1.586%GG58%+2.568%
Annecy – FC SionFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 17:001X258%+1.590%GG70%+2.574%
Ried – Rot-Weiß EssenFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 17:001X288%+1.598%GG71%+2.593%
Zbrojovka Brno – PodbrezováFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 17:00164%X2+1.590%GG67%+2.574%
Hertha BSC II – SchöningenFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 17:00172%X2+1.593%GG69%+2.581%
Metz – Seraing UnitedFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 17:00174%X2+1.593%GG68%+2.581%
Montpellier – Le Puy FootFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 17:00148%X2+1.580%GG59%+2.558%
Wolfsberger AC – SV KapfenbergFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 17:00158%X2+1.587%GG65%+2.569%
Austria Vienna (Am) – SV LafnitzFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 17:00178%X2+1.594%GG68%+2.584%
Wacker Burghausen – Augsburg IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 17:00148%X2+1.589%GG71%+2.573%
Humenné – Sandecja Nowy SączFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 17:001X245%+1.585%GG65%+2.565%
Viktoria Žižkov – Baník SoušFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 17:00165%X2+1.590%GG68%+2.575%
GrIFK – ÅIFKKakkonen – Lohko B · Finland · 17/07 17:301X255%+1.582%GG59%+2.560%
Vaajakoski – Huima / UrhoKakkonen – Lohko C · Finland · 17/07 17:30143%X2+1.595%GG83%+2.586%
Rennes – GuingampFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 17:301X281%+1.593%GG61%+2.580%
KäPa – SJK AkatemiaYkkösliiga · Finland · 17/07 18:00150%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Klubi-04 – HakaYkkösliiga · Finland · 17/07 18:001X246%+1.5GG+2.5
Flora Tallinn – Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga · Estonia · 17/07 18:00167%X2+1.588%GG63%+2.571%
Krasnodar U19 – CSKA Moskva U19Youth Championship · Russia · 17/07 18:00144%X2+1.595%GG82%+2.585%
Bayreuth – FC Carl Zeiss JenaFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 18:00183%X2+1.586%GG+2.568%
FC Astoria Walldorf – SV Darmstadt 98Friendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 18:00162%X2+1.596%GG81%+2.588%
Ústí nad Labem – Dukla PrahaFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 18:00185%X2+1.595%GG62%+2.585%
Rodez – CannesFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 18:00161%X2+1.597%GG84%+2.590%
Oudenaarde – Club Brugge IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 18:001X250%+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Falkenbergs FF – LaholmFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 18:00176%X2+1.578%GG+2.554%
FC Viktoria Köln – SV ElversbergFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 18:00144%X2+1.597%GG86%+2.590%
BFC Dynamo – BAK '07Friendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 18:001X275%+1.590%GG60%+2.574%
Charlotte Independence 2 – AppalachianUSL League Two · USA · 17/07 18:001X238%+1.579%GG59%+2.555%
Rapid Wien II – Wiener SCFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 18:30163%X2+1.592%GG71%+2.578%
FC 08 Homburg – PirmasensFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 18:30159%X2+1.591%GG71%+2.576%
Olympiakos Piraeus – Fortuna SittardFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 18:301X240%+1.566%GG+2.5
PAU – BayonneFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 18:30136%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
WSG Wattens – Hertha BSCFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 18:301X298%+1.597%GG+2.590%
Krems / Rehberg – SKU AmstettenFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 18:301X261%+1.582%GG55%+2.560%
Luckenwalde – Germania HalberstadtFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 18:30159%X2+1.579%GG53%+2.555%
IFK Goteborg – IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan · Sweden · 17/07 19:001X244%+1.578%GG57%+2.554%
Mjallby AIF – Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan · Sweden · 17/07 19:00139%X2+1.578%GG58%+2.554%
Dunajska Streda – BoltonFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 19:001X257%+1.592%GG73%+2.578%
FC Winterthur – Union BerlinFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 19:001X269%+1.591%GG67%+2.577%
Club Brugge KV – HeerenveenFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 19:001X271%+1.599%GG91%+2.597%
Gloggnitz – WeizFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 19:00182%X2+1.589%GG50%+2.572%
Istra 1961 – Milton Keynes DonsFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 19:001X244%+1.595%GG82%+2.585%
Zelzate – Lokeren-TemseFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 19:001X277%+1.591%GG60%+2.576%
Bitburg – Eintracht TrierFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 19:001X294%+1.598%GG57%+2.592%
Getafe – ReadingFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 19:001X246%+1.578%GG56%+2.554%
Lebring – MooskirchenFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 19:00162%X2+1.599%GG91%+2.596%
Utrecht – V-varen NagasakiFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 19:001X247%+1.571%GG+2.5
Bodo/Glimt – FredrikstadEliteserien · Norway · 17/07 19:15179%X2+1.586%GG+2.567%
Bergisch Gladbach – HildenFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 19:15171%X2+1.595%GG75%+2.585%
Rapperswil – ChamFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 19:30164%X2+1.595%GG77%+2.584%
Vorwärts-Wacker 04 – Eimsbütteler TVFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 19:30176%X2+1.5100%GG91%+2.598%
Almirante Brown – CA EstudiantesPrimera Nacional · Argentina · 17/07 20:00138%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Deportivo Maipu – San Martin TucumanPrimera Nacional · Argentina · 17/07 20:00143%X2+1.554%GG+2.5
Defensores de Cambaceres – General LamadridPrimera C · Argentina · 17/07 20:00146%X2+1.568%GG+2.5
Deportivo Español – Victoriano ArenasPrimera C · Argentina · 17/07 20:001X39%2+1.5GG+2.5
Lugano – Sportivo BarracasPrimera C · Argentina · 17/07 20:00149%X2+1.559%GG+2.5
Yupanqui – Argentino RosarioPrimera C · Argentina · 17/07 20:00151%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
Vitória BA W – Botafogo WBrasileiro Women · Brazil · 17/07 20:00137%X2+1.579%GG59%+2.557%
Bandeirante U20 – Novorizontino U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 17/07 20:00135%X2+1.571%GG51%+2.5
Capivariano U20 – Referencia U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 17/07 20:00154%X2+1.576%GG52%+2.552%
Desportivo Brasil U20 – União São João U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 17/07 20:00134%X2+1.565%GG+2.5
Ibrachina U20 – Botafogo SP U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 17/07 20:00182%X2+1.588%GG+2.571%
Itapirense U20 – América-SP U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 17/07 20:00166%X2+1.592%GG69%+2.578%
Ituano U20 – Mauá U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 17/07 20:00161%X2+1.574%GG+2.5
Jabaquara U20 – Portuguesa Santista U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 17/07 20:00152%X2+1.580%GG58%+2.558%
Osasco Audax U20 – Guarani U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 17/07 20:00158%X2+1.562%GG+2.5
SC Paulinense SP U20 – Oeste U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 17/07 20:001X240%+1.566%GG+2.5
XV de Piracicaba U20 – Aguai U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 17/07 20:00149%X2+1.582%GG61%+2.561%
São Caetano U20 – EC São Bernardo U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 17/07 20:00136%X2+1.575%GG55%+2.551%
União Suzano U20 – Portuguesa U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 17/07 20:001X242%+1.584%GG64%+2.563%
Alfreton Town – DerbyFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 20:001X255%+1.573%GG+2.5
Pinheiros – Sport Brasil ESCapixaba B · Brazil · 17/07 20:00145%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
FC Cajamarca – Juan Pablo II CollegePrimera División · Peru · 17/07 20:00158%X2+1.588%GG67%+2.571%
Motherwell – GenkFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 20:001X275%+1.593%GG67%+2.581%
West Brom – BromleyFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 20:00179%X2+1.595%GG68%+2.585%
Albion FC – JuventudPrimera División – Apertura · Uruguay · 17/07 20:00150%X2+1.583%GG62%+2.562%
Athletic Club MG U20 – Nacional de Muriae U20Mineiro U20 · Brazil · 17/07 20:00142%X2+1.571%GG50%+2.5
Coimbra U20 – Betim U20Mineiro U20 · Brazil · 17/07 20:00152%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
FC ST. Gallen – NorwichFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 20:00154%X2+1.584%GG62%+2.563%
Austria Vienna – PaksFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 20:001X261%+1.595%GG78%+2.584%
FC Lugano – FC VaduzFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 20:151X257%+1.587%GG66%+2.570%
Accrington ST – BradfordFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 20:301X267%+1.590%GG65%+2.574%
Longridge Town – ClitheroeFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 20:301X250%+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Bishop's Cleeve – HerefordFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 20:451X259%+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Athlone Town – MidletonFAI Cup · Ireland · 17/07 20:451X241%+1.582%GG62%+2.560%
Drogheda United – Lucan UnitedFAI Cup · Ireland · 17/07 20:451X266%+1.595%GG78%+2.586%
Galway United – Crumlin UnitedFAI Cup · Ireland · 17/07 20:451X262%+1.592%GG71%+2.578%
St Mochta's – DundalkFAI Cup · Ireland · 17/07 20:45153%X2+1.595%GG82%+2.586%
Benfica – VillarrealFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 20:451X243%+1.577%GG56%+2.553%
Heart Of Midlothian – Rayo VallecanoFriendlies Clubs · World · 17/07 20:451X243%+1.577%GG56%+2.553%
Amal Tiznit – Olympique DcheïraBotola Pro · Morocco · 17/07 21:001X236%+1.572%GG52%+2.5
El Massira – UTS RabatBotola Pro · Morocco · 17/07 21:00139%X2+1.572%GG52%+2.5
Fylkir – Njardvik1. Deild · Iceland · 17/07 21:15152%X2+1.569%GG+2.5
Haukar – Thróttur Vogar2. Deild · Iceland · 17/07 21:15173%X2+1.591%GG63%+2.576%
KFG – Kári2. Deild · Iceland · 17/07 21:151X248%+1.595%GG83%+2.586%
Hvíti riddarinn – Vikingur Olafsiik2. Deild · Iceland · 17/07 22:00155%X2+1.583%GG60%+2.562%
Steel City – Northern IndianaUSL League Two · USA · 17/07 22:00158%X2+1.574%GG+2.5
America-RN – GamaSerie D · Brazil · 17/07 22:00141%X2+1.562%GG+2.5
Cianorte – ASASerie D · Brazil · 17/07 22:00139%X2+1.569%GG+2.5
Sao Jose – TrezeSerie D · Brazil · 17/07 22:00137%X2+1.571%GG51%+2.5
Goiatuba EC – FerroviarioSerie D · Brazil · 17/07 22:00143%X2+1.551%GG+2.5
Luverdense – ABCSerie D · Brazil · 17/07 22:00139%X2+1.558%GG+2.5
Nacional AM – IguatuSerie D · Brazil · 17/07 22:001X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
São Luiz – CSASerie D · Brazil · 17/07 22:001X246%+1.584%GG65%+2.564%
Uberlandia – PortuguesaSerie D · Brazil · 17/07 22:001X236%+1.568%GG+2.5
Ocean City Nor'easters – FC Motown IIUSL League Two · USA · 17/07 22:00143%X2+1.583%GG63%+2.562%
Sporting Cristal – Deportivo GarcilasoPrimera División · Peru · 17/07 22:15150%X2+1.573%GG50%+2.5
Nueva Chicago – AgropecuarioPrimera Nacional · Argentina · 17/07 23:00154%X2+1.558%GG+2.5
Colorado Storm – Snohomish UnitedUSL League Two · USA · 17/07 23:00161%X2+1.590%GG69%+2.575%
LDU Portoviejo – Ind. JuniorsLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 17/07 23:30141%X2+1.5GG+2.5

*Odds correct as of date published, prices subject to change, check 1XBET for actual odds.

1xbet bonus
mathematical football prediction

What Mathematical Football Prediction Actually Means

People hear “mathematical model” and picture a black box that spits out winners. The reality is more boring. A decent model takes every match a team has played, weighs the quality of their opponents, adjusts for home advantage, and then estimates a probability for each scoreline. Poisson distributions, Elo-style ratings, and xG (expected goals) are the three building blocks most public models use.

The model doesn’t care about your favourite club. That’s its main advantage. The variables that matter most in my own workflow:

  • Expected goals for and against, ideally over the last 8 to 12 matches
  • Goalkeeper status (a backup keeper can swing the line by 0.3 goals)
  • Travel and rest days, especially in midweek European fixtures
  • Referee tendencies for cards and penalty calls
  • Weather, but only for under/over markets in winter rounds

None of these guarantee a win. They shift probabilities, and probabilities are all you have when you’re betting.

Spotting Must-Win Teams Today

What makes a team a “must-win”?

A must-win isn’t just the favourite. It’s a team where the situation, the form and the opponent line up. Think Bayern at home against a newly promoted side in October. Or Real Madrid hosting a mid-table La Liga club the weekend before a Champions League knockout, where the bookies still price them at short odds and the model agrees.

The four things I check before calling a side a genuine must-win:

  • Form: at least 4 wins in their last 6, ideally with clean sheets
  • Opposition trouble: missing a key defender, on a bad run, or just travelled across Europe
  • Home record: many teams are completely different sides at home, and the gap is bigger than people think
  • Motivation: title race, top-four push, or a derby that the squad won’t take lightly

How to use must-win picks without blowing your bankroll

The mistake I made for years was stacking five “must-wins” into an accumulator. One late equaliser kills the slip every single time. What works better:

Singles on the highest-confidence pick of the day. Boring, but the maths is on your side. Two-fold accas when two picks each clear 70% in the model, which gives roughly 50% combined and decent returns at the typical 1.40-1.60 acca price. Asian handicap -1 if the favourite is too short for a straight win but the model expects a comfortable scoreline. I almost never touch 4+ accumulators on must-wins. The variance eats you alive.

Daily picks, not daily nonsense

Every day at Forwins we publish the matches our model rates highest, with the probability for each market shown next to the tip. If the number is below 70% on a 1X2 pick, we don’t post it. If you only see two or three matches on a quiet Tuesday, that’s the point.

⚠️ Bet responsibly. Stake what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, stop.

Over 2.5 Predictions: What Most People Get Wrong

Over 2.5 means three or more goals in the match. Simple market, simple rule. The bit people miss is that “both teams score a lot” doesn’t automatically mean over 2.5 hits. You need pace and chance creation, not just two leaky defences.

A useful rule of thumb: if the combined xG for the fixture sits above 2.8 and neither side has parked the bus in their last five league games, over 2.5 is usually live. Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart games in 2024-25 are the textbook example. Two attacking sides, both pressing high, with combined goal totals north of 3 in most weeks.

Where it goes wrong:

  • Big derbies. Tactically tight, lots of yellow cards, fewer chances than the season average suggests
  • Wet pitches and December rounds in Northern Europe
  • Sides that have just played a Europa or Champions League midweek game and rotated

The Draw: Underrated and Often Mispriced

Most casual bettors never touch the X. That’s exactly why there’s value in it. Draws are statistically the rarest of the three 1X2 outcomes in most leagues (around 24-28% in the top five European leagues), but when the model and the situation point to one, the typical 3.20-3.60 price is generous.

Where draws cluster:

  • Teams within 2-3 points of each other in the table
  • Matches between defensive sides with low xG totals (think Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad)
  • End-of-season fixtures where both teams are already safe

Serie A produces more draws than any other top league, year after year. Italian football is built around defensive shape, and that shows in the scorelines. If you want to specialise in draws, start there.

Weekend Picks: Where the Real Volume Is

Saturdays and Sundays carry the bulk of the betting calendar. Premier League and La Liga slates on the same day, plus Serie A and Bundesliga, plus the smaller leagues. There’s too much football to bet on every match, and trying is the fastest way to lose a bankroll.

My weekend filter is simple. I rank every match by model confidence, throw out anything below 70%, and look for two or three plays where the bookie line and my model disagree by more than 5 percentage points. Those are the value bets. A “lock” at 1.20 with a true 90% chance is fine, but you make real money when the line is wrong, not when it’s right.

Can You Really Get 90% Accurate Predictions?

The honest version is less exciting: it holds up on safe markets across a short run of bets, and falls apart the moment you want better odds.

Over 1.5 goals in Bundesliga matches hits around 88% historically. Double chance on a heavy home favourite against a bottom-table side hits 90%+. But those are 1.10-1.25 odds. To grow a bankroll meaningfully on those, you’d need huge stakes, and a single 10% loss wipes out many wins.

Anyone selling you “90% accurate predictions” at decent odds is either cherry-picking past results or selling you a dream. The honest target for a profitable bettor is 55-58% on near-evens lines. That’s the level where compounding actually works.

Football Prediction for Tomorrow: Plan, Don’t React

The biggest edge you can get isn’t a better model. It’s earlier lines. Bookmaker odds the day before a match are softer than the same lines an hour before kick-off, because the market hasn’t adjusted to the late money yet. If your model fancies the away team and the price is 2.80 today, it’s likely closer to 2.50 by Saturday morning.

That’s why we publish next-day previews every evening at Forwins. Read them, check the team news the morning of the match, and place early when the value is still there.

BTTS Tips: When Both Teams Actually Score

BTTS is a strange market. It looks like a coin flip, but the long-term hit rate across the top leagues sits around 52-54%. The model edge is small, which means the bookmaker margin matters more here than on most markets. Always shop the line.

BTTS tends to hit in matches where:

  • Both teams have scored in 4+ of their last 6 matches
  • Neither side has a stand-out goalkeeper
  • The favourite likes to attack rather than sit on a 1-0

Bundesliga is the BTTS league. La Liga and Ligue 1 are the worst for it, because the bottom-half teams often struggle to score at all.

Predictions for Nigerian Bettors

Nigeria has one of the most active football betting communities in Africa, and the markets popular with Nigerian bettors aren’t always the ones I’d default to. Multi-bets on weekend EPL games are everywhere. So is interest in the NPFL, where pricing is wider because fewer models cover the league.

If you bet from Nigeria, the same rules apply: stick to leagues you can actually follow, avoid huge accumulators no matter how tempting the payout looks, and shop for the best line. We cover the main European leagues plus selected NPFL fixtures.

The Short Version

A model gives you probabilities. You compare them to the bookie’s price. When your number is meaningfully higher, you bet. When it isn’t, you skip. That’s the entire job.

Everything else, including how many picks we post each day, which leagues we cover, and which markets we trust, follows from that idea. We publish daily previews for the top leagues, plus weekend round-ups every Friday. Take what’s useful, ignore what isn’t.

FAQ: Football Predictions & Betting

What are mathematical football predictions?

Mathematical football predictions are forecasts built from statistical models rather than gut feeling. They combine recent form, expected goals, head-to-head data, lineup news, and home advantage to produce a probability for each outcome. Think of it as a forecast rather than a guarantee. It gives you the likelihood of each result and a sense of how far to trust that number.

How do you predict draws in football?

Look for matches between teams of similar quality (within a few points in the table), low combined xG, and defensive styles. Serie A produces the most draws of any top European league. Atletico-style sides that prioritise structure over attacking risk are also reliable draw candidates, especially when they meet each other.

What does Over 2.5 mean in football betting?

Over 2.5 means betting that the match will end with three or more goals. Final scores of 2-1, 3-0, 3-2, 4-1 all win. A 2-0, 1-1 or 0-0 loses. It’s one of the most popular goal markets because the line cuts cleanly through the most common scorelines.

How do I find value bets?

A value bet is one where your estimated probability is higher than what the bookmaker’s odds imply. If you think a team has a 60% chance to win and the price is 1.90 (implied probability 52.6%), that’s value. Finding these consistently requires a method for estimating probability that isn’t just based on which team you like.

Are weekend predictions different from weekday ones?

The method is the same, but weekends have far more matches, so the filter has to be tighter. With 20+ games across the top leagues on a Saturday, you can afford to skip 90% of them and only bet the ones where the model edge is clear. Weekday matches often have softer lines because the market is thinner.

Can football predictions really be 90% accurate?

Only on safe markets like Over 1.5 in attacking leagues or double chance on heavy favourites, where odds are too short to grow a bankroll meaningfully. On more useful markets like 1X2 picks at 1.80-2.20, a sustainable hit rate sits in the 55-60% range. Anyone claiming 90% accuracy at decent odds is cherry-picking results.

Are your football predictions free?

Yes. All daily picks, weekend previews, and analysis on Forwins.com are free. We publish full reasoning alongside each tip so you can judge whether the logic holds, rather than just copying the bet blindly.

Do you cover Nigerian football?

We cover selected NPFL fixtures and any international matches involving Nigerian teams. The bulk of our daily output is the top European leagues, since that’s where the lines are sharpest and our data is most reliable.

What’s the best market for beginners?

Double chance (1X or X2) is the gentlest starting point. You’re covering two outcomes out of three, so the hit rate is naturally high, and it forces you to think about which outcome you’re ruling out rather than which one you’re picking. Once you’re comfortable, move to 1X2 and over/under markets.