Mathematical Football Prediction: A Bettor’s Honest Guide

I’ve been betting on football for over a decade, and the single biggest shift in how I pick matches happened the day I stopped trusting my gut and started running the numbers. Mathematical football prediction isn’t magic. It’s just discipline plus data: expected goals, recent form, schedule congestion, lineup news. When you stack those properly, you spot value the casual bettor misses.

This guide is built around what actually works for me on a Saturday afternoon across the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A and Bundesliga. No fluff, no 100%-guaranteed nonsense.

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LD Alajuelense – Perez Zeledon 1–0Primera División · Costa-Rica · 26/10 00:001✓ 54%X2+1.5✗ 76%GG✗ 52%+2.5✗ 52%
Cruzeiro W – Libertad Asuncion W 3–0CONMEBOL Libertadores Femenina · World · 26/10 00:00 · 🌦 13°1✓ 60%X2+1.5✓ 71%GG+2.5
Tigres UANL W – Monterrey W 2–2Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · 26/10 00:06 · ⛅ 22°1✗ 44%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 68%+2.5✓ 68%
Barracas Central – Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2–1Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 26/10 00:301✓ 52%X2+1.5✓ 59%GG+2.5
Central Cordoba de Santiago – Velez Sarsfield 0–5Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 26/10 00:301X2✓ 38%+1.5✓ 66%GG+2.5
Austin II – Los Angeles FC II 0–1MLS Next Pro · USA · 26/10 00:301✗ 55%X2+1.5✗ 89%GG✗ 70%+2.5✗ 73%
Los Angeles FC – Los Angeles Galaxy 2–2Major League Soccer · USA · 26/10 01:00 · ☀ 22°1✗ 56%X2+1.5✓ 82%GG✓ 59%+2.5✓ 61%
Club Queretaro – Cruz Azul 1–3Liga MX · Mexico · 26/10 01:001X2✓ 38%+1.5✓ 82%GG✓ 63%+2.5✓ 61%
Real Estelí – Managua 2–1Primera Division · Nicaragua · 26/10 01:001X2✗ 55%+1.5✓ 83%GG✓ 60%+2.5✓ 62%
Club America – CF Pachuca 1–2Liga MX · Mexico · 26/10 01:051✗ 46%X2+1.5✓ 70%GG+2.5
Deportes Tolima – Deportivo Pasto 0–1Primera A · Colombia · 26/10 01:151✗ 52%X2+1.5✗ 75%GG✗ 52%+2.5✗ 51%
Portland Timbers II – Ventura County 0–1MLS Next Pro · USA · 26/10 02:001X2✓ 41%+1.5✗ 80%GG✗ 60%+2.5✗ 58%
Club Tijuana – Santos Laguna 4–1Liga MX · Mexico · 26/10 03:101✓ 50%X2+1.5✓ 80%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 58%
Lochin – FarDu 1–2Pro League A · Uzbekistan · 26/10 10:001✗ 50%X2+1.5✓ 73%GG✓ 50%+2.5
AS New Soger – Don Bosco 0–0Ligue 1 · Congo-DR · 26/10 11:001✗ 36%X2+1.5✗ 68%GG+2.5
Saint-Luc – CS Manika 0–0Ligue 1 · Congo-DR · 26/10 11:001X2✗ 39%+1.5✗ 80%GG✗ 60%+2.5✗ 58%
Geylang International – Hougang United 3–0Premier League · Singapore · 26/10 11:30 · ☁ 28°1✓ 76%X2+1.5✓ 76%GG+2.5✓ 52%
Fard Alborz – Havadar 2–0Azadegan League · Iran · 26/10 11:301✓ 57%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Mes Soongoun – Naft Masjed Soleyman 2–1Azadegan League · Iran · 26/10 11:301X2✗ 37%+1.5✓ 63%GG+2.5
Mes Kerman – Shahin Bandar Ameri 1–1Azadegan League · Iran · 26/10 11:301✗ 37%X2+1.5✓ 63%GG+2.5
Metalourg – Gazalkent 2–2Pro League A · Uzbekistan · 26/10 12:00 · ☀ 15°1✗ 38%X2+1.5✓ 85%GG✓ 66%+2.5✓ 65%
Muangthong United – Police Tero 4–1Thai League 2 · Thailand · 26/10 12:00 · 🌦 26°1✓ 36%X2+1.5✓ 55%GG+2.5
Bhayangkara FC – PSM Makassar 0–0Liga 1 · Indonesia · 26/10 12:00 · ☁ 26°1✗ 64%X2+1.5✗ 70%GG+2.5
Persebaya Surabaya – Persepam Madura Utd 3–1Liga 1 · Indonesia · 26/10 12:00 · ☁ 30°1✓ 39%X2+1.5✓ 74%GG✓ 54%+2.5
Persija – Persik Kediri 2–1Liga 1 · Indonesia · 26/10 12:00 · 🌧 26°1✓ 56%X2+1.5✓ 72%GG+2.5
Niroye Zamini – Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1–2Azadegan League · Iran · 26/10 12:001X✗ 54%2+1.5GG+2.5
Negelle Arsi – Adama Kenema 1–0Premier League · Ethiopia · 26/10 12:001X✗ 39%2+1.5GG+2.5
Kedus Giorgis – Sheger Ketema 2–2Premier League · Ethiopia · 26/10 12:001X✓ 41%2+1.5GG+2.5
Mitrovica – Istogu 1–0Liga E Pare · Kosovo · 26/10 12:001✓ 45%X2+1.5✗ 52%GG+2.5
Zakynthos – Pyrgos 1968 2–3Super League 2 · Greece · 26/10 12:451X2✓ 51%+1.5✓ 63%GG+2.5
Barnsley U21 – Peterborough United U21 3–6Professional Development League · England · 26/10 13:001✗ 51%X2+1.5✓ 92%GG✓ 75%+2.5✓ 78%
Swansea City U21 – Charlton Athletic U21 3–2Professional Development League · England · 26/10 13:001✓ 51%X2+1.5✓ 92%GG✓ 75%+2.5✓ 78%
OFK Beograd U19 – Mladost Lucani U19 3–1U19 league · Serbia · 26/10 13:001X2✗ 46%+1.5✓ 94%GG✓ 80%+2.5✓ 83%
Blessing – Lubumbashi Sport 2–1Ligue 1 · Congo-DR · 26/10 13:001X2✗ 43%+1.5✓ 77%GG✓ 56%+2.5✓ 53%
Sanga Balende – Tanganyika 1–1Ligue 1 · Congo-DR · 26/10 13:001X2✗ 46%+1.5✓ 78%GG✓ 56%+2.5✗ 54%
Alga – Ozgon 1–0Premier League · Kyrgyzstan · 26/10 13:001✓ 41%X2+1.5✗ 84%GG✗ 65%+2.5✗ 64%
Xorazm – Navbahor 1–2Super League · Uzbekistan · 26/10 13:301X2✓ 51%+1.5✓ 70%GG+2.5
AS Agareb – M'saken 0–2Ligue 2 · Tunisia · 26/10 13:301X2✓ 59%+1.5✓ 80%GG✗ 55%+2.5✗ 58%
EM Mahdia – US Tataouine 3–2Ligue 2 · Tunisia · 26/10 13:301✓ 59%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✓ 71%+2.5✓ 76%
Béni-Khalled – AS Gabes 1–0Ligue 2 · Tunisia · 26/10 13:301X✗ 40%2+1.5GG+2.5
Kerkennah – BS Bouhajla 1–0Ligue 2 · Tunisia · 26/10 13:301✓ 40%X2+1.5✗ 66%GG+2.5
AS Soliman – CS Chebba 3–1Ligue 2 · Tunisia · 26/10 13:30 · ⛅ 23°1✓ 42%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 64%+2.5✓ 63%
Sporting Ben Arous – Mégrine 1–0Ligue 2 · Tunisia · 26/10 13:301X2✗ 54%+1.5✗ 89%GG✗ 69%+2.5✗ 72%
Stade Soussien – Sfax Railways 1–0Ligue 2 · Tunisia · 26/10 13:301✓ 47%X2+1.5✗ 71%GG+2.5
Bouchamma – Kalaâ Sport 1–0Ligue 2 · Tunisia · 26/10 13:301✓ 54%X2+1.5✗ 66%GG+2.5
Neftchi – Al-Ittihad FC 1–2AFC Champions League Elite · World · 26/10 13:45 · ☀ 14°1X2✓ 59%+1.5✓ 80%GG✓ 55%+2.5✓ 58%
Sheffield United U21 – Fleetwood Town U21 0–1Professional Development League · England · 26/10 14:001✗ 52%X2+1.5✗ 71%GG+2.5
ATK Mohun Bagan – Chennaiyin 1–0Indian Super League · India · 26/10 14:00 · ⛅ 31°1✓ 47%X2+1.5✗ 59%GG+2.5
Rangers – Anges Verts 0–1Ligue 1 · Congo-DR · 26/10 14:001X2✓ 41%+1.5✗ 82%GG✗ 62%+2.5✗ 60%
FC Iberia 1999 – Torpedo Kutaisi 3–2Erovnuli Liga · Georgia · 26/10 15:001✓ 39%X2+1.5✓ 72%GG✓ 52%+2.5
Ararat-Armenia – FC Noah 2–1Premier League · Armenia · 26/10 15:00 · ⛅ 15°1X2✗ 49%+1.5✓ 85%GG✓ 65%+2.5✓ 65%
Metaloglobus – CSM Ramnicu Valcea 2–0Liga II · Romania · 26/10 15:00 · ☁ 14°1✓ 36%X2+1.5✓ 70%GG+2.5
Al Anwar – Al OkhdoodDivision 1 · Saudi-Arabia · 26/10 15:00136%X2+1.562%GG+2.5
Al Bukayriyah – Hajer 2–1Division 1 · Saudi-Arabia · 26/10 15:001X2✗ 47%+1.5GG+2.5
Welayta Dicha – Halaba Ketema 6–0Premier League · Ethiopia · 26/10 15:001X2✗ 51%+1.5✓ 55%GG+2.5
Hapoel Acre – Tira 5–0State Cup · Israel · 26/10 15:001X2✗ 47%+1.5✓ 90%GG✗ 72%+2.5✓ 74%
Kafr Qasim – Beitar Petah Tikva 5–2State Cup · Israel · 26/10 15:001✓ 68%X2+1.5✓ 90%GG✓ 65%+2.5✓ 75%
Beitar Nahariya – Hapoel Afula 1–3State Cup · Israel · 26/10 15:001✗ 36%X2+1.5✓ 70%GG+2.5
Hapoel Sderot – Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2–3State Cup · Israel · 26/10 15:301✗ 72%X2+1.5✓ 89%GG✓ 61%+2.5✓ 73%
Dimona – Hapoel Rishon LeZion 2–3State Cup · Israel · 26/10 15:301✗ 49%X2+1.5✓ 79%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 57%
Sogndal II – Brann II 2–33. Division – Girone 3 · Norway · 26/10 16:001✗ 48%X2+1.5✓ 93%GG✓ 77%+2.5✓ 80%
Nueva Chicago – San Martin S.J. 1–1Primera Nacional · Argentina · 26/10 16:00 · ☁ 15°1✗ 40%X2+1.5✓ 54%GG+2.5
Grobiņa – Riga 2–5Virsliga · Latvia · 26/10 16:001X2✓ 59%+1.5✓ 79%GG✓ 53%+2.5✓ 55%
Levadia U19 – Parnu JK Vaprus U21 3–2Esiliiga B · Estonia · 26/10 16:001✓ 49%X2+1.5✓ 93%GG✓ 78%+2.5✓ 81%
Transinvest 2 – FA Šiauliai II 3–21 Lyga · Lithuania · 26/10 16:001✓ 47%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 67%+2.5✓ 67%
Beşiktaş – Başakşehir 2–0Süper Lig · Turkey · 26/10 16:00 · ☁ 17°1✓ 81%X2+1.5✓ 83%GG+2.5✗ 62%
Rizespor – Trabzonspor 3–4Süper Lig · Turkey · 26/10 16:00 · ☀ 18°1X2✓ 51%+1.5✓ 74%GG✓ 51%+2.5
Geita Gold – Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 26/10 16:00157%X2+1.586%GG65%+2.568%
Nea Salamis – Pafos 0–01. Division · Cyprus · 26/10 16:001X2✗ 59%+1.5✗ 84%GG✗ 60%+2.5✗ 64%
Al-Ahli Jeddah – Al-Gharafa 2–1AFC Champions League Elite · World · 26/10 16:00 · ☀ 32°1✓ 47%X2+1.5✓ 71%GG+2.5
Al Ain – Tractor Sazi 2–1AFC Champions League Elite · World · 26/10 16:001✓ 73%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 51%+2.5✓ 64%
Molinos El Pirata – Union Comercio 1–0Segunda División · Peru · 26/10 16:001✓ 38%X2+1.5✗ 70%GG+2.5
Bnei Yehuda – AshdodState Cup · Israel · 26/10 16:001X239%+1.580%GG60%+2.558%
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel – Hapoel AzorState Cup · Israel · 26/10 16:00150%X2+1.579%GG56%+2.555%
Hapoel Ra'anana – Hapoel Umm al-FahmState Cup · Israel · 26/10 16:001X247%+1.590%GG72%+2.574%
Ironi Nesher – Hapoel Ramat HaSharonState Cup · Israel · 26/10 16:00140%X2+1.585%GG67%+2.566%
Kfar Saba 1928 – Kiryat Yam SCState Cup · Israel · 26/10 16:00163%X2+1.584%GG58%+2.564%
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi – Hapoel Daliyat Al KarmelState Cup · Israel · 26/10 16:001X249%+1.594%GG79%+2.583%
Hapoel Nazareth Illit – Maccabi YavneState Cup · Israel · 26/10 16:00170%X2+1.590%GG64%+2.575%
Kauno Žalgiris – FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–0A Lyga · Lithuania · 26/10 16:45 · ☁ 10°1✗ 57%X2+1.5✗ 69%GG+2.5
Al Ula – Al Orubah 3–1Division 1 · Saudi-Arabia · 26/10 16:451✓ 66%X2+1.5✓ 65%GG+2.5
Ranheim II – Aalesund II 2–03. Division – Girone 2 · Norway · 26/10 17:001✓ 49%X2+1.5✓ 94%GG✗ 80%+2.5✗ 84%
Askøy – Åsane II 2–33. Division – Girone 3 · Norway · 26/10 17:001✗ 48%X2+1.5✓ 85%GG✓ 66%+2.5✓ 66%
Våg – Odd II 4–23. Division – Girone 4 · Norway · 26/10 17:001✓ 50%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 70%+2.5✓ 71%
Oppsal – Lyn II 3–03. Division – Girone 6 · Norway · 26/10 17:001✓ 44%X2+1.5✓ 93%GG✗ 77%+2.5✓ 80%
Sandefjord II – Sarpsborg 08 II 3–23. Division – Girone 6 · Norway · 26/10 17:001✓ 63%X2+1.5✓ 94%GG✓ 75%+2.5✓ 82%
Viimsi – Flora II 1–1Esiliiga A · Estonia · 26/10 17:00 · ☁ 10°1✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 90%GG✓ 73%+2.5✗ 74%
Istra 1961 – HNK Hajduk Split 2–2HNL · Croatia · 26/10 17:001✗ 39%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 68%+2.5✓ 67%
Warta Poznań – ŁKS Łódź 0–1I Liga · Poland · 26/10 17:001✗ 57%X2+1.5✗ 69%GG+2.5
Floriana – Zabbar St. Patrick 1–2Premier League · Malta · 26/10 17:001✗ 46%X2+1.5✓ 87%GG✓ 69%+2.5✓ 70%
Mardin 1969 – Manisa F.K. 2–11. Lig · Turkey · 26/10 17:001✓ 47%X2+1.5✓ 75%GG✓ 53%+2.5✓ 51%
AEK Larnaca – Omonia Nicosia 2–01. Division · Cyprus · 26/10 17:001X2✗ 64%+1.5✓ 80%GG✗ 52%+2.5✗ 58%
Tevragh-Zeïne – Armée 4–1Premier League · Mauritania · 26/10 17:001X✗ 49%2+1.5GG+2.5
Vålerenga II – KFUM II 2–33. Division – Girone 1 · Norway · 26/10 18:001✗ 56%X2+1.5✓ 94%GG✓ 78%+2.5✓ 83%
Kvik Trondheim – Rosenborg II 2–13. Division – Girone 2 · Norway · 26/10 18:001X2✗ 46%+1.5✓ 90%GG✓ 73%+2.5✓ 75%
UAI Urquiza – Villa San Carlos 2–0Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 26/10 18:00 · ☁ 15°1✓ 35%X2+1.5✓ 59%GG+2.5
FC Copenhagen – Odense 1–1Superliga · Denmark · 26/10 18:001✗ 55%X2+1.5✓ 69%GG+2.5
Cruzeiro U20 – Atlético Mineiro U20 1–1Mineiro U20 · Brazil · 26/10 18:001✗ 56%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✓ 73%+2.5✗ 77%
Centro Español – Central Cordoba 2–1Primera C · Argentina · 26/10 18:001✓ 37%X2+1.5✓ 63%GG+2.5
Leones de Rosario – Mercedes 1–0Primera C · Argentina · 26/10 18:001✓ 36%X2+1.5✗ 55%GG+2.5
Sacachispas – Sportivo Barracas 1–1Primera C · Argentina · 26/10 18:00 · ☁ 18°1✗ 44%X2+1.5✓ 59%GG+2.5
São Paulo U20 – Palmeiras U20 2–3Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 26/10 18:001✗ 38%X2+1.5✓ 57%GG+2.5
Orebro SK – Falkenbergs FF 1–0Superettan · Sweden · 26/10 18:05 · ⛅ 10°1X2✗ 48%+1.5✗ 79%GG✗ 57%+2.5✗ 55%
Al-Nassr – Al-Wasl FCAFC Champions League Elite · World · 26/10 18:15169%X2+1.586%GG58%+2.568%
Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al Sadd 1–1AFC Champions League Elite · World · 26/10 18:151✗ 68%X2+1.5✓ 87%GG✓ 60%+2.5✗ 69%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya – Pakhtakor 1–0AFC Champions League Elite · World · 26/10 18:15 · ⛅ 27°1X2✗ 69%+1.5✗ 86%GG✗ 58%+2.5✗ 68%
Defensores De Belgrano – San Miguel 0–0Primera Nacional · Argentina · 26/10 18:30 · ☁ 15°1✗ 39%X2+1.5✗ 58%GG+2.5
Galatasaray – Fenerbahçe 2–1Süper Lig · Turkey · 26/10 18:30 · ☁ 17°1✓ 36%X2+1.5✓ 77%GG✓ 57%+2.5✓ 53%
Santa Clara – Benfica 1–2Primeira Liga · Portugal · 26/10 18:451X2✓ 56%+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 64%+2.5✓ 67%
Blackburn Rovers U21 – West Bromwich Albion U21 4–2Premier League 2 Division One · England · 26/10 19:00 · ☁ 15°1X2✗ 44%+1.5✓ 97%GG✓ 88%+2.5✓ 91%
AFC Bournemouth U21 – Brentford U21 3–4Premier League 2 Division One · England · 26/10 19:00 · ☀ 17°1✗ 52%X2+1.5✓ 92%GG✓ 75%+2.5✓ 78%
Crystal Palace U21 – Southampton U21 2–5Premier League 2 Division One · England · 26/10 19:001X2✓ 36%+1.5✓ 65%GG+2.5
Derby County U21 – Norwich City U21 3–4Premier League 2 Division One · England · 26/10 19:00 · ☁ 15°1X2✓ 44%+1.5✓ 93%GG✓ 77%+2.5✓ 80%
Newcastle United U21 – Sunderland U21 3–2Premier League 2 Division One · England · 26/10 19:00 · ☁ 16°1X2✗ 49%+1.5✓ 94%GG✓ 79%+2.5✓ 83%
Resistencia – Benjamín Aceval 5–2Division Intermedia · Paraguay · 26/10 19:001✓ 37%X2+1.5✓ 78%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 54%
FC Andorra – Burgos 2–3Segunda División · Spain · 26/10 19:30 · ☀ 14°1✗ 37%X2+1.5✓ 71%GG✓ 51%+2.5
Mosta – Hibernians 2–2Premier League · Malta · 26/10 19:301X2✗ 44%+1.5✓ 72%GG✓ 51%+2.5
Crotone – Casarano 0–1Serie C – Girone C · Italy · 26/10 19:301✗ 50%X2+1.5✗ 83%GG✗ 62%+2.5✗ 62%
AZ Picerno – Salernitana 3–0Serie C – Girone C · Italy · 26/10 19:30 · ☁ 10°1✓ 43%X2+1.5✓ 82%GG✗ 62%+2.5✓ 60%
Boulogne – Reims 1–1Ligue 2 · France · 26/10 19:451X2✗ 49%+1.5✓ 57%GG+2.5
Chemal – Gendrim 1–1Premier League · Mauritania · 26/10 19:501X2✗ 46%+1.5✓ 78%GG✓ 56%+2.5✗ 54%
Walsall – Salford City 2–4League Two · England · 26/10 20:00 · ☁ 15°1✗ 44%X2+1.5✓ 76%GG✓ 55%+2.5✓ 52%
Sevilla – Osasuna 2–0La Liga · Spain · 26/10 20:001✓ 56%X2+1.5✓ 92%GG✗ 74%+2.5✗ 79%
Dendele – Capim 2–4Kings Cup · Brazil · 26/10 20:001✗ 42%X2+1.5✓ 99%GG✓ 94%+2.5✓ 97%
Tecnico Universitario – Mushuc Runa SC 3–0Liga Pro · Ecuador · 26/10 20:30 · 🌦 19°1✓ 37%X2+1.5✓ 76%GG✗ 56%+2.5✓ 52%
Torreense – Amarante 1–0Segunda Liga · Portugal · 26/10 20:451✓ 34%X2+1.5✗ 69%GG+2.5
Universidad de Chile – Everton de Vina 4–1Primera División · Chile · 26/10 21:001✓ 43%X2+1.5✓ 80%GG✓ 60%+2.5✓ 58%
Nyvelados – G3X 2–9Kings Cup · Brazil · 26/10 21:001X2✓ 63%+1.5✓ 100%GG✓ 96%+2.5✓ 99%
Deportivo Capiata – Tacuary 3–0Division Intermedia · Paraguay · 26/10 21:301✓ 48%X2+1.5✓ 80%GG✗ 59%+2.5✓ 58%
Atlante W – Guadalajara W 0–1Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · 26/10 21:451X2✓ 55%+1.5✗ 69%GG+2.5
Union Santa Fe – Estudiantes L.P. 3–1Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 26/10 22:001✓ 41%X2+1.5✓ 65%GG+2.5
Brown DE Adrogue – Defensores Unidos 0–1Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · 26/10 22:00 · ☁ 14°1✗ 38%X2+1.5✗ 57%GG+2.5
Nacional Potosí – Guabirá 3–0Primera División · Bolivia · 26/10 22:001✓ 62%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 61%+2.5✓ 67%
Dibrados FC – Funkbol 2–4Kings Cup · Brazil · 26/10 22:001✗ 43%X2+1.5✓ 100%GG✓ 99%+2.5✓ 100%
Arnett Gardens – Molynes United 4–1Premier League · Jamaica · 26/10 22:051✓ 67%X2+1.5✓ 66%GG+2.5
Coritiba – Gremio 0–1Serie A · Brazil · 26/10 22:301✗ 46%X2+1.5✗ 68%GG+2.5
America Mineiro – Cuiaba 1–0Serie B · Brazil · 26/10 22:301X2✗ 37%+1.5✗ 58%GG+2.5
Flamengo – Atletico-MG 3–2Serie A · Brazil · 26/10 23:001✓ 52%X2+1.5✓ 69%GG+2.5
Jaguares – Llaneros 1–0Primera A · Colombia · 26/10 23:00 · 🌦 27°1✓ 39%X2+1.5✗ 69%GG+2.5
Atlas W – Puebla W 2–1Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · 26/10 23:001✓ 73%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 55%+2.5✓ 68%
Loud – Fluxo 6–4Kings Cup · Brazil · 26/10 23:001X2✗ 50%+1.5✓ 100%GG✓ 98%+2.5✓ 100%
Juventude – Nautico Recife 4–0Serie B · Brazil · 26/10 23:30 · ⛅ 10°1✓ 50%X2+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Paysandu – Colón 3–2Segunda División · Uruguay · 26/10 23:301X2✗ 34%+1.5✓ 61%GG+2.5
AFC Toronto W – Halifax Tides WNorthern Super League · Canada · 27/10 00:001X37%2+1.551%GG+2.5
Bolívar – Universitario de VintoPrimera División · Bolivia · 27/10 00:00 · ☁ 10°175%X2+1.589%GG58%+2.572%
Furia – Desimpedidos GotiKings Cup · Brazil · 27/10 00:00142%X2+1.599%GG94%+2.597%
Instituto Cordoba – Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 27/10 00:15 · ☁ 13°154%X2+1.555%GG+2.5
Veraguas – Union CocleLiga Panameña de Fútbol · Panama · 27/10 01:00149%X2+1.572%GG+2.5
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC – AD CarmelitaLiga de Ascenso · Costa-Rica · 27/10 01:00136%X2+1.577%GG57%+2.553%
Mount Pleasant Academy – Montego Bay UnitedPremier League · Jamaica · 27/10 01:001X261%+1.559%GG+2.5
Santa Fe – BucaramangaPrimera A · Colombia · 27/10 01:05146%X2+1.572%GG51%+2.5
Santos Laguna W – León WLiga MX Femenil · Mexico · 27/10 01:06 · ☁ 23°1X250%+1.577%GG55%+2.553%
FC Santiago – Real RefinerosLiga Premier Serie A · Mexico · 27/10 02:05158%X2+1.589%GG68%+2.572%
PSS Sleman – Pusamania BorneoLiga 1 · Indonesia · 27/10 08:30 · 🌦 26°141%X2+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Lam Dong – Pho HienV.League 2 · Vietnam · 27/10 08:30159%X2+1.586%GG64%+2.568%
Daejeon Citizen – Vissel KobeAFC Champions League Elite · World · 27/10 10:001X240%+1.566%GG+2.5
Johor Darul Takzim FC – Port FCAFC Champions League Elite · World · 27/10 10:00177%X2+1.591%GG60%+2.576%
Kyoto Sanga – Newcastle JetsAFC Champions League Elite · World · 27/10 10:00190%X2+1.595%GG52%+2.585%
SHANGHAI SIPG – Công An Nhân DânAFC Champions League Elite · World · 27/10 10:00 · ☀ 17°141%X2+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Văn Hiến – Xuan Thien Phu ThoV.League 2 · Vietnam · 27/10 10:00184%X2+1.591%GG51%+2.576%
Sanna Khanh Hoa – Dong ThapV.League 2 · Vietnam · 27/10 10:00148%X2+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Mayak Sarny – FC KharkivCup · Ukraine · 27/10 10:001X272%+1.593%GG68%+2.580%
Lazio U20 – Sudtirol U19Coppa Italia Primavera · Italy · 27/10 10:001X271%+1.592%GG66%+2.578%
Ağrı 1970 – İstanbulsporTürkiye Kupası · Turkey · 27/10 10:00149%X2+1.579%GG58%+2.557%
Etimesgut SK – Gaziantep FKTürkiye Kupası · Turkey · 27/10 10:30179%X2+1.593%GG62%+2.580%
Pazarspor – Aliağa FAŞTürkiye Kupası · Turkey · 27/10 10:30163%X2+1.584%GG58%+2.564%
Estoril U23 – Santa Clara U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 27/10 11:00169%X2+1.588%GG62%+2.571%
Portimonense U23 – Marítimo U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 27/10 11:001X245%+1.582%GG62%+2.561%
Farense U23 – Academico Viseu U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 27/10 11:001X246%+1.588%GG70%+2.571%
Binh Duong – Than Quang NinhV.League 2 · Vietnam · 27/10 11:00141%X2+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Dacia-Buiucani – Univer ComratCupa · Moldova · 27/10 11:001X252%+1.587%GG68%+2.570%
Politehnica UTM – FC ChișinăuCupa · Moldova · 27/10 11:00136%X2+1.568%GG+2.5
Livyi Bereh – Veres RivneCup · Ukraine · 27/10 11:00 · ☁ 11°136%X2+1.580%GG60%+2.558%
Twente / Heracles U21 – PEC Zwolle U21U21 Divisie 1 · Netherlands · 27/10 11:301X270%+1.584%GG54%+2.564%
Kaposvar – AjkaMagyar Kupa · Hungary · 27/10 11:30141%X2+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Górnik Łęczna – GKS KatowiceCup · Poland · 27/10 11:30 · ☁ 7°152%X2+1.584%GG63%+2.564%
Olimpia Grudziądz – NiecieczaCup · Poland · 27/10 11:301X257%+1.599%GG93%+2.597%
Shortan – AralPro League A · Uzbekistan · 27/10 12:00 · ☀ 17°1X239%+1.574%GG54%+2.5
De Graafschap U21 – Feyenoord U21U21 Divisie 1 · Netherlands · 27/10 12:001X271%+1.581%GG+2.559%
Ipswich Town U21 – Jong PSV U21Premier League International Cup · World · 27/10 12:00 · ☁ 15°139%X2+1.565%GG+2.5
Saipa – Naft GachsaranAzadegan League · Iran · 27/10 12:001X39%2+1.5GG+2.5
Ethiopian Medhin – MekelakeyaPremier League · Ethiopia · 27/10 12:001X38%2+1.5GG+2.5
Adana Adaletgucu – AnkaragücüTürkiye Kupası · Turkey · 27/10 12:00149%X2+1.579%GG58%+2.557%
Elazığspor – Talasgücü BelediyesporTürkiye Kupası · Turkey · 27/10 12:001X241%+1.582%GG62%+2.560%
Orduspor 1967 – Vanspor FKTürkiye Kupası · Turkey · 27/10 12:00191%X2+1.596%GG54%+2.588%
Sarıyer – AyvalikgucuTürkiye Kupası · Turkey · 27/10 12:001X246%+1.578%GG56%+2.554%
Beijing Guoan – Jeonbuk MotorsAFC Champions League Elite · World · 27/10 12:15169%X2+1.586%GG58%+2.568%
Ratchaburi – Kashiwa ReysolAFC Champions League Elite · World · 27/10 12:15 · ⛅ 25°1X250%+1.599%GG92%+2.596%
Boluspor – KarsiyakaTürkiye Kupası · Turkey · 27/10 12:301X258%+1.585%GG62%+2.565%
Asia Talas – OshMU AldierPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 27/10 12:30150%X2+1.585%GG65%+2.566%
Bishkek City – Dordoi BishkekPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 27/10 12:30138%X2+1.575%GG55%+2.551%
Al Qalah – Al BatenDivision 2 · Saudi-Arabia · 27/10 12:35159%X2+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Ilirija – Bilje2. SNL · Slovenia · 27/10 13:00155%X2+1.586%GG65%+2.568%
Dekani – Brežice2. SNL · Slovenia · 27/10 13:00158%X2+1.557%GG+2.5
Moreirense U23 – Gil Vicente U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 27/10 13:00161%X2+1.578%GG51%+2.554%
Bolton Wanderers Res. – Huddersfield Town U21Professional Development League · England · 27/10 13:00168%X2+1.595%GG76%+2.585%
Bristol City U21 – Millwall U21Professional Development League · England · 27/10 13:00165%X2+1.581%GG52%+2.559%
Burnley U18 – Manchester United U18U18 Premier League – North · England · 27/10 13:001X248%+1.577%GG55%+2.553%
Csikszereda – Bihor OradeaCupa României · Romania · 27/10 13:00136%X2+1.580%GG60%+2.558%
Bugesera – APRNational Soccer League · Rwanda · 27/10 13:001X242%+1.592%GG76%+2.578%
NEC – NtugasazePremier League · Uganda · 27/10 13:00180%X2+1.580%GG+2.558%
Police – Kigezi HomeBoyzPremier League · Uganda · 27/10 13:00140%X2+1.571%GG51%+2.5
UPDF – URAPremier League · Uganda · 27/10 13:00143%X2+1.575%GG54%+2.551%
SC Villa – Blacks PowerPremier League · Uganda · 27/10 13:00 · 🌦 24°161%X2+1.574%GG+2.5
Mamelodi Sundowns W – Copperbelt Ladies WSuper League Women · South-Africa · 27/10 13:00158%X2+1.584%GG60%+2.563%
Malole – SimbaLigue 1 · Congo-DR · 27/10 13:001X241%+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Bars – ToktogulPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 27/10 13:00168%X2+1.583%GG53%+2.562%
Muras United – Abdish-AtaPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 27/10 13:00163%X2+1.578%GG+2.554%
Krka – Dren Vrhnika2. SNL · Slovenia · 27/10 13:30 · ⛅ 14°152%X2+1.569%GG+2.5
Inter U23 – ScafateseSerie C – Girone C · Italy · 27/10 13:301X244%+1.590%GG73%+2.575%
Novin Ahvaz – Be'sat KermanshahAzadegan League · Iran · 27/10 13:301X242%+1.567%GG+2.5
Ariana – AS KasserineLigue 2 · Tunisia · 27/10 13:301X247%+1.571%GG+2.5
CO Medenine – Olympique du KefLigue 2 · Tunisia · 27/10 13:301X247%+1.571%GG+2.5
JS Kairouanaise – EGS GafsaLigue 2 · Tunisia · 27/10 13:30160%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Moknine – Ksour EssefLigue 2 · Tunisia · 27/10 13:30140%X2+1.575%GG55%+2.551%
Redeyef – Jendouba SportLigue 2 · Tunisia · 27/10 13:30146%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Stade Gabesien – KorbaLigue 2 · Tunisia · 27/10 13:301X46%2+1.5GG+2.5
Al Taee – Jeddah ClubDivision 1 · Saudi-Arabia · 27/10 13:45140%X2+1.561%GG+2.5
Chemnitzer FC U19 – Hertha BSC U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 27/10 14:001X270%+1.596%GG78%+2.588%
US Biskra – MC AlgerLigue 1 · Algeria · 27/10 14:00 · ⛅ 27°1X39%2+1.5GG+2.5
Bravos do Maquis FC – Petro de LuandaGirabola · Angola · 27/10 14:00149%X2+1.557%GG+2.5
Panserraikos – Niki VolosCup · Greece · 27/10 14:00141%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Milsami Orhei – FCM UngheniCupa · Moldova · 27/10 14:001X289%+1.599%GG76%+2.596%
Naft Bandar Abbas – Mes RafsanjanAzadegan League · Iran · 27/10 14:001X48%2+1.5GG+2.5
Torino U20 – Bari U19Coppa Italia Primavera · Italy · 27/10 14:001X246%+1.578%GG56%+2.554%
Monza U20 – Brescia U19Coppa Italia Primavera · Italy · 27/10 14:001X247%+1.590%GG72%+2.574%
Sassuolo U20 – Renate U19Coppa Italia Primavera · Italy · 27/10 14:001X252%+1.573%GG+2.5
Kazma – AjmanAGCFF Gulf Champions League · World · 27/10 14:00 · ☁ 31°1X254%+1.599%GG90%+2.595%
Pars Jonoubi JAM – Ario EslamshahrAzadegan League · Iran · 27/10 14:151X39%2+1.5GG+2.5
Al-Shabab – NEOMAGCFF Gulf Champions League · World · 27/10 14:45 · ⛅ 30°1X275%+1.596%GG74%+2.587%
Fakel – AkhmatCup · Russia · 27/10 15:00147%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Famalicão U23 – União Leiria U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 27/10 15:00138%X2+1.575%GG55%+2.551%
Penafiel U23 – Vizela U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 27/10 15:00136%X2+1.577%GG57%+2.553%
Rio Ave U23 – Sporting CP U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 27/10 15:00140%X2+1.579%GG59%+2.557%
Progresul Spartac – Petrolul PloiestiCupa României · Romania · 27/10 15:00 · 🌧 11°138%X2+1.586%GG68%+2.568%
FC Urartu – AndranikCup · Armenia · 27/10 15:001X270%+1.594%GG73%+2.584%
Kocaelispor – Mazıdağı FosfatsporTürkiye Kupası · Turkey · 27/10 15:00142%X2+1.573%GG52%+2.5
Al Wehda Club – Al SaqerDivision 1 · Saudi-Arabia · 27/10 15:25 · ☀ 33°146%X2+1.585%GG66%+2.566%
Young Africans – MashujaaLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 27/10 15:30180%X2+1.578%GG+2.554%
Asteras Tripolis – KifisiaCup · Greece · 27/10 15:30 · ⛅ 15°1X264%+1.589%GG65%+2.572%
FC Levadia Tallinn – TammekaMeistriliiga · Estonia · 27/10 16:00173%X2+1.585%GG53%+2.566%
Trans Narva – Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga · Estonia · 27/10 16:00 · ⛅ 9°148%X2+1.583%GG62%+2.562%
Radomlje – Mura1. SNL · Slovenia · 27/10 16:001X246%+1.586%GG68%+2.568%
Primorje – Rudar2. SNL · Slovenia · 27/10 16:00155%X2+1.586%GG65%+2.568%
Tabor Sežana – Slovan Ljubljana2. SNL · Slovenia · 27/10 16:00168%X2+1.579%GG+2.555%
Ludogorets II – DobrudzhaSecond League · Bulgaria · 27/10 16:00 · 🌧 9°149%X2+1.574%GG52%+2.5
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai – Esteghlal FCAFC Champions League Elite · World · 27/10 16:001X240%+1.566%GG+2.5
Al Seeb – East Bengal IIAFC Champions League Two · World · 27/10 16:001X255%+1.592%GG75%+2.579%
Express – KatakaPremier League · Uganda · 27/10 16:00156%X2+1.563%GG+2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk – Dynamo KyivCup · Ukraine · 27/10 16:00161%X2+1.585%GG61%+2.566%
Gagra – RustaviDavid Kipiani Cup · Georgia · 27/10 16:00 · ⛅ 14°138%X2+1.568%GG+2.5
Slovan Liberec – TepliceCup · Czech-Republic · 27/10 16:001X262%+1.588%GG65%+2.571%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu – Muş Sport KlübüTürkiye Kupası · Turkey · 27/10 16:00179%X2+1.593%GG62%+2.580%
Recreativo da Caála – 1º de AgostoGirabola · Angola · 27/10 16:15 · ☁ 23°1X251%+1.574%GG51%+2.5
Al-Adalah – Al JeelDivision 1 · Saudi-Arabia · 27/10 16:30143%X2+1.579%GG58%+2.555%
Motor Lublin – Raków CzęstochowaCup · Poland · 27/10 16:30160%X2+1.586%GG63%+2.567%
Dinamo Zagreb – HNK RijekaHNL · Croatia · 27/10 17:00169%X2+1.577%GG+2.553%
Buducnost Podgorica – MornarFirst League · Montenegro · 27/10 17:00 · ⛅ 12°141%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
Torreense U23 – Estrela U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 27/10 17:00145%X2+1.579%GG58%+2.555%
Uta Arad – FC BotosaniCupa României · Romania · 27/10 17:00 · ☀ 9°1X242%+1.592%GG76%+2.578%
VfL Bochum – FSV Mainz 05DFB Pokal · Germany · 27/10 17:001X286%+1.599%GG82%+2.596%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – FC AugsburgDFB Pokal · Germany · 27/10 17:001X243%+1.589%GG71%+2.572%
Hamburger SV – Eintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal · Germany · 27/10 17:001X280%+1.599%GG89%+2.598%
Rot-Weiß Essen – RB LeipzigDFB Pokal · Germany · 27/10 17:00 · ☁ 16°1X272%+1.597%GG80%+2.591%
Austria Vienna – TSV HartbergCup · Austria · 27/10 17:00 · ☀ 10°151%X2+1.597%GG86%+2.591%
First Vienna – Rapid ViennaCup · Austria · 27/10 17:00 · ☀ 10°1X244%+1.593%GG77%+2.580%
Al Riffa – Qatar SCAGCFF Gulf Champions League · World · 27/10 17:00 · ☀ 30°1X255%+1.583%GG60%+2.562%
Sassuolo – LazioSerie A · Italy · 27/10 17:301X248%+1.577%GG55%+2.553%
FC Krasnodar – DynamoCup · Russia · 27/10 17:30 · ☁ 15°1X254%+1.566%GG+2.5
WSPG Wels – Wolfsberger ACCup · Austria · 27/10 17:301X248%+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Excelsior '31 – ADO Den HaagKNVB Beker · Netherlands · 27/10 17:45153%X2+1.595%GG82%+2.586%
AIK Stockholm – IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan · Sweden · 27/10 18:001X245%+1.584%GG64%+2.563%
Landskrona BoIS – Varbergs BoIS FCSuperettan · Sweden · 27/10 18:00137%X2+1.578%GG58%+2.554%
Koper – Maribor1. SNL · Slovenia · 27/10 18:00 · ⛅ 13°137%X2+1.576%GG56%+2.552%
Nordsjælland W – AGF WKvindeliga · Denmark · 27/10 18:00181%X2+1.589%GG52%+2.573%
Nürnberg II – Bayern München IIRegionalliga – Bayern · Germany · 27/10 18:00150%X2+1.583%GG62%+2.562%
Freiburg II – Eintracht Frankfurt IIRegionalliga – SudWest · Germany · 27/10 18:00143%X2+1.583%GG63%+2.562%
AFC Wimbledon – Arsenal U21EFL Trophy · England · 27/10 18:00 · 🌫 3°148%X2+1.580%GG59%+2.558%
Dodoma Jiji – JKT TanzaniaLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 27/10 18:00158%X2+1.565%GG+2.5
Benevento – CatanzaroSerie B · Italy · 27/10 18:00155%X2+1.583%GG60%+2.562%
Atl. Rafaela 2 – Newell's Old Boys Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 27/10 18:00137%X2+1.571%GG51%+2.5
Independiente Res. – Defensa y Justicia Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 27/10 18:00160%X2+1.584%GG59%+2.563%
Platense Res. – Lanús Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 27/10 18:001X244%+1.574%GG53%+2.5
Rosario Central Res. – Sarmiento Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 27/10 18:00137%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Grazer AK – SCR AltachCup · Austria · 27/10 18:00161%X2+1.585%GG61%+2.566%
Gyirmot SE – Budapest HonvedMagyar Kupa · Hungary · 27/10 18:00 · ☀ 8°1X285%+1.597%GG70%+2.591%
Porto – Ypiranga PEPernambucano – 1 · Brazil · 27/10 18:001X260%+1.571%GG+2.5
Vera Cruz – ÍbisPernambucano – 1 · Brazil · 27/10 18:00144%X2+1.574%GG53%+2.5
Pinatar – ElcheCopa del Rey · Spain · 27/10 18:00190%X2+1.598%GG69%+2.594%
Slavia Praha – Zbrojovka BrnoCup · Czech-Republic · 27/10 18:00 · ⛅ 5°1X250%+1.599%GG94%+2.597%
Banfield Res. – Argentinos Juniors Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 27/10 18:00139%X2+1.558%GG+2.5
Al Shamal – Al-Hilal Saudi FCAFC Champions League Elite · World · 27/10 18:15 · ☀ 29°1X254%+1.566%GG+2.5
Al Shorta – Al HusseinAFC Champions League Two · World · 27/10 18:15 · ⛅ 27°1X259%+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
AB Copenhagen – BrondbyDBU Pokalen · Denmark · 27/10 18:30 · ☁ 12°148%X2+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Blackpool – Aston Villa U21EFL Trophy · England · 27/10 19:00158%X2+1.594%GG77%+2.583%
Port Vale – Manchester City U21EFL Trophy · England · 27/10 19:00144%X2+1.595%GG82%+2.585%
Shrewsbury – Everton U21EFL Trophy · England · 27/10 19:00161%X2+1.599%GG90%+2.595%
Ascoli – SampdoriaSerie B · Italy · 27/10 19:00161%X2+1.574%GG+2.5
Cesena – EmpoliSerie B · Italy · 27/10 19:00141%X2+1.572%GG51%+2.5
Virtus Entella – AvellinoSerie B · Italy · 27/10 19:00 · ⛅ 14°1X237%+1.569%GG+2.5
Vicenza Virtus – ModenaSerie B · Italy · 27/10 19:001X254%+1.581%GG58%+2.559%
Mantova – CremoneseSerie B · Italy · 27/10 19:00150%X2+1.575%GG53%+2.551%
Padova – SudtirolSerie B · Italy · 27/10 19:001X241%+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Cardiff City U21 – Coventry City U21Professional Development League · England · 27/10 19:00147%X2+1.590%GG72%+2.574%
El Nacional – Gualaceo SCLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 27/10 19:00 · 🌦 19°1X240%+1.5GG+2.5
Balzers II – RuggellCup · Liechtenstein · 27/10 19:00184%X2+1.595%GG63%+2.586%
Ruggell II – Eschen / MaurenCup · Liechtenstein · 27/10 19:00153%X2+1.589%GG70%+2.573%
Barendrecht – WaalwijkKNVB Beker · Netherlands · 27/10 19:00136%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
Kloetinge – CambuurKNVB Beker · Netherlands · 27/10 19:00192%X2+1.598%GG64%+2.593%
Colchester United U21 – Queens Park Rangers U21Professional Development League · England · 27/10 19:30156%X2+1.592%GG74%+2.578%
Corvinul Hunedoara – RapidCupa României · Romania · 27/10 19:30142%X2+1.584%GG64%+2.563%
Potenza – BariCoppa Italia Serie C · Italy · 27/10 19:30135%X2+1.571%GG51%+2.5
Team Altamura – GubbioCoppa Italia Serie C · Italy · 27/10 19:30 · ⛅ 10°139%X2+1.591%GG75%+2.576%
Piast Gliwice – Gornik ZabrzeCup · Poland · 27/10 19:30 · ☀ 5°160%X2+1.586%GG63%+2.567%
AS Roma – CagliariSerie A · Italy · 27/10 19:45159%X2+1.577%GG50%+2.553%
Torino – ComoSerie A · Italy · 27/10 19:451X249%+1.584%GG63%+2.563%
Stenhousemuir – DunfermlineChampionship · Scotland · 27/10 19:45149%X2+1.551%GG+2.5
Larne – Limavady UnitedPremiership · Northern-Ireland · 27/10 19:45150%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Leicester – WiganLeague One · England · 27/10 19:45136%X2+1.575%GG55%+2.551%
Milton Keynes Dons – BromleyLeague One · England · 27/10 19:45143%X2+1.582%GG62%+2.560%
Luton – DoncasterLeague One · England · 27/10 19:45 · ☀ 10°144%X2+1.572%GG51%+2.5
Oxford United – Stockport CountyLeague One · England · 27/10 19:451X237%+1.569%GG+2.5
Sheffield Wednesday – Cambridge UnitedLeague One · England · 27/10 19:45152%X2+1.579%GG56%+2.555%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic – Bo'ness UnitedFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 27/10 19:45 · 🌦 7°149%X2+1.595%GG82%+2.586%
Brechin – East StirlingshireFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 27/10 19:45156%X2+1.588%GG67%+2.571%
Caledonian Braves – Albion RoversFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 27/10 19:45176%X2+1.595%GG73%+2.586%
Clydebank – Celtic IIFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 27/10 19:45163%X2+1.597%GG82%+2.589%
Kilwinning Rangers – Cumbernauld ColtsFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 27/10 19:45167%X2+1.584%GG55%+2.563%
Linlithgow Rose – Musselburgh AthleticFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 27/10 19:45170%X2+1.582%GG+2.560%
Newton Stewart – Gretna 2008Football League – Lowland League · Scotland · 27/10 19:451X254%+1.598%GG88%+2.592%
AFC Fylde – HartlepoolNational League · England · 27/10 19:45 · 🌦 10°148%X2+1.579%GG57%+2.555%
Altrincham – Kidderminster HarriersNational League · England · 27/10 19:45 · ☀ 10°148%X2+1.580%GG59%+2.558%
Boston United – GatesheadNational League · England · 27/10 19:45 · ☀ 10°157%X2+1.579%GG54%+2.555%
FC Halifax Town – BarrowNational League · England · 27/10 19:45 · ⛅ 9°149%X2+1.582%GG61%+2.561%
AFC Hornchurch – Yeovil TownNational League · England · 27/10 19:45135%X2+1.571%GG51%+2.5
Tamworth – ScunthorpeNational League · England · 27/10 19:45 · ☀ 9°152%X2+1.582%GG59%+2.560%
Wealdstone – Solihull MoorsNational League · England · 27/10 19:45 · ⛅ 12°144%X2+1.593%GG77%+2.580%
Woking – Boreham WoodNational League · England · 27/10 19:45 · ☀ 10°1X257%+1.583%GG60%+2.562%
Worthing – SouthendNational League · England · 27/10 19:45 · ☀ 12°1X244%+1.585%GG66%+2.566%
Bedford Town – Hednesford TownNational League – North · England · 27/10 19:45144%X2+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Buxton – Harborough TownNational League – North · England · 27/10 19:45158%X2+1.576%GG50%+2.552%
Chester – MarineNational League – North · England · 27/10 19:45 · ⛅ 10°142%X2+1.569%GG+2.5
Hereford – AFC Telford UnitedNational League – North · England · 27/10 19:45 · ☀ 9°160%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Morecambe – Darlington 1883National League – North · England · 27/10 19:45 · ☁ 12°161%X2+1.585%GG61%+2.566%
Oxford City – Merthyr TownNational League – North · England · 27/10 19:45 · ⛅ 9°147%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Radcliffe – ChorleyNational League – North · England · 27/10 19:45151%X2+1.579%GG57%+2.557%
Southport – MacclesfieldNational League – North · England · 27/10 19:45134%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Spalding United – Brackley TownNational League – North · England · 27/10 19:45163%X2+1.579%GG52%+2.557%
Spennymoor Town – South ShieldsNational League – North · England · 27/10 19:45138%X2+1.585%GG66%+2.565%
Worksop Town – King's Lynn TownNational League – North · England · 27/10 19:45 · ⛅ 10°1X246%+1.578%GG56%+2.554%
AFC Totton – TorquayNational League – South · England · 27/10 19:451X241%+1.574%GG53%+2.5
Billericay Town – Hampton & RichmondNational League – South · England · 27/10 19:45178%X2+1.586%GG+2.568%
Braintree – Dagenham & RedbridgeNational League – South · England · 27/10 19:45 · ☀ 10°1X244%+1.574%GG53%+2.5
Chesham United – Farnham TownNational League – South · England · 27/10 19:45 · ☀ 9°1X259%+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Dorking Wanderers – Hemel Hempstead TownNational League – South · England · 27/10 19:45 · ☀ 10°1X239%+1.576%GG56%+2.552%
Dover – Chelmsford CityNational League – South · England · 27/10 19:451X246%+1.585%GG66%+2.566%
Maidenhead – HorshamNational League – South · England · 27/10 19:45 · ☀ 10°1X248%+1.566%GG+2.5
Maidstone Utd – Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League – South · England · 27/10 19:45 · ☀ 11°1X250%+1.569%GG+2.5
Tonbridge Angels – Folkestone InvictaNational League – South · England · 27/10 19:45138%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
Truro City – Slough TownNational League – South · England · 27/10 19:45171%X2+1.588%GG60%+2.571%
Walton & Hersham – SalisburyNational League – South · England · 27/10 19:451X262%+1.571%GG+2.5
Maldon & Tiptree – Eastbourne BoroughNon League Premier – Isthmian · England · 27/10 19:451X254%+1.581%GG58%+2.559%
St Albans City – Burgess Hill TownNon League Premier – Isthmian · England · 27/10 19:45163%X2+1.587%GG64%+2.570%
Stanway Rovers – Cray WanderersNon League Premier – Isthmian · England · 27/10 19:451X251%+1.588%GG69%+2.571%
Brentwood Town – CheshuntNon League Premier – Isthmian · England · 27/10 19:45164%X2+1.584%GG57%+2.563%
Enfield Town – Chatham TownNon League Premier – Isthmian · England · 27/10 19:45145%X2+1.585%GG65%+2.565%
Whitehawk – Dulwich HamletNon League Premier – Isthmian · England · 27/10 19:45138%X2+1.579%GG59%+2.555%
Gainsborough Trinity – Curzon AshtonNon League Premier – Northern · England · 27/10 19:45144%X2+1.584%GG65%+2.564%
United of Manchester – QuornNon League Premier – Northern · England · 27/10 19:45140%X2+1.589%GG72%+2.573%
Alvechurch – Anstey NomadsNon League Premier – Southern Central · England · 27/10 19:45157%X2+1.575%GG+2.551%
Banbury United – Worcester CityNon League Premier – Southern Central · England · 27/10 19:45144%X2+1.579%GG59%+2.557%
Bishop's Stortford – StamfordNon League Premier – Southern Central · England · 27/10 19:45167%X2+1.584%GG55%+2.564%
Bromsgrove Sporting – Stratford TownNon League Premier – Southern Central · England · 27/10 19:45156%X2+1.572%GG+2.5
Halesowen Town – LeamingtonNon League Premier – Southern Central · England · 27/10 19:45156%X2+1.579%GG55%+2.557%
Kettering Town – Rushall OlympicNon League Premier – Southern Central · England · 27/10 19:45156%X2+1.581%GG57%+2.559%
Needham Market – Leighton TownNon League Premier – Southern Central · England · 27/10 19:45156%X2+1.581%GG57%+2.559%
Peterborough Sports – LeistonNon League Premier – Southern Central · England · 27/10 19:45149%X2+1.589%GG71%+2.572%
Racing Club Warwick – Redditch UnitedNon League Premier – Southern Central · England · 27/10 19:45148%X2+1.577%GG55%+2.553%
Real Bedford – StourbridgeNon League Premier – Southern Central · England · 27/10 19:45150%X2+1.585%GG65%+2.566%
Basingstoke Town – UxbridgeNon League Premier – Southern South · England · 27/10 19:45138%X2+1.575%GG55%+2.551%
Berkhamsted – SholingNon League Premier – Southern South · England · 27/10 19:45141%X2+1.562%GG+2.5
Bracknell Town – Gosport BoroughNon League Premier – Southern South · England · 27/10 19:45146%X2+1.572%GG51%+2.5
Chichester City – Hanworth VillaNon League Premier – Southern South · England · 27/10 19:45145%X2+1.582%GG62%+2.561%
Hanwell Town – Havant & WvilleNon League Premier – Southern South · England · 27/10 19:45146%X2+1.578%GG56%+2.554%
Plymouth Parkway – Gloucester CityNon League Premier – Southern South · England · 27/10 19:45168%X2+1.592%GG68%+2.578%
Poole Town – Chertsey TownNon League Premier – Southern South · England · 27/10 19:45138%X2+1.579%GG59%+2.555%
Taunton Town – Frome TownNon League Premier – Southern South · England · 27/10 19:45145%X2+1.589%GG71%+2.572%
Yate Town – Wimborne TownNon League Premier – Southern South · England · 27/10 19:451X244%+1.574%GG53%+2.5
Cailungo – PennarossaCoppa Titano · San-Marino · 27/10 19:451X268%+1.594%GG73%+2.582%
Cosmos – San GiovanniCoppa Titano · San-Marino · 27/10 19:451X239%+1.565%GG+2.5
Juvenes / Dogana – Tre PenneCoppa Titano · San-Marino · 27/10 19:45 · ⛅ 13°1X259%+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Borussia Mönchengladbach – Karlsruher SCDFB Pokal · Germany · 27/10 19:45164%X2+1.595%GG77%+2.584%
Borussia Dortmund – Werder BremenDFB Pokal · Germany · 27/10 19:45159%X2+1.597%GG85%+2.591%
SV Elversberg – SV Darmstadt 98DFB Pokal · Germany · 27/10 19:45 · ☁ 13°148%X2+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
1. FC Köln – Union BerlinDFB Pokal · Germany · 27/10 19:45 · ☁ 16°1X249%+1.594%GG79%+2.583%
Bradford – PeterboroughLeague Cup · England · 27/10 19:45 · ⛅ 10°1X251%+1.574%GG51%+2.5
Bray Wanderers – Kerry FCFirst Division · Ireland · 27/10 19:45 · ☀ 10°151%X2+1.582%GG61%+2.561%
UCD – Longford TownFirst Division · Ireland · 27/10 19:45149%X2+1.582%GG61%+2.561%
Juan Pablo II College – Sport HuancayoPrimera División · Peru · 27/10 20:00 · 🌦 27°149%X2+1.582%GG61%+2.561%
Talleres Córdoba Res. – Aldosivi Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 27/10 20:00149%X2+1.574%GG52%+2.5
Lions Gibraltar – Mons CalpePremier Division · Gibraltar · 27/10 20:00138%X2+1.586%GG68%+2.568%
Savoia – SorrentoCoppa Italia Serie C · Italy · 27/10 20:00165%X2+1.576%GG+2.552%
Fleetwood Town – ArsenalLeague Cup · England · 27/10 20:00 · ☁ 12°1X252%+1.595%GG80%+2.584%
Koninklijke HFC – GO Ahead EaglesKNVB Beker · Netherlands · 27/10 20:00 · ☀ 14°163%X2+1.584%GG58%+2.564%
Alcazar – MalagaCopa del Rey · Spain · 27/10 20:00145%X2+1.561%GG+2.5
Puerto Cabello – Caracas FCPrimera División · Venezuela · 27/10 21:30 · 🌦 32°150%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Argentinos JRS – Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 27/10 22:00148%X2+1.561%GG+2.5
Santa Rita – Cruzeiro PBParaibano 2 · Brazil · 27/10 22:00161%X2+1.585%GG61%+2.566%
Penarol – Atletico TorqueCopa Uruguay · Uruguay · 27/10 22:30 · ☀ 14°1X243%+1.568%GG+2.5
Libertad Asuncion – Independiente F.b.c.Copa Paraguay · Paraguay · 27/10 22:30135%X2+1.571%GG51%+2.5
Ceara – GoiasSerie B · Brazil · 27/10 23:00 · ⛅ 28°141%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
Cucuta – Águilas DoradasPrimera A · Colombia · 27/10 23:00145%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Operário PR U20 – Flamengo U20Copa do Brasil U20 · Brazil · 27/10 23:00140%X2+1.582%GG63%+2.561%
Deportivo Tachira FC – Monagas SCPrimera División · Venezuela · 27/10 23:30155%X2+1.579%GG55%+2.555%

*Odds correct as of date published, prices subject to change, check 1XBET for actual odds.

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mathematical football prediction

What Mathematical Football Prediction Actually Means

People hear “mathematical model” and picture a black box that spits out winners. The reality is more boring. A decent model takes every match a team has played, weighs the quality of their opponents, adjusts for home advantage, and then estimates a probability for each scoreline. Poisson distributions, Elo-style ratings, and xG (expected goals) are the three building blocks most public models use.

The model doesn’t care about your favourite club. That’s its main advantage. The variables that matter most in my own workflow:

  • Expected goals for and against, ideally over the last 8 to 12 matches
  • Goalkeeper status (a backup keeper can swing the line by 0.3 goals)
  • Travel and rest days, especially in midweek European fixtures
  • Referee tendencies for cards and penalty calls
  • Weather, but only for under/over markets in winter rounds

None of these guarantee a win. They shift probabilities, and probabilities are all you have when you’re betting.

Spotting Must-Win Teams Today

What makes a team a “must-win”?

A must-win isn’t just the favourite. It’s a team where the situation, the form and the opponent line up. Think Bayern at home against a newly promoted side in October. Or Real Madrid hosting a mid-table La Liga club the weekend before a Champions League knockout, where the bookies still price them at short odds and the model agrees.

The four things I check before calling a side a genuine must-win:

  • Form: at least 4 wins in their last 6, ideally with clean sheets
  • Opposition trouble: missing a key defender, on a bad run, or just travelled across Europe
  • Home record: many teams are completely different sides at home, and the gap is bigger than people think
  • Motivation: title race, top-four push, or a derby that the squad won’t take lightly

How to use must-win picks without blowing your bankroll

The mistake I made for years was stacking five “must-wins” into an accumulator. One late equaliser kills the slip every single time. What works better:

Singles on the highest-confidence pick of the day. Boring, but the maths is on your side. Two-fold accas when two picks each clear 70% in the model, which gives roughly 50% combined and decent returns at the typical 1.40-1.60 acca price. Asian handicap -1 if the favourite is too short for a straight win but the model expects a comfortable scoreline. I almost never touch 4+ accumulators on must-wins. The variance eats you alive.

Daily picks, not daily nonsense

Every day at Forwins we publish the matches our model rates highest, with the probability for each market shown next to the tip. If the number is below 70% on a 1X2 pick, we don’t post it. If you only see two or three matches on a quiet Tuesday, that’s the point.

⚠️ Bet responsibly. Stake what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, stop.

Over 2.5 Predictions: What Most People Get Wrong

Over 2.5 means three or more goals in the match. Simple market, simple rule. The bit people miss is that “both teams score a lot” doesn’t automatically mean over 2.5 hits. You need pace and chance creation, not just two leaky defences.

A useful rule of thumb: if the combined xG for the fixture sits above 2.8 and neither side has parked the bus in their last five league games, over 2.5 is usually live. Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart games in 2024-25 are the textbook example. Two attacking sides, both pressing high, with combined goal totals north of 3 in most weeks.

Where it goes wrong:

  • Big derbies. Tactically tight, lots of yellow cards, fewer chances than the season average suggests
  • Wet pitches and December rounds in Northern Europe
  • Sides that have just played a Europa or Champions League midweek game and rotated

The Draw: Underrated and Often Mispriced

Most casual bettors never touch the X. That’s exactly why there’s value in it. Draws are statistically the rarest of the three 1X2 outcomes in most leagues (around 24-28% in the top five European leagues), but when the model and the situation point to one, the typical 3.20-3.60 price is generous.

Where draws cluster:

  • Teams within 2-3 points of each other in the table
  • Matches between defensive sides with low xG totals (think Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad)
  • End-of-season fixtures where both teams are already safe

Serie A produces more draws than any other top league, year after year. Italian football is built around defensive shape, and that shows in the scorelines. If you want to specialise in draws, start there.

Weekend Picks: Where the Real Volume Is

Saturdays and Sundays carry the bulk of the betting calendar. Premier League and La Liga slates on the same day, plus Serie A and Bundesliga, plus the smaller leagues. There’s too much football to bet on every match, and trying is the fastest way to lose a bankroll.

My weekend filter is simple. I rank every match by model confidence, throw out anything below 70%, and look for two or three plays where the bookie line and my model disagree by more than 5 percentage points. Those are the value bets. A “lock” at 1.20 with a true 90% chance is fine, but you make real money when the line is wrong, not when it’s right.

Can You Really Get 90% Accurate Predictions?

The honest version is less exciting: it holds up on safe markets across a short run of bets, and falls apart the moment you want better odds.

Over 1.5 goals in Bundesliga matches hits around 88% historically. Double chance on a heavy home favourite against a bottom-table side hits 90%+. But those are 1.10-1.25 odds. To grow a bankroll meaningfully on those, you’d need huge stakes, and a single 10% loss wipes out many wins.

Anyone selling you “90% accurate predictions” at decent odds is either cherry-picking past results or selling you a dream. The honest target for a profitable bettor is 55-58% on near-evens lines. That’s the level where compounding actually works.

Football Prediction for Tomorrow: Plan, Don’t React

The biggest edge you can get isn’t a better model. It’s earlier lines. Bookmaker odds the day before a match are softer than the same lines an hour before kick-off, because the market hasn’t adjusted to the late money yet. If your model fancies the away team and the price is 2.80 today, it’s likely closer to 2.50 by Saturday morning.

That’s why we publish next-day previews every evening at Forwins. Read them, check the team news the morning of the match, and place early when the value is still there.

BTTS Tips: When Both Teams Actually Score

BTTS is a strange market. It looks like a coin flip, but the long-term hit rate across the top leagues sits around 52-54%. The model edge is small, which means the bookmaker margin matters more here than on most markets. Always shop the line.

BTTS tends to hit in matches where:

  • Both teams have scored in 4+ of their last 6 matches
  • Neither side has a stand-out goalkeeper
  • The favourite likes to attack rather than sit on a 1-0

Bundesliga is the BTTS league. La Liga and Ligue 1 are the worst for it, because the bottom-half teams often struggle to score at all.

Predictions for Nigerian Bettors

Nigeria has one of the most active football betting communities in Africa, and the markets popular with Nigerian bettors aren’t always the ones I’d default to. Multi-bets on weekend EPL games are everywhere. So is interest in the NPFL, where pricing is wider because fewer models cover the league.

If you bet from Nigeria, the same rules apply: stick to leagues you can actually follow, avoid huge accumulators no matter how tempting the payout looks, and shop for the best line. We cover the main European leagues plus selected NPFL fixtures.

The Short Version

A model gives you probabilities. You compare them to the bookie’s price. When your number is meaningfully higher, you bet. When it isn’t, you skip. That’s the entire job.

Everything else, including how many picks we post each day, which leagues we cover, and which markets we trust, follows from that idea. We publish daily previews for the top leagues, plus weekend round-ups every Friday. Take what’s useful, ignore what isn’t.

FAQ: Football Predictions & Betting

What are mathematical football predictions?

Mathematical football predictions are forecasts built from statistical models rather than gut feeling. They combine recent form, expected goals, head-to-head data, lineup news, and home advantage to produce a probability for each outcome. Think of it as a forecast rather than a guarantee. It gives you the likelihood of each result and a sense of how far to trust that number.

How do you predict draws in football?

Look for matches between teams of similar quality (within a few points in the table), low combined xG, and defensive styles. Serie A produces the most draws of any top European league. Atletico-style sides that prioritise structure over attacking risk are also reliable draw candidates, especially when they meet each other.

What does Over 2.5 mean in football betting?

Over 2.5 means betting that the match will end with three or more goals. Final scores of 2-1, 3-0, 3-2, 4-1 all win. A 2-0, 1-1 or 0-0 loses. It’s one of the most popular goal markets because the line cuts cleanly through the most common scorelines.

How do I find value bets?

A value bet is one where your estimated probability is higher than what the bookmaker’s odds imply. If you think a team has a 60% chance to win and the price is 1.90 (implied probability 52.6%), that’s value. Finding these consistently requires a method for estimating probability that isn’t just based on which team you like.

Are weekend predictions different from weekday ones?

The method is the same, but weekends have far more matches, so the filter has to be tighter. With 20+ games across the top leagues on a Saturday, you can afford to skip 90% of them and only bet the ones where the model edge is clear. Weekday matches often have softer lines because the market is thinner.

Can football predictions really be 90% accurate?

Only on safe markets like Over 1.5 in attacking leagues or double chance on heavy favourites, where odds are too short to grow a bankroll meaningfully. On more useful markets like 1X2 picks at 1.80-2.20, a sustainable hit rate sits in the 55-60% range. Anyone claiming 90% accuracy at decent odds is cherry-picking results.

Are your football predictions free?

Yes. All daily picks, weekend previews, and analysis on Forwins.com are free. We publish full reasoning alongside each tip so you can judge whether the logic holds, rather than just copying the bet blindly.

Do you cover Nigerian football?

We cover selected NPFL fixtures and any international matches involving Nigerian teams. The bulk of our daily output is the top European leagues, since that’s where the lines are sharpest and our data is most reliable.

What’s the best market for beginners?

Double chance (1X or X2) is the gentlest starting point. You’re covering two outcomes out of three, so the hit rate is naturally high, and it forces you to think about which outcome you’re ruling out rather than which one you’re picking. Once you’re comfortable, move to 1X2 and over/under markets.