Mathematical Football Prediction: A Bettor’s Honest Guide
I’ve been betting on football for over a decade, and the single biggest shift in how I pick matches happened the day I stopped trusting my gut and started running the numbers. Mathematical football prediction isn’t magic. It’s just discipline plus data: expected goals, recent form, schedule congestion, lineup news. When you stack those properly, you spot value the casual bettor misses.
This guide is built around what actually works for me on a Saturday afternoon across the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A and Bundesliga. No fluff, no 100%-guaranteed nonsense.
World Cup 2026 — Match Predictions
| Match | 1 | X | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France – MoroccoWorld Cup · Quarter-finals · 09/07 20:00 · ☁ 29° | 173% @1.65 | X | 2 | +1.555% @1.34 | GG | +2.5 |
| Spain – BelgiumWorld Cup · Quarter-finals · 10/07 19:00 | 179% @1.67 | X | 2 | +1.556% @1.27 | GG | +2.5 |
| Match | 1 | X | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia Alliance – Louisville City II 3–1USL League Two · USA · 08/07 00:00 | 1✓ 50% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 80% | GG✓ 58% | +2.5✓ 58% |
| Atlético Tembetary – Independiente F.b.c. 2–2Division Intermedia · Paraguay · 08/07 00:00 | 1✗ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 83% | GG✓ 64% | +2.5✓ 62% |
| Athletic Club – Operario-PR 0–1Serie B · Brazil · 08/07 01:00 · ⛅ 25° | 1✗ 37% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 61% | GG | +2.5 |
| SF Glens – Almaden 0–2USL League Two · USA · 08/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 40% | +1.5✓ 66% | GG | +2.5 |
| AC Connecticut – Western Mass Pioneers 0–2USL League Two · USA · 08/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 56% | +1.5✓ 90% | GG✗ 70% | +2.5✗ 74% |
| Akron City – Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2 4–0USL League Two · USA · 08/07 01:00 | 1✓ 42% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 87% | GG✗ 70% | +2.5✓ 70% |
| New England FC – Boston City 4–2USL League Two · USA · 08/07 01:00 | 1✓ 72% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 95% | GG✓ 75% | +2.5✓ 86% |
| Union Macomb – AFC Ann Arbor 2–2USL League Two · USA · 08/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 46% | +1.5✓ 97% | GG✓ 86% | +2.5✓ 90% |
| Vermont Green – Connecticut Rush 6–2USL League Two · USA · 08/07 01:00 | 1✓ 79% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 95% | GG✓ 68% | +2.5✓ 84% |
| Hudson Valley Hammers – FC Motown II 0–5USL League Two · USA · 08/07 01:45 | 1 | X | 2✓ 50% | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✗ 70% | +2.5✓ 71% |
| Aucas – Guayaquil City FC 1–0Liga Pro · Ecuador · 08/07 02:00 · ⛅ 13° | 1✓ 47% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 69% | GG | +2.5 |
| Springfield – Des Moines Menace 2–4USL League Two · USA · 08/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 52% | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✓ 59% | +2.5✓ 60% |
| Sunflower State – Peoria 1–3USL League Two · USA · 08/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 64% | +1.5✓ 90% | GG✓ 67% | +2.5✓ 75% |
| Texoma – Denton Diablos 3–2USL League Two · USA · 08/07 02:00 | 1✓ 46% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 87% | GG✓ 69% | +2.5✓ 70% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II – Ventura County 3–2MLS Next Pro · USA · 08/07 03:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 42% | +1.5✓ 84% | GG✓ 64% | +2.5✓ 63% |
| Real Colorado Foxes – Albion Colorado 2–3USL League Two · USA · 08/07 03:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 64% | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✓ 73% | +2.5✓ 80% |
| Colorado Storm – Unión Villa Krause 2–0USL League Two · USA · 08/07 03:30 | 1✓ 65% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✗ 55% | +2.5✗ 61% |
| The Town – Sporting KC II 6–1MLS Next Pro · USA · 08/07 04:00 | 1✓ 68% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 92% | GG✓ 68% | +2.5✓ 78% |
| Tacoma Stars – Midlakes United 2–1USL League Two · USA · 08/07 04:00 | 1✓ 63% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 86% | GG✓ 62% | +2.5✓ 68% |
| Xi'an Ronghai – Dalian Kewei 2–0League Two · China · 08/07 10:00 · ☀ 33° | 1✓ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 62% | GG | +2.5 |
| Teplice – Táborsko 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 11:00 | 1✓ 38% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 73% | GG✗ 53% | +2.5 |
| Zaglebie Lubin – Baník Ostrava 0–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 11:00 | 1✗ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 87% | GG✗ 69% | +2.5✗ 69% |
| Servette FC – Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 11:00 | 1✓ 48% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 86% | GG✗ 67% | +2.5✗ 68% |
| Zlin – Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 11:00 | 1✗ 40% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 73% | GG✓ 53% | +2.5 |
| Budapest Honved – Soroksar 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 11:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 63% | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✗ 73% | +2.5✗ 80% |
| Schalke 04 II – Preußen Münster II 4–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 11:00 | 1✓ 61% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 96% | GG✓ 83% | +2.5✓ 89% |
| Paro – Tensung 4–0Premier League · Bhutan · 08/07 12:00 | 1✓ 79% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 92% | GG✗ 61% | +2.5✓ 78% |
| Aalborg – Randers FC 2–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 12:00 | 1✗ 45% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✓ 70% | +2.5✓ 71% |
| Aarhus Fremad – Silkeborg 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 12:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 48% | +1.5✗ 97% | GG✗ 87% | +2.5✗ 91% |
| Langfang Glory City – Jiangxi Liansheng 2–1League Two · China · 08/07 13:30 · ☁ 29° | 1 | X✗ 35% | 2 | +1.5✓ 58% | GG | +2.5 |
| FC Basel 1893 – Yverdon Sport 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 58% | +1.5✓ 98% | GG✗ 89% | +2.5✓ 94% |
| Nyiregyhaza – Cigand SEFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 263% | +1.579% | GG52% | +2.557% |
| Piast Gliwice – Miedz Legnica 2–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1✗ 64% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 72% | GG | +2.5 |
| Górnik Łęczna – Hetman Zamosc 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1✗ 52% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 82% | GG✗ 59% | +2.5✗ 60% |
| Zulte Waregem – Raków Częstochowa 4–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1✓ 47% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 89% | GG✓ 71% | +2.5✓ 72% |
| Celje – MTK Budapest 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 49% | +1.5✓ 79% | GG✓ 58% | +2.5✓ 57% |
| Cherno More Varna – Dobrudzha 2–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X✓ 41% | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| Chojniczanka Chojnice – Polonia ŚrodaFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 143% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG71% | +2.572% |
| Genk – SK Beveren 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 64% | +1.5✓ 99% | GG✓ 92% | +2.5✓ 97% |
| Hannover 96 II – BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1✗ 71% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 96% | GG✓ 77% | +2.5✓ 88% |
| FK Jablonec – Pafos 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1✗ 49% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 87% | GG✗ 68% | +2.5✗ 69% |
| Pogon Szczecin – Chrobry Głogów 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1✓ 63% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 95% | GG✓ 79% | +2.5✓ 85% |
| Rilski Sportist – Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 50% | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| Slovácko – Zorya Luhansk 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 42% | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✓ 71% | +2.5✓ 71% |
| Sturm Graz – Kalsdorf 4–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1✓ 45% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 95% | GG✓ 83% | +2.5✓ 86% |
| Tychy 71 – Sparta Katowice 2–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 63% | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✓ 73% | +2.5✓ 80% |
| Vasas – Kisvarda FC 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1✓ 75% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 84% | GG | +2.5✓ 63% |
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz – Lechia Zielona GóraFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 160% | X | 2 | +1.567% | GG | +2.5 |
| Kolding IF – Vendsyssel FF 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1✓ 42% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 84% | GG✗ 64% | +2.5✗ 63% |
| NEC Nijmegen – MSV Duisburg 2–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1✗ 46% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 72% | GG✓ 51% | +2.5 |
| Spartak Varna – Nesebar 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1✗ 45% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 61% | GG | +2.5 |
| Oleksandria – Inhulets 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1✓ 58% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 86% | GG✓ 63% | +2.5✓ 67% |
| Świt Skolwin – Kluczevia Stargard 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 43% | +1.5✓ 83% | GG✓ 63% | +2.5✓ 62% |
| SV Babelsberg 03 – Hamburger SV IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 14:30 | 161% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG83% | +2.589% |
| FC Gutersloh – Arminia Bielefeld 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 15:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 76% | +1.5✓ 100% | GG✗ 91% | +2.5✓ 98% |
| Anjos do Céu U20 – Alianca U20 4–3Cearense U20 · Brazil · 08/07 15:00 | 1✓ 59% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 83% | GG✓ 59% | +2.5✓ 62% |
| Tanzania Prisons – Mbeya City 0–0Ligi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 08/07 15:00 · 🌦 18° | 1✗ 34% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 67% | GG | +2.5 |
| Denmark U19 – Italy U19 0–0UEFA U19 Championship · World · 08/07 15:00 · ☀ 25° | 1 | X | 2✗ 36% | +1.5✗ 62% | GG | +2.5 |
| Ilbirs – OzgonPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 08/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 246% | +1.576% | GG55% | +2.552% |
| Alay – ToktogulPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 08/07 16:00 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Asiagoal – BarsPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 08/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 239% | +1.574% | GG54% | +2.5 |
| Asia Talas – Abdish-Ata 4–0Premier League · Kyrgyzstan · 08/07 16:00 | 1✓ 43% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 89% | GG✗ 71% | +2.5✓ 72% |
| Bishkek City – Muras UnitedPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 08/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 254% | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| Farul Constanta – Cherno More Varna 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 72% | +1.5✗ 71% | GG | +2.5 |
| Alga – Dordoi Bishkek 1–1Premier League · Kyrgyzstan · 08/07 16:30 | 1✗ 50% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 77% | GG✓ 55% | +2.5✗ 53% |
| Maccabi Haifa – Paks 3–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 75% | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✓ 67% | +2.5✓ 81% |
| Opava – Unie Hlubina 0–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:00 | 1✗ 45% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 86% | GG✗ 67% | +2.5✗ 67% |
| Komárno – Lokomotíva Zvolen 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:00 | 1✗ 57% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 92% | GG✗ 74% | +2.5✗ 78% |
| Lipany – Humenné 0–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 71% | +1.5✓ 94% | GG✗ 72% | +2.5✗ 83% |
| TSV Hartberg – Zbrojovka Brno 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:00 | 1✓ 54% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 87% | GG✗ 67% | +2.5✗ 69% |
| Žilina II – Třinec 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:00 | 1✓ 41% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 72% | GG✓ 51% | +2.5 |
| Jaro 2 – SJK-juniorit 2–3Kakkonen – Lohko C · Finland · 08/07 17:30 · ☀ 14° | 1✗ 61% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 90% | GG✓ 69% | +2.5✓ 75% |
| FSV Zwickau – Greuther Fürth II 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:30 | 1✗ 68% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 94% | GG✓ 73% | +2.5✗ 82% |
| Rapid – FK Košice 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:30 | 1✗ 44% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✓ 71% | +2.5✗ 71% |
| NK Slaven Belupo – Csikszereda 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:30 | 1✓ 48% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 84% | GG✓ 64% | +2.5✓ 64% |
| Słowianin – Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 17:30 | 1 | X | 2✗ 45% | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✗ 70% | +2.5✓ 71% |
| Spain U19 – Croatia U19 3–0UEFA U19 Championship · World · 08/07 17:30 | 1✓ 46% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 95% | GG✗ 81% | +2.5✓ 84% |
| Austria Vienna – Dunajska Streda 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 1✗ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 67% | GG | +2.5 |
| Karlsruhe II – FC 08 Homburg 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 57% | +1.5✓ 90% | GG✓ 71% | +2.5✓ 75% |
| Raków Częstochowa – Olympiakos Piraeus 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 1✓ 57% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 79% | GG✓ 54% | +2.5✓ 55% |
| Eintracht Braunschw. II – Schöningen 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 1✗ 49% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✓ 77% | +2.5✓ 80% |
| Germania Ober-Roden – Kickers OffenbachFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 249% | +1.586% | GG66% | +2.567% |
| Eltersdorf – SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 62% | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✗ 56% | +2.5✓ 61% |
| Siedenbollentin – Greifswalder FC 0–7Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 58% | +1.5✓ 94% | GG✗ 77% | +2.5✓ 83% |
| Zenit – Neftchi 4–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 1✓ 64% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✓ 54% | +2.5✓ 60% |
| FC Lok Stendal – BFC Dynamo 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 47% | +1.5✗ 82% | GG✗ 62% | +2.5✗ 61% |
| Anker Wismar – Hansa Rostock 0–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 2✓ 85% | +1.5✓ 95% | GG✗ 62% | +2.5✓ 85% |
| Aubel – Standard Liege 0–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 2✓ 75% | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✗ 67% | +2.5✓ 81% |
| Erzgebirge Aue – VfL Halle 7–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:30 | 1✓ 87% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 96% | GG✓ 62% | +2.5✓ 88% |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – CFR Pforzheim 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:30 | 1✓ 66% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 97% | GG✗ 84% | +2.5✗ 91% |
| Altglienicke – Union Klosterfelde 4–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:30 | 1✓ 61% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 96% | GG✗ 81% | +2.5✓ 88% |
| Lichtenberg – Hertha BSC 0–9Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 2✓ 91% | +1.5✓ 99% | GG✗ 71% | +2.5✓ 95% |
| Luckenwalde – Optik Rathenow 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 18:30 | 1✗ 87% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✓ 51% | +2.5✗ 80% |
| Kornburg – 1. FC Nürnberg 0–10Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 64% | +1.5✓ 95% | GG✗ 78% | +2.5✓ 85% |
| NAC Breda – FC Eindhoven 0–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 1✗ 36% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 68% | GG | +2.5 |
| GO Ahead Eagles – Almere City FC 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 1✓ 59% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 91% | GG✓ 71% | +2.5✓ 76% |
| ASC Dortmund – Borussia Dortmund IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG79% | +2.581% |
| Bersenbrück – HSC Hannover 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 58% | +1.5✓ 96% | GG✓ 82% | +2.5✓ 88% |
| Heracles – Groningen 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 1✓ 68% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 90% | GG✓ 65% | +2.5✓ 75% |
| Tasmania Berlin – Reinickendorfer Fuchse 3–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 45% | +1.5✓ 73% | GG✓ 52% | +2.5 |
| Wiedenbrück – Hiltrup 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 41% | +1.5✓ 62% | GG | +2.5 |
| Egypt W – Senegal W 0–1Friendlies Women · World · 08/07 19:00 | 1✗ 54% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 87% | GG✗ 67% | +2.5✗ 69% |
| Admira Wacker – Fenerbahçe 0–5Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:30 · ⛅ 22° | 1 | X | 2✓ 39% | +1.5✓ 74% | GG✗ 54% | +2.5 |
| SC St. Tönis – Fortuna Düsseldorf 0–5Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:30 | 1 | X | 2✓ 76% | +1.5✓ 90% | GG✗ 58% | +2.5✓ 74% |
| Spartak Moscow – Rubin 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 19:30 | 1✗ 44% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 76% | GG✗ 55% | +2.5✗ 52% |
| America MG U17 – Atletico GO U17 1–0Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 1✓ 68% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 92% | GG✗ 70% | +2.5✗ 79% |
| Bahia U17 – Gremio U17 4–0Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 1✓ 55% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 65% | GG | +2.5 |
| Flamengo RJ U17 – Vitoria U17 3–2Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 1✓ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 78% | GG✓ 58% | +2.5✓ 54% |
| Sao Paulo U17 – RB Bragantino U17 3–0Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 56% | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✗ 59% | +2.5✓ 61% |
| Ezeiza – Control Orientado 3–2Torneo Promocional Amateur · Argentina · 08/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 52% | +1.5✓ 67% | GG | +2.5 |
| Athletico PR U20 – RB Bragantino U20 0–1Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 38% | +1.5✗ 85% | GG✗ 66% | +2.5✗ 65% |
| Corinthians U20 – Palmeiras U20 0–1Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 63% | +1.5✗ 84% | GG✗ 58% | +2.5✗ 64% |
| Cruzeiro U20 – Vasco da Gama U20 1–0Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 1✓ 49% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 79% | GG✗ 58% | +2.5✗ 57% |
| Santos U20 – Botafogo U20 4–1Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 08/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 38% | +1.5✓ 79% | GG✓ 59% | +2.5✓ 55% |
| Ukraine U19 – Germany U19 1–2UEFA U19 Championship · World · 08/07 20:00 · ☀ 23° | 1✗ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 78% | GG✓ 58% | +2.5✓ 54% |
| Montrose – Inverurie Loco Works 7–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 20:30 | 1✓ 54% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 89% | GG✗ 69% | +2.5✓ 72% |
| Newport City – Newport County 0–5Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 20:30 | 1 | X | 2✓ 49% | +1.5✓ 86% | GG✗ 66% | +2.5✓ 67% |
| Al Hikma – Al NejmehCup · Lebanon · 08/07 20:30 | 135% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG51% | +2.5 |
| Brechin – Dundee 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 20:45 | 1✗ 54% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 76% | GG✓ 52% | +2.5✗ 52% |
| Saint-Laurent – Forge 1–1Canadian Championship · Canada · 08/07 21:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 66% | +1.5✓ 90% | GG✓ 66% | +2.5✗ 75% |
| Lausanne – Flamengo 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 21:30 | 1✓ 59% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✗ 67% | +2.5✗ 71% |
| Tormenta – Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One · USA · 08/07 22:00 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG61% | +2.560% |
| Austin – Sporting JAXFriendlies Clubs · World · 08/07 22:00 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.561% | GG | +2.5 |
| Delaware FC – Eagle FCUSL League Two · USA · 08/07 23:00 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG69% | +2.573% |
| Cleveland Force – Steel City 0–1USL League Two · USA · 09/07 00:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 75% | +1.5✗ 93% | GG✗ 65% | +2.5✗ 80% |
| North Carolina II – Charlotte EaglesUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 00:00 | 1 | X | 242% | +1.571% | GG50% | +2.5 |
| Real Oruro – Universitario de Vinto 4–1Primera División · Bolivia · 09/07 00:00 · ☀ 7° | 1 | X | 2✗ 42% | +1.5✓ 84% | GG✓ 64% | +2.5✓ 63% |
| Bethesda SC – Virginia Marauders 3–2USL League Two · USA · 09/07 00:30 | 1✓ 70% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 91% | GG✓ 66% | +2.5✓ 76% |
| Santo Domingo – Independiente del Valle 0–2Copa Ecuador · Ecuador · 09/07 00:30 | 1✗ 49% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 79% | GG✗ 58% | +2.5✗ 57% |
| Treze U20 – Cruzeiro Itaporanga U20Paraibano U20 · Brazil · 09/07 00:30 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG65% | +2.564% |
| Hartford Athletic – Orange County SC 2–2USL Championship · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 47% | +1.5✓ 71% | GG | +2.5 |
| Greenville Triumph – Sarasota Paradise 0–0USL League One · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1✗ 51% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 81% | GG✗ 59% | +2.5✗ 59% |
| NY Cosmos – Naples 1–0USL League One · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1✓ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 82% | GG✗ 62% | +2.5✗ 60% |
| Ponte Preta – Criciuma 1–2Serie B · Brazil · 09/07 01:00 · ☀ 14° | 1 | X | 2✓ 48% | +1.5✓ 61% | GG | +2.5 |
| Toledo Villa – Northern IndianaUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 242% | +1.585% | GG67% | +2.566% |
| Kalamazoo FC – Lansing City 3–0USL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1✓ 52% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 86% | GG✗ 66% | +2.5✓ 68% |
| Black Rock – Boston Bolts 0–0USL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1✗ 56% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 78% | GG✗ 53% | +2.5✗ 54% |
| The Villages – Inter Gainesville 2–1USL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1✓ 69% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 86% | GG✓ 58% | +2.5✓ 68% |
| Cedar Stars Rush – Ironbound 2–2USL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1✗ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✓ 62% | +2.5✓ 60% |
| Inter Miami II – Weston 1–0USL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1✓ 57% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 79% | GG✗ 54% | +2.5✗ 55% |
| Lakeland United – FC Miami CityUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG74% | +2.576% |
| Ocean City Nor'easters – Lehigh Valley United 2–2USL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1✗ 64% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 92% | GG✓ 70% | +2.5✓ 78% |
| Patuxent – Christos 0–0USL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 61% | +1.5✗ 96% | GG✗ 82% | +2.5✗ 88% |
| Real Central New Jersey – West Chester United 0–2USL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1✗ 55% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 91% | GG✗ 73% | +2.5✗ 76% |
| Reading United – Lone Star II 0–0USL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1✗ 73% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 92% | GG✗ 66% | +2.5✗ 79% |
| North Carolina Fusion – Tobacco RoadUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 255% | +1.593% | GG75% | +2.580% |
| SC United Bantams – Charlotte Independence 2 1–4USL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 56% | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✓ 59% | +2.5✓ 61% |
| Wake – Port CityUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 253% | +1.590% | GG72% | +2.575% |
| Union La Calera – Coquimbo Unido 0–1Copa De La Liga · Chile · 09/07 01:00 · ☁ 13° | 1 | X | 2✓ 36% | +1.5✗ 55% | GG | +2.5 |
| Supra du Quebec – Atlético Ottawa 3–1Canadian Championship · Canada · 09/07 01:00 | 1✓ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 91% | GG✓ 75% | +2.5✓ 76% |
| Evergreen – LionsbridgeUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:30 | 1 | X | 257% | +1.590% | GG71% | +2.575% |
| Apotheos – Dothan United 0–2USL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:30 | 1 | X | 2✓ 64% | +1.5✓ 77% | GG | +2.5✗ 53% |
| Manhattan – New Jersey CopaUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:30 | 156% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG82% | +2.587% |
| Morris Elite – Westchester FlamesUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:30 | 164% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG69% | +2.576% |
| Southern Soccer Academy – East Atlanta 5–4USL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:30 | 1✓ 73% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 89% | GG✓ 59% | +2.5✓ 72% |
| Virginia Beach City – Annapolis Blues 1–1USL League Two · USA · 09/07 01:30 | 1✗ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 90% | GG✓ 74% | +2.5✗ 75% |
| Davis Legacy – San Francisco CityUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 261% | +1.594% | GG77% | +2.583% |
| Project 51O – MarinUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 161% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG72% | +2.578% |
| Rochester – St. CroixUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 244% | +1.588% | GG71% | +2.571% |
| Houston FC – Houston SurUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 158% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG74% | +2.579% |
| Jackson Boom – HattiesburgUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 261% | +1.588% | GG66% | +2.571% |
| Mississippi Brilla – Louisiana KreweUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 241% | +1.593% | GG78% | +2.580% |
| Montgomery United – Columbus UnitedUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 157% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG58% | +2.560% |
| River Light – Rockford RaptorsUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG76% | +2.579% |
| RKC – Chicago Dutch LionsUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 245% | +1.586% | GG67% | +2.567% |
| Little Rock Rangers – Memphis 901 1–0USL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:00 | 1✓ 61% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 82% | GG✗ 55% | +2.5✗ 60% |
| El Nacional – Cumbayá 0–1Liga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 09/07 02:00 · ☁ 13° | 1 | X | 2✓ 37% | +1.5✗ 54% | GG | +2.5 |
| Boca Juniors – Atletico Paranaense 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 02:00 | 1✓ 45% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 61% | GG | +2.5 |
| San Antonio FC 2 – Brazos ValleyUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:30 | 162% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG77% | +2.584% |
| West Texas – Lubbock MatadorsUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 02:30 | 145% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG56% | +2.553% |
| City SC – AMSGUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 03:00 | 150% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG71% | +2.573% |
| Laredo Heat – GFIUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 03:00 | 143% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG75% | +2.576% |
| Ind. Juniors – LDU de QuitoCopa Ecuador · Ecuador · 09/07 03:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG54% | +2.553% |
| Academica – Sportivo San JuanUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 04:00 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG77% | +2.581% |
| Bigfoot – BallardUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 04:00 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG69% | +2.569% |
| Ventura County Fusion – Stars FCUSL League Two · USA · 09/07 04:00 | 172% | X | 2 | +1.580% | GG | +2.558% |
| Vancouver FC – CF MontrealCanadian Championship · Canada · 09/07 04:00 | 1 | X | 265% | +1.596% | GG79% | +2.587% |
| Sacramento Republic – Rhode IslandUSL Championship · USA · 09/07 04:30 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG63% | +2.561% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps – Cavalry FCCanadian Championship · Canada · 09/07 04:30 | 1 | X | 258% | +1.585% | GG62% | +2.565% |
| SpVgg Unterhaching – SSV Jahn RegensburgFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 11:00 | 1 | X | 253% | +1.591% | GG73% | +2.576% |
| Karlsruher SC – SGV FreibergFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 11:00 | 1 | X | 245% | +1.592% | GG77% | +2.579% |
| Akademiya Ontustik – Arys1. Division · Kazakhstan · 09/07 14:00 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.581% | GG59% | +2.559% |
| Transport United – Bhutan U19Premier League · Bhutan · 09/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 248% | +1.586% | GG67% | +2.568% |
| Rennes – CaenFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 289% | +1.599% | GG76% | +2.596% |
| Spartak Trnava – Zlaté MoravceFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 14:00 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.597% | GG86% | +2.590% |
| Debreceni VSC – Železničar PančevoFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 240% | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| OFK Beograd – Buducnost PodgoricaFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 14:00 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG59% | +2.557% |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 – Lask LinzFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 14:30 | 1 | X | 254% | +1.590% | GG71% | +2.574% |
| Aktobe Jas – Khan Tengri1. Division · Kazakhstan · 09/07 15:00 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG67% | +2.570% |
| Jaiyq – Tobol 21. Division · Kazakhstan · 09/07 15:00 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.583% | GG59% | +2.562% |
| SV Wehen – FC 08 HomburgFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 15:00 | 1 | X | 248% | +1.586% | GG67% | +2.568% |
| Cracovia Krakow – PardubiceFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 15:00 | 134% | X | 2 | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Izhevsk – Dinamo BarnaulSecond League – Group 4 · Russia · 09/07 15:30 | 158% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG58% | +2.561% |
| CFR 1907 Cluj – KarpatyFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.580% | GG60% | +2.558% |
| Rapid – Slovan LiberecFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 17:30 | 135% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG51% | +2.5 |
| Polessya – JagielloniaFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 17:30 | 175% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG56% | +2.571% |
| Red Bull Salzburg – Metalist 1925 KharkivFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 17:30 | 1 | X | 254% | +1.581% | GG58% | +2.559% |
| Maardu – Flora IIEsiliiga A · Estonia · 09/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 251% | +1.587% | GG67% | +2.569% |
| Musa – GrIFKKakkonen – Lohko B · Finland · 09/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 257% | +1.583% | GG60% | +2.562% |
| Korona Kielce – Omonia NicosiaFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 18:00 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.581% | GG58% | +2.559% |
| Chemnitzer FC – Union BerlinFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 269% | +1.599% | GG88% | +2.595% |
| Benrath – Fortuna DüsseldorfFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 276% | +1.590% | GG58% | +2.574% |
| América-SP U20 – Jabaquara U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 09/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 241% | +1.565% | GG | +2.5 |
| H&W Welders – DergviewFriendlies Clubs · World · 09/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.577% | GG56% | +2.553% |
| Atletico Grau – Carlos A. MannucciCopa De La Liga · Peru · 09/07 22:00 · ☀ 29° | 140% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG84% | +2.588% |
| France – MoroccoWorld Cup · World · 09/07 22:00 · ☁ 29° | 152% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG54% | +2.553% |
| Deportivo Cuenca Juniors – LDU PortoviejoLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 09/07 22:30 | 157% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Dayton Dutch Lions – West Virginia AllianceUSL League Two · USA · 10/07 00:00 | 1 | X | 246% | +1.589% | GG72% | +2.573% |
| Oeste U20 – Ibrachina U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 10/07 00:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.589% | GG71% | +2.572% |
| United States U20 W – England U20 WFriendlies Women · World · 10/07 00:00 | 170% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG | +2.552% |
| New England FC – Blackwatch RushUSL League Two · USA · 10/07 01:00 | 164% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG75% | +2.583% |
| Nublense – O'HigginsCopa De La Liga · Chile · 10/07 01:00 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG51% | +2.5 |
| Nacional Potosí – AuroraPrimera División · Bolivia · 10/07 02:00 | 1 | X38% | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| Real Colorado Foxes – Flatirons RushUSL League Two · USA · 10/07 03:00 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG79% | +2.582% |
| Colorado Rapids – FC JuarezFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 03:00 | 1 | X | 281% | +1.596% | GG70% | +2.588% |
| Ludogorets – Septemvri SofiaFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 10:00 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.595% | GG80% | +2.585% |
| Zlin – Dukla Banská BystricaFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 10:00 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG54% | +2.552% |
| FC Liefering – ArtisFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 10:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG63% | +2.564% |
| Fehérvár FC – Szombathelyi HaladasFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 10:00 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG59% | +2.557% |
| Wolfsberger AC – Metalist 1925 KharkivFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 10:30 | 153% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG73% | +2.576% |
| Green Gully – Altona MagicVictoria NPL · Australia · 10/07 11:30 | 1 | X | 250% | +1.582% | GG60% | +2.560% |
| Peninsula Power – WDSC WolvesQueensland NPL · Australia · 10/07 11:30 | 148% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG73% | +2.575% |
| Brisbane Roar II – Rochedale RoversQueensland NPL · Australia · 10/07 11:30 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG72% | +2.573% |
| Cambuur – RodaFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 11:30 | 1 | X | 265% | +1.599% | GG89% | +2.595% |
| NK Slaven Belupo – Debreceni VSCFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 11:30 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG77% | +2.580% |
| Dandenong City – South MelbourneVictoria NPL · Australia · 10/07 11:45 | 1 | X | 239% | +1.580% | GG60% | +2.558% |
| Eastern Lions – Werribee CityVictoria Premier League 2 · Australia · 10/07 11:45 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.572% | GG52% | +2.5 |
| Macarthur Rams – Bankstown City LionsNew South Wales NPL 2 · Australia · 10/07 12:00 | 137% | X | 2 | +1.583% | GG64% | +2.562% |
| Lokomotiv Moskva U19 – Akademiya Konoplev U20Youth Championship · Russia · 10/07 12:00 | 156% | X | 2 | +1.595% | GG81% | +2.586% |
| Almaz Antey U19 – Spartak Moskva U19Youth Championship · Russia · 10/07 12:00 | 142% | X | 2 | +1.573% | GG52% | +2.5 |
| Ulsan Citizen – Yeoju SejongK3 League · South-Korea · 10/07 12:00 | 134% | X | 2 | +1.561% | GG | +2.5 |
| Gumi Sportstoto W – Boeun Sangmu WWK-League · South-Korea · 10/07 12:00 | 1 | X | 245% | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Seoul W – Suwon FMC WWK-League · South-Korea · 10/07 12:00 | 1 | X | 266% | +1.585% | GG57% | +2.565% |
| Holstein Kiel – SonderjyskeFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 12:00 | 1 | X | 249% | +1.591% | GG74% | +2.576% |
| Oakleigh Cannons – AvondaleVictoria NPL · Australia · 10/07 12:15 | 150% | X | 2 | +1.585% | GG65% | +2.566% |
| Glenorchy Knights – Kingborough LionsTasmania NPL · Australia · 10/07 12:15 | 1 | X | 259% | +1.591% | GG72% | +2.577% |
| Launceston United – RiversideTasmania NPL · Australia · 10/07 12:15 | 1 | X | 260% | +1.595% | GG80% | +2.586% |
| Cheonan City – Gimhae CityK League 2 · South-Korea · 10/07 12:30 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.565% | GG | +2.5 |
| Suwon City FC – Jeonnam DragonsK League 2 · South-Korea · 10/07 12:30 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.578% | GG55% | +2.554% |
| Preston Lions – Hume CityVictoria NPL · Australia · 10/07 12:30 | 1 | X | 250% | +1.577% | GG55% | +2.553% |
| Northcote City – Melbourne KnightsVictoria NPL 2 · Australia · 10/07 12:30 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.574% | GG53% | +2.5 |
| Langwarrin – Melbourne Victory IIVictoria NPL 2 · Australia · 10/07 12:30 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG79% | +2.581% |
| Brunswick Juventus FC – Western United IIVictoria NPL 2 · Australia · 10/07 12:30 | 157% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG73% | +2.578% |
| Holland Park Hawks – North StarQueensland Premier League · Australia · 10/07 12:30 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG70% | +2.571% |
| Essendon Royals SC – Box HillVictoria Premier League 2 · Australia · 10/07 12:30 | 142% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG73% | +2.575% |
| Whittlesea United – Kingston CityVictoria Premier League 2 · Australia · 10/07 12:30 | 169% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG52% | +2.561% |
| FC Nordsjaelland – Hradec KrálovéFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 13:00 | 1 | X | 262% | +1.582% | GG56% | +2.561% |
| Osters IF – LyngbyFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 13:00 | 1 | X | 266% | +1.590% | GG66% | +2.575% |
| Shandong Luneng – Yunnan YukunSuper League · China · 10/07 13:35 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG68% | +2.569% |
| Rubin Kazan U20 – Dinamo Moskva U19Youth Championship · Russia · 10/07 14:00 | 142% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG70% | +2.570% |
| Ekibastuz – Sport Academy Kairat1. Division · Kazakhstan · 10/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 259% | +1.580% | GG55% | +2.558% |
| Yelimay Semey 2 – Astana II1. Division · Kazakhstan · 10/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 257% | +1.579% | GG54% | +2.555% |
| SCR Altach – FC VaduzFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 254% | +1.596% | GG83% | +2.588% |
| FC WIL 1900 – FC LuzernFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 14:00 | 167% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG74% | +2.583% |
| Legia Warszawa – AS TrencinFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 14:00 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG60% | +2.561% |
| Arda Kardzhali – Botev VratsaFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 14:00 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.557% | GG | +2.5 |
| AFC Bournemouth U21 – WorthingFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 252% | +1.587% | GG68% | +2.570% |
| FC Nordsjaelland – Gornik ZabrzeFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.563% | GG | +2.5 |
| Veres Rivne – Kolos KovalivkaFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 14:00 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.565% | GG | +2.5 |
| FC Zurich – SochauxFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 14:00 | 142% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG72% | +2.573% |
| IMT Novi Beograd – Radnik SurdulicaFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 14:00 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG63% | +2.561% |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – FK PartizanFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 14:00 | 156% | X | 2 | +1.578% | GG53% | +2.554% |
| Obolon'-Brovar – UCSAFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 14:00 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.563% | GG | +2.5 |
| Radomiak Radom – Dynamo KyivFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 14:00 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG69% | +2.570% |
| Radomlje – NK VarazdinFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 256% | +1.582% | GG59% | +2.561% |
| Świt Skolwin – Flota ŚwinoujścieFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 14:00 | 178% | X | 2 | +1.586% | GG | +2.568% |
| Radnicki NIS – Neftchi BakuFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 237% | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Kaspij Aktau 2 – Taraz1. Division · Kazakhstan · 10/07 15:00 | 138% | X | 2 | +1.575% | GG55% | +2.551% |
| Shakhter Karagandy – Turan Turkistan1. Division · Kazakhstan · 10/07 15:00 | 158% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG67% | +2.571% |
| Austria Lustenau – FC AarauFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 15:00 | 162% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG70% | +2.576% |
| Ried – BaşakşehirFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 15:00 | 166% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG68% | +2.576% |
| Chornomorets – InhuletsFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 15:00 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.586% | GG64% | +2.568% |
| Scotland Mabvuku – TelOnePremier Soccer League · Zimbabwe · 10/07 15:00 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.562% | GG | +2.5 |
| Plzen – BSC Young BoysFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 15:30 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG59% | +2.560% |
| SV Sandhausen – 1. FC KaiserslauternFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 15:30 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.596% | GG83% | +2.587% |
| Chertanovo U20 – Krasnodar U19Youth Championship · Russia · 10/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 252% | +1.594% | GG78% | +2.582% |
| CSKA Moskva U19 – Zenit U19Youth Championship · Russia · 10/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.591% | GG75% | +2.576% |
| Nizhny Novgorod U19 – Dynamo Makhachkala U19Youth Championship · Russia · 10/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 248% | +1.595% | GG81% | +2.584% |
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt – Nürnberg IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 16:00 | 150% | X | 2 | +1.598% | GG91% | +2.594% |
| Stoke City – SC BragaFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 16:00 | 1 | X | 258% | +1.585% | GG62% | +2.565% |
| Inter Turku II – RopsYkkönen · Finland · 10/07 16:30 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.584% | GG63% | +2.563% |
| Slonim – Niva1. Division · Belarus · 10/07 16:30 | 150% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG60% | +2.560% |
| Karviná – Považská BystricaFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 16:30 | 163% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG52% | +2.557% |
| Fakel U19 – Ural U20Youth Championship · Russia · 10/07 17:00 | 1 | X | 245% | +1.579% | GG58% | +2.555% |
| Rodina Moscow U19 – Rostov U19Youth Championship · Russia · 10/07 17:00 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG73% | +2.577% |
| Yantra 2019 – FratriaFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 17:00 | 138% | X | 2 | +1.570% | GG | +2.5 |
| SKU Amstetten – ArtisFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 17:00 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG73% | +2.575% |
| FC Voluntari – Metalul BuzăuFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 17:00 | 1 | X | 274% | +1.598% | GG85% | +2.594% |
| Francs Borains – Crossing SchaerbeekFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 17:00 | 162% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG74% | +2.580% |
| Sturm Graz II – BeltinciFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 17:00 | 158% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG50% | +2.552% |
| River Plate Res. – Racing Club Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 10/07 17:00 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.578% | GG57% | +2.554% |
| Kooteepee – JäPSYkkösliiga · Finland · 10/07 17:30 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.580% | GG57% | +2.558% |
| Tampere United – SalPaYkkönen · Finland · 10/07 17:30 | 163% | X | 2 | +1.581% | GG54% | +2.559% |
| FC Dnepr Mogilev – FC MinskPremier League · Belarus · 10/07 17:30 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.557% | GG | +2.5 |
| Ostrovets FC – FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk1. Division · Belarus · 10/07 17:30 | 1 | X | 265% | +1.582% | GG55% | +2.561% |
| ÅIFK – Ilves IIKakkonen – Lohko B · Finland · 10/07 17:30 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG77% | +2.580% |
| GBK – JBKKakkonen – Lohko C · Finland · 10/07 17:30 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.583% | GG60% | +2.562% |
| Metta / LU – SpēksCup · Latvia · 10/07 17:30 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG84% | +2.589% |
| VPS – SJKVeikkausliiga · Finland · 10/07 18:00 · ☀ 22° | 161% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG55% | +2.560% |
| Real Pilar – Deportivo CamionerosPrimera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 10/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 242% | +1.555% | GG | +2.5 |
| Villa San Carlos – San Martín BurzacoPrimera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 10/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 240% | +1.551% | GG | +2.5 |
| PK-35 – KäPaYkkösliiga · Finland · 10/07 18:00 | 150% | X | 2 | +1.573% | GG50% | +2.5 |
| Laagri – Trans NarvaMeistriliiga · Estonia · 10/07 18:00 | 165% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG55% | +2.561% |
| Fach-Donaufeld – Austria Vienna (Am)Friendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 18:00 | 165% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG73% | +2.581% |
| 1. FC Heidenheim – FC LuganoFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 251% | +1.593% | GG78% | +2.581% |
| Kickers Emden – Preußen MünsterFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 265% | +1.576% | GG | +2.552% |
| Maribor – CharltonFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 238% | +1.579% | GG59% | +2.555% |
| Ajax – AEK LarnacaFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 18:00 | 141% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG70% | +2.571% |
| Germany U19 W – Spain U19 WUEFA U19 Championship – Women · World · 10/07 18:00 | 150% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG56% | +2.555% |
| Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf – Rapid Wien IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 18:30 | 170% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG79% | +2.589% |
| SV Breinig – Alemannia AachenFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 258% | +1.590% | GG70% | +2.574% |
| Leobendorf – Floridsdorfer ACFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 18:30 | 174% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG | +2.557% |
| Beşiktaş – Widzew ŁódźFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 18:30 | 136% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG57% | +2.553% |
| VfR Mannheim – Waldhof MannheimFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 18:30 | 160% | X | 2 | +1.597% | GG83% | +2.589% |
| SSV Ulm 1846 – EichstättFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 18:30 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG60% | +2.564% |
| Arsenal Sarandi – Defensores UnidosPrimera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 10/07 19:00 | 158% | X | 2 | +1.567% | GG | +2.5 |
| Deportivo Laferrere – Deportivo ArmenioPrimera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 10/07 19:00 | 137% | X | 2 | +1.561% | GG | +2.5 |
| Leevon / PPK – RigaCup · Latvia · 10/07 19:00 | 162% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG74% | +2.580% |
| Atlantis – KiffenKakkonen – Lohko A · Finland · 10/07 19:30 | 165% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG76% | +2.583% |
| SSV Jeddeloh – SV MeppenFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 19:30 | 188% | X | 2 | +1.598% | GG71% | +2.593% |
| Eimsbütteler TV – SaselFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 19:30 | 1 | X | 273% | +1.593% | GG68% | +2.580% |
| FC Bocholt – TuS HordelFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 19:30 | 173% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG51% | +2.564% |
| Argentino de Merlo – Argentino QuilmesPrimera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 10/07 20:00 | 1 | X35% | 2 | +1.558% | GG | +2.5 |
| Brown DE Adrogue – ItuzaingóPrimera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 10/07 20:00 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG59% | +2.557% |
| Excursionistas – ComunicacionesPrimera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 10/07 20:00 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.559% | GG | +2.5 |
| Liniers – Sportivo ItalianoPrimera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 10/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 238% | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| Talleres Remedios – FlandriaPrimera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 10/07 20:00 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| UAI Urquiza – Deportivo MerloPrimera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 10/07 20:00 | 141% | X | 2 | +1.557% | GG | +2.5 |
| Villa Dalmine – Dock SudPrimera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 10/07 20:00 | 143% | X | 2 | +1.551% | GG | +2.5 |
| Botafogo SP U20 – SC Paulinense SP U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 10/07 20:00 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Juventus U20 – São Bento U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 10/07 20:00 | 173% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG59% | +2.572% |
| Guarani U20 – Mauá U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 10/07 20:00 | 183% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG53% | +2.577% |
| Ituano U20 – Gremio Prudente U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 10/07 20:00 | 1 | X40% | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| Mirassol U20 – Portuguesa Santista U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 10/07 20:00 | 157% | X | 2 | +1.585% | GG63% | +2.566% |
| Ponte Preta U20 – Ferroviária U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 10/07 20:00 | 1 | X35% | 2 | +1.557% | GG | +2.5 |
| Santo André U20 – Bandeirante U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 10/07 20:00 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Sfera U20 – Flamengo SP U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 10/07 20:00 | 164% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG65% | +2.572% |
| Tanabi SP U20 – Osasco Audax U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 10/07 20:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG54% | +2.553% |
| União São João U20 – Aguai U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 10/07 20:00 | 161% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG | +2.552% |
| Velo Clube U20 – São Caetano U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 10/07 20:00 | 148% | X | 2 | +1.580% | GG59% | +2.558% |
| Enfield Town – Leyton OrientFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 20:00 | 143% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG78% | +2.580% |
| Widzew Łódź – Mattersburg SV 2020Friendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 20:00 | 148% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG55% | +2.553% |
| Floresta CE U20 – Horizonte U20Cearense U20 · Brazil · 10/07 20:00 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG52% | +2.552% |
| Cienciano – ADTCopa De La Liga · Peru · 10/07 20:00 · 🌦 12° | 140% | X | 2 | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| Inter de Minas U20 – Villa Real U20Mineiro U20 · Brazil · 10/07 20:00 | 1 | X43% | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| Clevedon Town – Weston-super-MareFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 20:30 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.585% | GG62% | +2.566% |
| Resistencia – Sportivo CarapeguáDivision Intermedia · Paraguay · 10/07 20:30 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG63% | +2.564% |
| Dundalk – Drogheda UnitedPremier Division · Ireland · 10/07 20:45 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.583% | GG60% | +2.562% |
| Athlone Town – Cobh RamblersFirst Division · Ireland · 10/07 20:45 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.572% | GG51% | +2.5 |
| Bray Wanderers – UCDFirst Division · Ireland · 10/07 20:45 | 148% | X | 2 | +1.583% | GG62% | +2.562% |
| Cork City – Longford TownFirst Division · Ireland · 10/07 20:45 | 166% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG | +2.553% |
| Finn Harps – Treaty UnitedFirst Division · Ireland · 10/07 20:45 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.574% | GG53% | +2.5 |
| Wexford – KerryFirst Division · Ireland · 10/07 20:45 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.570% | GG | +2.5 |
| Linfield W – Glentoran BU WPremiership Women · Northern-Ireland · 10/07 20:45 | 166% | X | 2 | +1.598% | GG86% | +2.593% |
| Cliftonville W – Lisburn Ladies WPremiership Women · Northern-Ireland · 10/07 20:45 | 190% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG56% | +2.587% |
| Livingston – Heart Of MidlothianFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 20:45 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG58% | +2.557% |
| Waterford – St Patrick's Athl.Premier Division · Ireland · 10/07 21:00 | 137% | X | 2 | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Spain – BelgiumWorld Cup · World · 10/07 21:00 | 1 | X | 263% | +1.594% | GG76% | +2.583% |
| Ægir – HK Kopavogur1. Deild · Iceland · 10/07 21:15 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG71% | +2.571% |
| IR Reykjavik – Throttur Reykjavik1. Deild · Iceland · 10/07 21:15 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.588% | GG70% | +2.571% |
| Leiknir R. – Grotta1. Deild · Iceland · 10/07 21:15 | 142% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG64% | +2.563% |
| Njardvik – Grindavik1. Deild · Iceland · 10/07 21:15 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.567% | GG | +2.5 |
| Atlante FC – TolucaFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 22:00 | 1 | X | 234% | +1.561% | GG | +2.5 |
| Atlas – PueblaFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 22:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Atletico San Luis – Mineros de ZacatecasFriendlies Clubs · World · 10/07 22:00 | 190% | X | 2 | +1.598% | GG71% | +2.594% |
| Alianza Atletico – Molinos El PirataCopa De La Liga · Peru · 10/07 22:30 | 166% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG63% | +2.571% |
| Fernando De La Mora – Paraguari ACDivision Intermedia · Paraguay · 10/07 23:00 | 138% | X | 2 | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
*Odds correct as of date published, prices subject to change, check 1XBET for actual odds.
What Mathematical Football Prediction Actually Means
People hear “mathematical model” and picture a black box that spits out winners. The reality is more boring. A decent model takes every match a team has played, weighs the quality of their opponents, adjusts for home advantage, and then estimates a probability for each scoreline. Poisson distributions, Elo-style ratings, and xG (expected goals) are the three building blocks most public models use.
The model doesn’t care about your favourite club. That’s its main advantage. The variables that matter most in my own workflow:
- Expected goals for and against, ideally over the last 8 to 12 matches
- Goalkeeper status (a backup keeper can swing the line by 0.3 goals)
- Travel and rest days, especially in midweek European fixtures
- Referee tendencies for cards and penalty calls
- Weather, but only for under/over markets in winter rounds
None of these guarantee a win. They shift probabilities, and probabilities are all you have when you’re betting.
Spotting Must-Win Teams Today
What makes a team a “must-win”?
A must-win isn’t just the favourite. It’s a team where the situation, the form and the opponent line up. Think Bayern at home against a newly promoted side in October. Or Real Madrid hosting a mid-table La Liga club the weekend before a Champions League knockout, where the bookies still price them at short odds and the model agrees.
The four things I check before calling a side a genuine must-win:
- Form: at least 4 wins in their last 6, ideally with clean sheets
- Opposition trouble: missing a key defender, on a bad run, or just travelled across Europe
- Home record: many teams are completely different sides at home, and the gap is bigger than people think
- Motivation: title race, top-four push, or a derby that the squad won’t take lightly
How to use must-win picks without blowing your bankroll
The mistake I made for years was stacking five “must-wins” into an accumulator. One late equaliser kills the slip every single time. What works better:
Singles on the highest-confidence pick of the day. Boring, but the maths is on your side. Two-fold accas when two picks each clear 70% in the model, which gives roughly 50% combined and decent returns at the typical 1.40-1.60 acca price. Asian handicap -1 if the favourite is too short for a straight win but the model expects a comfortable scoreline. I almost never touch 4+ accumulators on must-wins. The variance eats you alive.
Daily picks, not daily nonsense
Every day at Forwins we publish the matches our model rates highest, with the probability for each market shown next to the tip. If the number is below 70% on a 1X2 pick, we don’t post it. If you only see two or three matches on a quiet Tuesday, that’s the point.
⚠️ Bet responsibly. Stake what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, stop.
Over 2.5 Predictions: What Most People Get Wrong
Over 2.5 means three or more goals in the match. Simple market, simple rule. The bit people miss is that “both teams score a lot” doesn’t automatically mean over 2.5 hits. You need pace and chance creation, not just two leaky defences.
A useful rule of thumb: if the combined xG for the fixture sits above 2.8 and neither side has parked the bus in their last five league games, over 2.5 is usually live. Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart games in 2024-25 are the textbook example. Two attacking sides, both pressing high, with combined goal totals north of 3 in most weeks.
Where it goes wrong:
- Big derbies. Tactically tight, lots of yellow cards, fewer chances than the season average suggests
- Wet pitches and December rounds in Northern Europe
- Sides that have just played a Europa or Champions League midweek game and rotated
The Draw: Underrated and Often Mispriced
Most casual bettors never touch the X. That’s exactly why there’s value in it. Draws are statistically the rarest of the three 1X2 outcomes in most leagues (around 24-28% in the top five European leagues), but when the model and the situation point to one, the typical 3.20-3.60 price is generous.
Where draws cluster:
- Teams within 2-3 points of each other in the table
- Matches between defensive sides with low xG totals (think Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad)
- End-of-season fixtures where both teams are already safe
Serie A produces more draws than any other top league, year after year. Italian football is built around defensive shape, and that shows in the scorelines. If you want to specialise in draws, start there.
Weekend Picks: Where the Real Volume Is
Saturdays and Sundays carry the bulk of the betting calendar. Premier League and La Liga slates on the same day, plus Serie A and Bundesliga, plus the smaller leagues. There’s too much football to bet on every match, and trying is the fastest way to lose a bankroll.
My weekend filter is simple. I rank every match by model confidence, throw out anything below 70%, and look for two or three plays where the bookie line and my model disagree by more than 5 percentage points. Those are the value bets. A “lock” at 1.20 with a true 90% chance is fine, but you make real money when the line is wrong, not when it’s right.
Can You Really Get 90% Accurate Predictions?
The honest version is less exciting: it holds up on safe markets across a short run of bets, and falls apart the moment you want better odds.
Over 1.5 goals in Bundesliga matches hits around 88% historically. Double chance on a heavy home favourite against a bottom-table side hits 90%+. But those are 1.10-1.25 odds. To grow a bankroll meaningfully on those, you’d need huge stakes, and a single 10% loss wipes out many wins.
Anyone selling you “90% accurate predictions” at decent odds is either cherry-picking past results or selling you a dream. The honest target for a profitable bettor is 55-58% on near-evens lines. That’s the level where compounding actually works.
Football Prediction for Tomorrow: Plan, Don’t React
The biggest edge you can get isn’t a better model. It’s earlier lines. Bookmaker odds the day before a match are softer than the same lines an hour before kick-off, because the market hasn’t adjusted to the late money yet. If your model fancies the away team and the price is 2.80 today, it’s likely closer to 2.50 by Saturday morning.
That’s why we publish next-day previews every evening at Forwins. Read them, check the team news the morning of the match, and place early when the value is still there.
BTTS Tips: When Both Teams Actually Score
BTTS is a strange market. It looks like a coin flip, but the long-term hit rate across the top leagues sits around 52-54%. The model edge is small, which means the bookmaker margin matters more here than on most markets. Always shop the line.
BTTS tends to hit in matches where:
- Both teams have scored in 4+ of their last 6 matches
- Neither side has a stand-out goalkeeper
- The favourite likes to attack rather than sit on a 1-0
Bundesliga is the BTTS league. La Liga and Ligue 1 are the worst for it, because the bottom-half teams often struggle to score at all.
Predictions for Nigerian Bettors
Nigeria has one of the most active football betting communities in Africa, and the markets popular with Nigerian bettors aren’t always the ones I’d default to. Multi-bets on weekend EPL games are everywhere. So is interest in the NPFL, where pricing is wider because fewer models cover the league.
If you bet from Nigeria, the same rules apply: stick to leagues you can actually follow, avoid huge accumulators no matter how tempting the payout looks, and shop for the best line. We cover the main European leagues plus selected NPFL fixtures.
The Short Version
A model gives you probabilities. You compare them to the bookie’s price. When your number is meaningfully higher, you bet. When it isn’t, you skip. That’s the entire job.
Everything else, including how many picks we post each day, which leagues we cover, and which markets we trust, follows from that idea. We publish daily previews for the top leagues, plus weekend round-ups every Friday. Take what’s useful, ignore what isn’t.
FAQ: Football Predictions & Betting
What are mathematical football predictions?
Mathematical football predictions are forecasts built from statistical models rather than gut feeling. They combine recent form, expected goals, head-to-head data, lineup news, and home advantage to produce a probability for each outcome. Think of it as a forecast rather than a guarantee. It gives you the likelihood of each result and a sense of how far to trust that number.
How do you predict draws in football?
Look for matches between teams of similar quality (within a few points in the table), low combined xG, and defensive styles. Serie A produces the most draws of any top European league. Atletico-style sides that prioritise structure over attacking risk are also reliable draw candidates, especially when they meet each other.
What does Over 2.5 mean in football betting?
Over 2.5 means betting that the match will end with three or more goals. Final scores of 2-1, 3-0, 3-2, 4-1 all win. A 2-0, 1-1 or 0-0 loses. It’s one of the most popular goal markets because the line cuts cleanly through the most common scorelines.
How do I find value bets?
A value bet is one where your estimated probability is higher than what the bookmaker’s odds imply. If you think a team has a 60% chance to win and the price is 1.90 (implied probability 52.6%), that’s value. Finding these consistently requires a method for estimating probability that isn’t just based on which team you like.
Are weekend predictions different from weekday ones?
The method is the same, but weekends have far more matches, so the filter has to be tighter. With 20+ games across the top leagues on a Saturday, you can afford to skip 90% of them and only bet the ones where the model edge is clear. Weekday matches often have softer lines because the market is thinner.
Can football predictions really be 90% accurate?
Only on safe markets like Over 1.5 in attacking leagues or double chance on heavy favourites, where odds are too short to grow a bankroll meaningfully. On more useful markets like 1X2 picks at 1.80-2.20, a sustainable hit rate sits in the 55-60% range. Anyone claiming 90% accuracy at decent odds is cherry-picking results.
Are your football predictions free?
Yes. All daily picks, weekend previews, and analysis on Forwins.com are free. We publish full reasoning alongside each tip so you can judge whether the logic holds, rather than just copying the bet blindly.
Do you cover Nigerian football?
We cover selected NPFL fixtures and any international matches involving Nigerian teams. The bulk of our daily output is the top European leagues, since that’s where the lines are sharpest and our data is most reliable.
What’s the best market for beginners?
Double chance (1X or X2) is the gentlest starting point. You’re covering two outcomes out of three, so the hit rate is naturally high, and it forces you to think about which outcome you’re ruling out rather than which one you’re picking. Once you’re comfortable, move to 1X2 and over/under markets.
