Mathematical Football Prediction: A Bettor’s Honest Guide

I’ve been betting on football for over a decade, and the single biggest shift in how I pick matches happened the day I stopped trusting my gut and started running the numbers. Mathematical football prediction isn’t magic. It’s just discipline plus data: expected goals, recent form, schedule congestion, lineup news. When you stack those properly, you spot value the casual bettor misses.

This guide is built around what actually works for me on a Saturday afternoon across the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A and Bundesliga. No fluff, no 100%-guaranteed nonsense.

World Cup 2026 — Match Predictions

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France – Spain 0–2World Cup · Semi-finals · 14/07 19:001X2✓ 50% @3.42+1.5GG+2.5
England – ArgentinaWorld Cup · Semi-finals · 15/07 19:00 · ⛅ 27°1X250% @3.13+1.556% @1.44GG+2.5
Odds are indicative and may change. Tap any odd to bet on Betwinner. 18+ · please gamble responsibly.

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America Mineiro – Londrina 1–1Serie B · Brazil · 14/07 00:00 · ☀ 17°1X2✗ 43%+1.5✓ 75%GG✓ 54%+2.5✗ 51%
Cerro Largo – Defensor Sporting 1–1Primera División – Apertura · Uruguay · 14/07 00:00 · ☁ 11°1✗ 45%X2+1.5✓ 61%GG+2.5
Paysandu – Fenix 1–0Segunda División · Uruguay · 14/07 00:001X2✗ 46%+1.5✗ 76%GG✗ 55%+2.5✗ 52%
AO Itabaiana – Brusque 1–0Serie C · Brazil · 14/07 00:30 · ☀ 23°1X2✗ 40%+1.5✗ 71%GG✗ 51%+2.5
Deportivo Capiata – Atlético Tembetary 1–3Division Intermedia · Paraguay · 14/07 00:301✗ 51%X2+1.5✓ 81%GG✓ 59%+2.5✓ 59%
America-RN – Trem 2–1Serie D · Brazil · 14/07 01:00 · ☁ 25°1✓ 52%X2+1.5✓ 59%GG+2.5
CSA – Ipatinga 4–0Serie D · Brazil · 14/07 01:001✓ 52%X2+1.5✓ 65%GG+2.5
Ceara – Athletic Club 0–0Serie B · Brazil · 14/07 01:30 · ☀ 26°1✗ 37%X2+1.5✗ 74%GG✗ 54%+2.5
Figueirense – Volta Redonda 0–0Serie C · Brazil · 14/07 01:301✗ 47%X2+1.5✗ 71%GG+2.5
Atlanta – Colegiales 1–0Primera Nacional · Argentina · 14/07 02:00 · ⛅ 9°1✓ 64%X2+1.5✗ 59%GG+2.5
Cavalry FC – Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1Canadian Championship · Canada · 14/07 03:30 · ☀ 20°1X2✗ 71%+1.5✓ 95%GG✓ 75%+2.5✗ 85%
Polessya – Shimizu S-pulse 1–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 10:001✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 79%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 55%
ASA Targu Mures – Popești-Leordeni 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 10:001X2✗ 43%+1.5✓ 82%GG✓ 62%+2.5✗ 60%
Wisla Plock – Bohemians 1905 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 11:001✓ 42%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 68%+2.5✗ 68%
FC Andorra – MillwallFriendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 11:001X243%+1.577%GG56%+2.553%
Dordrecht – Borussia Dortmund II 4–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 11:001X2✗ 50%+1.5✓ 87%GG✓ 68%+2.5✓ 70%
Malženice – Beşiktaş 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 11:00 · ⛅ 30°1✗ 57%X2+1.5✓ 92%GG✓ 73%+2.5✗ 78%
Maritimo – AVS 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 11:301✓ 34%X2+1.5✓ 69%GG+2.5
Atlético Tucumán Res. – Aldosivi Res. 2–1Reserve League · Argentina · 14/07 13:001✓ 50%X2+1.5✓ 75%GG✓ 53%+2.5✓ 51%
Estudiantes La Plata Res – Colón Res. 2–0Reserve League · Argentina · 14/07 13:001✓ 50%X2+1.5✓ 65%GG+2.5
Rosario Central Res. – San Lorenzo Res. 0–0Reserve League · Argentina · 14/07 13:001X2✗ 39%+1.5✗ 69%GG+2.5
Unión Santa Fe Res. – Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0–0Reserve League · Argentina · 14/07 13:001✗ 38%X2+1.5✗ 70%GG+2.5
Bhutan U19 – Drukpa 2–2Premier League · Bhutan · 14/07 14:001X2✗ 48%+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 64%+2.5✓ 64%
Korona Kielce – Stal Rzeszów 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 14:001✗ 89%X2+1.5✗ 88%GG+2.5✗ 71%
Chester – Fleetwood TownFriendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 14:001X265%+1.596%GG79%+2.587%
Southend – Cambridge United 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 14:001X2✗ 58%+1.5✓ 85%GG✓ 62%+2.5✓ 65%
Legia Warszawa – Radomiak Radom 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 14:001✓ 40%X2+1.5✓ 75%GG✓ 55%+2.5✓ 51%
Macva – Naftagas 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 14:001✗ 43%X2+1.5✓ 63%GG+2.5
SC Braga – VizelaFriendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 14:00148%X2+1.558%GG+2.5
Spartak Pleven – Hapoel Petah Tikva 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 14:001✓ 36%X2+1.5✓ 80%GG✗ 60%+2.5✗ 58%
Dinamo Zagreb – LNZ Cherkasy 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 14:001X2✗ 51%+1.5✗ 87%GG✗ 67%+2.5✗ 69%
AB Copenhagen – Helsingborg 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 14:001X2✗ 42%+1.5✓ 82%GG✗ 63%+2.5✗ 61%
Legia Warszawa II – Barycz SułówFriendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 14:00140%X2+1.582%GG63%+2.561%
Livyi Bereh – Viktoriya Mykolaivka 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 14:001✗ 69%X2+1.5✓ 90%GG✓ 65%+2.5✗ 75%
Oleksandria – Oleksandria IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 14:00151%X2+1.576%GG53%+2.552%
Meshakhte – FC Urartu 2–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 14:001✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 87%GG✓ 69%+2.5✓ 69%
Sardarapat – VanFriendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 14:00138%X2+1.559%GG+2.5
Bukovyna – Metal Kharkiv 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 14:001✗ 64%X2+1.5✓ 77%GG+2.5✗ 53%
Plzen – Polessya 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 15:301X2✗ 55%+1.5✓ 94%GG✗ 79%+2.5✗ 83%
Muras United – Bars 3–2Premier League · Kyrgyzstan · 14/07 16:001✓ 42%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 71%+2.5✓ 71%
Palmeiras U17 – Flamengo RJ U17 1–2Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 14/07 16:001✗ 72%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 59%+2.5✓ 71%
Dukla Banská Bystrica – Hapoel Tel Aviv 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 16:001X2✗ 54%+1.5✗ 81%GG✗ 58%+2.5✗ 59%
Lokomotiv – CSKA Moscow 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 16:001✓ 61%X2+1.5✗ 85%GG✗ 61%+2.5✗ 66%
SV Wehen – Fagiano Okayama 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 16:001✓ 37%X2+1.5✓ 54%GG+2.5
KuPS – Vardar Skopje 2–3UEFA Champions League · World · 14/07 17:00 · ⛅ 23°1✗ 55%X2+1.5✓ 83%GG✓ 60%+2.5✓ 62%
Slovan Liberec – Puskas AcademyFriendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 17:00138%X2+1.575%GG55%+2.551%
Grazer AK – PaksFriendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 17:301X259%+1.594%GG78%+2.583%
Spartak Trnava – Beşiktaş 3–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 17:30 · ☁ 31°1✓ 57%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 65%+2.5✓ 68%
SSV Ulm 1846 – Augsburg II 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 17:301✗ 48%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 67%+2.5✓ 68%
NK Slaven Belupo – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 17:301✗ 61%X2+1.5✓ 96%GG✓ 82%+2.5✓ 88%
Ilves II – GrIFK 6–2Kakkonen – Lohko B · Finland · 14/07 18:00 · ☀ 23°1✓ 48%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 64%+2.5✓ 64%
Plauen – FSV Zwickau 3–7Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:001✗ 49%X2+1.5✓ 92%GG✓ 76%+2.5✓ 79%
SV Darmstadt 98 – FC 08 Homburg 5–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:001✓ 40%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 71%+2.5✓ 71%
Fach-Donaufeld – Rapid Wien II 1–6Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:001✗ 44%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✓ 75%+2.5✓ 77%
Randers FC – Notts County 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:001X2✗ 59%+1.5✓ 89%GG✓ 69%+2.5✓ 73%
Juventud de Bernal – Provincial 0–4Torneo Promocional Amateur · Argentina · 14/07 18:001X2✓ 49%+1.5✓ 91%GG✗ 74%+2.5✓ 76%
Saburtalo – Flora Tallinn 2–2UEFA Champions League · World · 14/07 18:00 · ⛅ 26°1✗ 58%X2+1.5✓ 96%GG✓ 82%+2.5✓ 88%
Inter Club d'Escaldes – Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–1UEFA Champions League · World · 14/07 18:00 · ☀ 32°1X2✗ 77%+1.5✓ 91%GG✓ 60%+2.5✗ 76%
Fortuna Düsseldorf – Ružomberok 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:001✓ 84%X2+1.5✓ 95%GG✗ 65%+2.5✗ 86%
Parndorf – Austria Vienna (Am) 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:001X2✗ 59%+1.5✓ 91%GG✗ 71%+2.5✗ 76%
FC Winterthur – Brühl 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:001✗ 56%X2+1.5✓ 82%GG✓ 59%+2.5✗ 61%
HIK – Vanløse 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:001✗ 37%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 65%+2.5✗ 64%
Port Vale – Tamworth 5–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:001X2✗ 57%+1.5✓ 93%GG✗ 76%+2.5✓ 81%
Eintracht Braunschweig – Havelse 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:001✓ 39%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✓ 75%+2.5✓ 76%
Eintracht Mahlsdorf – Luckenwalde 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:301✗ 43%X2+1.5✓ 82%GG✓ 62%+2.5✗ 60%
Heeslinger SC – VfB Oldenburg 1–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:301X2✓ 82%+1.5✓ 98%GG✓ 75%+2.5✓ 92%
Sporting CP – Celtic 4–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:301✓ 36%X2+1.5✓ 68%GG+2.5
Imst – Arminia Bielefeld 10–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:301X2✗ 68%+1.5✓ 99%GG✗ 90%+2.5✓ 96%
Buchbach – Al Wahda FC 2–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:301X2✗ 41%+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 65%+2.5✓ 64%
Eintracht Rheine – Sportfreunde Lotte 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 18:301✗ 63%X2+1.5✗ 83%GG✗ 56%+2.5✗ 62%
HK Kopavogur – IR Reykjavik 5–11. Deild · Iceland · 14/07 19:001✓ 65%X2+1.5✓ 92%GG✓ 71%+2.5✓ 78%
Buenos Aires City – Ezeiza 1–2Torneo Promocional Amateur · Argentina · 14/07 19:001✗ 49%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Gyori ETO FC – Vikingur Reykjavik 2–2UEFA Champions League · World · 14/07 19:001✗ 46%X2+1.5✓ 70%GG+2.5
Riga – Ararat-Armenia 3–2UEFA Champions League · World · 14/07 19:00 · ☁ 21°1X2✗ 49%+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 66%+2.5✓ 67%
NEC Nijmegen – V-varen Nagasaki 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 19:001X2✗ 54%+1.5✓ 93%GG✓ 76%+2.5✓ 80%
Seraing United – MVV 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 19:001✗ 47%X2+1.5✗ 71%GG+2.5
Lokeren-Temse – Olympic CharleroiFriendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 19:00158%X2+1.596%GG82%+2.588%
Deutschlandsberger SC – Lebring 2–5Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 19:001✗ 57%X2+1.5✓ 95%GG✓ 80%+2.5✓ 85%
Weiz – Ilzer SV 2–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 19:001✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✓ 75%+2.5✓ 76%
Levski Sofia – Borac Banja Luka 4–0UEFA Champions League · World · 14/07 19:30 · ☀ 22°1X✗ 34%2+1.5✓ 59%GG+2.5
The New Saints – Sabah FA 1–2UEFA Champions League · World · 14/07 19:30 · ☀ 24°1X2✓ 49%+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 66%+2.5✓ 67%
Lask Linz – Fenerbahçe 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 19:30 · ☁ 23°1X2✓ 54%+1.5✓ 96%GG✓ 83%+2.5✓ 88%
Kilia Kiel – Todesfelde 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 19:301✗ 87%X2+1.5✓ 97%GG✓ 67%+2.5✗ 90%
Argentino Quilmes – Arsenal Sarandi 1–0Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 14/07 20:00 · ☁ 13°1X2✗ 42%+1.5✗ 55%GG+2.5
Defensores Unidos – Excursionistas 0–2Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 14/07 20:00 · ☁ 15°1✗ 35%X2+1.5✓ 63%GG+2.5
Deportivo Camioneros – Liniers 1–0Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 14/07 20:00 · ☁ 14°1✓ 44%X2+1.5✗ 62%GG+2.5
Dock Sud – UAI Urquiza 0–0Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 14/07 20:00 · ☁ 14°1✗ 48%X2+1.5✗ 55%GG+2.5
Flandria – Argentino de Merlo 1–0Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 14/07 20:00 · ☁ 14°1X2✗ 35%+1.5✗ 63%GG+2.5
Sportivo Italiano – Villa San Carlos 1–0Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 14/07 20:00 · ☁ 14°1✓ 38%X2+1.5✗ 68%GG+2.5
Atletico GO U17 – Cruzeiro U17 0–3Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 14/07 20:001X2✓ 54%+1.5✓ 79%GG✗ 56%+2.5✓ 57%
Atlético Mineiro U17 – Athletico PR U17 2–3Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 14/07 20:001✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 87%GG✓ 69%+2.5✓ 69%
Botafogo U17 – Fortaleza U17 6–3Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 14/07 20:001X2✗ 45%+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 70%+2.5✓ 71%
RB Bragantino U17 – Juventude U17 6–0Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 14/07 20:001✓ 45%X2+1.5✓ 85%GG✗ 65%+2.5✓ 65%
Fluminense U17 – Gremio U17 3–0Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 14/07 20:001✓ 81%X2+1.5✓ 87%GG+2.5✓ 69%
Internacional U17 – Bahia U17 1–0Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 14/07 20:001✓ 44%X2+1.5✗ 94%GG✗ 80%+2.5✗ 83%
Santos U17 – America MG U17 1–0Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 14/07 20:001X2✗ 44%+1.5✗ 74%GG✗ 53%+2.5
Vitoria U17 – Sao Paulo U17 1–3Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 14/07 20:001X2✓ 47%+1.5GG+2.5
Hyde United – AFC Fylde 1–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:001X2✓ 45%+1.5✓ 95%GG✓ 82%+2.5✓ 85%
Alfreton Town – Boston United 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:001X2✓ 50%+1.5✓ 80%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 58%
Preston – Bamber Bridge 4–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:001✓ 61%X2+1.5✓ 78%GG✓ 51%+2.5✓ 54%
Drita – Kauno Žalgiris 2–3UEFA Champions League · World · 14/07 20:00 · ☀ 20°1X✗ 34%2+1.5✓ 59%GG+2.5
Bristol Rovers – Leicester 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:001✗ 44%X2+1.5✗ 93%GG✗ 77%+2.5✗ 80%
Woking – Portsmouth 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:001✗ 52%X2+1.5✓ 77%GG✓ 54%+2.5✓ 53%
Vasco da Gama U20 – Cruzeiro U20 2–0Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 14/07 20:001✓ 60%X2+1.5✓ 82%GG✗ 57%+2.5✗ 61%
AFC Emley – Rotherham 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:001✗ 42%X2+1.5✓ 73%GG✓ 52%+2.5
Deportivo Armenio – Talleres Remedios 2–1Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 14/07 20:30 · ☁ 14°1X2✗ 42%+1.5✓ 61%GG+2.5
Merthyr Town – Yeovil Town 2–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:301X2✗ 49%+1.5✓ 97%GG✓ 87%+2.5✓ 91%
Portishead Town – Weston-super-MareFriendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:30136%X2+1.568%GG+2.5
Dover – Gillingham 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:301✗ 36%X2+1.5✓ 70%GG+2.5
Swindon Town – Chippenham Town 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:301✓ 56%X2+1.5✗ 92%GG✗ 74%+2.5✗ 78%
Hebburn Town – Gateshead 3–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:301X2✗ 54%+1.5✓ 95%GG✓ 81%+2.5✓ 85%
Marine – Colwyn Bay 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:301X2✗ 62%+1.5✓ 92%GG✗ 71%+2.5✗ 78%
Nairn County – Ross County 2–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:301X2✗ 93%+1.5✓ 96%GG✓ 52%+2.5✓ 89%
Holyport – Maidenhead 1–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:301✗ 69%X2+1.5✓ 90%GG✓ 64%+2.5✓ 74%
Keith – Aberdeen U21 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:301X2✗ 47%+1.5✓ 90%GG✗ 72%+2.5✗ 74%
Pickering Town – York 4–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:301X2✗ 46%+1.5✓ 78%GG✓ 56%+2.5✓ 54%
Sligo Rovers – Coleraine FC 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:301✗ 43%X2+1.5✓ 87%GG✓ 69%+2.5✓ 69%
Doncaster – St Patrick's Athl. 2–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:301X2✓ 64%+1.5✓ 82%GG✓ 54%+2.5✓ 60%
Hallam – Sheffield Wednesday 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:301X2✗ 41%+1.5✗ 96%GG✗ 85%+2.5✗ 88%
Real Bedford – Boreham Wood 2–8Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:301X2✓ 46%+1.5✓ 78%GG✓ 56%+2.5✓ 54%
Cray Wanderers – Folkestone Invicta 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451✓ 49%X2+1.5✓ 90%GG✓ 72%+2.5✓ 74%
FC Halifax Town – Chesterfield 3–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451X2✗ 69%+1.5✓ 91%GG✓ 67%+2.5✓ 77%
Prescot Cables – CreweFriendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451X247%+1.590%GG72%+2.574%
Sutton Athletic – Dartford 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451✗ 34%X2+1.5✓ 61%GG+2.5
Tonbridge Angels – Sutton Utd 0–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451X2✓ 40%+1.5✓ 82%GG✗ 63%+2.5✗ 61%
Barnet – Watford 2–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451✗ 60%X2+1.5✓ 71%GG+2.5
Evesham United – Worcester City 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451✓ 46%X2+1.5✗ 72%GG✗ 51%+2.5
Wythenshawe Town – AltrinchamFriendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:45138%X2+1.585%GG66%+2.565%
Annan Athletic – Dundee 0–5League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:451X2✓ 80%+1.5✓ 97%GG✗ 76%+2.5✓ 91%
Brechin – Livingston 0–2League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:45 · ☁ 14°1X2✓ 76%+1.5✓ 96%GG✗ 74%+2.5✗ 88%
Brora Rangers – Aberdeen 0–2League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:451X2✓ 55%+1.5✓ 84%GG✗ 62%+2.5✗ 64%
Clyde – Airdrie United 1–0League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:45 · ☀ 16°1✓ 59%X2+1.5✗ 93%GG✗ 75%+2.5✗ 81%
Cove Rangers – East Kilbride 3–2League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:451X2✗ 52%+1.5✓ 87%GG✓ 68%+2.5✓ 70%
Dunfermline – Dumbarton 4–1League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:45 · ☀ 14°1✓ 52%X2+1.5✓ 95%GG✓ 81%+2.5✓ 85%
East Fife – Morton 2–0League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:451X2✗ 34%+1.5✓ 61%GG+2.5
Edinburgh City – Alloa Athletic 2–0League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:45 · ⛅ 15°1X2✗ 69%+1.5✓ 94%GG✗ 73%+2.5✗ 83%
Elgin City – Peterhead 1–3League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:451X2✓ 60%+1.5✓ 81%GG✓ 55%+2.5✓ 59%
Falkirk – Ayr Utd 0–1League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:45 · ☀ 15°1✗ 63%X2+1.5✗ 98%GG✗ 86%+2.5✗ 92%
Forfar Athletic – Partick 0–4League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:451X2✓ 81%+1.5✓ 97%GG✗ 75%+2.5✓ 91%
Kelty Hearts – Queen's Park 0–2League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:451X2✓ 59%+1.5✓ 80%GG✗ 55%+2.5✗ 58%
Kilmarnock – Raith Rovers 0–0League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:45 · ☀ 19°1X2✗ 58%+1.5✗ 85%GG✗ 62%+2.5✗ 65%
Linlithgow Rose – ST Johnstone 0–2League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:451✗ 36%X2+1.5✓ 70%GG+2.5
Montrose – Dundee Utd 1–0League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:451✓ 42%X2+1.5✗ 73%GG✗ 52%+2.5
Spartans – Stirling Albion 1–3League Cup · Scotland · 14/07 20:45 · ⛅ 15°1X2✓ 49%+1.5✓ 72%GG+2.5
Bath City – Cardiff City U21 0–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451✗ 36%X2+1.5✓ 68%GG+2.5
Cliftonville FC – Moyola Park 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451X2✗ 58%+1.5✓ 96%GG✗ 82%+2.5✓ 88%
Leek Town – Macclesfield 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451X2✗ 52%+1.5✓ 87%GG✓ 68%+2.5✗ 70%
Poole Town – Eastleigh 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451✓ 48%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 67%+2.5✗ 68%
Barry Town – Trethomas Bluebirds 5–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451✓ 76%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✓ 62%+2.5✓ 77%
Cork City – Cardiff 1–6Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:45 · ☀ 23°1✗ 91%X2+1.5✓ 97%GG✓ 59%+2.5✓ 89%
United of Manchester – Rochdale 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451X2✗ 43%+1.5✓ 77%GG✗ 56%+2.5✗ 53%
AFC Hornchurch – Millwall U21 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451✓ 43%X2+1.5✓ 75%GG✗ 54%+2.5✓ 51%
Welling United – Braintree 3–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451X2✗ 67%+1.5✓ 94%GG✓ 74%+2.5✓ 83%
Bedford Town – Biggleswade 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451X2✗ 39%+1.5✓ 65%GG+2.5
Llandudno – Rhyl 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451✓ 67%X2+1.5✓ 96%GG✗ 79%+2.5✗ 88%
Alton Town – Ashford Town (Middlesex)Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451X252%+1.573%GG+2.5
Harlow Town – Woodford Town 0–5Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451X2✓ 43%+1.5✓ 77%GG✗ 56%+2.5✓ 53%
South Normanton Athletic – Worksop Town 3–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451X2✓ 58%+1.5✓ 90%GG✓ 70%+2.5✓ 74%
Aveley – Ebbsfleet United 1–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451✗ 51%X2+1.5✓ 90%GG✓ 72%+2.5✓ 75%
Slough Town – Basingstoke Town 2–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 14/07 20:451✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 65%+2.5✓ 64%
Larne – Tre Fiori 2–1UEFA Champions League · World · 14/07 21:00 · ☀ 20°1X2✗ 39%+1.5✓ 65%GG+2.5
Shamrock Rovers – Floriana 5–1UEFA Champions League · World · 14/07 21:00 · ☀ 20°1X2✗ 49%+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 66%+2.5✓ 67%
La Fiorita – UNA Strassen 0–2UEFA Europa Conference League · World · 14/07 21:00 · ⛅ 27°1✗ 46%X2+1.5✓ 70%GG+2.5
France – Spain 0–2World Cup · World · 14/07 21:001✗ 56%X2+1.5✓ 63%GG+2.5
Macara – Mushuc Runa SC 2–1Liga Pro · Ecuador · 14/07 23:30 · ⛅ 15°1✓ 46%X2+1.5✓ 76%GG✓ 55%+2.5✓ 52%
Brown DE Adrogue – Deportivo Laferrere 0–1Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 15/07 00:00 · ☁ 12°1X2✓ 44%+1.5✗ 72%GG✗ 51%+2.5
Comunicaciones – Villa Dalmine 0–0Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 15/07 00:00 · ☁ 13°1X2✗ 41%+1.5✗ 65%GG+2.5
Deportivo Merlo – Real Pilar 3–2Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 15/07 00:00 · ☁ 13°1X2✗ 36%+1.5✓ 68%GG+2.5
Ituzaingó – San Martín Burzaco 1–2Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 15/07 00:001X2✓ 46%+1.5✓ 51%GG+2.5
Real Oruro – Always Ready 0–6Primera División · Bolivia · 15/07 00:00 · ☀ 11°1✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 67%+2.5✓ 67%
Asheville City – Virginia Beach City 1–0USL League Two · USA · 15/07 01:001✓ 36%X2+1.5✗ 70%GG+2.5
Lehigh Valley United – Appalachian 0–1USL League Two · USA · 15/07 01:001X2✓ 40%+1.5✗ 81%GG✗ 61%+2.5✗ 59%
Manta FC – Delfin SC 0–1Liga Pro · Ecuador · 15/07 02:001X✗ 40%2+1.5GG+2.5
Blooming – Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1–1Primera División · Bolivia · 15/07 02:30 · ⛅ 21°1✗ 76%X2+1.5✓ 78%GG+2.5✗ 54%
New England FC – Ironbound 0–3USL League Two · USA · 15/07 02:301X2✓ 39%+1.5✓ 90%GG✗ 73%+2.5✓ 74%
Cerezo Osaka – Tochigi City 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 09:001X2✗ 43%+1.5✗ 77%GG✗ 56%+2.5✗ 53%
Kashima – Vegalta Sendai 5–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 09:001X2✗ 69%+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 58%+2.5✓ 68%
Yokohama F. Marinos – Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 10:001✗ 45%X2+1.5✓ 71%GG+2.5
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz – Austria Lustenau 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 10:301✗ 60%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 59%+2.5✗ 63%
OH Leuven – Lommel United 5–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 11:001✓ 77%X2+1.5✓ 98%GG✓ 83%+2.5✓ 94%
Freiburg II – Bochum II 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 11:001✗ 69%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 58%+2.5✓ 68%
Chaves – Fafe 4–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 11:301X2✗ 57%+1.5✓ 85%GG✓ 63%+2.5✓ 66%
Tensung – Thimphu City 0–4Premier League · Bhutan · 15/07 12:001X2✓ 78%+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Ansan Greeners – Jinju Citizen 0–2FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✓ 46%+1.5✓ 78%GG✗ 56%+2.5✗ 54%
Changwon City – Gimhae City 1–5FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001✗ 60%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 63%+2.5✓ 67%
Daegu FC – Siheung Citizen 0–1FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001✗ 36%X2+1.5✗ 68%GG+2.5
Hwaseong – Yangpyeong 4–3FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✗ 75%+1.5✓ 93%GG✓ 67%+2.5✓ 81%
Paju Citizen – Gangneung City 3–2FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✗ 41%+1.5✓ 82%GG✓ 62%+2.5✓ 60%
Seongnam FC – Pocheon 2–1FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✗ 41%+1.5✓ 82%GG✓ 62%+2.5✓ 60%
Suwon City FC – Pyeongchang United 3–2FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✗ 46%+1.5✓ 78%GG✓ 56%+2.5✓ 54%
Ulsan Citizen – Seoul E-Land FC 4–2FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001✓ 52%X2+1.5✓ 77%GG✓ 54%+2.5✓ 53%
Yongin City – Dangjin Citizen 0–2FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✓ 41%+1.5✓ 82%GG✗ 62%+2.5✗ 60%
Busan Transportation – Suwon Bluewings 2–1FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001✓ 52%X2+1.5✓ 77%GG✓ 54%+2.5✓ 53%
Cheongju – Gyeongju HNP 4–0FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✗ 52%+1.5✓ 87%GG✗ 68%+2.5✓ 70%
Namyangju – Gimpo Citizen 1–2FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001✗ 63%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 64%
Torreense – Academica 5–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 12:001✓ 42%X2+1.5✓ 73%GG✗ 52%+2.5
Busan I Park – Geoje Citizen 4–0FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:001X2✗ 62%+1.5✓ 92%GG✗ 71%+2.5✓ 78%
Cheonan City – Mokpo City 2–1FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:301X2✗ 47%+1.5✓ 90%GG✓ 72%+2.5✓ 74%
Gyeongnam FC – Yeoju Sejong 0–1FA Cup · South-Korea · 15/07 12:301X2✓ 58%+1.5✗ 85%GG✗ 62%+2.5✗ 65%
Almere City FC – FC Volendam 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 13:001✓ 51%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 69%+2.5✓ 71%
FC Rostov – Fakel 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 13:001✓ 46%X2+1.5✓ 54%GG+2.5
Paderborn II – Verl 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 13:001X2✓ 61%+1.5✗ 92%GG✗ 72%+2.5✗ 78%
Aarhus – AC Horsens 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 56%X2+1.5✓ 90%GG✗ 70%+2.5✗ 74%
FC Fredericia – Mafra 3–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001X2✗ 43%+1.5✓ 89%GG✓ 71%+2.5✓ 72%
Holstein Kiel – Al-Ahli Jeddah 4–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 36%X2+1.5✓ 77%GG✓ 57%+2.5✓ 53%
Puszcza Niepołomice – Podhale Nowy TargFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:00149%X2+1.584%GG63%+2.563%
Rilski Sportist – MarekFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001X246%+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
SV Zeilsheim – Bayern AlzenauFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001X252%+1.573%GG+2.5
Dynamo – Krylia SovetovFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:00139%X2+1.589%GG72%+2.572%
Kisvarda FC – Bukovyna 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✗ 76%X2+1.5✗ 86%GG✗ 51%+2.5✗ 67%
Wisłoka Dębica – Widzew II 2–5Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✗ 69%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 68%
KRC Genk II – RWDM 6–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 63%X2+1.5✓ 89%GG✓ 67%+2.5✓ 73%
Famalicao – Lusitânia Lourosa 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 76%X2+1.5✗ 94%GG✗ 67%+2.5✗ 82%
Fleury 91 – Boulogne 0–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001X2✓ 78%+1.5✓ 91%GG✗ 58%+2.5✗ 76%
Obolon'-Brovar – Chernihiv 3–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 42%X2+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Podlasie Biała Podlaska – Polonia Warszawa U19Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:00179%X2+1.593%GG62%+2.580%
Clermont Foot – Bourges Foot 18 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001X2✗ 39%+1.5✗ 65%GG+2.5
Czarni Połaniec – Jarosław 1–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✗ 56%X2+1.5✓ 63%GG+2.5
Estrela – Naval 1893 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 39%X2+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Malženice – Zbrojovka BrnoFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:00154%X2+1.595%GG81%+2.585%
Pelikan Łowicz – Swit 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 52%X2+1.5✓ 75%GG✓ 52%+2.5✓ 51%
Polonia Słubice – FC Frankfurt 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 63%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 64%
Portimonense – Rio Ave 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001X2✓ 70%+1.5✓ 80%GG+2.5✓ 58%
Zagłębie Lubin II – Odra Bytom Odrzański 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✗ 45%X2+1.5✗ 86%GG✗ 67%+2.5✗ 67%
Lechia Zielona Góra – Carina Gubin 1–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✗ 72%X2+1.5✓ 93%GG✓ 68%+2.5✓ 80%
Beroe – Maritsa Milevo 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✗ 77%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 51%+2.5✓ 68%
Broń Radom – Ceramika Opoczno 2–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001X2✓ 40%+1.5✓ 79%GG✓ 59%+2.5✓ 57%
Kudrivka – Kolos Kovalivka II 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 55%X2+1.5✓ 77%GG✗ 53%+2.5✗ 53%
Sanjoanense – Felgueiras 1932Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:00160%X2+1.585%GG61%+2.565%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti – Tunari 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 48%X2+1.5✓ 87%GG✗ 69%+2.5✓ 70%
Unia Swarzędz – Lipno Stęszew 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 14:001✓ 50%X2+1.5✓ 79%GG✗ 56%+2.5✓ 55%
RAAL La Louvière – Excelsior Virton 3–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 15:001✓ 53%X2+1.5✓ 95%GG✓ 82%+2.5✓ 86%
Red Bull Salzburg – Gamba Osaka 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 15:001✗ 55%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✗ 73%+2.5✓ 76%
Vasco U17 – Corinthians U17 0–3Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 15/07 16:001✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 76%GG✗ 55%+2.5✓ 52%
Reims – Francs Borains 4–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 16:001X2✗ 62%+1.5✓ 94%GG✓ 76%+2.5✓ 83%
Odra Opole – Maccabi Netanya 2–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 16:001✗ 39%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✓ 75%+2.5✓ 76%
Warta Sieradz – Polonia Środa 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 16:001✓ 54%X2+1.5✓ 89%GG✓ 69%+2.5✓ 72%
Caen – Gobelins 3–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 16:001X2✓ 49%+1.5✓ 94%GG✓ 79%+2.5✓ 83%
Hansa Rostock – Greifswalder FC 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 16:301X2✗ 54%+1.5✓ 95%GG✗ 81%+2.5✓ 85%
Malisheva – Vllaznia Shkodër 5–0UEFA Europa Conference League · World · 15/07 16:301X2✗ 59%+1.5✓ 80%GG✗ 55%+2.5✓ 58%
Ordabasy – Altay 3–1Cup · Kazakhstan · 15/07 17:001X2✗ 38%+1.5✓ 73%GG✓ 53%+2.5
SSV Jahn Regensburg – Vilzing 2–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:001X2✓ 79%+1.5✓ 97%GG✓ 76%+2.5✓ 91%
FK Jablonec – Metalist 1925 KharkivFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:00158%X2+1.590%GG70%+2.574%
Polonia Warszawa – Zlin 0–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:001X2✓ 56%+1.5✓ 88%GG✗ 67%+2.5✗ 71%
Sturm Graz – Pogon Szczecin 1–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:001✓ 56%X2+1.5✗ 89%GG✗ 69%+2.5✗ 72%
Ajax – VfL Bochum 1–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:001X2✗ 44%+1.5✓ 90%GG✓ 73%+2.5✗ 75%
Eintracht Frankfurt II – Waldhof Mannheim 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:001✓ 59%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 64%+2.5✗ 68%
Spišská Nová Ves – Ružomberok II 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:001X2✗ 41%+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 65%+2.5✓ 64%
Energie Cottbus – Mlada Boleslav 2–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:001✗ 49%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 69%+2.5✓ 71%
JIPPO – MP 3–1Ykkösliiga · Finland · 15/07 17:301✓ 43%X2+1.5GG+2.5
GBK – Kraft 6–2Kakkonen – Lohko C · Finland · 15/07 17:301✓ 48%X2+1.5✓ 94%GG✓ 80%+2.5✓ 83%
Zorya Luhansk – Konyaspor 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 17:301✗ 39%X2+1.5✓ 69%GG+2.5
Dijon – UNFP 5–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:001✓ 39%X2+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Nordlingen – 1. FC Heidenheim 0–9Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:001X2✓ 59%+1.5✓ 80%GG✗ 55%+2.5✓ 58%
Eintracht Trier – Fortuna Köln 1–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:001✗ 63%X2+1.5✓ 93%GG✓ 73%+2.5✓ 80%
Galanta – PiešťanyFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:00182%X2+1.598%GG78%+2.593%
Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen – VfR AalenFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:001X246%+1.578%GG56%+2.554%
Hradec Králové II – Jablonec II 2–5Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:001✗ 44%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✓ 75%+2.5✓ 77%
Rapid Vienna – Panathinaikos 4–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:001X2✗ 60%+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 63%+2.5✓ 67%
England U20 W – Colombia U20 WFriendlies Women · World · 15/07 18:00154%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
Bahrain U20 – Palestine U20Friendlies · World · 15/07 18:151X246%+1.5GG+2.5
Chemnitzer FC – SpVgg Unterhaching 3–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:301✓ 63%X2+1.5✓ 87%GG✗ 64%+2.5✓ 70%
Lyon – Servette FC 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:301✓ 70%X2+1.5✓ 97%GG✓ 80%+2.5✓ 89%
SAK Klagenfurt – Austria KlagenfurtFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:30147%X2+1.598%GG91%+2.594%
Patro Eisden – St. Truiden 0–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:301X2✓ 69%+1.5✓ 89%GG✗ 62%+2.5✓ 72%
Red Bull Salzburg – Başakşehir 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:301✗ 55%X2+1.5✓ 80%GG✓ 57%+2.5✓ 58%
Optik Rathenow – BSC Süd 05 1–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:301X2✓ 82%+1.5✓ 96%GG✓ 70%+2.5✓ 88%
Brønshøj – FremFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:30151%X2+1.588%GG69%+2.571%
Krieschow – Altglienicke 0–6Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 18:301✗ 60%X2+1.5✓ 87%GG✗ 64%+2.5✓ 69%
Libertad – Tecnico Universitario 1–0Liga Pro · Ecuador · 15/07 19:001X2✗ 35%+1.5✗ 63%GG+2.5
Hoek – NAC Breda 1–2Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001✗ 48%X2+1.5✓ 79%GG✓ 57%+2.5✓ 55%
Heist – KV Mechelen 0–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001X2✓ 46%+1.5✗ 78%GG✗ 56%+2.5✗ 54%
Tasmania Berlin – Hertha Zehlendorf 2–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001✓ 54%X2+1.5✓ 95%GG✗ 81%+2.5✗ 85%
Wiedenbrück – TheesenFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:00139%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Borussia M'gladbach II – TuS Koblenz 3–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001✗ 60%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 59%+2.5✓ 63%
Einheit Rudolstadt – ArnstadtFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:00141%X2+1.584%GG65%+2.564%
SC St. Tönis – Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1–4Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001X2✓ 63%+1.5✓ 98%GG✓ 86%+2.5✓ 92%
AS Eupen – La Calamine 2–1Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001✓ 43%X2+1.5✓ 70%GG+2.5
Vitesse – AEK Athens FC 0–0Friendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 19:001✗ 45%X2+1.5✗ 61%GG+2.5
Universitatea Craiova – ML VitebskUEFA Champions League · World · 15/07 19:30 · ⛅ 27°187%X2+1.596%GG62%+2.588%
América RJ – Nova IguaçuCopa Rio · Brazil · 15/07 19:45160%X2+1.586%GG63%+2.567%
Pérolas Negras – CFRJ / MaricáCopa Rio · Brazil · 15/07 19:45179%X2+1.593%GG62%+2.580%
Olaria – BanguCopa Rio · Brazil · 15/07 19:45169%X2+1.590%GG65%+2.575%
Americano Campos – Portuguesa RJCopa Rio · Brazil · 15/07 19:45152%X2+1.577%GG54%+2.553%
Bonsucesso – MadureiraCopa Rio · Brazil · 15/07 19:45163%X2+1.584%GG58%+2.564%
Blumenau – MetropolitanoCatarinense – 2 · Brazil · 15/07 20:00135%X2+1.571%GG51%+2.5
Fluminense-SC – Guarani de PalhoçaCatarinense – 2 · Brazil · 15/07 20:00149%X2+1.574%GG52%+2.5
Jaraguá – NaçãoCatarinense – 2 · Brazil · 15/07 20:001X258%+1.584%GG60%+2.563%
Aldershot Town – PortsmouthFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 20:00140%X2+1.573%GG53%+2.5
Bangor – ArdsFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 20:00152%X2+1.577%GG54%+2.553%
Skegness Town – ScunthorpeFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 20:001X286%+1.597%GG69%+2.590%
Atert Bissen – KI KlaksvikUEFA Champions League · World · 15/07 20:15 · ☀ 24°1X259%+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Dečić – FK LiepajaUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 15/07 20:30 · ☀ 28°146%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
Sao Luis – PinheiroMaranhense – 2 · Brazil · 15/07 20:30144%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Ards Rangers – Ballymacash RangersFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 20:30149%X2+1.578%GG56%+2.554%
Solihull Moors – BirminghamFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 20:451X259%+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë – PetrocubUEFA Champions League · World · 15/07 21:001X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Sutjeska – Kairat AlmatyUEFA Champions League · World · 15/07 21:001X259%+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Araioses – CordinoMaranhense – 2 · Brazil · 15/07 21:00163%X2+1.552%GG+2.5
Timon MA – TupanMaranhense – 2 · Brazil · 15/07 21:00144%X2+1.562%GG+2.5
England – ArgentinaWorld Cup · World · 15/07 21:00 · ⛅ 27°1X248%+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
CEAC / Araruama – Boavista SCCopa Rio · Brazil · 15/07 21:00139%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Cuniburo – El NacionalLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 15/07 21:30 · 🌦 20°169%X2+1.577%GG+2.553%
Austin – CharlotteFriendlies Clubs · World · 15/07 22:00142%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Lago Verde – ExpressinhoMaranhense – 2 · Brazil · 15/07 22:00170%X2+1.576%GG+2.552%
Leones del Norte – Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro · Ecuador · 16/07 00:00142%X2+1.555%GG+2.5
Universidad Catolica – LDU de QuitoLiga Pro · Ecuador · 16/07 00:00 · ⛅ 15°146%X2+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Real Potosí – San Antonio Bulo BuloPrimera División · Bolivia · 16/07 00:00161%X2+1.578%GG51%+2.554%
Caravaggio – TubaraoCatarinense – 2 · Brazil · 16/07 00:00150%X2+1.580%GG58%+2.558%
One Knoxville – Fort WayneUSL League One · USA · 16/07 00:30138%X2+1.568%GG+2.5
Hercílio Luz – Juventus SCCatarinense – 2 · Brazil · 16/07 00:30173%X2+1.575%GG+2.551%
Resende – Sampaio Corrêa RJCopa Rio · Brazil · 16/07 00:30192%X2+1.598%GG64%+2.593%
Lexington – New Mexico UnitedUSL Championship · USA · 16/07 01:00149%X2+1.562%GG+2.5
Miami FC – Indy ElevenUSL Championship · USA · 16/07 01:00140%X2+1.579%GG59%+2.557%
Chattanooga Red Wolves – AltaUSL League One · USA · 16/07 01:00157%X2+1.575%GG+2.551%
Orlando Pride W – Boston Legacy WNWSL Women · USA · 16/07 01:00157%X2+1.573%GG+2.5
New England II – Columbus Crew IIMLS Next Pro · USA · 16/07 01:00 · ☁ 24°141%X2+1.584%GG65%+2.564%
Sporting JAX – Pittsburgh RiverhoundsUSL Championship · USA · 16/07 01:301X255%+1.589%GG70%+2.573%
Forward Madison – Richmond KickersUSL League One · USA · 16/07 02:00 · ☀ 30°175%X2+1.586%GG53%+2.568%
NJ/NY Gotham FC W – Washington Spirit WNWSL Women · USA · 16/07 02:001X237%+1.558%GG+2.5
RB Bragantino U20 – Athletico PR U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 16/07 02:001X241%+1.594%GG80%+2.583%
Barcelona SC – Guayaquil City FCLiga Pro · Ecuador · 16/07 02:30154%X2+1.563%GG+2.5
Houston Dynamo – America de CaliFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 02:30145%X2+1.569%GG+2.5
Kawasaki Frontale – Vanraure HachinoheFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 03:30184%X2+1.595%GG63%+2.586%
Real Salt Lake – BurnleyFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 04:00147%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Malaysia W – SingaporeAsean Championship Women · World · 16/07 10:45139%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Indonesia W – Cambodia WAsean Championship Women · World · 16/07 10:451X251%+1.588%GG69%+2.571%
Fulham United – Cumberland UnitedSouth Australia State League 1 · Australia · 16/07 11:45150%X2+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Raków Częstochowa – GKS KatowiceFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 12:00160%X2+1.592%GG73%+2.579%
Arys – Turan Turkistan1. Division · Kazakhstan · 16/07 14:001X260%+1.581%GG55%+2.559%
Ekibastuz – Shakhter Karagandy1. Division · Kazakhstan · 16/07 14:001X258%+1.579%GG54%+2.557%
Taraz – Aktobe Jas1. Division · Kazakhstan · 16/07 14:00 · ☀ 36°171%X2+1.592%GG66%+2.578%
Thimphu – ParoPremier League · Bhutan · 16/07 14:001X283%+1.579%GG+2.555%
FC Copenhagen – ViborgFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 14:00162%X2+1.593%GG74%+2.580%
LNZ Cherkasy – GöztepeFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 14:001X254%+1.566%GG+2.5
Puskas Academy – BaşakşehirFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 14:00139%X2+1.569%GG+2.5
Dinamo Makhachkala – Dinamo St. PetersburgFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 14:00154%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
HNK Gorica – Epitsentr DunayivtsiFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 14:001X236%+1.572%GG52%+2.5
Atl. Rafaela 2 – Independiente Riva. Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 16/07 15:001X239%+1.572%GG52%+2.5
Godoy Cruz Res. – Argentinos Juniors Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 16/07 15:00134%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Huracán Res. – Newell's Old Boys Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 16/07 15:00145%X2+1.563%GG+2.5
Independiente Res. – Deportivo Riestra Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 16/07 15:00158%X2+1.576%GG50%+2.552%
Platense Res. – San Martín San Juan Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 16/07 15:00178%X2+1.588%GG54%+2.571%
Tigre Res. – Instituto Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 16/07 15:001X236%+1.568%GG+2.5
Tanzania Prisons – Polisi TanzaniaLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 16/07 15:00 · ⛅ 17°1X280%+1.582%GG+2.560%
Khan Tengri – Yelimay Semey 21. Division · Kazakhstan · 16/07 16:00154%X2+1.576%GG52%+2.552%
Nürnberg II – Austria LustenauFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 16:00146%X2+1.582%GG61%+2.560%
Al Ahed – Al NejmehPremier League · Lebanon · 16/07 16:30 · ⛅ 27°1X241%+1.574%GG53%+2.5
Bunyodkor – NasafSuper League · Uzbekistan · 16/07 17:001X240%+1.573%GG53%+2.5
Neftchi – BuxoroSuper League · Uzbekistan · 16/07 17:00 · ☀ 32°162%X2+1.577%GG+2.553%
Sogdiana – XorazmSuper League · Uzbekistan · 16/07 17:00 · ☀ 32°1X241%+1.580%GG60%+2.558%
FC Astana – Dinamo TiranaUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 17:00 · ☀ 24°1X239%+1.565%GG+2.5
Inter Turku – FK SarajevoUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 17:00 · ☀ 25°1X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Yelimay Semey – AlashkertUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 17:00 · 🌦 26°1X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv – Hradec KrálovéFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 17:301X256%+1.585%GG63%+2.565%
NK Slaven Belupo – PaksFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 17:301X263%+1.596%GG82%+2.588%
Viimsi – ElvaEsiliiga A · Estonia · 16/07 18:00 · ☀ 21°141%X2+1.584%GG65%+2.564%
HIFK Helsinki – PPJKakkonen – Lohko A · Finland · 16/07 18:00148%X2+1.591%GG75%+2.577%
Paide – Hegelmann LitauenUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 18:00 · ☀ 20°1X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Pyunik Yerevan – MarsaxlokkUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 18:00 · ☀ 24°173%X2+1.592%GG66%+2.579%
St Joseph S Fc – BohemiansUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 18:001X249%+1.586%GG66%+2.567%
Torpedo Kutaisi – ZiraUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 18:00 · ⛅ 21°1X268%+1.594%GG73%+2.582%
Jagiellonia – Sparta PrahaFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 18:00169%X2+1.584%GG54%+2.563%
Be'sat Kermanshah – Pars Jonoubi JAMAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:151X236%+1.555%GG+2.5
Damash Gilanian – Fard AlborzAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:151X254%+1.5GG+2.5
Mes Soongoun – Shahrdari NoshahrAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:15143%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Mes Kerman – Navad UrmiaAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:15145%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Naft Gachsaran – Mes Shahr-e BabakAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:151X248%+1.555%GG+2.5
Nassaji Mazandaran – Ario EslamshahrAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:15154%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Niroye Zamini – Sanat NaftAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:151X40%2+1.5GG+2.5
Saipa – Naft Bandar AbbasAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:151X43%2+1.5GG+2.5
Shenavarsazi Qeshm – HavadarAzadegan League · Iran · 16/07 18:151X39%2+1.5GG+2.5
Slovan Bratislava – PafosFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 18:15171%X2+1.582%GG+2.561%
SC Wiener Neustadt – QPRFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 18:301X250%+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
FC Levadia Tallinn – Caernarfon TownUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 18:30 · ☀ 23°191%X2+1.599%GG69%+2.595%
Rīgas FS – GlentoranUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 18:30 · ⛅ 25°159%X2+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Apollon Limassol – AEK LarnacaFriendlies Clubs · World · 16/07 18:30149%X2+1.582%GG61%+2.561%
Valerenga – AalesundEliteserien · Norway · 16/07 19:00145%X2+1.575%GG54%+2.551%
Bate Borisov – AF ElbasaniUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 19:00 · ⛅ 26°1X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Dinamo Tbilisi – US Mondorf-les-bainsUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 19:00 · ⛅ 22°159%X2+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
FC Santa Coloma – PenybontUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 19:00 · ☀ 27°1X239%+1.565%GG+2.5
Milsami Orhei – VeležUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 19:00 · ☀ 24°1X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Vikingur Gota – StjarnanUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 19:00 · ☁ 27°1X277%+1.591%GG60%+2.576%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius – PetrovacUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 19:00 · ☀ 26°177%X2+1.591%GG60%+2.576%
Hamrun Spartans – NSI RunavikUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 19:30 · ☀ 29°1X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Derry City – CSKA SofiaUEFA Europa League · World · 16/07 19:30 · ☀ 23°1X258%+1.596%GG82%+2.588%
São Gonçalo EC RJ – Volta RedondaCopa Rio · Brazil · 16/07 19:45153%X2+1.589%GG70%+2.573%
Juventus U20 – Sertãozinho U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 16/07 20:00167%X2+1.578%GG+2.554%
Shkendija – EuropaUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 20:00 · ⛅ 27°191%X2+1.599%GG69%+2.595%
Sileks – Dinamo MinskUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 20:00 · ⛅ 27°1X239%+1.565%GG+2.5
Ferencvarosi TC – VojvodinaUEFA Europa League · World · 16/07 20:15 · ⛅ 28°159%X2+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Žilina – HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa League · World · 16/07 20:301X249%+1.586%GG66%+2.567%
Al Ansar – Jwaaya FCPremier League · Lebanon · 16/07 20:30 · ⛅ 26°145%X2+1.577%GG56%+2.553%
Mornar – Atlètic Club d'EscaldesUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 20:45 · ⛅ 27°1X259%+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Linfield – Kalju NommeUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 20:45 · ☁ 24°146%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
Atletico FC – San AntonioLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 16/07 21:00149%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Virtus – DilaUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 16/07 21:00 · ☀ 27°1X277%+1.591%GG60%+2.576%
Palmeiras U20 – Corinthians U20Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil · 16/07 21:00140%X2+1.588%GG71%+2.571%
Afturelding – Leiknir R.1. Deild · Iceland · 16/07 21:15 · 🌦 10°157%X2+1.592%GG73%+2.578%
Vestri – QarabagUEFA Europa League · World · 16/07 22:001X268%+1.594%GG73%+2.582%
Fort Lauderdale United – Southern Soccer AcademyUSL League Two · USA · 16/07 22:001X249%+1.584%GG63%+2.563%
Minneapolis City – West Virginia AllianceUSL League Two · USA · 16/07 22:00173%X2+1.590%GG63%+2.575%
Cumbayá – 9 de OctubreLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 16/07 22:30 · ☁ 20°1X38%2+1.5GG+2.5
Aucas – Independiente del ValleLiga Pro · Ecuador · 16/07 23:30 · ⛅ 18°1X244%+1.578%GG57%+2.554%

*Odds correct as of date published, prices subject to change, check 1XBET for actual odds.

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mathematical football prediction

What Mathematical Football Prediction Actually Means

People hear “mathematical model” and picture a black box that spits out winners. The reality is more boring. A decent model takes every match a team has played, weighs the quality of their opponents, adjusts for home advantage, and then estimates a probability for each scoreline. Poisson distributions, Elo-style ratings, and xG (expected goals) are the three building blocks most public models use.

The model doesn’t care about your favourite club. That’s its main advantage. The variables that matter most in my own workflow:

  • Expected goals for and against, ideally over the last 8 to 12 matches
  • Goalkeeper status (a backup keeper can swing the line by 0.3 goals)
  • Travel and rest days, especially in midweek European fixtures
  • Referee tendencies for cards and penalty calls
  • Weather, but only for under/over markets in winter rounds

None of these guarantee a win. They shift probabilities, and probabilities are all you have when you’re betting.

Spotting Must-Win Teams Today

What makes a team a “must-win”?

A must-win isn’t just the favourite. It’s a team where the situation, the form and the opponent line up. Think Bayern at home against a newly promoted side in October. Or Real Madrid hosting a mid-table La Liga club the weekend before a Champions League knockout, where the bookies still price them at short odds and the model agrees.

The four things I check before calling a side a genuine must-win:

  • Form: at least 4 wins in their last 6, ideally with clean sheets
  • Opposition trouble: missing a key defender, on a bad run, or just travelled across Europe
  • Home record: many teams are completely different sides at home, and the gap is bigger than people think
  • Motivation: title race, top-four push, or a derby that the squad won’t take lightly

How to use must-win picks without blowing your bankroll

The mistake I made for years was stacking five “must-wins” into an accumulator. One late equaliser kills the slip every single time. What works better:

Singles on the highest-confidence pick of the day. Boring, but the maths is on your side. Two-fold accas when two picks each clear 70% in the model, which gives roughly 50% combined and decent returns at the typical 1.40-1.60 acca price. Asian handicap -1 if the favourite is too short for a straight win but the model expects a comfortable scoreline. I almost never touch 4+ accumulators on must-wins. The variance eats you alive.

Daily picks, not daily nonsense

Every day at Forwins we publish the matches our model rates highest, with the probability for each market shown next to the tip. If the number is below 70% on a 1X2 pick, we don’t post it. If you only see two or three matches on a quiet Tuesday, that’s the point.

⚠️ Bet responsibly. Stake what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, stop.

Over 2.5 Predictions: What Most People Get Wrong

Over 2.5 means three or more goals in the match. Simple market, simple rule. The bit people miss is that “both teams score a lot” doesn’t automatically mean over 2.5 hits. You need pace and chance creation, not just two leaky defences.

A useful rule of thumb: if the combined xG for the fixture sits above 2.8 and neither side has parked the bus in their last five league games, over 2.5 is usually live. Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart games in 2024-25 are the textbook example. Two attacking sides, both pressing high, with combined goal totals north of 3 in most weeks.

Where it goes wrong:

  • Big derbies. Tactically tight, lots of yellow cards, fewer chances than the season average suggests
  • Wet pitches and December rounds in Northern Europe
  • Sides that have just played a Europa or Champions League midweek game and rotated

The Draw: Underrated and Often Mispriced

Most casual bettors never touch the X. That’s exactly why there’s value in it. Draws are statistically the rarest of the three 1X2 outcomes in most leagues (around 24-28% in the top five European leagues), but when the model and the situation point to one, the typical 3.20-3.60 price is generous.

Where draws cluster:

  • Teams within 2-3 points of each other in the table
  • Matches between defensive sides with low xG totals (think Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad)
  • End-of-season fixtures where both teams are already safe

Serie A produces more draws than any other top league, year after year. Italian football is built around defensive shape, and that shows in the scorelines. If you want to specialise in draws, start there.

Weekend Picks: Where the Real Volume Is

Saturdays and Sundays carry the bulk of the betting calendar. Premier League and La Liga slates on the same day, plus Serie A and Bundesliga, plus the smaller leagues. There’s too much football to bet on every match, and trying is the fastest way to lose a bankroll.

My weekend filter is simple. I rank every match by model confidence, throw out anything below 70%, and look for two or three plays where the bookie line and my model disagree by more than 5 percentage points. Those are the value bets. A “lock” at 1.20 with a true 90% chance is fine, but you make real money when the line is wrong, not when it’s right.

Can You Really Get 90% Accurate Predictions?

The honest version is less exciting: it holds up on safe markets across a short run of bets, and falls apart the moment you want better odds.

Over 1.5 goals in Bundesliga matches hits around 88% historically. Double chance on a heavy home favourite against a bottom-table side hits 90%+. But those are 1.10-1.25 odds. To grow a bankroll meaningfully on those, you’d need huge stakes, and a single 10% loss wipes out many wins.

Anyone selling you “90% accurate predictions” at decent odds is either cherry-picking past results or selling you a dream. The honest target for a profitable bettor is 55-58% on near-evens lines. That’s the level where compounding actually works.

Football Prediction for Tomorrow: Plan, Don’t React

The biggest edge you can get isn’t a better model. It’s earlier lines. Bookmaker odds the day before a match are softer than the same lines an hour before kick-off, because the market hasn’t adjusted to the late money yet. If your model fancies the away team and the price is 2.80 today, it’s likely closer to 2.50 by Saturday morning.

That’s why we publish next-day previews every evening at Forwins. Read them, check the team news the morning of the match, and place early when the value is still there.

BTTS Tips: When Both Teams Actually Score

BTTS is a strange market. It looks like a coin flip, but the long-term hit rate across the top leagues sits around 52-54%. The model edge is small, which means the bookmaker margin matters more here than on most markets. Always shop the line.

BTTS tends to hit in matches where:

  • Both teams have scored in 4+ of their last 6 matches
  • Neither side has a stand-out goalkeeper
  • The favourite likes to attack rather than sit on a 1-0

Bundesliga is the BTTS league. La Liga and Ligue 1 are the worst for it, because the bottom-half teams often struggle to score at all.

Predictions for Nigerian Bettors

Nigeria has one of the most active football betting communities in Africa, and the markets popular with Nigerian bettors aren’t always the ones I’d default to. Multi-bets on weekend EPL games are everywhere. So is interest in the NPFL, where pricing is wider because fewer models cover the league.

If you bet from Nigeria, the same rules apply: stick to leagues you can actually follow, avoid huge accumulators no matter how tempting the payout looks, and shop for the best line. We cover the main European leagues plus selected NPFL fixtures.

The Short Version

A model gives you probabilities. You compare them to the bookie’s price. When your number is meaningfully higher, you bet. When it isn’t, you skip. That’s the entire job.

Everything else, including how many picks we post each day, which leagues we cover, and which markets we trust, follows from that idea. We publish daily previews for the top leagues, plus weekend round-ups every Friday. Take what’s useful, ignore what isn’t.

FAQ: Football Predictions & Betting

What are mathematical football predictions?

Mathematical football predictions are forecasts built from statistical models rather than gut feeling. They combine recent form, expected goals, head-to-head data, lineup news, and home advantage to produce a probability for each outcome. Think of it as a forecast rather than a guarantee. It gives you the likelihood of each result and a sense of how far to trust that number.

How do you predict draws in football?

Look for matches between teams of similar quality (within a few points in the table), low combined xG, and defensive styles. Serie A produces the most draws of any top European league. Atletico-style sides that prioritise structure over attacking risk are also reliable draw candidates, especially when they meet each other.

What does Over 2.5 mean in football betting?

Over 2.5 means betting that the match will end with three or more goals. Final scores of 2-1, 3-0, 3-2, 4-1 all win. A 2-0, 1-1 or 0-0 loses. It’s one of the most popular goal markets because the line cuts cleanly through the most common scorelines.

How do I find value bets?

A value bet is one where your estimated probability is higher than what the bookmaker’s odds imply. If you think a team has a 60% chance to win and the price is 1.90 (implied probability 52.6%), that’s value. Finding these consistently requires a method for estimating probability that isn’t just based on which team you like.

Are weekend predictions different from weekday ones?

The method is the same, but weekends have far more matches, so the filter has to be tighter. With 20+ games across the top leagues on a Saturday, you can afford to skip 90% of them and only bet the ones where the model edge is clear. Weekday matches often have softer lines because the market is thinner.

Can football predictions really be 90% accurate?

Only on safe markets like Over 1.5 in attacking leagues or double chance on heavy favourites, where odds are too short to grow a bankroll meaningfully. On more useful markets like 1X2 picks at 1.80-2.20, a sustainable hit rate sits in the 55-60% range. Anyone claiming 90% accuracy at decent odds is cherry-picking results.

Are your football predictions free?

Yes. All daily picks, weekend previews, and analysis on Forwins.com are free. We publish full reasoning alongside each tip so you can judge whether the logic holds, rather than just copying the bet blindly.

Do you cover Nigerian football?

We cover selected NPFL fixtures and any international matches involving Nigerian teams. The bulk of our daily output is the top European leagues, since that’s where the lines are sharpest and our data is most reliable.

What’s the best market for beginners?

Double chance (1X or X2) is the gentlest starting point. You’re covering two outcomes out of three, so the hit rate is naturally high, and it forces you to think about which outcome you’re ruling out rather than which one you’re picking. Once you’re comfortable, move to 1X2 and over/under markets.